Chapter 2: Literature Review
(Existing System)
Weather Forecasting Using RNN in
Oromia
Final Year Project
Introduction
• - Weather forecasting is crucial for agriculture,
disaster management, and planning.
• - Traditional forecasting relies on historical
data but lacks real-time adaptability.
• - The study evaluates existing methods and
their limitations.
Existing Weather Forecasting
Methods
• 1. **Surface Weather Observations** –
Collects temperature, humidity, wind speed,
precipitation.
• 2. **Satellite Imagery** – Provides cloud
patterns and atmospheric data.
• 3. **Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)
Models** – Uses algorithms (GFS, ECMWF) for
forecasts.
Challenges in the Existing System
• - **Low Spatial & Temporal Resolution** –
Weather stations are far apart, affecting
accuracy.
• - **Data Quality Issues** – Limited historical
data, distorted satellite imagery.
• - **Computational Costs** – NWP models
require high processing power and expertise.
Users & Functions of the Existing
System
• 1. **Farmers** – Plan farming activities based
on forecasts.
• 2. **Transportation Companies** – Adjust
routes and schedules for safety.
• 3. **Disaster Management Teams** – Prepare
for extreme weather events.
• 4. **Government & Researchers** – Use data
for planning and policy-making.
Bottlenecks in the Existing System
• - **Limited Real-time Processing** –
Forecasts rely heavily on historical trends.
• - **Inconsistent Weather Patterns** – Hard to
predict extreme climate changes.
• - **High Cost & Complexity** – Requires
significant computational resources.
Performance Metrics for
Improvement
• - **Mean Absolute Error (MAE)** – Measures
average error between predicted & actual
values.
• - **Mean Squared Error (MSE) & Root Mean
Squared Error (RMSE)** – Evaluate accuracy.
• - **R-Squared Value** – Determines how well
the model explains variations.
Proposed Solution: RNN Model
• - **Automates Weather Forecasting** –
Reduces manual intervention.
• - **Real-time Data Updates** – Improves
accuracy & reliability.
• - **Captures Seasonal & Extreme Weather
Patterns** – Better than traditional methods.
• - **Scalable & Cost-Effective** – Handles large
datasets efficiently.
Conclusion
• - Traditional forecasting methods have
limitations in accuracy and real-time
processing.
• - The proposed **RNN-based model
significantly improves prediction accuracy.**
• - RNN enhances **efficiency, scalability, and
reliability** for weather forecasting in
Oromia.