2012 NATIONAL ELECTION OUTCOMES &
    EDUCATION POLICY PROSPECTS


           Alternative Accountability Forum
  School for Integrated Academics and Technologies
                November 15 – 17, 2012



                                 Rick Clark
                  National Policy and Program Liaison
            School for Integrated Academics and Technologies



                                                                6012 Telegraph Road
                                                               Alexandria, VA 22310
                                                                 RWCclark@aol.com
                                                                       703-960-8689
NATIONAL ELECTION
                  OUTCOMES &
           EDUCATION POLICY
                   PROSPECTS




NOTE: Focus of remarks on dropout recovery –
substantial application to at-risk youth in general
ELECTION OUT COME ASSESSMENT - 5 MILE VIEW




    General outlook: On paper its status quo

    o
     Little to no change in outlook for the House and Senate

    o
     More polarized than last Congress

    o
     Function of unprecedented gerrymandering

    o
     Education among reputed best prospects for cooperation

         o
          - Mythological opinion, base on imperial evidence
House of Representatives Elect




     Reps - 234, Dems - 195, 23 member majority differential
     Not significant gain by Dems, nor loss by Republicans for shift in House
     alignment
     Conservative, “Blue Dog” Dems a dying, if not extinct breed
Senate - Elect




    Dems 55, Reps. 45 – not filibuster proof
    Despite Democratic majority, bi-partisanship required
    Conservative, “Blue Dog” Dems also a dying, if not extinct
    breed
o   Need five (or more) Republicans to break filibuster
HOUSE AND SENATE EDUCATION COMMITTEE[S]
STATUS


Election virtually maintained existing alignment of House and Senate Committees
House: Education and the Workforce Committee


- 23 Reps to 17 Dems in 112th - maintenance

- Anticipate minimum of 7 new members

- Won’t slow down Committee since mostly Dems

- No change anticipated in House Committee leadership

- Key players : Chairman John Kline (MN), Subcommittee Chair, Duncan Hunter (CA),
Virginia Foxx (NC), Rep. McKeon (CA)

- Extremely partisan leadership in 112th – unprecedented

- Mark-ups on education and workforce bills were triple P – painful, partisan, polarized
HOUSE AND SENATE EDUCATION COMMITTEE[S]
STATUS

Senate: Health, Education, Pensions, and Labor Committee

   - Minimum of 1 or 2 new members

   - 12 Dems to 10 Reps in 112th

   - Senate leadership and membership expected to undergo some change

   - Key players in Senate: Senators Harkin, Enzi, Alexander, and Bingaman [only
          Bingaman will be gone – retired]

    - New Committee dynamics: Sen Alexander ascending to ranking minority

          - did not support bi-partisan Committee bill in 112th

    - More respectful, more bi-partisan leadership in the Senate [vs. House]
US Department of Education




(Expected to )

     o   Support and incentivize implementation of common core standards

     o   Continue implementation and oversight of the waivers already granted to 35 states (including DC)

           - as funding tightens, waivers will be a primary way of leveraging reform

           - Republicans in House Ed Committee challenged waiver authority

           - usurpation of power, circumvention of Congress

           - Secretary Duncan on of fairly solid legal grounds

           - Senate acquiescence : no moves by Democratic leadership to coalesce with House in taking back
             authority [price too high]

     o    Waivers problematic with challenges of monitoring and enforcing implementation

              - 2 year renewal review
PARTY LINE POLICY PERSPECTIVES




General Republican goals/strategies (observations):

      o   To minimize federal role in education

      o   Return control over education to the states

      o   Block or undermine administration initiatives, e.g., Race to
          the Top, Innovation grants, by defunding or minimizing
          funding

      o   Limit politically sacred formula programs to most needy
          schools/students
DEMOCRAT PARTY GOALS


  o Thwart Republican goals and strategies to neutralize
   federal mandates with exceptions
  o   Respond to the pressures for NCLB reform by Democratic
      party constituents
       ∀ e.g., over dependence on testing, unrealistic proficiency

         goals, and onerous sanctions
  o   Keep critical control over education, especially in areas
      like civil rights, special education, education of the poor
      /Title 1
  o   Maintain funding for Administration initiatives
  o   Acquiescence in Administration’s current
      reforms/strategies involving:
           - data driven decision making, improved teacher
      evaluations,    removal of impediments to charter school
      development, etc.
  o   What we don’t know is what dynamics of the process will
      be
ELEMENTARY AND SECONDARY EDUCATION ACT
(NCLB) STATUS




  ESEA Reauthorization pending since 2007
  Senate and House reported bills in 112 th Congress
  Neither achieved floor action
  Despite inaction:
      - Strong signal of the major metamorphosis, if not
  end of the No Child Left Behind Era
          new name for ESEA [ESEA]
          new priorities for education reform
           advanced in House and Senate Committee bills
           waiver process flexibility
OTHER EDUCATION RELATED POLICY ISSUES FOR
LAME DUCK SESSION AND 113th CONGRESS




  Sequestration – threat of 8.2 percent cut to federal ed
  programs (DOE)
  - Formula program grants to the states [key part of state ed
  funding]
  - Title 1 cuts at 1.3 billion (of 15.7 plus bill)
  - Spec Ed cuts at 1 billion (of 12.6 plus bill)
  FY 2012 Appropriations – Continuing Resolution thru
  March
  Pell Grant Funding - $7 billion short-fall
  Student loan interest rate increase –– One year extension
  at 3.4 %, to double in August to 6.8 %
Other education related reauthorization issues
facing past/near future expiration dates




        Higher education
        Special education - IDEA
        Career and technical education
        Child care
Work Force Investment Act




        Special attention
       WIA programs like Job Corps and YouthBuild have
       academic components including high school diploma
       credentialing
       Could be a vehicle for model legislation on alternative
       accountability
       - consistent with Administration call for interagency
       cooperation, and program transparency where multiple
       agencies involved
        - reforms would be limited to WIA programs, but could be
       vehicle for important precedents
Administration Perspective on ESEA




    Unclear what, if any priority Administration will give to ESEA
    reauthorization – politically, not rhetorically

    Don’t know where incentive for priority action lies if can achieve goals
    through waivers, and existing programs

    New, and extension of existing initiatives tough sledding due to role
    Republicans would need to play in funding them

    No money anyway
IMPLICATIONS FOR DROPOUT RECOVERY and
ALTERNATIVE ACCOUNTABILITY FOR RECOVERY
SCHOOLS




      112th Congress – provided lay of the land
      ESEA Bills reported by both House and Senate Committees
      Numerous education issues raised by members of both
      Committees
      Not a single focused hearing on recovery: subject rarely
      mentioned, except rhetorically
  ∀   Won’t be a focus again unless WE (collectively), make it a focus
TRADITIONAL POLITICAL HURDLES TO
RECOVERY AND ALTERNATIVE ACCOUNTABILITY




       (Fiscal) Unattractiveness of tens of thousands of youth back on
      education rolls

      Lack of policy maker distinction between prevention and recovery

      Premium placed on high stakes testing over other ways of measuring
      progress

      One size fits all policy mentality, e.g., 90 percent graduation rate
      [without a distinction for recovery schools]

         - Dropout schools have 100 percent concentration of failure of
           traditional schools
         - Community college success of remedial students at community

  0   Non recognition of differences in alternative schools
         - Dedicated recovery school serving out-of-school youth, not
           same as alternative school for in-school youth
Preoccupation – understandably - with solving the in-school
  at risk student problem, i.e., prevention
      o   No excuse for uninformed or non attention to alternative
          accountability for reengaged youth serving schools
          [sympathetic advocacy groups as guilty as policy
          makers…some movement among stakeholder groups]
o Non organized status of dropout recovery stakeholders
   compared to other education stakeholder groups:
          Special ed
          English language learners
          Technology in schools advocates
          Stem education advocates
          School Funding advocates
o Mistaken assumption that reforms being put in place with
   respect to accountability, and dropout and graduation rates
   are pertinent to all schools serving at-risk students
WHAT POLICY MAKERS DON’T GET (OR IGNORE) :
SHORT SIGHTED VISION




   3.4 million dropouts, aged 16 -24; “Opportunity Youth” at 6.8
   million
   Can’t reach dropout crisis goals w/o focus on dropout
   prevention and recovery
   Policy arena fraught with disincentives to recovery
   Billions of dollars of lost revenue (and high social costs)

      o
          documented in several reports from the Alliance for
          Excellent Education, (Commissioned report) White
          House Council on Community Solutions – See
          ADDENDUM
OTHER POLICY ISSUES
/CHALLENGES/CONSIDERATIONS IN MAKING A
NUANCED CASE FOR RECOVERY AND ALTERNATIVE
ACCOUNTABILITY


  Ending seat time requirement – may be declining problem
     o   Open entry open exit hampered by traditional Carnegie units
     o   Modifications or waivers a priority condition
  Mainstreaming of competency based instruction
  Growth model considerations: individual student based, consider
  individual enrollment date [not just spring to spring]; also, length of
  stay
  A graduation rate of 40 percent can represent success for open entry,
  open exit school
     - National graduation rate for reengaged students averages half of
       the above figure (?) – 90 percent goal, even current 75 percent
       [fantasyland]

     -   Secretary Duncan makes no distinction in his 90 percent goal
            - work to be done on his blanket statements
Issues, Challenges, con’t
    Dropouts are a special population
         o   Profile of dropout is very different from in-school youth
         o   (Examples) Must work, have children, are self-sufficient, don’t
             live at home, have limited hours to devote to schooling, don’t
             have broadband access where they reside
    Dedicated dropout recovery schools [majority to 100 percent] are
    unique
    -    Unique among alternative schools
             - often lumped with alternative schools serving in-school
            youth
    -   Serve students already failed by traditional school
    -    are 100 percent encumbered by reasons for traditional school
        failure

O   Differentiated, individualized learning essential – not one size fits all
O   New graduation rate calculation [NGA, CCSSO] is either not relevant, or
    marginally relevant to certain recovery schools
O GED – don’t penalize recovery schools
ADDENDUM
ADVOCACY OPTIONS / OPPORTUNITIES:
DROPOUT RECOVERY AND ALTERNATIVE
ACCOUNTABILITY
 ACTION OPTIONS: DROPOUT RECOVERY AND ALTERNATIVE
 ACCOUNTABILITY

 Note: Most of the following suggestions for raising the profile of
   dropout recovery and alternative accountability are already in
   some greater or lesser degree of implementation. The
   objective is to sophisticate, expand, and intensify the
   continuation (and /or initiation) of advocacy activities.
 Discussion ideas for raising profile of alternative accountability.
 O Group Priorities: Follow up to this Policy Forum
   - Maintain communication lines among the willing through
   formal or informal coalition or           working group
   participation
   - Prepare and Circulate Forum Report
   - Crystallize messaging
   - Develop plan of action including strategic goals, e.g.,
   Congressional hearing on
     dropout recovery and/or alternative accountability, staff
   briefing, Congressional forum
   - Media plan development
- Create personal game plan for continued involvement and contribution

National Level Network Contacts, and Activities, and Messaging Targets

     o [Highest priority] Identification of inside supporters in Congress, state houses, education
agencies -- including staff

      o Alliance formation and agenda setting with:
             - Policy groups in Congress, e.g. Progressive Caucus, Black and Hispanic Caucuses,
               Friends of Job Corp

             - Executive Branch groups: National Office of Rural Affairs, White House Council on
               Community Solutions

             - Key, national advocacy groups: Alliance for Excellent Education, America’s Promise
               Alliance/Grad Nation, Opportunity Nation, National Youth Employment Coalition, Jobs
               for the Future, National Job Corps Association, YouthBuild, American Youth Policy
               Forum, Center for Law and Social Policy

             - National associations of government officials and policymakers, e.g., National
               Governors Association, National Conference of State Legislatures, Council of Chief
               State School Officers

     o Media Representative outreach: Editorial writers, education writers

     o Hearing promotion and participation

     o * Identification and liaison with prospective insider advocates [highest priority]
State Level Network Contacts, Activities, and Messaging
   Targets


* State Education Agencies

* Legislative Education Committees

* Waiver Implementation process involvement

* Policymaker association networking: National Governors
   Association, National Conference of State Legislatures

* State education advocacy groups and associations

* America’s Promise Alliance affiliates
DROPOUT PREVENTION AND RECOVERY
DOCUMENTS
National Governors Association: “Graduation for All – A Governors Guide to Dropout
Prevention and Recovery” (2009)

National Conference of State Legislators (NCSL) : “ A Path to Graduation for Every
Child: State Legislative Roles and Responsibilities” (2011)

NCSL: “Going to Scale: Working with State Legislators to Prevent and Reengage
Dropouts” (2010)

America’s Promise Alliance: “Building a GRAD Nation – Progress and Challenge in
Ending the High School Dropout Dilemma – 2012 Update”

White House Council on Community Solutions (and Civic Enterprises): “The
Economic Value of Opportunity Youth” (2012)

White House Council on Community Solutions: “Opportunity Road” (2012)

Alliance for Excellent Education: Education and the Economy: “Boosting State and
National Economies by Improving High School Graduation Rates” (2011)

Alliance for Excellent Education: “Boosting the Metro Area Economies by Improving
High School Graduation Rates – Metro Area Profiles” (2011)