Todays Topic
Cash Management and Demand Forecasting in ATMs Cash Demand Forecasting ATMS Post and Pre installation ActivitiesActivities-
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Cash Management In Banks
In Retail Banking the major delivery channels for cash to the customers are bank branch and ATMs. Requirement of Cash Management Supply chain Management in cash flow
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Key Elements In CMS SCM
Product in SCM is Cash Players in Supply Chain are
RBI The Corporate Branch The Retail Branches The Delivery Channel Co-ordinators Co Out Sourced agents ATMs & ATM Vendors
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Key Elements In SCM
Cash Flow Information Flow IT Infrastructure
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Demand Drivers
Location Of the Branch/ATM Number Of Current Accounts Resident Accounts and Their Age Profile Number Of salary Accounts Seasonal Factors including weekends, Festive days
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Typical Structure Of Cash Flow in Banks
RBI
Corporate Accounts
Main branch
branch
ATM Out sourced agent
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Factors considered for cash requirement
Total Deposits of The Branch Total Advances Branch Location Number of salary accounts Corporate accounts Total Receipts and payments Other Subsidiary services
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Contd..
International cards Balance transfers Loans to doctors and nurses Loan to women entrepreneurs Loans to teachers Loans for professionals/ technocrats for improving their qualifications
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ATM IT CHAIN
Main server
Atm Switch
Atm
atm
atm
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Blocked arrow for cash withdrawal and credit card Arrow for info cash replenishment Line for mis from corporate office
Bank branch
Switch network
Delivery channel coordinator Outsourced delivery agents
Visa server Visa/master Server at corp office
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Link between the central server Atm and vendors
ATM
Cental server
Delivery Channel coordinator
Atm vendor
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Demand Forecast
Defining the Market For the Product/ Basket of products Dividing total industry demand into its main components Forecasting the drivers of demand in each segment and projecting how they are likely to change Conducting sensitivity analysis to understand the most critical assumptions and gauge risks to the base line forecast.
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Selection of forecasting method
The context of the forecast Relevance and availability of historical data Time period to be forecasted Degree of accuracy desirable Cost benefit or value of the forecast to the bank Time available for making analysis
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Points to noted
NO Stock Out situation Not much of Idle Cash Cost of delivering the cash must be minimized Lead Time to deliver is to be minimized Architecture of Supply Chain Location of branches/ atms Relationship with outsourced agents
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Methods for forecasting..
Time series Judgmental forecasting
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Time Series Analysis
Normal trend Seasonality factors Judgmental factors
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Next session
Innovations in products and services
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