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Time Value of Money Chapter 5

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
73 views78 pages

Time Value of Money Chapter 5

Uploaded by

hercules
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PPT, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

Chapter 5

Introduction to
Valuation: The
Time Value of
Money

1
McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
1-2 4-2

Key Concepts and Skills


• Be able to compute the future value of
an investment made today
• Be able to compute the present value
of cash to be received at some future
date
• Be able to compute the return on an
investment

2
1-3 4-3

Chapter Outline
• Future Value and Compounding
• Present Value and Discounting
• More on Present and Future Values

3
1-4 4-4

Why TIME?

Why is TIME such an important


element in your decision?

TIME allows you the opportunity to


postpone consumption and earn
INTEREST.
INTEREST
1-5 4-5

Basic Definitions
• Present Value –
 The current value of future cash flows
discounted at the appropriate discount rate.
 earlier money on a time line
• Future Value –
 The amount an investment is worth after one
or more periods
 later money on a time line

5
1-6 4-6

Basic patterns of Cash flows


1. Single Amount: A lump sum amount either
currently held or expected at some future
date.
2. Annuity: A level periodic stream of cash
flow
3. Mixed Streams: A stream of cash flows
that is not an annuity, a stream of unequal
periodic cash flows with no particular
pattern.
© 2012 Pearson 5-6
Prentice Hall. All rights
1-7 4-7

• Interest rate – “exchange rate” between


earlier money and later money
– Discount rate
– Cost of capital
– Opportunity cost of capital
– Required return

7
1-8 4-8

• Time lines are used to illustrate these


relationships. A horizontal line on which time
zero appears at the left most end and future
periods are marked from left to right, can be
used to depict investment cash flows.

8
1-9 4-9

Future Values
• Suppose you invest $1,000 for one year at
5% per year. What is the future value in one
year?
– Interest = $1,000(.05) = $50
– Value in one year = principal + interest =
$1,000 + 50 = $1,050
– Future Value (FV) = $1,000(1 + .05) = $1,050
• Suppose you leave the money in for another
year. How much will you have two years from
now?
 FV = $1,000(1.05)(1.05) = $1,000(1.05)2 =
$1,102.50
9
4-10
1-10

Future Values: General Formula


• FV = PV(1 + r)t
– FV = future value
– PV = present value
– r = period interest rate, expressed as a
decimal
– T = number of periods
• Future value interest factor = (1 + r)t
• OR FVIF ( for Table)
10
4-11
1-11

Effects of Compounding
• Simple interest (interest is earned only on
the original principal)
• Compound interest (interest is earned on
principal and on interest received)
• Consider the previous example
– FV with simple interest = $1,000 + 50 + 50 =
$1,100
– FV with compound interest = $1,102.50
– The extra $2.50 comes from the interest of .
05($50) = $2.50 earned on the first interest
payment
11
4-12
1-12

Figure 4.1

12
4-13
1-13

Future Values – Example 2


• Suppose you invest the $1,000 from the
previous example for 5 years. How much
would you have?
 FV = $1,000(1.05)5 = $1,276.28
• The effect of compounding is small for a
small number of periods, but increases as
the number of periods increases. (Simple
interest would have a future value of $1,250,
for a difference of $26.28.)

13
4-14
1-14

Future Values – Example 3


• Suppose you had a relative deposit $10 at
5.5% interest 200 years ago. How much
would the investment be worth today?
– FV = $10(1.055)200 = $447,189.84
• What is the effect of compounding?
– Simple interest = $10 + $10(200)(.055) = $120
– Compounding added $447,069.84 to the value of
the investment

14
4-15
1-15

Present Values
• How much do I have to invest today to have
some amount in the future?
 FV = PV(1 + r)t
 Rearrange to solve for PV = FV / (1 + r)t
 (1 + r)t or PVIF present value interest Factor
(Table)
• When we talk about discounting, we mean finding
the present value of some future amount.
• When we talk about the “value” of something, we
are talking about the present value unless we
specifically indicate that we want the future value.

15
4-16
1-16

PV – One-Period Example
• Suppose you need $10,000 in one year for
the down payment on a new car. If you can
earn 7% annually, how much do you need to
invest today?
• PV = $10,000 / (1.07)1 = $9,345.79

16
4-17
1-17

Present Values – Example 2


• You want to begin saving for your
daughter’s college education and you
estimate that she will need $150,000 in
17 years. If you feel confident that you
can earn 8% per year, how much do
you need to invest today?
 PV = $150,000 / (1.08)17 = $40,540.34

17
4-18
1-18

Present Values – Example 3


 Your parents set up a trust fund for you
10 years ago that is now worth
$19,671.51. If the fund earned 7% per
year, how much did your parents
invest?
 PV = $19,671.51 / (1.07)10 = $10,000

18
4-19
1-19

Present value:
Important relationship I
For a given interest rate:
– The longer the time period,
the lower the present value.
FV
PV 
(1  r ) t

For a given r, as t increases, PV decreases.

4-19
4-20
1-20

Present value:
Important relationship II
For a given time period:
– The higher the interest rate,
the smaller the present value.
FV
PV 
(1  r ) t

For a given t, as r increases, PV decreases.


Copyright  2011 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a Essentials of Corporate Finance 2e by Ross et al. 4-20
Slides prepared by David E. Allen and Abhay K. Singh
4-21
1-21

Single-Period PV

Suppose you need $400 to buy


textbooks next year. You can earn
7% on your money. How much do
you have to put up today?
4-22
1-22

The Basic PV Equation -


Refresher
• PV = FV / (1 + r)t
• There are four parts to this equation
– PV, FV, r, and t
– If we know any three, we can solve for the
fourth

22
4-23
1-23

Discount Rate
• Often, we will want to know what the
implied interest rate is in an investment
• Rearrange the basic PV equation and
solve for r
 FV = PV(1 + r)t
 r = (FV / PV)1/t – 1
• If you are using formulas, you will want
to make use of both the yx and the 1/x
keys
23
4-24
1-24

Discount Rate – Example 1


• You are looking at an investment that will pay
$1,200 in 5 years if you invest $1,000 today.
What is the implied rate of interest?
 r = ($1,200 / $1,000)1/5 – 1 = .03714 = 3.714%

24
4-25
1-25

Discount Rate – Example 2


• Suppose you are offered an investment
that will allow you to double your
money in 6 years. You have $10,000
to invest. What is the implied rate of
interest?
 r = ($20,000 / $10,000)1/6 – 1 = .122462 =
12.25%

25
4-26
1-26

Discount Rate – Example 3


• Suppose you have a 1-year old son
and you want to provide $75,000 in 17
years toward his college education.
You currently have $5,000 to invest.
What interest rate must you earn to
have the $75,000 when you need it?
 r = ($75,000 / $5,000)1/17 – 1 = .172686 =
17.27%

26
4-27
1-27

Finding the Number of Periods


• Start with basic equation and solve for t
(remember your logs)
 FV = PV(1 + r)t
 t = ln(FV / PV) / ln(1 + r)

27
4-28
1-28

Number of Periods – Example 1


• You want to purchase a new car and
you are willing to pay $20,000. If you
can invest at 10% per year and you
currently have $15,000, how long will it
be before you have enough money to
pay cash for the car?
 t = ln($20,000 / $15,000) / ln(1.1) = 3.02
years

28
4-29
1-29

Saving Up
You would like to buy a new
automobile. You have $50,000 or so,
but the car costs $68,500.
•If you can earn 9%, how much do
you have to invest today to buy the
car in two years?
•Do you have enough?
•Assume the price will stay the same.
4-30
1-30

Evaluating Investments
To give you an idea of how we will be
using present and future values,
considering the following simple
investment. Your company proposes to
buy an asset for $335. This investment
is very safe. You would sell off the
asset in three years for $400. You know
you could invest the $335 elsewhere at
10% with very little risk. What do you
think of the proposed investment?
4-31
1-31

Saving for College

You estimate that you will need about


$80,000 to send your child to school
college in eight years. You have about
$35,000 now.
•If you can earn 20% per year, will you
make it?
• At what rate will you just reach your goal?
4-32
1-32

Only 18,262.5 Days to


Retirement

You would like to retire in 50 years as a


millionaire. If you have $10,000 today,
what rate of return do you need to earn
to achieve your goal?
4-33
1-33

Valuing level cash flows


Annuities and perpetuities
• Annuity—finite series of equal payments
that occur at regular intervals
– If the first payment occurs at the end of the
period, it is called an ordinary annuity
– If the first payment occurs at the beginning of
the period, it is called an annuity due
• Perpetuity—infinite series of equal
payments

5-33
4-34
1-34

Annuities and perpetuities


Basic formulas
• Perpetuity: PV = C/r
• Annuities:
 1 
1  
(1  r ) t
PV  C  
 r 

 

 (1  r ) t  1 
FV  C  
 r 

5-34
4-35
1-35

Examples of Annuities

• Student Loan Payments


• Car Loan Payments
• Insurance Premiums
• Mortgage Payments
• Retirement Savings
4-36
1-36

Parts of an Annuity

(Ordinary Annuity)
End of End of End of
Period 1 Period 2 Period 3

0 1 2 3

$100 $100 $100


Today
Equal Cash Flows
Each 1 Period Apart
4-37
1-37

Parts of an Annuity

(Annuity Due)
Beginning of Beginning of Beginning of
Period 1 Period 2 Period 3

0 1 2 3

$100 $100 $100


Today Equal Cash Flows
Each 1 Period Apart
4-38
1-38

Example of an
Ordinary Annuity -- FVA
Cash flows occur at the end of the period
0 1 2 3 4
7%
$1,000 $1,000 $1,000
$1,070
$1,145
FVA3 = $1,000(1.07)2 +
$1,000(1.07)1 + $1,000(1.07)0 $3,215 = FVA3
= $1,145 + $1,070 + $1,000
= $3,215
4-39
1-39

Valuation Using Table III


FVAn = R (FVIFAi%,n)
FVA3 = $1,000 (FVIFA7%,3)
= $1,000 (3.215) = $3,215
Period 6% 7% 8%
1 1.000 1.000 1.000
2 2.060 2.070 2.080
3 3.184 3.215 3.246
4 4.375 4.440 4.506
5 5.637 5.751 5.867
4-40
1-40

Example of an
Ordinary Annuity -- PVA
Cash flows occur at the end of the period
0 1 2 3 4
7%
$1,000 $1,000 $1,000
$934.58
$873.44
$816.30
$2,624.32 = PVA3 PVA3 = $1,000/(1.07)1 +
$1,000/(1.07)2 +
$1,000/(1.07)3
= $934.58 + $873.44 + $816.30
= $2,624.32
4-41
1-41

Valuation Using Table IV


PVAn = R (PVIFAi%,n)
PVA3 = $1,000 (PVIFA7%,3)
= $1,000 (2.624) = $2,624
Period 6% 7% 8%
1 0.943 0.935 0.926
2 1.833 1.808 1.783
3 2.673 2.624 2.577
4 3.465 3.387 3.312
5 4.212 4.100 3.993
4-42
1-42

Annuity
Example 5.5
• You can afford $632
per month.
 1 
• Going rate =  1  
(1.01)48
PV  632    23,999.54
1%/month for 48  .01 
months.  
• How much can you
borrow?
• You borrow money
TODAY so you
need to compute
the present value.
5-42
4-43
1-43

Annuity—Sweepstakes example
• Suppose you win the Publishers
Clearinghouse $10 million. The money is
paid in equal annual instalments of $333
333.33 over 30 years. If the appropriate
discount rate is 5%, how much is the
sweepstakes actually worth today?
– PV = 333 333.33[1 – 1/1.0530] / .05 =
$5 124 150.29

5-43
4-44
1-44

Quick quiz: Part 1


• You know the payment amount for a loan
and you want to know how much was
borrowed.
– Do you compute a present value or a future
value?

5-44
4-45
1-45

Finding the number of payments


• $1000 is due on a credit card
• Payment = $20 month minimum
• Rate = 1.5% per month
– How long would it take to pay off the $1000?
– Formula solution:
• 1000 = 20(1 – 1/1.015t) / .015
• .75 = 1 – 1 / 1.015t
• 1 / 1.015t = .25
• 1 / .25 = 1.015t
• t = ln(1/.25) / ln(1.015) = 93.111 months = 7.75 years

5-45
4-46
1-46

Finding the number of payments—


Another example
• Suppose you borrow $2,000 at 5% and
you are going to make annual payments of
$734.42. How long before you pay off the
loan?
– 2000 = 734.42(1 – 1/1.05t) / .05
– .136161869 = 1 – 1/1.05t
– 1/1.05t = .863838131
– 1.157624287 = 1.05t
– t = ln(1.157624287)/ln(1.05) = 3 years
4-47
1-47

Solving for r
• Suppose you borrow $1,000 and loan
arrangement requires you to pay $282 per
year for the next 4 [Link] the payment
made at the end of each year, what
interest rate are you paying on the loan?
• Ans r=5%

47
4-48
1-48

Annuity due
• An annuity for which the cash flows occur at the
beginning of the period.
• You are saving for a new house and you put $10 000 per
year in an account paying 8%. The first payment is made
today. How much will you have at the end of 3 years?

 (1  r )t  1
FVAD  PMT   (1  r )
 r 
 (1.08) 3  1
FVAD  10000  (1.08)  35,061.12
 .08 

5-48
4-49
1-49

Annuity due formula

49
4-50
1-50

Perpetuities—
Example 5.7
• An annuity in which the cash flows continue
forever.
• Perpetuity formula: PV = C / r
• If $100 receives each year forever and
interest rate is 8% pv of perpetuity?
• Ans:$1,250.

5-50
4-51
1-51

Quick quiz
• You are considering preferred stock that
pays a quarterly dividend of $1.50. If your
desired return is 3% per quarter, how
much would you be willing to pay?
– $1.50/0.03 = $50

5-51
4-52
1-52

PV OF UNEVEN CASH FLOWS


Mixed Streams
Pattern of Unequal periodic cash flows that reflect no particular pattern.

3-52
4-53
1-53

FV OF UNEVEN CASH FLOWS

3-53
4-54
1-54

“Piece-At-A-Time”

0 1 2 3 4 5

10%
$600 $600 $400 $400 $100
$545.45
$495.87
$300.53
$273.21
$ 62.09
$1677.15 = PV0 of the Mixed Flow
4-55
1-55

“Group-At-A-Time” (#1)
0 1 2 3 4 5
10%
$600 $600 $400 $400 $100
$1,041.60
$ 573.57
$ 62.10

$1,677.27 = PV0 of Mixed Flow [Using Tables]

$600(PVIFA10%,2) = $600(1.736) = $1,041.60


$400(PVIFA10%,2)(PVIF10%,2) = $400(1.736)(0.826) = $573.57
$100 (PVIF10%,5) = $100 (0.621) = $62.10
4-56
1-56

Steps
Steps to
to Solve
Solve Time
Time Value
Value
of
of Money
Money Problems
Problems
1. Read problem thoroughly
2. Create a time line
3. Put cash flows and arrows on time line
4. Determine if it is a PV or FV problem
5. Determine if solution involves a single
CF, annuity stream(s), or mixed flow
6. Solve the problem
4-57
1-57
Frequency
Frequency of
of
Compounding
Compounding
General Formula:
FVn = PV0(1 + [r/m])mn
n: Number of Years
m: Compounding Periods per Year i:
Annual Interest Rate FVn,m:
FV at the end of Year n
PV0: PV of the Cash Flow today
4-58
1-58

Impact
Impact of
of Frequency
Frequency
Julie Miller has $1,000 to invest for 2 Years
at an annual interest rate of 12%.
Annual FV2 = 1,000(1
1,000 + [0.12/1])(1)(2)
= 1,254.40
Semi FV2 = 1,000(1
1,000 + [0.12/2])(2)(2)
= 1,262.48
4-59
1-59

Impact
Impact of
of Frequency
Frequency
Qrtly FV2 = 1,000(1
1,000 + [0.12/4])(4)(2)
= 1,266.77
Monthly FV2 = 1,000(1
1,000 + [0.12/12])(12)(2)
= 1,269.73
Daily FV2 = 1,000(1
1,000 + [0.12/365])(365)(2)
= 1,271.20
4-60
1-60

Continuous Compounding
With continuous compounding the number
of compounding periods per year approaches infinity.
Through the use of calculus, the equation thus becomes:

FVn (continuous compounding) = PV x (ekxn)

where “e” has a value of 2.7183

 Continuing with the previous example, find the future value of the
$100 deposit after 5 years if interest is compounded continuously.

FVn = 100 x (2.7183).12x5 = $182.22


4-61
1-61

Computing payments with APRs


• Suppose you want to buy a new computer system and
the store is willing to allow you to make monthly
payments. The entire computer system costs $3500. The
loan period is for 2 years and the interest rate is 16.9%,
with monthly compounding. What is your monthly
payment?

5-61
4-62
1-62

Future values
with monthly compounding
• Suppose you deposit $50 a month into an
account that has an interest rate of 9%,
based on monthly compounding. How
much will you have in the account in 35
years?

5-62
4-63
1-63

Present value with daily compounding

• You need $15 ,000 in 3 years for a new car. If


you can deposit money into an account that
pays an interest rate of 5.5% based on daily
compounding, how much would you need to
deposit?

5-63
4-64
1-64

Effective annual rate (EAR)


• This is the actual rate paid (or received)
after accounting for compounding that
occurs during the year.
• If you want to compare two alternative
investments with different compounding
periods, you need to compute the EAR
and use that for comparison.

5-64
4-65
1-65

Annual percentage rate (APR)


• This is the annual rate that is quoted by
law.
• By definition APR = period rate times the
number of periods per year.
• So, to get the period rate we rearrange the
APR equation:
– Period rate = APR/number of periods per year
• You should NEVER divide the effective
rate by the number of periods per year—it
will NOT give you the period rate.
5-65
4-66
1-66

Computing APRs
• What is the APR if the monthly rate is .5%?
– .5(12) = 6%
• What is the APR if the semi-annual rate is .5%?
– .5(2) = 1%
• What is the monthly rate if the APR is 12%, with
monthly compounding?
– 12 / 12 = 1%
– Can you divide the above APR by 2 to get the semi-
annual rate? NO!!! You need an APR based on semi-
annual compounding to find the semi-annual rate.

5-66
4-67
1-67

Things to remember
• You ALWAYS need to make sure that the
interest rate and the time period match:
– If you are looking at annual periods, you need an
annual rate.
– If you are looking at monthly periods, you need a
monthly rate.
• If you have an APR based on monthly
compounding, you have to use monthly
periods for lump sums, or adjust the interest
rate appropriately if you have payments other
than monthly.

5-67
4-68
1-68

EAR formula
m
 APR 
EAR  1   1
 m 
• APR = the quoted rate
• m = number of compounds per year

5-68
4-69
1-69

Decisions, decisions… II
• Which savings accounts should you
choose:
– 5.25%, with daily compounding
– 5.30%, with semiannual compounding
• First account:
• EAR = (1 + .0525/365)365 – 1 = 5.39%
• Second account:
• EAR = (1 + .053/2)2 – 1 = 5.37%

5-69
4-70
1-70

Decisions, decisions… II (cont.)


• Let’s verify the choice. Suppose you invest
$100 in each account. How much will you
have in each account in one year?
– First account:
• Daily rate = .0525 / 365 = .00014383562
• FV = 100(1.00014383562)365 = $105.39
– Second account:
• Semiannual rate = .0539 / 2 = .0265
• FV = 100(1.0265)2 = $105.37
• You will have more money in the first account.

5-70
4-71
1-71

Computing APRs from EARs


• If you have an effective rate, how can
you compute the APR? Rearrange the
EAR equation and you get:


APR  m (1  EAR)
1
m
-1
 
m = number of compounding periods per year

5-71
4-72
1-72

APR—Example
• Suppose you want to earn an effective rate of
12% and you are looking at an account that
compounds on a monthly basis. What APR
must they pay?
 
APR  12 (1  .12)1/ 12  1  .113 8655 or 11.39%

5-72
4-73
1-73

Why is it important to consider effective rates


of return?

• See how the effective return varies between


investments with the same nominal rate, but
different compounding intervals.

EARANNUAL 10.00%
EARSEMIANNUALLY 10.25%
EARQUARTERLY 10.38%
EARMONTHLY 10.47%
EARDAILY (365) 10.52%

5-73
4-74
1-74

• EAR with continuous compounding


• EAR=e^r-1

74
4-75
1-75

Steps
Steps to
to Amortizing
Amortizing aa Loan
Loan
1. Calculate the payment per period.
2. Determine the interest in Period t.
(Loan Balance at t – 1) x (i% / m)
3. Compute principal payment in Period t.
(Payment - Interest from Step 2)
4. Determine ending balance in Period t.
(Balance - principal payment from Step 3)
5. Start again at Step 2 and repeat.
4-76
1-76

Amortised loan with fixed payment—


Example
• Each payment covers the interest expense
plus reduces principal.
• Consider a 5-year loan with annual
payments. The interest rate is 9% and the
principal amount is $5000.
– What is the annual payment?
• 5000 = PMT[1 – 1 / 1.095] / .09 PMT = 1285.46

5-76
4-77
1-77

Amortised loan with fixed payment Example:


Amortisation table

5-77
4-78
1-78

Usefulness of Amortization
1. Determine Interest Expense – Interest
expenses may reduce taxable income
of the firm.
2. Calculate Debt Outstanding – The
quantity of outstanding debt may be
used in financing the day-to-day
activities of the firm.

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