Insights 2021
Powering Human Experience
Ray Poynter Chief Research Officer
© Potentiate 2020
Agenda
• The research context
• What’s hot & what’s not
• Key developments in insights generation
• The challenges and threats being faced by
insights
• Tips for transitioning from 2020 to 2021 and
beyond
• Q & A
Insights 2021
Powering Human Experience
© Potentiate 2020
The Research Context
• Research is not an island – we are in TUNA times
• Turbulent, Uncertain, Novel & Ambiguous
• May 2020 - review
• Scenarios
• Winners and Losers
• Sneak Peek at research buyers’ global study
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The World in May 2020
Most Expectations
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The World Today
Source: https://www.ft.com/content/a2901ce8-5eb7-4633-b89c-cbdf5b386938
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Four Compound Scenarios – May 2020
Virus is NOT
Controlled Soon
Economy Recovers
Soon
Economy does NOT
Recover Soon
Back to
Normal-ish, but with
lots of deaths
Whole new
world
Virus is Controlled
Soon
Economy Recovers
Soon
Economy does NOT
Recover Soon
Back to Normal-
ish
Major recession
Still True – September 2020
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Most leaders surveyed expect large scale changes in their ways
of running their business
Most of these
changes need
(or would at least
benefit from) Insights
& Research
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Why do organisations need insights?
Everybody is flying blind.
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Winners
• Apple becomes the first $1 Trillion company in August 2018
• Becomes the first $2 Trillion company in September 2020 (stock up 134%
in the last year)
• Amazon and Microsoft hot on Apple’s tail
• Amazon $1.65 Trillion (stock up 80% in last year), Microsoft $1.61 Trillion
(stock up 55% in last year)
• Walmart
• Online sales up 97% on last year, Q2 ’same stores’ sales up 10%, year-on-
year (driven by food)
• Other winners include
• AMD (chip maker), Nvidia (technology), & Netflix
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The Research Context
ESOMAR & Partners, Global Study of Research Buyers Sneak Peek
Internal,
38%
External,
62%
How much research is conducted
internally or via suppliers?
Increasin
g, 42%
No
Change,
45%
Not Sure,
5%
Decreasin
g, 8%
Change in Internal %
Note, more than 20 Partners, including
Potentiate, study leader – Ray Poynter,
sample = 416
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Volume of Work Up, Resources Reduced
in Aggregate
From Buyers of Insights Study we see:
• Quantity of projects clients expect to conduct in 2021
• Increase 59%
• Decrease 14%
• Change in budget/resources 2020
• Decreased 41%
• Increased 22%
• Change in budget/resources 2021
• Decrease 29%
• Increase 28%
The ESOMAR Global Market
Research Report expects the
global spend on Research to
fall in 2020 by 25%, about US
$20billion (from $80billion to
$60billion).
But, we need to be aware that
some sectors/companies are
doing better – e.g. 22% are
spending more.
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Doing More with Less
The Key phrase From GRIT, ESOMAR and NewMR
Key examples of how companies are doing this include:
Using insight communities for a larger
share of projects – blending self-serve
with outsourcing
Using survey engines themselves
Automating and using AI to streamline
services, for example building text
analytics into CX dashboard – giving more
insight in less time
Integrating projects, sourcing information
from the whole organisation
Democratising the process, adopting lean
and agile approaches
Re-processing existing data to find more
answers
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The World in 2021?
• COVID-19 - better, worse or similar?
• Vaccine - yes, no or somewhere between
• Global Economy – in recession or recovering?
• Australian, European, North American economy – same as global, or not
• Trade problems (e.g. with China) – probable
• Climate problems – probable
• Regulatory problems for big data – probable, starting with Facebook and Google (and WeChat & Tik Tok)
• Business - a curate’s egg (good in parts, bad in parts)
• Cruise liners, airplane manufacturers, pop concerts – not good
• Amazon, Apple, online shopping, Netflix – fantastic
• Unilever, Coke, P&G etc – could be good, bad, or marginal
• Another surprise (ash cloud, war, floods/fires, IT breakdown, terrorism, asteroids, etc) – it always could happen,
it usually doesn’t happen
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What’s Hot and What’s Not
Hot!
• Digital Qual
• Agile
• ‘X’ – UX, CX & HX (Human Experience)
• Insight communities as default options
• Democratising insights
• Automation (including AI)
• Video
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What’s Hot and What’s Not
Not!
• Anything face-to-face
• Most shiny new toys
• Augmented reality, Neuroscience, Biometrics, Facial Coding
• Large-scale tracking studies
• Traditional reporting
• AI when not involved in automation or augmented intelligence
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Key developments in insights generation
Automation
(including AI)
360-degree view
of the customer, client, citizen,
viewer (human-centric
approaches)
Democratising
sharing the insights in snackable,
accessible formats, couched in
the language of the user
Integration
treating each project as a piece
of the jigsaw, rather then a whole
picture
Less research, more often
Using approaches from Lean and
Agile – iterative learning, with
multidisciplinary teams
Measuring and
showing the ROI
of insights
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The challenges & threats being faced by insights
• Budget and resource cuts
• But that is often a consequence of reduced relevance
• Establish ROI, answer real problems, offer solutions
• The growing need to recognise Diversity & Inclusivity in insights
• The regulatory environment for data is going to get stricter
• The EU proposes to legislate on AI (and it means algorithms)
• Stay informed, use trade bodies to lobby on your behalf
• Fighting today’s needs with yesterday’s tactics
• Stakeholders don’t care about methods, they want reliable answers
• We can’t focus on significance testing, cross-tabs, and ranking scales
• We need the equivalent of the change from waterfall to agile, what is our MVP?
• The need for speed
• Insights are on time, or they are useless – they have to be affordable too
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Transitioning from 2020 to 2021 and beyond
• Do more with less
• Blend self-serve and service, integrate your solutions, use your existing research to deliver more (e.g. Communities as a
hub, measuring trends with CX, longitudinal analysis of concept tests)
• Make better use of existing tools, focusing on speed, stakeholders’ needs, and the requirements of customers as people
• Deliver value to the rest of the organisation
• Collaborate to deliver agile. Democratise the process. Less research more often. Become iterative and brave. Be the
number 1 voice for the customer. Measure the ROI of insights.
• Use Automation, AI, Machine Learning, & Standardisation to make your research more efficient (i.e. faster,
cheaper, easier)
• Focus on tasks, tools & approaches that you can use and re-use – avoid a shiny toy that you might only use
once in 2021
• Develop lean approaches, using multidisciplinary teams, less research more often, focusing on the
human experience
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HX – people at the centre of the enterprise
© Potentiate 2020
hx@potentiate.com
Thank you