Sustainable Development
Samantha Manawadu
Content
Setting the stage – the debate
What defines the limits?
Sustainability, sustainable yield etc
Nine ways to achieve sustainability
Sustainable development
Definitions
3 dimensions
3 approaches
Key issues to keep in mind
Content
History SD
The beginning
Stockholm
The road to Rio
Our common future
Agenda 21
CSD, CBD, UNFCC
Rio plus 10
Johannesburg
Millennium development goals
Setting the stage
Malthus – Principle of population
“Population when unchecked increased in a
geometric ratio and subsistence for man in an
arithmetical ratio”
Renewed Malthusians
Club of Rome - Limits to growth – Donella
Meadows et al
Lester Brown – Worldwatch Institute – warnings of
immediate collapse
Remind us that sooner or later unchecked
consumption will get us in trouble
Limits to Growth
Setting the stage
Ester Boserup – believed “necessity is the
mother of inventions” – increased population
pressures act as an incentive to the
development of new technology and food
production
Julian Simon, Wilfred Beckerman – limits only
set by human ingenuity not resources
Lomborg – assessing Simons claims
Who to believe?
Long run vs short run
Physical limits set by Nature – or what?
In the long run we are limited without
changes in technology
In the short run rely on human ingenuity to
keep us going
Sustainability
Selected to bridge the gulf between
development and environment
Originally used in
Fisheries “maximum sustainable yield”
Forestry “maximum sustainable cut”
Hydrology “maximum sustainable pumping
rate”
Renewable Resources
Population growth
Logistic or density
dependent growth
Upper limit to the
ultimate size
Determined by carrying
capacity
What defines CC?
Growth curve u-shaped
Growth determined by:
Pt = Pt-1 + r*(CC - Pt-1)/CC
MSY
Original Equation
St = St-1 + Gt - Et
Extraction affects
stock size.
Sustainable yield:
extraction equal to
growth
G=E
Renewable resources
Maximum sustainable
yield (MSY)
Complex dynamics -
stock possibly grows
drastically with
decreased harvest
Sustainability?
What is a sustainable fishery?
How would you define it?
Nine ways to achieve sustainability
1. Leave everything in pristine state, or return it
to pristine state
2. Develop so as to not overwhelm carrying
capacity of the system
3. Sustainability will take care of itself as
economic growth proceeds (Kuznets)
4. Polluter and victim can arrive at an efficient
solution by themselves (Coase)
5. Let the market take care of it!
Nine ways to achieve
sustainability?
6. Internalize externalities
7. Reinvest rents for nonrenewable resources
8. Let the national economic accounting
systems reflect defensive expenditures
9. Leave for future generations the options or
the capacity to be as well off as we are
Sustainable Development
“Sustainable development
is development that meets
the needs of the present
without compromising the
ability of future generations
to meet their own needs"
Brundtland Commission
“Our common future” 1987
Dissecting
“meeting the needs”,
“the present”
“compromise”
“ability of future generations”
“meet their own needs”
Different views
Robert Repetto
“The core idea of sustainability is that current
decisions should not impair the prospects for
maintaining or improving future living
standards. This implies that our economic
system should be managed so we can live off
the dividends of our resources”.
Resources – all resources
Mohan Munasinghe
SD is an approach that will permit continuing
improvements in the quality of life with a
lower intensity of resource use, thereby
leaving behind for future generations an
undiminished or even enhanced stock of
natural resources and other assets.
Different views
Mohan Munasinghe – three approaches
Economic: Maximize income while
maintaining a constant or increasing stock of
capital
Ecological: Maintaining resilience and
robustness of biological and physical systems
Socio-cultural: Maintaining the stability of
social and cultural systems
Triple bottom line
3 Dimensions
Economic dimension
Capital: produces a stream of goods and
services into the future
Financial capital
Manufactured capital; durable capital
Human capital; stocks of learned skills
Intellectual capital; accumulation of knowledge
and skills not embodied in individuals
Social capital; Set of institutions and customs
Natural capital; renewable and nonrenewable
Weak vs Strong sustainability
Weak sustainability; man made and natural
capital substitutable. Sum must be non-
declining
Implications?
Strong sustainability; man made and
natural capital with limited substitutability,
each stock must be non-declining separately
Implications?
Strong or weak?
Robert Repetto – Economic Approach
“The core idea of sustainability is that current
decisions should not impair the prospects for
maintaining or improving future living
standards. This implies that our economic
system should be managed so we can live off
the dividends of our resources”.
Resources – all resources
Economic dimension
Jonathan Harris Tufts U
An economically sustainable system must be
able to produce goods and services on a
continuing basis, to maintain manageable
size of government and external debt and to
avoid sectoral imbalances (maintain diversity)
Environmental dimension
D. Pearce
Sustainable development is (1) development
subject to a set of constraints which set
resource harvest rates at levels not higher
than managed natural regeneration rates and
(2) use of the environment as a waste sink on
the basis that waste disposal rates should not
exceed rates of managed or natural
assimilative capacity of the ecosystem
Quantifiable
Managed or natural regeneration rate
Forest resource
X1 biomass removed/unit time
X2 biomass regenerated/unit time
X1<=X2
Managed or natural waste assimilative
capacity
Wastewater effluent
Y1 = PPM discharged BOD/unit time
Y2 = PPM BOD capacity /unit time
Y1<=Y2
Environmental dimension
Jonathan Harris Tufts U
A stable resource base, do not overwhelm the
waste assimilative ability of the environment
nor the regenerative services of the
environment, deplete non-renewables only to
the extent we invest in renewable substitutes.
Social Dimension
Jonathan Harris Tufts U
Achieve distributional equity, adequate
provision of social services including health
and education, gender equity and political
accountability and participation
3 Approaches
Economic Approach to SD
Robert Repetto
“The core idea of sustainability is that current
decisions should not impair the prospects for
maintaining or improving future living
standards. This implies that our economic
system should be managed so we can live off
the dividends of our resources”.
Resources – all resources
Ecological approach to SD
IUCN
SD is about maintenance of essential
ecological processes and life support
systems, the preservation of genetic diversity
and the sustainable utilization of species and
ecosystems
Social Approach to SD
Ed Barbier
SD is directly concerned with increasing the
standard of living of the poor, which can be
measured in terms of increased food, real
income, education, health care, water supply,
sanitation and only indirectly concerned with
economic growth at the aggregate.
The principle
Protect the environment and at the same time
fulfill economic and social objectives
Operational criteria:
Economic objectives should not be maximized
without satisfying environmental and social
constraints
Environmental benefits should not be maximized
without satisfying economic and social constraints
Social benefits should not be maximized without
satisfying economic and environmental constraints
The principle – meant to deliver
1. Economic growth and equity; not leaving
any region behind
2. Conserving natural resources and the
environment; for us and future
generations
3. Social development; Ensure rich fabric of
social and cultural diversity, ensure rights
of workers, empowerment and at the
same time ensure jobs, education, food,
health care, energy etc.
Confusion
Sustainable development
vs.
Sustainable production
Sustainable extraction
Sustainable use
Sustainable yield
To consider
Define sustainable development of the
Icelandic Geothermal system
History of SD
1. The Beginning
1962; “Silent spring” – Rachel Carson
1963 International biological programme
initiated
1967 Environment defense fund pursues
legal options to protect environment
1968 Paul Ehrlich “The population bomb”
1968 Club of Rome
History
1. The Beginning
1968; Intergovernmental conference for rational use
and conservation of the biosphere
UN GA authorizes the Human Environment
conference in Stockholm
1969 NEPA formed – EPA established
1970 - 71 Natural Resources Defense Council
formed, earth day, Greenpeace established, IIED
1971 Founex Report
1972 Club of Rome report published “Limits to
Growth”
Limits to Growth
First Conference – first milestone
1972 Stockholm, United Nations Conference
on Human Environment
First international recognition of environmental
problems and the link between human
behavior and environmental issues
Focus on environment vs development
Concept Sustainable development argued as
the solution to this dilemma
Led to creation of UNEP
First Conference 1972
Conference themes
the interdependence of human beings and the
natural environment;
the links between economic and social
development and environmental protection;
and
the need for a global vision and common
principles.
The Road to Rio
2. Towards Rio
1972 Oil Crisis
Evidence mounts for increasing scarcity
1980 World Conservation strategy released
(IUCN)
Towards Sustainable development
Poverty, population pressure, inequity, trade
Global 2000 commissioned
1983 World Commission on Environment and
Development formed
Gro Harlem Brundtland (chair)
World Commission on Environment
and Development
Mandate to work for 3 years to:
To propose long-term environmental strategies for
achieving sustainable development to the year 2000
and beyond;
To recommend ways in which concern for the
environment may be translated into greater co-
operation among developing countries and between
countries at different stages of economic and social
development
To consider ways and means by which the
international community can deal more effectively
with environmental concerns, in the light of the other
recommendations in its report;
To help to define shared perceptions of long-term
environmental issues
2. The Road to Rio
1984 Worldwatch publishes the first State of
the World Report
1985 Antarctic ozone hole found
1985 Villach Austria, climate change
predicted
1986 IUCN Conference on Environment and
Development
1987 Our Common Future Published
Prompts the Earth Summit in Rio
Our Common Future – second
Milestone
Argue for a new era of economic growth,
growth that is forceful, and at the same time
environmentally and socially sustainable.
Three dimensions of SD
Environment
Economics
Social
Not clear on specifics
The Earth Summit – third milestone
1992, The United Nations Conference on
Environment and Development
Rio 1992
178 nations
2400 NGO´s
17000 participants
Unparalleled emphasis and interest in the
environment – and how to achieve balanced
solutions
The Earth Summit
Outcomes
Rio Declaration on Environment and
Development
Agenda 21
Convention on Biological Diversity
Forest Principles
Framework Convention on Climate Change
Establishing the CSD – began operating in
1993
Rio Declaration
Non-binding
Consists of 27 Principles intended to guide
future sustainable development around the
world
[Link]
[Link]
Rio Declaration – Key highlights
Humans at the center
States have the right to use their own resources as they see fit
Must integrate the environment into development plans
Should facilitate increased public participation
States should enact environmental legislation and should
cooperate where needed
Should actively discourage or prevent relocation of activities or
substances harmful t the environment or human health
Apply the Precautionary approach
Internalize environmental costs and use economic instruments
EIA should be undertaken for proposed activities
Peace, development and environmental protection are
interdependent and indivisible
Agenda 21
A comprehensive blueprint of action to be
taken globally, nationally and locally by
organizations of the UN, governments, and
major groups in every area in which humans
influence the environment.
The task is to balance economic development
with social and environmental objectives
21?
40 Chapters, 4 sections, 100 programme
areas
Non-binding
The 4 sections
Section I: Social and Economic Dimensions
Including combating poverty, changing consumption patterns,
population and demographic dynamics, promoting health,
promoting sustainable settlement patterns and integrating
environment and development into decision-making.
Section II: Conservation and Management of Resources for
Development
including atmospheric protection, combating deforestation,
protecting fragile environments, conservation of biological
diversity (biodiversity), and control of pollution.
Section III: Strengthening the Role of Major Groups
Including the roles of children and youth, women, NGOs, local
authorities, business and workers.
Section IV: Means of Implementation
Including science, technology transfer, education, international
institutions and mechanisms and financial mechanisms.
Local Agenda 21
Agenda 21 involves action at international,
national, regional and local levels.
Some national and state governments have
legislated or advised that local authorities
take steps to implement the plan locally
(Chapter 28)
Such programmes are often known as 'Local
Agenda 21' or 'LA21'.
UNFCCC
Binding
Signed initially by 153 nations – now been
ratified by enough nations to be implemented
Described commitments to reduce emissions
of GHG
CBD
Binding
Signed by 156 nations initially
Deals with:
Economic exploitation of genetic material and
biodiversity conservation
Creating protective areas and draw up
national plans for conservation
Convention on forest management
Non-binding
Short statement on principles for a global
consensus on forest management
Commission for SD
Was established by the General Assembly to monitor
and facilitate efforts to implement the diverse goals of
the earth summit – in particular agenda 21.
Supposed to promote dialog and encourage
partnerships among governments, UN agencies and
the NGO community.
Lacks both power to make binding resolutions and its
own financial resources to fund programs.
Reports directly to ECOSOC
CSD - functions
1. Provides a forum for the discussion of a wide range of
subjects related to SD. Supposed to strengthen the
participation of groups such as NGO’s indigenous peoples,
local governments, workers women and the young.
2. Monitors progress made by industrial and developing
countries towards SD and implementing Agenda 21. Protocol
for reporting has been agreed upon – and at least..
137 countries have submitted reports.
3. Have encouraging organizational developments but little has
been done to implement key provisions agreed upon at the
Earth Summit => But keep in mind – the CSD lacks powers to
do anything about it.
History – After Rio
3. After Rio
1993 First meeting of the CSD
1995 World Summit for Social development
1996 The Summit of the Americas on SD
1997 UN GA review of the Earth Summit
progress
2000 UN Millennium Summit – declaration of
the Millennium Goals
2001 EU sustainable development strategy
2002 Rio plus 10 - Johannesburg
Millennium Declaration
[Link]
The eight Millennium Development Goals
(MDGs) form a blueprint agreed to by all the
world´s countries and all the world´s leading
development institutions.
The goals….
The Millennium Goals
1. Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger
2. Achieve universal primary education
3. Achieve gender equality and empower women
4. Reduce child mortality
5. Improve maternal health
6. Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria
7. Ensure environmental sustainability
• Integrate the principles of sustainable development into country
policies and programs
• reverse loss of environmental resources
• Reduce by half the proportion of people without sustainable
access to safe drinking water
8. Develop a global partnership for sustainability
The Millennium Goals
[Link]
Take a look at the indicators and the most
recent report
3) Rio plus 10. Johannesburg
World Summit on Sustainable Development (WSSD)
2002 Johannesburg
Established to assess progress on implementation of
the results of the Rio summit – in particular Agenda
21.
The Johannesburg Plan of Implementation, agreed at
the World Summit on Sustainable Development
(Earth Summit 2002) affirmed UN commitment to 'full
implementation' of Agenda 21, alongside
achievement of the Millennium Development Goals
and other international agreements.
Non-binding
No new conventions
Johannesburg
Johannesburg Declaration
Targets set for economic factors and poverty
reduction – e.g.
Halve by 2015 the population living on less than 1$ a day
Ensure by 2015 all children complete primary education
Non-quantitative targets for environment
Substantially increase global share of renewable energy
sources
Achieve by 2010 a significant reduction in the current
rate of loss of biodiversity
Johannesburg
Focus:
Social pillar of SD
Fight poverty
Mutually enhancing poverty and environmental
degradation is one of the factors preventing SD
Address equitable access to resources
Debt relief programs
Increasing ODA
The three dimensions
The three conferences defined the three
dimensions
Stockholm (Environment)
Rio (Economics)
Johannesburg (Social)
Move towards fostering synergy
International community seems to agree on
the general goals of SD
Efforts remain fragmented – e.g. little link
between various environmental agreements
Increased cooperation required between
various agreements (e.g. CBD and UNFCCC)
– and there seems to be willingness to do
this.
The Precautionary Principle
Where environmental consequences of
regulatory inaction are (1) in some way
uncertain (2) but non-trivial, we must act
In essence minimizing risk – setting minimum
acceptable risk
Already implemented into EU legislation and
USA legislation
How can we get towards SD?
1. How do we define it?
What does it mean?
What is the objective?
What are the basic principles?
2. How do we know if we are moving there?
Indicators
3. How to move further?
From indicators to action
Sustainable Development
“Sustainable development
is development that meets
the needs of the present
without compromising the
ability of future generations
to meet their own needs"
Brundtland Commission
“Our common future” 1987
Economic dimension
An economically sustainable system must be
able to produce goods and services on a
continuing basis, to maintain manageable
size of government and external debt and to
avoid sectoral imbalances (maintain diversity)
Environmental dimension
A stable resource base, do not overwhelm the
waste assimilative ability of the environment
nor the regenerative services of the
environment, deplete non-renewables only to
the extent we invest in renewable substitutes.
Social Dimension
Achieve distributional equity, adequate
provision of social services including health
and education, gender equity and political
accountability and participation
The principle
Protect the environment and at the same time
fulfill economic and social objectives
The three core drivers of un-
sustainability
Consumption
Use of resources beyond the reasonable limits
set by nature
Production
Gross inefficiencies in production.
Distribution
Inequitable distribution e.g. distribution of
global income between rich and poor
Distribution
Myths
Most environmental The champagne glass
degradation is done by the
poor
Poverty reduction leads to
environmental degradation
Population growth necessarily
leads to env. degradation
The poor are too poor to invest
in env.
Poor people lack technical
knowledge for resource
management
Conclusion
Is a long journey towards SD
End-point not definable
Each country/region has different goals,
based on economic circumstances,
population size, stage of development,
resource endowment etc….
General vague principle agreed upon