Supply Chain
Management
Demand Forecasting Ch-5
Session-6
What is Forecasting?
??
Forecasting Time Horizons
Types of Forecasts
Seven Steps in Forecasting
The Realities!
Reference: Principle of Supply Chain Management 5th Edition by Wisner, Tan &
Forecasting Approaches
Reference: Principle of Supply Chain Management 5th Edition by Wisner, Tan &
Forecasting Approaches
Reference: Principle of Supply Chain Management 5th Edition by Wisner, Tan &
Overview of Qualitative Methods
Reference: Principle of Supply Chain Management 5th Edition by Wisner, Tan &
Overview of Qualitative Methods
Reference: Principle of Supply Chain Management 5th Edition by Wisner, Tan &
Jury of Executive Opinion
Reference: Principle of Supply Chain Management 5th Edition by Wisner, Tan &
Delphi Method
Reference: Principle of Supply Chain Management 5th Edition by Wisner, Tan &
Sales Force Composite
Each salesperson projects his or her
sales
Combined at district and national levels
Sales reps know customers’ wants
Tends to be overly optimistic
Reference: Principle of Supply Chain Management 5th Edition by Wisner, Tan &
Consumer Market Survey
Reference: Principle of Supply Chain Management 5th Edition by Wisner, Tan &
Overview of Quantitative
Approaches
Reference: Principle of Supply Chain Management 5th Edition by Wisner, Tan &
Time Series Forecasting
Time Series Components
Reference: Principle of Supply Chain Management 5th Edition by Wisner, Tan &
Components of Demand
Reference: Principle of Supply Chain Management 5th Edition by Wisner, Tan &
Trend Component
Reference: Principle of Supply Chain Management 5th Edition by Wisner, Tan &
Seasonal Component
Reference: Principle of Supply Chain Management 5th Edition by Wisner, Tan &
Cyclical Component
Reference: Principle of Supply Chain Management 5th Edition by Wisner, Tan &
Random Component
Reference: Principle of Supply Chain Management 5th Edition by Wisner, Tan &
ASSIGNMENT # 1
1. Search on the term supply chain management software applications, and
write a paper about how companies use these to improve their financial
performance
2. Go to the Institute of Supply Management’s website and use their “ISM
Glossary of Key Supply Management Terms” to explain these terms: (a) supply
management, (b) materials management, (c) procurement, (d) purchasing, (e)
sourcing, (f) acquisition, (g) sole sourcing and (h) single sourcing. If you are
not an ISM member, you will need to register and create an account before
you can access the glossary page.