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Foundations of Modern Trade Theory

The document outlines the foundations of modern trade theory, focusing on comparative advantage and its historical development. It discusses key concepts such as absolute and comparative advantages, production possibilities schedules, and the impact of trade on jobs and globalization. Additionally, it highlights the dynamics of trade under constant cost conditions and the importance of terms of trade.

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28 views62 pages

Foundations of Modern Trade Theory

The document outlines the foundations of modern trade theory, focusing on comparative advantage and its historical development. It discusses key concepts such as absolute and comparative advantages, production possibilities schedules, and the impact of trade on jobs and globalization. Additionally, it highlights the dynamics of trade under constant cost conditions and the importance of terms of trade.

Uploaded by

huxiaoyu030
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PPTX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

Copyright ©2017 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved.

May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible


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CHAPTER Foundations of Modern Trad

2 Theory:
Comparative Advantage

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Chapter Outline (1 of 2)

• Historical Development of Modern Trade


Theory
• Production Possibilities Schedules
• Trading Under Constant Cost Conditions
• Dynamic Gains from Trade
• Changing Comparative Advantage
• The Impact of Trade on Jobs
• Wooster, Ohio, Bears the Brunt of Globalization

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Chapter Outline (2 of 2)

● Comparative Advantage Extended to Many


Products & Countries
● Exit Barriers
● Empirical Evidence on Comparative Advantage
● Comparative Advantage & Global Supply Chains

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Historical Development of
Modern Trade Theory (1 of 7)

• The Mercantilists, 1500-1800


– Promoted a favorable trade balance by
encouraging exports and discouraging
imports
• Sought rise in domestic output and
employment
• Advocated government regulation of trade
(tariffs, quotas, other commercial policies)
– Held static view of world economy

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Historical Development of
Modern Trade Theory (2 of 7)
● Criticisms of Mercantilism
• David Hume’s price-specie-flow doctrine
• A favorable trade balance is possible only in short
run
• Adam Smith, The Wealth of Nations (1776)
• World’s wealth is not a fixed quantity
• International trade increases general level of
productivity within a country as well as increases
world output

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Historical Development of
Modern Trade Theory (3 of 7)
● Why Nations Trade? Absolute Advantage
• Assumption:
• Production costs differ among nations due to
different productivities of factor inputs
• Absolute Cost Advantage
• Countries that use less labor to produce one unit of
output
• Labor theory of value – assumes that within a
nation, labor is the only factor of production

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Historical Development of
Modern Trade Theory (4 of 7)
● Principle of Absolute Advantage
• Consider two-nation, two-product world
• Each nation produces a good absolutely more
efficiently than its trading partner
• With trade and specialization
– Countries export goods – if have absolute cost
advantage
– Countries import goods – if have absolute cost
disadvantage

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TABLE

2.1
A Case of
Absolute
Advantag
e…

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Historical Development of
Modern Trade Theory (5 of 7)
● Principle of Comparative Advantage
• Emphasizes relative cost differences based on
opportunity costs; the basis for trade
• Trade is possible even if a nation has an absolute cost
disadvantage in production of both goods
• The more efficient nation
• Specializes and exports goods in which it is
relatively more efficient or where its absolute
advantage is greatest
• The less efficient nation
• Specializes and exports the good in which it is
relatively less inefficient or where its absolute
disadvantage is least
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TABLE

2.2
Examples
of
Comparati
ve
Advantag
e…

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Historical Development of
Modern Trade Theory (6 of 7)
● Principle of Comparative Advantage Simplified
model; assumptions:
• 1. World consists of 2 nations and 2 goods.
• 2. Labor, fully employed & homogenous, is sole input.
• 3. Labor can move freely only within nation.
• 4. Technology fixed for both nations; all firms within
nation utilize common production methods.
• 5. Costs proportional to amount of labor used and do
not vary with level of production.
• 6. Perfect competition prevails in all markets; firms are
price takers; products are identical.

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Historical Development of
Modern Trade Theory (7 of 7)
● Principle of Comparative Advantage Simplified
model; assumptions:
• 7. Free trade occurs between nations; no barriers.
• 8. Transportation costs zero, so consumers don’t care
whether domestically produced or imported.
• 9. Firms make production decisions attempting to
maximize profits; consumers maximize satisfaction.
• 10. No money illusion; consumers and firms take
account of all prices in their decisions.
• 11. Trade is balanced (exports pay for imports),
implying no money flows between nations.

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TABLE

2.3
Compara
tive
Advantag
e when
U.S. has
Absolute
Advantag
e…
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Production Possibilities
Schedules (1 of 2)

• Production possibilities schedule


– Various alternative combinations of goods a
nation can produce when all factors of
production are employed to maximum
efficiency
– Maximum output possibilities of a nation, given
resource constraints, level of technology

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Production Possibilities Schedules (2 of 2)

● Marginal rate of transformation (MRT)


• The amount of a good a nation must sacrifice
to obtain an additional unit of another good
• Rate of sacrifice = opportunity cost of a product
• MRT equals the absolute value of slope of
production possibilities schedule

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Trading Under
Constant-Cost Conditions
(1 of 10)
• Constant opportunity costs
– Straight line production possibilities schedules
– Factors of production perfect substitutes, and
all units of a factor are of same quality
• Autarky
– Absence of trade
• Specialization and trade result in production
gains

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TABLE

2.4
Gains
from
Specializ
ation &
Trade…

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TABLE

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Trading Under
Constant-Cost Conditions (2 of 10)
● Consumption Gains from Trade
• Consumption gains for both countries
• Consumption points:
• Beyond domestic production possibilities schedules,
so countries consume more of both goods
● Terms of Trade
• Rate at which country’s export product is
traded for other country’s export product
• Defines relative prices of the two products

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Trading Under
Constant-Cost Conditions (3 of 10)
● Domestic rate of transformation
• Domestic terms of trade
• Slope of production possibilities schedule
• Relative prices at which the two commodities can be
exchanged at home
● Terms of Trade for exports
• For country to consume beyond production
possibilities schedule, international terms of
trade must be more favorable than domestic
terms of trade

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Trading Under
Constant-Cost Conditions (4 of 10)
● Trading possibilities line
• International terms of trade for both countries
● Trade triangle for a country
• Exports – along horizontal axis
• Imports – along vertical axis
• Terms of trade equal to slope
● Complete specialization
• Produces only one product

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Trading Under
Constant-Cost Conditions (5 of 10)
● Domestic cost ratio
• Negatively sloped production possibilities
schedule
• Transforms into a positively sloped cost-ratio line
• Sets outer limits for equilibrium terms of
trade
• Constitutes the no-trade boundary
● Region of mutually beneficial trade bounded by
cost ratios of the two countries

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FIGURE

2.2
Equilibri
um
Terms-of-
Trade
Limits

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Trading Under
Constant-Cost Conditions (6 of 10)
● Equilibrium Terms of Trade
● Theory of Reciprocal Demand
• Within outer limits of the terms of trade, actual
terms of trade determined by relative strength
of each country’s demand for other country’s
product
• Production costs determine outer limits of terms of
trade
• Reciprocal demand determines what actual terms of
trade will be within those limits

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Trading Under
Constant-Cost Conditions (7 of 10)
● Theory of Reciprocal Demand
• Best applies when both nations are of equal
economic size, so that their demand has
noticeable effect on market price
• If two nations are of unequal economic size
• Relative demand strength of smaller nation is
dwarfed by that of larger nation
– Domestic exchange ratio of larger nation will prevail
– Small nation can export as much of the commodity
as it desires

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Trading Under
Constant-Cost Conditions (8 of 10)
● Importance of Being Unimportant
• For two nations of approximately same size
engaged in international trade, gains from
trade will be shared equally between them
• If one nation is significantly larger
• Larger nation – fewer gains from trade
• Smaller nation – most of the gains from trade
• Larger nation may continue to produce comparative-
disadvantage good because smaller nation cannot
meet all demand

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Trading Under
Constant-Cost Conditions (9 of 10)
● Terms-of-Trade estimates
• Commodity terms of trade (a.k.a. barter
terms of trade)
• Measure of the international exchange ratio
• Measures the relation between the prices a nation
gets for its exports and the prices it pays for its
imports

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Trading Under
Constant-Cost Conditions (10 of 10)
● Improvement in a nation’s terms of trade
• Rise in export prices relative to import prices
• A smaller quantity of export goods sold abroad
to obtain a given quantity of imports
● Deterioration in a nation’s terms of trade
• Rise in import relative to export prices
• Given quantity of imports requires sacrifice of
greater quantity of exports

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TABLE

2.5
Commod
ity Terms
of Trade,
2013…

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Dynamic Gains from Trade
(1 of 2)

• Dynamic gains from international trade


– Effect of trade on country’s growth rate and volume
of additional resources made available to, or
utilized by, trading country
– Dwarf static gains from trade

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Dynamic Gains from Trade (2 of 2)

● Dynamic gains from international trade


include:
• More efficient use of an economy’s resources
• Higher output and income
• More saving, more investment
• Higher rate of economic growth
• Higher productivity
• Economies of large-scale production
• Increased competition

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Changing Comparative
Advantage

• Patterns of comparative advantage change over


time
– Productivity increases
• Production possibilities schedule changes
• More output can be produced with same amount of
resources
– Producers must hone skills to compete in more
profitable areas

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FIGURE

2.3
Changin
g
Compara
tive
Advantag
e

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Trading Under
Increasing-Cost Conditions
(1 of 5)
• Increasing opportunity costs
– Concave production possibilities schedule
• Bowed outward from the diagram’s origin
– Inputs are imperfect substitutes for one another
– MRT rises along slope of production
possibilities schedule

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FIGURE

2.4
Producti
on
Possibilit
ies
Schedule

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Trading Under
Increasing-Cost Conditions (2 of 5)
● Increasing-Cost Trading Case
• One country specializes, producing one good;
other country specializes in producing the other
good
• Process of specialization continues in both
nations until
• Relative cost of one good is identical in both nations
• One country’s exports of one good equal other
country’s imports of the good
• Domestic rates of transformation are same

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FIGURE

2.5

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Trading Under
Increasing-Cost Conditions (3 of 5)

● Production Gains
• More of each good is being produced
● Consumption gains
• Both countries consume more of at least
one good
● Trade Triangle
• Denotes country’s exports, imports, and
terms of trade
• Same for both countries
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TABLE

2.6
Increasin
g…

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Trading Under
Increasing-Cost Conditions (4 of 5)
● Partial Specialization
• Each country specializes only partially in
production of good in which it has comparative
advantage
• Arises from increasing costs: mechanism that
forces costs in two trading nations to converge,
at which point basis for further specialization
ceases to exist
• Counties then likely to produce some of each
good

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Trading Under
Increasing-Cost Conditions (5 of 5)
● Reasons for Partial Specialization
• Not all goods and services are traded
internationally
• Differing tastes for products
• Most products are differentiated

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The Impact of Trade on
Jobs

• The extent to which an economy is open


– Influences mix of jobs within an economy
– Can cause dislocation in certain areas or
industries
– Has little effect on the overall level of
employment

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FIGURE

2.6

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Wooster, Ohio Bears
the Brunt of Globalization

– Rubbermaid, based in Wooster, Ohio, was an


industry leader and solid corporate citizen.
– In 1995, resin prices skyrocketed; when the firm
tried to raise its prices to compensate, Walmart
ceased carrying its products, broke relations, &
turned to foreign producers with lower labor costs.
– Profits plunged 30%; closed 9 manufacturing
plants; laid off 10% of workforce.
– In 1999, firm purchased by Newell Corp, known for
cost-cutting; 1,000 jobs left Wooster.

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Comparative Advantage Extended
to Many Products & Countries
(1 of 2)

• More than two products


– Comparative advantage ranks goods by
degree of comparative cost
– Each country exports product(s) in which it has
greatest comparative advantage
– Each country imports product(s) in which it has
greatest comparative disadvantage
– Cutoff point between exports & imports
depends on relative strength of international
demand

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Comparative Advantage Extended
to Many Products & Countries (2 of 2)
● More than two countries
• Multilateral trading relations
• Bilateral balance should not pertain to any two
trading partners
• Trade surplus with trading partners that buy
many products it supplies at low cost
• Trade deficit with trading partners that are low-
cost suppliers of goods it imports intensively

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FIGURE

2.8

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Exit Barriers (1 of 2)

• In an open trading system


– Resources channeled from low productivity to high
productivity uses
– Competition forces high cost plants to exit, leaving
low cost plants to operate in long run
• Exit barriers hinder market adjustments that
would occur through comparative advantage

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Exit Barriers (2 of 2)

● Exit barriers in U.S. steel industry caused by:


• Relatively fixed cost of union-negotiated wages
& benefits
• Antiquated plants with no other use; contract
termination fines; environmental problems
● Exit barriers associated with:
• Overcapacity (caused by imports, reduced
demand, productivity-improving technology)

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Empirical Evidence on
Comparative Advantage
(1 of 2)
• Ricardian model
– Implies nations export goods in which their
labor productivity is relatively high
• Testing Ricardian model
– MacDougall, 1951
• Export patterns of 25 industries in the United States
and United Kingdom (1937) examined
• 20 industries fit predicted pattern
– Balassa and Stern
• Also supports Ricardo’s conclusions

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Empirical Evidence on Comparative
Advantage (2 of 2)
● Testing Ricardian model (cont.)
• Stephen Golub
• Found that relative unit labor costs help explain
trade patterns of U.S. vis-à-vis United Kingdom,
Japan, Germany, Canada, and Australia
● Limits of Ricardian model
• Labor not the only factor input; production and
distribution costs also impact trade
• Differences in product quality impact trade as
well

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FIGURE

2.9

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The Case for Free
Trade (1 of 2)
• Main arguments
– For world as whole, free trade results in higher
level of output and income than would occur in
absence of free trade
– Allows each individual nation to achieve higher
level of production and consumption than
would be achieved in isolation

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The Case for Free Trade (2 of 2)

● Additional benefits of free trade:


• Deters monopoly
• Fosters innovation
• Yields wider range of product choice
• Reduces international political animosities
● However, trade sometimes harms particular
domestic industries and workers, prompting calls
for protections from imports

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Comparative Advantage
& Global Supply Chains
(1 of 7)
• Ricardian theory assumes production cannot
move to other nations
• Today, labor, technology, capital, ideas all shift
around globe
• Today, many goods supplied by global supply
chains, international production networks that
allow firms to move goods and services efficiently
across national borders

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Comparative Advantage &
Global Supply Chains (2 of 7)
● Global supply chains use outsourcing
• Subcontracting work to another firm, or
• Purchasing components rather than
manufacturing them
● Advantages of outsourcing
• Reduced costs & increased competitiveness
• New exports, repatriated earnings
• Creation of new industries and products

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Comparative Advantage &
Global Supply Chains (3 of 7)
● Outsourcing & U.S. Auto Industry
• Early 1900s, Ford Motor Model T: utilized just
700 parts
• Achieved gains of large-scale mass production
• Achieved gains of a high degree of specialization
within plant
• More sophisticated cars and competition
compelled Ford to outsource production
– Strategically important tasks & production kept
in-house; noncore tasks purchased from external
suppliers

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Comparative Advantage &
Global Supply Chains (4 of 7)
● Outsourcing & U.S. Auto Industry
• Increasing numbers of parts and services now
considered noncore
• Today, about 70% of typical Ford vehicle comes
from parts, components, and services purchased
from external suppliers

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Comparative Advantage &
Global Supply Chains (5 of 7)
● iPhone Economy & Global Supply Chain
• In early years, Apple outsourced little of its
production to foreign manufacturers
• Around 2000, Apple switched to foreign
manufacturing
• Drawn by Asia’s less expensive, semiskilled workers
and ease of maintaining supply chains for parts and
components
• Software & marketing remain in U.S.

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Comparative Advantage &
Global Supply Chains (6 of 7)
● Outsourcing Backfires for Boeing 787 Dreamliner
• Japan, Italy, China & Australia all supplied sections
of Boeing 787, assembled in U.S.
• Boeing required foreign suppliers to share in cost
of developing plane; foreign suppliers invested
billions
• Strategy backfired when suppliers fell behind;
production delayed four+ years
• By giving up control of supply chain, Boeing lost
ability to oversee production

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Comparative Advantage &
Global Supply Chains (7 of 7)
● Reshoring Production to U.S.
• Emphasis had been on cheaper labor cost but
wage gap narrowing
• Cost of shipping goods by ocean freight
increasing sharply; goods in transit for weeks
• Distance made it difficult to customize goods to
local markets; natural disasters, geopolitical
shocks disrupt supply chains
• Many firms now returning some production to
U.S.

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