FIRE ASSESSMENT
PHALGUNI SINGH
VIPUL JAIN
WHAT IS FIRE RISK ASSESSMENT
The aim is to identify and characterize the fire risks of concern and provide information for
fire risk management decisions by answering three basic questions-
what can happen (what can go wrong)?
how likely is it that it will happen?
if it does happen, what are the consequences?
HOW TO ASSESS?
Identifying
the objectives of the assessment
the metrics for assessment
the hazards of concern
the potential fire scenarios
conducting frequency
consequence analyses
SFPE –SOCIETY OF FIRE PROTECTION ENGINEERS
Risk Assessment Objectives, Metrics and Thresholds
“Provide an environment for occupants that is reasonably safe from fire by protection of
occupants not intimate with initial fire development and improvement of the survivability of
occupants intimate with the initial fire development”
Some of the most important steps in the process are-
• identifying the objectives of the risk assessment
• the measure(s) that will be used to express risk
• how the risk measures will be presented or communicated for decision making
purposes.
Characterisation – it helpls to drive scenarios of consideration and risk assessment
and evaluation later in process
WHICH OCCUPANTS -all of them, only the most sensitive population, another subgroup
WHAT CONDITIONS - smoke inhalation, radiant energy exposure, high temperatures, all or
any other circumstances
FINANCIAL LOSS – property loss (direct) or operational continuity (indirect)
Hazard, Event and Scenario Identification
HAZARD - A hazard is a condition or physical situation with a potential to result in harm to
the focus of the risk assessment (e.g., people, property, operational continuity).
Fire hazards include - heat sources (for ignition) and fuels (type, arrangement, products of
combustion).
Example: An initiation hazard might be heating equipment. A contributing hazard might be an
earthquake, which could cause the heating equipment to come in contact with an
unintended fuel source.
EVENT - If the potential for undesirable consequences of the hazard manifests in an
occurrence, that constitutes an event.
Example: If the fuel ignites because the heating equipment was knocked over in an
earthquake, that is an event.
SCENARIO - A fire scenario is a fire incident characterized by a sequence of events. The threat
posed by the hazard is a basis for identifying scenarios. A fire scenario is a qualitative, time-
sequence-based description of a fire that identifies key events that characterize the fire. It
should describe the fire from initiation until burnout or extinguishment, including
performance of passive or active fire protection systems that may be present.
Example: If the fire spreads to adjacent fuels and continues to grow, that is a scenario.
Frequency Analysis, Consequence Analysis and Data
Risk Estimation
NFPA 551
NFPA 551 defines five categories of fire
risk assessment methods in order of
increasing complexity, namely
1) Qualitative methods
2) Semi-qualitative criteria-based
methods
3) Semi-qualitative consequence
methods
4) Quantitative methods
5) Cost-benefit risk methods