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The 2026 Outlook for Navy Shipbuilding (Presentation)

Presentation by Eric Labs, an analyst in CBO's National Security Division, at the Bank of America Defense Outlook and Commercial Aerospace Forum 2026.

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Presentation at the Bank of America Defense Outlook and Commercial Aerospace Forum 2026 January 7, 2026 Eric J. Labs National Security Division The 2026 Outlook for Navy Shipbuilding
1 Shipbuilding Requests and Appropriations, 2015 to 2025 The Congress has consistently appropriated more funds for shipbuilding than Administrations have requested.
2 Shipbuilding inflation is the growth in the costs of labor and materials used in building naval ships. GDP = gross domestic product; SCN = Shipbuilding and Conversion, Navy Average Annual Increase in GDP Price Inflation, Shipbuilding Inflation, and the Shipbuilding Budget, 2005 to 2025 The Navy’s shipbuilding budget has grown almost twice as fast as shipbuilding inflation.
3 HAC = House Appropriations Committee; HASC = House Armed Services Committee; NDAA = National Defense Authorization Act for 2026; SAC = Senate Appropriations Committee; SASC = Senate Armed Services Committee. Congressional Action on Shipbuilding for Fiscal Year 2026
4 HAC = House Appropriations Committee; HASC = House Armed Services Committee; NDAA = National Defense Authorization Act for 2026; SAC = Senate Appropriations Committee; SASC = Senate Armed Services Committee; n.a. = not applicable. Congressional Action on Shipbuilding for Fiscal Year 2026 (Cont.) Millions of dollars Reconciliation funding Reconciliation request President’s request HASC SASC NDAA HAC SAC Battle force ships 16,259 24,773 16,904 16,904 25,778 21,038 32,840 24,684 Columbia class ballistic missile submarines 1,926 8,995 8,995 8,995 9,695 10,490 12,930 Aircraft carriers 3,282 3.282 3,282 3,282 3,282 3,282 Attack submarines 4,600 7,135 3,944 3,944 5,144 6,478 11,397 6,478 Destroyers 5,400 5,400 11 11 7,685 911 5,069 1,761 Frigates 100 100 LHA-6 amphibious assault ships 3,895 LPD-17 amphibious transport docks 1,470 2,600 LSM medium landing ships 1,964 1,964 225 T-ATS towing, salvage, and rescue ships 142 T-AGOS ocean surveillance ships 612 612 612 612 425 612 T-AO oilers 2,725 1,853 8 8 8 1,657 8 Other 1,845 1,771 3,937 3,937 5,180 4,936 4,095 4,626 Refueling and complex overhaul 1,779 1,779 1,779 1,779 1,822 1,579 Sealift: new/used 750 700 45 45 570 21 206 335 All else 1,095 1,071 2,113 2,113 2,831 3,136 2,067 2,712 Total 18,104 26,544 20,840 20,840 30,958 25,975 36,935 29,310 Industrial base 5,037 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. Unmanned systems 5,546 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.
5 Tonnage is calculated using lightship displacement for surface ships and Condition A-1 weight for submarines. This figure was originally published in Congressional Budget Office, An Analysis of the Navy’s 2025 Shipbuilding Plan (January 2025), www.cbo.gov/publication/60732. Amount of Tonnage That Would Be Constructed Under the Navy’s 2025 Plan The demands that the 2025 plan would place on the nation’s shipyards would be greater than those they have faced over the past decade. Thousands of tons
6 Data provided by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Total Employment in the Shipbuilding and Boatbuilding Industry Employment in the shipbuilding and boatbuilding industry has not grown since 1990.