GIS Reliability, Failure Probability and Life
Characteristic
ln(ln(1/(1-f(t)))) Intercept -21.86887869
Years Days
-3.577483693
(t/η)^ϐ R(t) F(t) Failure Rate (lambda(t)) PDF
Slope 2.418957097
ln(ln(1/(1-f(t)))) Intercept -21.86887869
0 0 1 0 0 0
1 365 -0.000501814 0.99950 0.00050 3.32566E-06 3.324E-06
2 730 -0.002683625 0.99732 0.00268 8.89257E-06 8.86873E-06
-2.669683806 Beta 2.418957097
3 1095 -0.007156143 0.99287 0.007131 1.58086E-05 1.56959E-05
4 1460 -0.014351604 0.98575 0.014249 2.3778E-05 2.34392E-05
5
6
7
-3.577483693
1825
2190
2555
-0.024621903
-0.038269929
-0.055564712
0.97568
0.96245
0.94595
0.024321
0.037547
0.054049
3.26352E-05
4.22709E-05
5.26061E-05
3.18415E-05
4.06838E-05
4.97628E-05
Slope 2.418957097
8
9
10
11
-2.18583148
2920
3650
4015
-0.076750127
-2.669683806
3285 -0.102050435
-0.131674072
-0.165816367
0.92612
0.90298
0.87663
0.84720
0.073879
0.097016
0.123373
0.152798
6.35806E-05
7.51463E-05
8.72641E-05
9.9901E-05
5.88833E-05
6.78559E-05
7.6498E-05
8.46363E-05
Eta
Beta 8439.031276
2.418957097
-1.84873045
12 4380 -0.20466157 0.81492 0.185077 0.000113029 9.211E-05
13 4745 -0.248384417 0.78006 0.21994 0.000126624 9.87744E-05
14
15
-2.18583148
5110
5475
-0.297151354
-0.351121534
0.74293
0.70390
0.257068
0.296102
0.000140665
0.000155132
0.000104504
0.000109197
Eta 8439.031276
-1.586622799
16 5840 -0.410447624 0.66335 0.336647 0.000170009 0.000112776
17 6205 -0.475276476 0.62171 0.378287 0.000185282 0.000115192
-1.84873045
18 6570 -0.545749697 0.57941 0.420593 0.000200935 0.000116423
19 6935 -0.622004127 0.53687 0.463133 0.000216958 0.000116477
20 7300 -0.704172255 0.49452 0.505482 0.000233337 0.000115389
21
-1.369907214
7665 -0.792382572 0.45276 0.547235 0.000250064 0.00011322
Life Characteristic
-1.586622799
22 8030 -0.886759886 0.41199 0.588012 0.000267128 0.000110053
23 8395 -0.987425597 0.37253 0.627465 0.000284519 0.000105993
24 8760 -1.094497935 0.33471 0.665292 0.000302231 0.000101159
-1.18343303 Years 23.12063363
25 9125 -1.20809218 0.29877 0.701233 0.000320255 9.56814E-05
26 9490 -1.328320852 0.26492 0.735078 0.000338583 8.9698E-05
27
28
-1.369907214
9855
10220
-1.455293882
-1.589118774
0.23333
0.20411
0.766668
0.795895
0.000357209
0.000376126
8.33482E-05
7.67694E-05
Life Characteristic
-1.018366276
29 10585 -1.729900737 0.17730 0.822698 0.000395329 7.00926E-05
30 10950 -1.877742821 0.15293 0.847065 0.000414811 6.34391E-05
-1.18343303 Years 23.12063363
31 11315 -2.03274603 0.13098 0.869025 0.000434567 5.69176E-05
32 11680 -2.195009429 0.11136 0.888642 0.000454592 5.06222E-05
33 12045 -2.364630243 0.09398 0.906016 0.000474881 4.46312E-05
34
35
36 -0.869072148
12410
13140
-2.541703947
-1.018366276
12775 -2.726324348
-2.918583664
0.07873
0.06546
0.05401
0.921268
0.934541
0.94599
0.000495429
0.000516232
0.000537285
3.90062E-05
3.37923E-05
2.90188E-05
-0.731704114
-0.869072148 The GIS has been in operation for over 25 years
(since 1998). Based on maintenance history and plot
-0.603486236
-0.731704114 on the Weibull analysis, its life characteristic is 23.1
-0.482313743
-0.603486236
years. The current reliability of the GIS is
29.87%, with a failure probability of 70.13%.
-0.366512921
-0.482313743
-0.254685391
-0.366512921
-0.14559769
-0.254685391
-0.038093129
-0.14559769 failure mode : GIS Corrosion, Leak
0.06899061
-0.038093129