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Return on Margin in Trading

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
20 views28 pages

Return on Margin in Trading

Uploaded by

austynwijaya1
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PPTX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

MAJOR FINANCIAL ASSETS &

TRADING

Major Financial Assets


Trading Mechanism
 Fixed Income Analyst = evaluate issuer credit
worthiness & macroeconomic prospects to
determine which bonds to buy or sell
 Stock Analyst = to determine which stock to
buy or sell
 Corporate Treasurer = analyze exchange
rates, interest rates, & credit conditions to
determine which currencies to trade
 Risk Managers = to calculate how many
commodity futures contracts to buy or sell to
manage inventory risks.
1. Major Financial Securities
 Debt
 Money market instruments
 Bonds
 Common stock
 Preferred stock
 Derivative securities
Markets and Instruments
 Money Market
 Debt Instruments : CP (commercial paper), CD
(certificate of deposit), RP(repurchase
agreements)
 Derivatives
 Capital Market
 Bonds
 Equity
 Derivatives
Corporate Bond
 Coupon?
 Coupon bond
 Zero-coupon bond
 Permanent bond
 Callable ?
 Callable bond vs. non-callable bond
 Secure ?
 Secure vs. unsecure bond (debenture)
Stocks
 Common stocks, also known as Equities,
represent ownership shares of a corporation.
 Minority shareholders participation in
management?
 Two important characteristics:
 residual claim and
 limited liability;
 Sources of returns: dividends and capital
gains;
Stocks
 Some determinants of stock returns:
 Firm-specific condition: management, productivity,
earnings, growth-potential, market-liquidity,
 Market condition: market indices (volatility, volume etc.),
e.g. Nasdaq, SP500, IHSG, FTSE etc.
 Economic condition: macro-economic variables, e.g.
GDP-growth, inflation, employment rate, business cycles,
liquidity, interest rates etc.
 Some important empirical evidence:
 Patterns in the cross-section of stock return: value (value
vs. growth), size (small vs. large), momentum (low vs.
high);
 Time-series behavior of stock returns: time-varying
expected returns, predictability, stochastic volatility etc.
Structure of Security Markets
 Primary Market
 Issuing new securities to financing companies
financial needs
 Private placement vs. public placement
 Investment Bank
 Underwriter
 Firm commitments vs. best efforts
 IPO (Initial Public Opening), Seasoned equity
offering, unseasoned equity offering, stock split,
reverse stock split
 How to determine the IPO price?
 One of the most important and difficult problem
 Conflicts of interest of many different related parties
Secondary Market
 Trading market for already issued securities at
the primary market
 Function
 Increase liquidity, function of collateral
 Estimate fair price
 Benchmark for new issuing
Examples of Indexes
 Dow Jones Industrial Average (30 Stocks)
 Standard & Poor’s 500 Composite
 NASDAQ Composite
 Jakarta Composite Index
 LQ 45
III. Securities Trading Mechanism
Price Determination Mechanism
 Trading Priority
1. Price priority
Higher bids have more priority than lower bids. On the
contrary, lower asks have more priority than higher
asks.
2. Time Priority
If the bids and asks are on the same price, JATS will
give priority to the first submitted bids and asks.
 How markets work to determine price?
Key Features of a Double Auction
 Both sellers and buyers call out prices
 Buyers “bid” and sellers “ask”
 Trading takes place during a trading period
 A trade take place when
 a buyer accepts a sellers ask
 a seller accepts a buyers bid
Buyers
 Each buyer has a “marginal benefit” table for
the good
 Gain or reward is the difference between
marginal benefit and the price
 try to get a low price, but compete with other
buyers
 Any new bid must be higher than outstanding
bid
Sellers
 Each seller has a “marginal cost” schedule for
the good
 Seller’s gain or reward is the difference
between the price and the marginal cost
 try to get a high price, but must compete with
other sellers
 Any new ask must be lower than outstanding
ask
Bid and Asked Prices, Spread

Bid Price Ask Price


 Bids are offers to buy.  Asked prices represent
 In dealer markets, the offers to sell.
bid price is the price at  In dealer markets, the
which the dealer is asked price is the price
at which the dealer is
willing to buy.
willing to sell.
 Investors “sell to the
 Investors must pay the
bid”. asked price to buy the
security.
 Bid-Asked spread is the profit for making a market in a security.
Order types
 Price-contingent
 Market Order: Order:
Executed  Traders specify
immediately buying or selling
 Trader receives price
current market
price
Trading Costs
1. Brokerage Commission: fee paid to broker
for making the transaction
 Explicit cost of trading
 Full Service vs. Discount brokerage
2. Spread: Difference between the bid and
asked prices
 Implicit cost of trading
IV. Margin Trading
 Trading in margin
 Borrowing part of the total purchase price of a position using
a loan from a broker.
 Borrowed money is called margin loan
 Margin
 refers to the percentage or amount contributed by the
investor.
 Initial margin is set by the Fed
 Currently 40%,
 meaning at least 40% of the purchase price must be paid for in cash,
with the rest borrowed
 Maintenance margin
 Minimum equity that must be kept in the margin account
 Margin call if value of securities falls too much
Margin Trading- Leverage Positions
 Many markets allow brokers to lend as long as the
brokers use risk models to measure they use risk
models to measure & control the overall risk of the
client’s portfolio (Portfolio Margining).
 Leverage Ratio => indicate how much risky a
leveraged position in relative to unleveraged
position.
 Example : if margin requirement = 40%, maximum
leverage ratio is 100% / 40% = 2.5.
 If stock rises 10%, the buyer will experience :
 2.5 x 10% profit = 25% ROE
 If stock falls 10%, the buyer will experience :
 2.5 x 10% loss = -25% ROE
Margin Trading : First Condition
 NOS = 100, Price per share = $100,
borrowing $4000 from a broker
 Margin = Equity /Value of stock

= $6000/ $10,000
= 60%
Margin Trading : Second Condition
 NOS = 100, Price per share = $70,
borrowing $4000 from a broker
 Margin = Equity /Value of stock

= $3000/ $7,000
= 42%
Maintenance Margin
 In case, stock value were fall below $4000, it
is no longer sufficient collateral to cover loan
from broker. To prevent this, broker sets a
maintenance margin.
 If the percentage margin falls below the
maintenance level, the broker will issue a
margin call, which requires the investor to
add new cash or securities to the margin
account.
Return on Margin
Value of Stock
(Margin rate or Interest rate)
Dividend received
Sale of Stock
(Comission Fee)
Maintenance Margin
 Maintenance margin = 30%, how far could the
stock price fall before investor get a margin
call?
 Value of stock = 100P, Equity = 100P - $4000
 Margin = Equity / Value of stock
30% = (100P – 4000)/ 100P
P = $57.14

 If the price of stock fall below $57.14 per


share, investor would get a margin call
Maintenance Margin
 How to calculate margin with a loan :
1. Intial Margin = Value of stock – loan
2. Remaining Margin at end of year = New value of
stock – loan
= New value of stock – FV of loan
3. % margin = (Remaining margin at end of year /
New value of stock ) x 100%
4. Rate of return = ([Link] Margin – Initial
Margin)/ Initial Margin
V. Short Selling
 Short positions in contracts by selling contracts that
they do not own.
 Purpose: to profit from a decline in the price of a
stock or security
 Mechanics
 Borrow stock through a dealer
 Sell it and deposit proceeds and margin in an account as
collateral.
 Closing out the position: buy the stock and return to the
party from which it was borrowed
 Potential gains are limited to no more than 100%. Potential
loss are unbounded.
 Interest on margin in account = Short Rebate Rates
(determined in market & available to institutional short
sellers & large retail traders.
Margin on Short Sell
1. Initial Margin
2. Calculate profit or loss?
3. Remaining margin = Initial margin +/- profit
or loss – Dividend
4. Will they receive a margin call ?
% margin = Remaining margin / new value of
stock
if %margin fall below maintenance level =>
margin call

Common questions

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A margin call in margin trading occurs when the percentage margin falls below the maintenance level set by the broker, prompting the investor to deposit additional cash or securities to maintain their position . It is determined by calculating whether the equity in an investor's account is sufficient based on the current market value of the stock. For example, if the maintenance margin is 30%, and if the stock price falls below a calculated threshold (e.g., $57.14 per share), a margin call will be issued .

Short selling involves borrowing and selling securities to profit from a decline in their price, with potential rewards limited to the full value of the stock sold (100%) but potential losses being theoretically unlimited if the stock price rises . In bear markets, traders often engage in short selling to hedge against market declines or capitalize on falling prices, though they must manage risks of rising prices that could lead to margin calls. The short rebate rate offers an incentive, especially for institutional investors, to maintain short positions .

In a double auction market, price determination is influenced by each buyer's marginal benefit and each seller's marginal cost, as both aim to maximize their respective gains . Buyers try to purchase at prices lower than their marginal benefit, competing to make the lowest bids. Sellers aim to sell at prices higher than their marginal cost, competing to present the lowest asks. Trades occur when there is a match between a buyer's bid and a seller's ask, where the buyer's perceived benefit exceeds the transaction price, and the seller's cost is covered by the transaction price.

Capital market instruments like bonds and derivatives have different risk and return profiles. Bonds typically offer fixed interest payments and are less risky, providing stable returns with lower volatility; however, they are subject to interest rate and credit risk . Derivatives, which derive their value from underlying assets, can have higher risk due to leverage and market volatility but offer potentially high returns through speculative strategies such as options and futures trading. These instruments cater to different investor objectives based on risk tolerance and return expectations.

Trading costs significantly impact investor strategies. Brokerage commissions represent explicit costs paid to facilitate transactions, affecting net gains . The bid-ask spread, the implicit cost incurred due to the difference between buying and selling prices, particularly affects short-term trading strategies. Investors need to account for these costs when entering and exiting positions to ensure the chosen strategy remains profitable. Full-service brokerage offers additional research and advice, whereas discount brokerages offer lower fees but fewer services .

IPO pricing involves complex conflicts of interest among parties, such as issuers, underwriters, and investors. Issuers aim for high prices to maximize capital raised, while underwriters balance pricing to attract investors without underpricing the offer . Underwriters use firm commitments or best efforts underwriting to manage risks, sometimes lowering prices to ensure full subscription. Strategies to address conflicts include engaging in roadshows to gauge investor interest and using over-allotment options (greenshoe provisions) to stabilize post-IPO prices.

Fixed income analysts are responsible for evaluating issuer creditworthiness and macroeconomic prospects to determine which bonds to buy or sell . They analyze various factors such as interest rates, inflation rates, and the economic environment to predict how these elements might affect bond values. This analysis helps in identifying potentially profitable investments and managing risk by selecting bonds with favorable credit ratings and growth prospects.

Money market instruments, such as commercial paper and certificates of deposit, primarily aim for liquidity and safety, offering lower risk and returns over short durations . They serve to park short-term excess cash for institutions and individual investors seeking minimal risk exposure. Conversely, capital market instruments like stocks and bonds aim to achieve higher returns over a longer timeframe, involving greater risk due to market fluctuations and longer-term financial commitments . Investors' risk profiles and investment horizons dictate their preference for either market's instruments.

Stock returns are determined by firm-specific factors like management quality, earnings potential, and productivity, as well as macroeconomic conditions such as GDP growth, inflation, and interest rates . Firm-specific conditions impact stock valuation through perceived growth potential and profitability, while broader economic indicators influence overall market sentiment, liquidity, and investment trends. Analyzing these factors helps predict potential stock performance amidst varying market and economic environments.

Secondary markets enhance liquidity by allowing already issued securities to be traded, making it easy for investors to buy and sell assets without significant price discounts . These markets set a fair market price for securities through trading activities, serving as benchmarks for valuing new issuances in the primary market. The price established in the secondary market reflects the consensus view of a security's value, integrating diverse information about economic conditions and market expectations.

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