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Understanding Economics and Its Axioms

Economics is a science based on the assumption that people act in their own self-interest. It uses the scientific method to explain and predict human behavior. A key assumption is that individuals maximize their utility or satisfaction given constraints. Economic theories must be logically consistent, have refutable implications, and some ability to generalize to be useful. While assumptions may be unrealistic, theories are judged by their predictive power. Economics aims to make positive statements, without ethical judgments, about behaviors that can be agreed upon factually.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
10 views19 pages

Understanding Economics and Its Axioms

Economics is a science based on the assumption that people act in their own self-interest. It uses the scientific method to explain and predict human behavior. A key assumption is that individuals maximize their utility or satisfaction given constraints. Economic theories must be logically consistent, have refutable implications, and some ability to generalize to be useful. While assumptions may be unrealistic, theories are judged by their predictive power. Economics aims to make positive statements, without ethical judgments, about behaviors that can be agreed upon factually.

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Economics is a science resting on

the postulate (or axiom) of


selfishness to explain and predict
human behavior.
Economics is regarded as a
science because it uses the same
methodology used in other
sciences.
•Methodology refers to the set of methods
used in the study of something.
Axioms / Basic postulates

• An axiom is a common believe


(assumption) that is accepted as a starting
point of a discipline.
• All empirical sciences, including
Economics, share an axiom that events do
not happen accidentally, but follow some
universal rules or patterns.
Axiom (or postulate) of selfishness

• is also known as ‘the postulate / axiom of


constrained maximization”
• we assume that people always maximize
their self-interest under constraints
• The exact entity (things to be maximized)
has to be specified. The entity can be
wealth, income, utility, etc.
Economics aims to explain and
predict human behaviors / choices
• Predictions and forecasts are not the
same.
• Predictions must be made in the form of
“If A happens, then B will follow.”
[e.g. “If a per-unit tax is imposed on a
good, the price of the good will increase
(and the quantity transacted will fall).”]
• Forecasts may be derived from
established trend, from a crystal ball, from
the “sixth sense”, etc.
Attributes of a Useful Theory

• Must be able to derive refutable


implications
• A useful theory is refutable (i.e. must have
refutable implication) by evidence but not
yet be refuted.
Must be able to derive refutable
implications
• To be testable, both the antecedent and
consequent need to be observable.
• “If A happens, then B will follow.”

antecedent consequent

[e.g. “If a per-unit tax is imposed on a good,


the price of the good will increase (and the
quantity transacted will fall).”]
A theory could never be proved

• If implications of the theory are supported


by evidence, the theory is said to be
confirmed
• If implications of the theory are not
supported by evidence, the theory is
said to be refuted
Tautology

• A tautology is a statement that is always


true (or it cannot be conceivably false).
The following statements are
tautologies:
• 1) A definitional identity
• (e.g. If a good is a free good, its quantity
available must be sufficient to satisfy all
our wants.)
• 2) The only logical implication
• (e.g. If a good is a free good, its price
must be zero. )
• 3)  Exhaust all the possibilities
• (e.g.  If the wage rate increases, the
working hours may increase, decrease or
remained unchanged. )
Other examples of Tautologies

•黃興 桂 ( 足球 評述員 ) 金句

•除非 有一隊 先入 一球 ,  如果 唔係都 幾難


開到紀 錄啦呢 場波
•十二 碼呢家 野呢 ,有兩 個可 能性, 一係
入,一 係唔入
•呢球 波一係 入 ... 一係龍 門救到 ... 一係出
界 ... 
Since tautologies are always true, they do
not contain refutable implications. They
predict nothing about the world and they
are not a theory at all. However, a useful
theory may start with some tautological
statements.
Must be logically consistent

• Some Logical Fallacies :


• Fallacy of confirming the consequent
• If A implies B, B does not imply A.
• If one argues that “If A implies B, B implies
A”, one commits the fallacy of confirming
the consequent.
Some Logical Fallacies :

• Fallacy of denying the antecedent


• If A implies B, NOT A does not imply NOT
B.
• If one argues that “If A implies B, NOT A
implies NOT B”, one commits the fallacy
of denying the antecedent.
Must have a certain degree of
generalization power
• A good theory should be one that
embodies a few (test) conditions and
allows us to generalize from one situation
to many others.
• An ad hoc theory is a theory that holds
only under a particular set of conditions
and thus lacks of generalization power.
Assumptions may be unrealistic

• A good theory should be a simplification of


the world
• Simplifying assumptions are usually
unrealistic
• Test conditions have to be realistic
• The usefulness of a theory is judged by its
predictive power
In the scientific aspect of
Economics, it is strictly
positive.
Positive statements are
statements with no ethical
considerations or value judgment.
That is, we are not interested in
whether an act is right or wrong,
good or bad, fair or not. Positive
statements are those statements
about which we can all agree.
Disagreement over positive
statements can be settled by
appealing to facts.
Normative statements involve
ethical considerations or value
judgment. That is, to suggest what
is right, what is wrong, what is
good, what is bad, and so on.
Normative statements cannot be
settled by merely appealing to
facts because people may have
different value judgment.

Common questions

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Generalization power allows an economic theory to apply under various conditions beyond a singular situation, enhancing its applicability and utility across different contexts . This contrasts with an ad hoc theory, which holds only under specific conditions, limiting its relevance and practical application . The ability to generalize ensures that an economic theory can offer broader insights into economic phenomena, making it more robust and valuable.

A theory must derive refutable implications to be scientifically valuable, as this allows it to be tested against empirical evidence and potentially be disproven, which is central to the scientific method . In economics, this requirement ensures that theories can be validated or refuted based on real-world data, contributing to the development and refinement of economic models and maintaining the discipline's empirical rigor .

Tautologies are statements that are always true and do not offer testable or refutable implications, therefore they do not predict anything about the world, which is a primary purpose of a useful economic theory . Although a useful economic theory may start with tautological statements as foundational elements, they themselves do not advance understanding or prediction of economic phenomena.

Predictions in economics are specific, testable statements that follow an 'if...then...' structure, such as 'If a per-unit tax is imposed on a good, the price will increase' . Forecasts, however, are broader estimations that may rely on trends or less empirical methods like intuition or 'sixth sense' . While predictions allow economics to test theories through observations and evidence, forecasts provide broader, often more subjective, outlooks on economic trends and conditions.

Positive statements in economics are factual and devoid of ethical considerations, allowing them to be tested and agreed upon based on evidence . In contrast, normative statements include value judgments and ethical considerations, suggesting what ought to be, without being easily settled by facts due to differing opinions . Positive statements are crucial for objective analysis, while normative statements guide policy discussions and ethical evaluations.

The concept of constrained maximization highlights that individuals strive to maximize their self-interest, such as wealth or utility, within the constraints imposed by limited resources like time, income, and information . This illustrates that economic decision-making involves optimizing benefits while navigating constraints, reflecting the inherent trade-offs and limited capacity individuals face in pursuing their interests within economic systems .

The fallacy of confirming the consequent occurs when one incorrectly infers that if A implies B, then B implies A. In economics, this undermines reasoning because it leads to false conclusions from validating consequences rather than the logical cause . Avoiding this fallacy ensures that economic theories accurately represent causal relationships instead of misleading correlations, maintaining logical consistency in theory construction .

The axiom of selfishness assumes that individuals aim to maximize their own self-interest under constraints, which forms the basis of explaining and predicting human behavior in economic models . By assuming individuals act out of self-interest, economics can create predictive statements such as 'If a per-unit tax is imposed on a good, the price of the good will increase, and the quantity transacted will fall' . This axiom suggests that economic agents employ rational decision-making processes to achieve optimal outcomes given their limited resources.

Economics shares methodological approaches with natural sciences, such as reliance on axioms, construction of hypotheses, and testing theories through observation and empirical evidence . These similarities lead to the perception of economics as a science, as it endeavors to explain and predict human behavior using systematic methods akin to those in fields like physics or biology, thereby bolstering its scientific credibility .

Unrealistic assumptions simplify complex real-world situations, allowing economists to construct models that are more manageable and applicable to general cases . While these assumptions may not perfectly represent reality, they enable the development of theories with significant predictive power, stripping away unnecessary complexity to focus on core elements affecting economic behavior and outcomes .

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