Inference on Two Population Means
Inference on Two Population Means
Statistics for
Business and Economics (14e)
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Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
10.2 – Inferences about the Difference Between Two Population Means and unknown.
10.3 – Inference about the Difference Between Two Population Means: Matched Samples.
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2
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
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3
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
Sampling Distribution of
• Mean/Expected value:
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4
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
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Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
Par, Inc. is a manufacturer of golf equipment and has developed a new golf ball that has
been designed to provide “extra distance.”
In a test of driving distance using a mechanical driving device, a sample of Par golf balls was
compared with a sample of golf balls made by Rap, Ltd., a competitor. The sample statistics
appear on the next slide.
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Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
Based on data from previous driving distance tests, the two population
standard deviations are known with σ1 = 15 yards and σ2 = 20 yards.
Let us develop a 95% confidence interval estimate of the difference
between the mean driving distances of the two brands of golf ball.
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7
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
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Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
We are 95% confident that the difference between the mean driving distances of
Par, Inc. balls and Rap, Ltd. balls is 11.86 to 22.14 yards.
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9
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
Class Exercise
• The following results come from two independent random samples taken of two
populations.
a. What is the point estimate of the difference between the two population means?
b. Provide a 90% confidence interval for the difference between the two population
means.
c. Provide a 95% confidence interval for the difference between the two population
means.
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10
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
Class Exercise
• The following results come from two independent random samples taken of two
populations.
a. What is the point estimate of the difference between the two population means?
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with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website or school-approved learning management system for classroom use.
11
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
Class Exercise
• The following results come from two independent random samples taken of two
populations.
b. Provide a 90% confidence interval for the difference between the two population
means.
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12
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
Class Exercise
• The following results come from two independent random samples taken of two
populations.
c. Provide a 95% confidence interval for the difference between the two population
means.
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13
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
A hypothesis test about the value of the difference in two population means must take
one of the following three forms (where D0 is the hypothesized difference in the
population means).
Test Statistic:
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14
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
Can we conclude, using α = 0.05, that the mean driving distance of Par, Inc.
golf balls is greater than the mean driving distance of Rap, Ltd. golf balls?
Sample # 1 Sample # 2
Par, Inc. Rap, Ltd.
Empty cell
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15
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
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Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
At the 0.05 level of significance, the sample evidence indicates the mean driving
distance of Par, Inc. golf balls is greater than the mean driving distance of Rap, Ltd.
golf balls.
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with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website or school-approved learning management system for classroom use.
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Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
The sample evidence indicates the mean driving distance of Par, Inc. golf balls is greater
than the mean driving distance of Rap, Ltd. golf balls.
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18
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
Class Exercise
• Suppose that you are responsible for making arrangements for a business convention.
Because of budget cuts due to the recent recession, you have been charged with
choosing a city for the convention that has the least expensive hotel rooms. You have
narrowed your choices to Atlanta and Houston.
• The file named Hotel contains samples of prices for rooms in Atlanta and Houston that
are consistent with the results reported by Smith Travel Research (SmartMoney,
March 2009).
• Because considerable historical data on the prices of rooms in both cities are available,
the population standard deviations for the prices can be assumed to be $20 in Atlanta
and $25 in Houston while their sample means are 91.71 for Atlanta and 101.3 for
Houstan. The sample size for Atlanta and Houstan are 35 and 40, respectively.
• Based on the sample data, can you conclude that the mean price of a hotel room in
Atlanta is lower than one in Houston? α = 0.10 (90% confidence)
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Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
Class Exercise
μ1 = mean hotel price in Atlanta
H0: 1 2 0
Ha: 1 2 0
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Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
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21
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
TWO CASES
• Independent Population
• Population variance is assumed to be EQUAL
• Population variance is assumed to be UNEQUAL
• Dependent Population, Use Paired Samples
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22
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
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with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website or school-approved learning management system for classroom use.
23
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
Specific Motors of Detroit has developed a new Automobile known as the M car.
24 M cars and 28 J cars (from Japan) were road tested to compare miles-per-gallon
(mpg) performance.
Sample #1 Sample #2
M Cars J Cars
Empty cell
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24
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
Let
the mean miles per gallon for the population of M cars.
the mean miles per gallon for the population of J cars.
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25
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
(2.56) (1.81) 2 2
24 28
df 2 2
40.59 40
1 (2.56) 1 (1.81)
2 2
24 1 24 28 1 28
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26
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
Class Exercise
• The following results are for independent random samples taken from two populations.
a. What is the point estimate of the difference between the two population means?
b. What is the degrees of freedom for the t distribution?
c. At 95% confidence, what is the margin of error?
d. What is the 95% confidence interval for the difference between the two population
means?
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28
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
Class Exercise
• The following results are for independent random samples taken from two populations.
a. What is the point estimate of the difference between the two population means?
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with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website or school-approved learning management system for classroom use.
29
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
Class Exercise
• The following results are for independent random samples taken from two populations.
Use df 48
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30
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
Class Exercise
• The following results are for independent random samples taken from two populations.
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with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website or school-approved learning management system for classroom use.
31
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
Class Exercise
• The following results are for independent random samples taken from two populations.
d. What is the 95% confidence interval for the difference between the two population
means?
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32
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
Test Statistic:
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33
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
Can we conclude, using a .05 level of significance, that the miles-per-gallon (mpg)
performance of M cars is greater than the miles-per-gallon performance of J cars?
Sample #1 Sample #2
M Cars J Cars
Empty cell
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34
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
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35
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
Df= 50
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Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
At the 0.05 level of significance, the sample evidence indicates that the miles-per-
gallon (mpg) performance of M cars is greater than the miles-per-gallon
performance of J cars. That is, M cars have a worse mpg rating than J cars.
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Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
We are at least 95% confident that the miles-per-gallon (mpg) performance of M cars
is greater than the miles-per-gallon performance of J cars.
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with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website or school-approved learning management system for classroom use.
38
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
Class Exercise
• Salaries of Recent College Graduates. The Tippie College of Business obtained the
following results on the salaries of a recent graduating class:
a. Formulate hypothesis so that, if the null hypothesis is rejected, we can conclude that
salaries for Finance majors are significantly lower than the salaries of Business Analytics
majors. Use a = .05.
b. What is the value of the test statistic?
c. What is the p-value?
d. What is your conclusion?
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39
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
Class Exercise
• Salaries of Recent College Graduates. The Tippie College of Business obtained the
following results on the salaries of a recent graduating class:
Finance Majors Business Analytics Majors
n1 = 70 n2= 30
x̄ 1= $48,573 x̄ 2= $55,317
s1= $18,000 S2= $10,000
a. Formulate hypothesis so that, if the null hypothesis is rejected, we can conclude that
salaries for Finance majors are significantly lower than the salaries of Business Analytics
majors. Use a = .05.
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40
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
Class Exercise
• Salaries of Recent College Graduates. The Tippie College of Business obtained the
following results on the salaries of a recent graduating class:
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with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website or school-approved learning management system for classroom use.
41
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
Class Exercise
• Salaries of Recent College Graduates. The Tippie College of Business obtained the
following results on the salaries of a recent graduating class:
Finance Majors Business Analytics Majors
n1 = 70 n2= 30
x̄ 1= $48,573 x̄ 2= $55,317
s1= $18,000 S2= $10,000
c. What is the p-value?
df=98
From the t table we see that t = –2.39 with df=100 correspond to a p-value between p≈0.01 to 0.005
And Critical value for one tailed test at df 98 and significance 0.05 is -1.661
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42
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
Class Exercise
• Salaries of Recent College Graduates. The Tippie College of Business obtained the
following results on the salaries of a recent graduating class:
Finance Majors Business Analytics Majors
n1 = 70 n2= 30
x̄ 1= $48,573 x̄ 2= $55,317
s1= $18,000 S2= $10,000
d. What is your conclusion?
0.05, reject H0. We conclude that the salaries of finance majors are lower than
p-value
the salaries of business analytics majors.
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43
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
Inferences About the Difference Between Two Population Means: Matched Samples
(1 of 6)
• With a matched-sample design each sampled item provides a pair of data values.
• This design often leads to a smaller sampling error than the independent-sample design
because variation between sampled items is eliminated as a source of sampling error.
• Examples:
• In a clinical trial for a new drug.
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44
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
Inferences About the Difference Between Two Population Means: Matched Samples
(2 of 6)
In testing the delivery times of the two services, the firm sent two reports to a random
sample of its district offices with one report carried by UPX and the other report carried
by INTEX. Do the data on the next slide indicate a no difference in mean delivery times
for the two services? Use a 0.05 level of significance.
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45
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
Inferences About the Difference Between Two Population Means: Matched Samples
(3 of 6)
differences is
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product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website or school-approved learning management system for classroom use.
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
Inferences About the Difference Between Two Population Means: Matched Samples
(4 of 6)
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with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website or school-approved learning management system for classroom use.
47
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
Inferences About the Difference Between Two Population Means: Matched Samples
(5 of 6)
p –Value Approach
4. Compute the p-value.
At the 0.05 level of significance, the sample evidence indicates that there is a
difference in mean delivery times for the two services.
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48
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
Inferences About the Difference Between Two Population Means: Matched Samples
(6 of 6)
Critical Value Approach
4. Determine the critical value and the rejection rule.
We are at least 95% confident that there is a difference in mean delivery times for
the two services.
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49
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
Class Exercise
• Consider the following hypothesis test.
• The following data are from matched samples taken from two populations.
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50
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
Class Exercise
• Consider the following hypothesis test.
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51
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
Class Exercise
• Consider the following hypothesis test.
b. Compute d.
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52
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
Class Exercise
• Consider the following hypothesis test.
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with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website or school-approved learning management system for classroom use.
53
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
Class Exercise
• Consider the following hypothesis test.
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Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
Sampling Distribution of (1 of 3)
• Mean/Expected value:
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55
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
Sampling Distribution of (2 of 3)
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56
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
Sampling Distribution of (3 of 3)
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Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
Interval Estimation of p1 – p2 (1 of 3)
Interval Estimate
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58
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
Interval Estimation of p1 – p2 (2 of 3)
Example: Market Research Associates
The new campaign has been initiated with TV and newspaper advertisements running for
three weeks.
A survey conducted immediately after the new campaign showed 120 of 250 households
“aware” of the client’s product. Does the data support the position that the advertising
campaign has provided an increased awareness of the client’s product?
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59
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
Interval Estimation of p1 – p2 (3 of 3)
Hence, the 95% confidence interval for the difference in before and after
awareness of the product is –0.02 to 0.18.
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Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
3. Two-tailed:
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61
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
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Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
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63
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
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64
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
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Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
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Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
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67
Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
© 2020 Cengage. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed
with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website or school-approved learning management system for classroom use.
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Statistics for Business and Economics (14e)
End of Chapter 10
© 2020 Cengage. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed
with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website or school-approved learning management system for classroom use.
69