Revised CLIRAM Tool
Impact Assessment and Applications Section (IAAS)
Climatology and Agrometeorology Division (CAD)
DOST-PAGASA Southern Luzon (SLPRSD)
05 August 2024
Timeline of Provision of Climate Change-related
Information in the Philippines
Generated Characterizing the
RCP-based
Projections using PRECIS, Philippine Climate
RegCM4, and CCAM in High-resolution
2014–2017 Grids
2023 – 2024
Improved uptake of SSP-Based
climate information
Using the CLIRAM tool Projected
2011 2021 Changes in the
2016–2018 CORDEX-SEA- Philippine Climate
SRES-Based CC
Projections 2018 Derived Extreme
downscaled Indices
using PRECIS
Continuous sharing of future climate projections to LGUs and other end-users
Areas assisted in utilizing our climate change projections
Online workshop for the
dissemination of projections to LGU
Inception workshop participated personnel in Batanes
by LGU personnel from Pasig,
Marikina, and San Juan.
Initial dissemination of the
Inception workshop projections in Salcedo, Eastern
participated by LGU Samar
personnel from Tawi-Tawi
CLIRAM Tool
Climate Information Risk Analysis Matrix
• Provides projected changes in climate variables (temperature
and rainfall) in future time periods relative to climatological
baseline values
• Support policy-makers such as LGUs establish robust decisions
on mitigation and adaptation options
Projected climate change
Projected changes in rainfall and temperature were
translated to actionable plans
The revised CLIRAM tool
CLIRAM of the Projected changes in monthly temperature and
rainfall
The revised CLIRAM tool
Parts of the revised CLIRAM Tool
TABLES
GRAPHS
The revised CLIRAM tool
Parts of the revised CLIRAM Tool
(a) (b)
TABLES (1) (2) (3)
(a) Variable:
• Temperature
• Rainfall
(b) Area:
• Province
• Municipality
The revised CLIRAM tool
Parts of the revised CLIRAM Tool
TABLES (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9)
(a) (b)
(1) Timescale: January - December (a) Variable:
(2) Climatological monthly baseline • Temperature
values
• ClimGridPH
• Rainfall
(3) Multi-model Multi-scenario ranges: (b) Area:
• Upper bound – 75th percentile • Province
• Median – 50th percentile
• Lower bound – 25th percentile • Municipality
(4-9) Projected changes for future
time periods:
• 2021-2050
• 2031-2060
• 2041-2070
• 2051-2080
• 2061-2020
• 2071-2100
The revised CLIRAM tool
Parts of the revised CLIRAM Tool
GRAPHS
Temperature: Rainfall:
• Historical • Historical
• Upper bound – 75th percentile • Upper bound – 75th percentile
• Median – 50th percentile • Median – 50th percentile
• Lower bound – 25th percentile • Lower bound – 25th percentile
Climate projection utilization in the revised
Projected
CLIRAM changes in temperature
tool
• The highest/hottest mean temperature for Pampanga
is during the months of April (29.6°C) and May
(29.8°C) based on the historical observed baseline
Climate projection utilization in the revised
Projected
CLIRAM changes in temperature
tool
• The highest/hottest mean temperature for Pampanga
is during the months of April (29.6°C) and May
(29.8°C) based on the historical observed baseline
• The projected change in temperature in the future for
the province of Pampanga is from 0.7°C-1.3°C from
2021-2050 and can reach up to 3.4°C (hottest during
May 33.2°C) in the 2071-2100 period.
Climate projection utilization in the revised
Projected
CLIRAM changes in rainfall
tool
• Dry (Nov-Apr); 14.4mm-91.3mm
• Wet (May-Oct); 194.0mm-513.6mm
• Maximum rain period (Jun-Sep)
Climate projection utilization in the revised
Projected
CLIRAM changes in rainfall
tool
• Dry (Nov-Apr); 14.4mm-91.3mm
• Wet (May-Oct); 194.0mm-513.6mm
• Maximum rain period (Jun-Sep)
• Projected rainfall for Pampanga:
- Driest possible during August (24.7mm) and May
(20.4mm) 2021-2050
- Wettest possible (2021-2050) July (3-6.9%, 14.8-
34.1mm) and August (0.8-5.3%, 4-27.3mm)
SUMMARY
• The CLIRAM tool provides projected changes in climate variables (temperature and rainfall) in
future time periods relative to climatological baseline values.
• In the revised CLIRAM, the SSP-based climate projection information was presented in a monthly
time scale, in six (6) future time slices. It also contains plots for the visualization of the climate
projection information.
• The analysis of the information on the patterns of change in the revised CLIRAM tool could be
helpful in the formulation of the users’ action plans/mitigation and adaptation options.
• The highest/hottest mean
temperature for Pampanga is during
the months of April (29.6°C) and May • Dry (Nov-Apr); 14.4mm-91.3mm
(29.8°C) based on the historical • Wet (May-Oct); 194.0mm-513.6mm
observed baseline. • Maximum rain period (Jun-Sep)
• The projected change in temperature • Projected rainfall for Pampanga:
in the future for the province of - Driest possible during August (24.7mm)
Pampanga is from 0.8°C-1.3°C from and May (20.4mm) 2021-2050
2021-2050 and can reach up to 3.4°C - Wettest possible (2021-2050) July (3-
(hottest during May 33.2°C) on the 6.9%, 14.8-34.1mm) and August (0.8-
2071-2100 period. 5.3%, 4-27.3mm)
Multi-stakeholder Workshop on the
Utilization of CMIP6-Based Climate
Workshop Guidelines
Projections in the Philippines
1 Introduction | 10min
GUIDELINES
Breakout Group Discussion | 1hr
2 Health/coffee break | 10min
Plenary presentation | 10 min per group
3 5 groups; assign a note taker and a presenter
CLIRAM of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte
1
BREAKOUT
- RR, T
GROUPS 2
Formulate:
a. Information about patterns of
change
b. Potential impacts to relevant
2 groups
sectors
Please use your laptop/any device to c. Possible adaptation options
access the online template for easier
3 Present in the plenary
consolidation of info:
[Link]
Which changes and
scenarios are significant
in your sector?
Which changes and
scenarios are relevant in
your sector/planning
needs?
SECTORS
Potential impacts
Adaptation options
How does the community respond to current or past occurrences
of these hazards?
Which risk management system will be efficient to deal with future
risks?
Should additional adaptation be considered if these future hazards
are likely to worsen?
Who are the key players in implanting these adaptation options?
Will there be sufficient budget for it?
LET'S
BEGIN!
Are You Ready?
Thank you!