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AI and Big Data in Finance Insights

Financial markets are facing new challenges from digitalization, regulations, and competitors. Artificial intelligence and big data can help address these challenges in several ways: 1) AI can improve the customer interface through chatbots, robo-advisors, and faster credit decisions. 2) AI helps internal operations through fraud detection and optimizing bank asset allocation. 3) Regulators want more data access for supervision, requiring automation. 4) In financial markets, deep learning can analyze diverse data sources to inform algorithmic trading.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
28 views27 pages

AI and Big Data in Finance Insights

Financial markets are facing new challenges from digitalization, regulations, and competitors. Artificial intelligence and big data can help address these challenges in several ways: 1) AI can improve the customer interface through chatbots, robo-advisors, and faster credit decisions. 2) AI helps internal operations through fraud detection and optimizing bank asset allocation. 3) Regulators want more data access for supervision, requiring automation. 4) In financial markets, deep learning can analyze diverse data sources to inform algorithmic trading.

Uploaded by

Hromit Prodigy
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© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PPTX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

Artificial Intelligence and

Big Data in Finance

Ruth Kaila
Aalto University

Tvärminne 6.3.2018
MOTIVATION

Financial sector is facing new challenges and new opportunities stemming


from

• digitalisation and new technologies: blockchain, platforms, big data


and data analytics, machine learning and artificial intelligence

• new regulations: regulation to open the financial markets for


competition, to easen investments and to stabilize financial markets

• rapidly changing global landscape: Fintech (Financial technologies)


startups and large tech companies Facebook, Google, Amazon are
challenging traditional banks and financial institutions.
• According to PwC report 2017, financial services could lose as
much as 40% of revenue to Fintech firms in the coming years.

• Large tech companies have modified expectations of online customer


experience. Payment becomes an invisible part of the buying process;
online-shopping has brought new ways of paying.
MOTIVATION

Financial markets are facing new challenges and new opportunities


stemming from

• digitalisation and new technologies: blockchain, platforms, big data


and data analytics, machine learning and artificial intelligence
Cheaper and faster solutions are needed through the
whole •financial sector.
new regulations: regulation to open the financial markets for
competition, to easen investments and to stabilize financial markets;

• rapidly changing global landscape: Fintech (Financial technologies)


startups and large tech companies are challenging traditional banks
and financial institutions. According to PwC report 2017, financial
services could lose as much as 40% of revenue to Fintech firms.

• Large tech companies (Facebook, Google, Amazon) have modified


expectations of online customer experience. Payment becomes an
invisible part of the buying process; online-shopping has brought new
ways of paying
Venn Diagram
ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE

Artificial Intelligence
A program that can sense, reason, act,
and adapt based on sets of rules and
data

Machine Learning
time
Algorithms whose performance
improve as they are exposed to more
data over time

Deep Learning
Subset of machine
learning in which
multilayered neural
networks learn from
vast amounts of data

Picture by ActOn
MACHINE LEARNING

Machine Learning

X=f(Y), X
and Y are
X is known,
known,
what more can Unsupervised Reinforcement
What is f? Supervised Learning
Learning Learning
be known

Classification Dimension
Regression Problems Clustering Problem
Problem Reduction

SVM PCA
Linear Regression Logistic Regression Support vector K-Means Principal
machine Component Analysis
DEEP LEARNING
FINANCIAL SECTOR
Chatbots
Customer Robo-advisers
interface Credit desicions

Fraud
detection
Financial sector
Bank asset
Regulation Banks
allocation
Internal
and Insurance
companies Operations
Surveillance
Stock Exchanges

Algo-trading
Financial HFT-trading
Markets Portfolio management
CUSTOMER INTERFACE
Chatbots

Chatbots – chat robots


A chatbot is a computer program that simulates human conversation through
artificial intelligence

- cheap
- easy to collect information on customers
CUSTOMER INTERFACE
Robo-advisors

Robo-advisors provide digital financial advice or investment management


based on mathematical rules or algorithms.

Human intervention is moderate or minimial.

Low cost structure + can easily serve large markets –> available for not-so-
welfare people. ([Link]., in GB, typically only very welfare people can use financial
advisors)

Transparent: the regulator has continuously been obliged to monitor


investment companies that are cheating their clients.

In their daily lives, customers have already been accustomed with online
customer interfaces; no expectation of traditional banking environment.

BUT
The customers using robo-advisors bring a relatively low profit.
How is it possible to differentiate from other robo-advisors?
Target allocation per risk level
Robo-Advisors
CUSTOMER INTERFACE
Credit desicion

- AI based desicions faster than humans, credit desicion possibly in seconds

- possibility to use a lot of data on the customer (also of people without


banking history)

- typically 50 data points has been used to make a credit decision; nowdays,
easy to use 1000 data points
- non-traditional variables: how a customer fills out a form, how
much time they spend on a site, mobile phone payments data
- traditional variables and in-house data: customer interaction data,
payments profile, and purchase transactions

- machine learning can be used; we look at the payment record of customers


who have payed the whole loan back; the algo can be trained with this kind
of data and predict the credit quality of a new customer

- problem in machine learning: the customer has the right to know according
to which principles the desicion has been made; problems related to
discrimination
CUSTOMER INTERFACE
Customer recognition

Banking is moving more and more on-line and mobile


customer recognition becomes more and more important

- image recognition technologies


- biometric recognition
problem when the information is stolen; cannot be changed
INTERNAL OPERATIONS
Fraud detection

Credit cards

- Each transaction is compared against account history; machine


learning algos are able to assess the probability of a transaction being
fraudulent.
- unusual activities, [Link] out-of-the-country purchases, untypical
purchases, large cash withdrawals will be checked by humans
-> algos can learn the changing patterns of the customer

Insurances

- Machine learning algos can be taugth using historical data from


typical types of frauds.
INTERNAL OPERATIONS
Optimization of banks assets

The financial sector is highly regulated.

Regulation gives boundary conditions on how much banks can


invest in high-risq instruments, how large the capital buffer
must be et cetera.

Machine learning can be used to optimize asset allocation.


REGULATION AND SUPERVISION

- more and more regulation - more and more supervision


- supervisor wants to see the original data, not only reports on it
expensive

- for companies, does not provide additional value -> should be


automatized (ex: all Austrian banks are collaborating)
FINANCIAL MARKETS

A lot of data is available. This data must be analysed before it can be used in
trading
- data generated by individuals: social media posts, product reviews, search
trends
- business data: company data, commercial transactions, credit card data
- sensor data: satellite image data, car traffic, ship locations

Deep learning:
can be used in analyzing satellite pictures (how many cars in the Walmart
parking place, what kind of harvest, risk of floods et cetera)

Unsupervised learning:
- f. ex a set of asset returns data is given; the task is to find correlations
- clustering: finding historical regimes with high or low volatility or falling
inflations
- factor analysis: identify the main drivers such as momentum, value, carry,
volatility, or liquidity.

Supervised learning:
- regression-based: how growing inflation will affect the market
ALGORITHMIC TRADING

Algorithmic trading has been used for a long time; today 70 % of


the trade is made by algos

- information on what and when to buy and sell

- splitting market offers in optimal sizes in order to minimize the


market impact

- High-frequency trading (1/1000 second); optimization of time,


market place, lot size; search of price discrepancies
ALGO TRADING
Strategies

Name of Algo strategy Description of strategy


Trade execution algorithms Designed to minimize the price impact of
executing trades of large volumes by
splitting orders into smaller parcels and
slowly releasing these into the market.

Strategy implementation algorithms Designed to read real-time market data


and formulate trading signals to be
executed by trade execution algorithms.
Stealth/gaming Designed to take advantage of the price
algorithms movement caused when large trades are
filled, and also to detect and outperform
other algorithmic strategies.

Source: ASIC 2010


Average amount of time a stock held in U.S.
- 1945 - 4 years
- 2000 - 8 months
- 2008 - 2 months
- 2011 - 22 seconds

high The greatest portion of present day algo-


trading is high-frequency trading

Traditional
Long-term investing
Execution
latency

Algorithmic or electronic trading

HFT
low

short Position holding period long


Source: Aldridge
• Trades are executed at the best possible prices In the long term, however, humans will
retain an advantage: “Machines will likely
not do well in assessing regime changes
• Trades timed correctly and instantly, to avoid significant
(market turning points) and forecasts
price changes
which involve interpreting more
complicated human responses such as
• Reduced transaction costs those of politicians and central bankers,
understanding client positioning, or
anticipating crowding,” says J.P. Morgan
• Simultaneous automated checks on multiple market (investment bank)
conditions

• Risk of manual errors in placing the trades is reduced

• Backtest the algorithm, based on available historical and


real time data

• Reduced possibility of mistakes by human traders based


on emotional and psychological factors
High-frequency quotes
high frequency traders
first post locking limit
orders to attract slow
traders. Then they rapidly
revise these orders onto
less generous terms,
hoping to execute
profitably against the
incoming flow of slow
traders' market orders.
AUTOMATED EXCHANGE MARKETS ARE VULNERABLE TO MARKET MANIPULATION
“Breaking: Two Explosions in the White House and
Barack Obama is injured”
Associated Press (AP) in Twitter 24.4.2013

BUT THIS TWEET IS FAKE. The Twitter account of AP had


been compromised.
Market instability is a risk:
HFT trading is more correlated than human
Market instability is a risk
HFT trading is more correlated than human
CONCLUSIONS

- technology is an important factor on the financial sector


- the financial sector is highly regulated
- huge amount of data is available

-> very much possibilities for artificial intelligence on all fields


of the financial sector

- threats: cyber threats, threats related to data privacy and


market instability

Common questions

Powered by AI

Increased data regulations and the necessity for transparency have significant implications for AI use in financial services, as institutions must ensure compliance with strict data privacy laws and anti-discrimination statutes. Regulatory requirements necessitate that financial companies provide clarity on how AI models make decisions, which poses challenges given the complexity and opacity of some algorithms. This requires developing mechanisms for explainability and accountability in AI systems, ensuring that biases are minimized and decisions are justifiable, hence aligning with regulatory frameworks while also maintaining competitive performance in service delivery .

Financial institutions implementing chatbot technologies face challenges such as ensuring seamless integration with existing systems while maintaining data security and regulatory compliance . Another challenge is creating bots capable of sophisticated natural language processing to enhance their capability to understand and respond to complex customer queries effectively. Moreover, there is a need for continuous updates and monitoring to prevent misinformation and inaccuracies in conversations, alongside ensuring customer trust and satisfaction through reliable AI performance .

Ensuring privacy and security in the increasingly digital and AI-driven financial industry poses several challenges. One key challenge is protecting customer data from breaches and unauthorized access, especially given the diverse data sources and the extensive processing involved in AI-driven analytics . Strong encryption and multi-layered security protocols must balance accessibility and protection. Regulatory compliance regarding data protection laws adds pressure to be transparent and maintain privacy standards. Additionally, the ever-evolving nature of cyber threats requires constant innovation in security measures, risking significant financial and reputational damage in case of failures .

Unsupervised learning techniques play a critical role in analyzing financial market data by enabling the discovery of patterns and relationships within datasets without predefined labels. For instance, unsupervised learning is used in clustering to identify historical market regimes with varying volatility or inflations, and in factor analysis to discern key factors driving financial performance such as momentum or liquidity . This capability allows financial analysts to uncover hidden insights and trends that can inform strategic decision-making and risk assessments without direct human intervention in labeling the data .

The integration of AI and big data in the financial sector presents opportunities for traditional institutions by enabling more efficient and cost-effective customer interactions through technologies like chatbots and robo-advisors, which can provide services at scale and with lower costs . However, it also poses challenges, as fintech firms and tech giants like Facebook, Google, and Amazon leverage these technologies to offer superior customer experiences that potentially capture market share from traditional banks, threatening 40% of their revenue according to a PwC report . Traditional institutions must innovate and integrate these technologies while navigating regulatory hurdles and maintaining security to remain competitive.

Deep learning contributes to improving the accuracy of financial predictions and trading strategies by processing and learning from vast amounts of complex data, such as satellite images, social media sentiment, and transaction patterns. By employing multilayered neural networks, deep learning models can detect subtle, non-linear patterns and correlations that traditional models might miss. For example, analyzing satellite images to assess retail traffic or crop yields can provide innovative data inputs for trading strategies . These insights allow for more informed and timely decision-making processes in trading operations, enhancing competitiveness and profitability .

Financial markets utilize supervised learning to adapt to changing economic conditions by employing regression-based models to predict how variables like inflation impact market behaviors. These models train on historical data, identifying patterns and learning relationships between economic indicators and market movements. By applying these insights, financial institutions can forecast market trends and adjust trading strategies accordingly. Such predictions help in making informed asset allocations and risk management decisions, aligning with evolving economic landscapes . The adaptability of supervised learning in processing vast amounts of financial data enhances firms' ability to anticipate and respond to market changes in real-time.

Tech giants such as Facebook, Amazon, and Google have transformed the customer experience in online transactions by making payments a seamless and often invisible part of the buying process. This involves integrating advanced payment systems that provide quick, user-friendly transaction experiences, thus raising the expectation for traditional banks to match these standards. These companies leverage their platforms to simplify and innovate payment solutions, enhancing convenience and customer satisfaction, and thereby challenging traditional financial institutions to rethink their approach to digital payment systems .

Machine learning techniques enhance credit decision-making by allowing financial institutions to process large amounts of data quickly, potentially making credit decisions in seconds. It uses both traditional data, such as payment profiles, and non-traditional data, such as how a customer fills out a form or their mobile payment data, to predict creditworthiness. By analyzing the payment history of prior customers, machine learning models can be trained to assess the credit quality of new applicants . This approach enables more nuanced and rapid decision-making compared to traditional methods.

High-frequency trading (HFT) carries significant risks and vulnerabilities, such as market manipulation where traders first post limit orders to attract slower traders and then rapidly revise these orders for profit . HFT is also highly correlated, which can lead to increased market instability as automated trades can trigger chain reactions that a human trader may avoid . Additionally, the reliance on automated systems exposes markets to potential manipulation and cybersecurity threats, as seen in the case of the fake Associated Press tweet that momentarily affected market stability .

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