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Bond Prices, Yields, and Risks Explained

The document discusses the changes in the bond market, including the evolution of bond characteristics, pricing, yields, and associated risks. It outlines various bond types, pricing formulas, and yield calculations, emphasizing the complexities of modern debt instruments. Additionally, it highlights the importance of credit ratings and factors influencing interest rates in the bond market.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
7 views21 pages

Bond Prices, Yields, and Risks Explained

The document discusses the changes in the bond market, including the evolution of bond characteristics, pricing, yields, and associated risks. It outlines various bond types, pricing formulas, and yield calculations, emphasizing the complexities of modern debt instruments. Additionally, it highlights the importance of credit ratings and factors influencing interest rates in the bond market.

Uploaded by

simar nayyar
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PPT, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

Module 5

BOND PRICES AND YIELDS

 2017 by Prasanna Chandra


Outline
• Changes in Bond Market
• Bond Characteristics
• Bond Prices
• Bond Yields
• Risks in Bonds
• Rating of Bonds
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et

 2017 by Prasanna Chandra


Changes In Debt Market
Then Now
• Plain vanilla bonds • Bonds with complex
features
• Stable & administered • Volatile & market- determined
interest rates interest rates
• Simplistic measures of • Precise measures of return & life
return & life
• Rules of thumb • Analytical methods
• Few players • More players
• Passive approach • Relatively more active approach
• Illiquid market • Liquid market ?
• Absence of a reference • Emergence of a reference rate
rate

 2017 by Prasanna Chandra


Bond Characteristics
• A bond is an debt instrument (IOU). It is described in terms
of:
• Par value
• Coupon rate
• Maturity date

• Government bonds are also called government securities (G-


secs) or gilt-edged securities. These are generally medium to
long-term bonds issued by RBI on behalf of the government of
India and state governments.

• Corporate bonds or corporate debentures are debt


instruments issued by companies
 2017 by Prasanna Chandra
Types Of Bonds
• Straight bonds or plain vanilla bond

• Zero coupon bonds.

• Floating rate bonds

• Bonds with embedded options (Callable, Puttable, convertible)

• Commodity-linked bonds (Oil bond, Sovereign Gold

Bond)
 2017 by Prasanna Chandra
Bond Pricing (Valuation)

n C M
P =  +
t=1 (1+r)t (1+r)n

2n C/2 M
P =  +
t=1 (1+r/2)t (1+r/2)2n

 2017 by Prasanna Chandra


Bond Pricing
Q1. A Rs.1000 face value bond carries a coupon rate of 12 percent
p.a. The bond is redeemable at par after 7 years. If the discount
rate is (a) 14% and (b) 12% p.a, what will be the price of the bond.

 2017 by Prasanna Chandra


Bond Pricing
Q1. A Rs.1000 face value bond carries a coupon rate of 12 percent
p.a. The bond is redeemable at par after 7 years. If the discount
rate is (a) 14% and (b) 12% p.a, what will be the price of the bond.

(a)P0=514.56+400=914.56

(b)P0=547.68+452=999.68

 2017 by Prasanna Chandra


Bond Pricing
Q2. Anand owns Rs1000 face vale bond with 5 years to maturity.
The bond has an annual coupoun of Rs75. The bond is currently
priced at Rs970. Given an appropriate discount rate of 10%, should
anand hold or sell the bond?

 2017 by Prasanna Chandra


Bond Pricing
Q2. Anand owns Rs1000 face vale bond with 5 years to maturity.
The bond has an annual coupon of Rs75. The bond is currently
priced at Rs970. Given an appropriate discount rate of 10%, should
anand hold or sell the bond?

(a)P0=284.31+620.9=905.21, Market price 970>estimated price 905,


Anand can sell and book profit.

 2017 by Prasanna Chandra


YTM
• YTM of a bond is the discount rate that makes the
present value of the cash flows receivable from
owning the bond equal to the price of the bond.
Someone who invests in a coupon - paying bond will earn
the YTM promised on the purchase date if and only if all
of the following three conditions are fulfilled.
• The bond is held until it matures rather than being sold at
a price which differs from its face value before its maturity
• The bond does not default
• All cash flows are re-invested at an interest rate equal to
the promised YTM

 2017 by Prasanna Chandra


YTC
Yield to call is the yield up to the date of call

 2017 by Prasanna Chandra


Bond Yields
• Current Yield
Annual interest
Price
• Yield To Maturity
C C C M
P = + + …. +
(1+r) (1+r) 2
(1+r) n
(1+r)n
8 90 1,000
800 =  +
t=1 (1+r)t (1+r)8
AT r = 13% … RHS = 808
AT r = 14% … RHS = 768.1
808 - 800
YTM = 13% + (14% - 13%) = 13.2%
808 - 768.1
C + (M - P) / n
YTM ≃
0.4M + 0.6 P
• Yield to Call
n* C M*
P =  +
t=1 (1+r)t
(1+r)n
 2017 by Prasanna Chandra
Bond Pricing
Q3. Prem is considering the purchase of a bond currently selling at
Rs850. The bond has 4 years to maturity, with a face value of Rs1000
and 8 per cent coupon rate. The next annual interest payment is due
after 1 year. The required rate of return is 10%.
(a)Calculate
the intrinsic value of the bond and suggest whether
prem should buy the bond or should not buy?
(b)Calculate the yield to maturity of the bond.

 2017 by Prasanna Chandra


Bond Pricing
Q3. Prem is considering the purchase of a bond currently selling at
Rs900. The bond has 4 years to maturity, with a face value of Rs1000
and 8 per cent coupon rate. The next annual interest payment is due
after 1 year. The required rate of return is 10%.
(a)Calculate
the intrinsic value of the bond and suggest whether
prem should buy the bond or should not buy?
(a) P0=80*3.1699 + 1000*0.6830=936.59,
Intrinsic value< Market value. Prem should buy
(b)Calculate the yield to maturity of the bond.
(a) P0 at 12%= 242.98+ 635.50=878.48
(b) By Interpolation, P0=10%+(2/58.11)*36.59=11.26%

 2017 by Prasanna Chandra


Bond Pricing (Valuation)

n C M
P =  +
t=1 (1+r)t (1+r)n

2n C/2 M
P =  +
t=1 (1+r/2)t (1+r/2)2n

 2017 by Prasanna Chandra


Bond Pricing
Q4. A Rs.600 face value bond carries a coupon rate of 12 percent
p.a. payable semi-annually. The bond is redeemable at par after 5
years. If investors require a return of 9% per half-year period, what
will be the price of the bond.
10 36 600
P0 =  +
t=1 (1.09)t (1.09)10
= 36 x 6.418 + 600 x 0.422 = Rs. 484.25

 2017 by Prasanna Chandra


Price-Yield Relationship
Price

Yield

Price changes with time


Value of
Bond Premium Bond: rd = 11%

A
PAR VALUE BOND: rd = 13%

B
Discount Bond: rd = 15%

8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0
 2017 by Prasanna Chandra YEARS TO MATURITY
Summing Up

• The debt market in India has registered an impressive growth


particularly since mid-1990s and has been accompanied
by increasing complexity in instruments, interest rates,
methods of analysis, and so on .
• The value of a non callable, nonconvertible bond is:
n C M
P=  +
t =1 (1+ r)t (1 + r)n

 2017 by Prasanna Chandra


• The commonly employed yield measures are : current yield,
yield to maturity (YTM), yield to call, and realised yield
to maturity.

• The YTM of a bond is the discount rate that makes the


present value of the cash flows receivable from owning the
bond equal to the price of the bond.

• Bonds are subject to diverse risks, such as interest rate risk,


inflation risk, real interest rate risk, default risk, call risk,
and liquidity risk.

• Default risk or credit risk is reflected in credit rating of debt


instruments.  2017 by Prasanna Chandra
• The interest rate is determined by four factors : short-
term risk-free interest rate, maturity premium, default
premium, and special features.

• Convertible bonds may be viewed as a debenture –


warrant package.

 2017 by Prasanna Chandra

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