Probability of
Simple Events
Probability is a branch of
Mathematics that deals with
uncertainty. It is a measure or
estimation of how likely it is
that an event will occur.
Probability of an Event
- is a number from 0 to 1
which tells how likely that
event is to happen.
P (event)
Probability Line
Impossible Unlikely Even Chance Likely Certain
0 1 1 3 1
4 2 4
0 0.25 0.50 0.75 1
0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
PROBABILITY
RULES
Rule #1. The probability of
any event is a number (either a
fraction, a decimal, or a
percent)
Example:
The weather forecast shows a
70% rain.
P(rain)=70%
Rule #2. If an event will never
happen, then its probability is
0.
Example:
When a single die is rolled,
find the probability of getting
an 8.
P(8)= =0
Rule #3 . If an event is sure to
happen, then the probability is 1.
Example:
When a single die is rolled, what is
the probability of getting a number
less than 7?
P(number less than 7)= = 1
Rule #4. The sum of the
probabilities of all the
outcomes in the sample space
is one
Example:
In rolling a fair die, each outcome
in the sample space has a
probability of . Hence, the sum of
the probabilities of the outcomes is
1.
Probability Formula
P(event)=
Steps in Solving Probability
Word Problem
1. Identify the experiment and
the events for which we have
to find the probability.
Steps in Solving Probability
Word Problem
2. Now find out the number of
outcomes of the experiment and
every event that is determined in
step 1.
Steps in Solving Probability
Word Problem
3. Find the probability of all
events determined in step 1 using
values obtained in step 2.
Steps in Solving Probability
Word Problem
4. Use probability laws to find the
required probability as and when
required like the multiplication rule,
Baye’s theorem, addition rule etc.
Example 1:
What is the probability of getting a
HEART from a deck of cards?
P(heart) = =
Example 2:
There are 20 marbles in a container: 4 are
red,5 are blue, and 11 are yellow. What is the
probability that a blue marble will be picked?
P(blue marble) = =
[Link] you rolled a 6-sided dice, SE
find the probability of rolling: AT
WO
Answer: RK
a. a “3” :
b. Not 3
5
6
c. An even number • or
2. If you flipped 2 coins, what is
the probability that both will 1
4
land on tails?
Answer the following.
1. A lolly bag contains 2 red, 3 green and 2 blue gum
balls. Find the probability of selecting:
a. A green one
b. Not green
c. Blue
2. A card is selected from a deck of playing cards. Find
the probability of selecting:
d. Red card
e. Face card