DEPARTMENT OF
ENERGY
Energy Insights: The New
Administrations Energy Plan
Atty. Richie Ramos-Pilares
DOE Spokesperson
25 August 2016
Outline
Philippine Energy Mix
Philippine Power Mix
Philippine Generation Mix
Initiatives for the Power Sector
Strategic Direction 2016-2030
DEPARTMENT OF
ENERGY
PRIMARY ENERGY MIX
2014
2015
Solar/Wind; 0% Biofuels; 1%
Biomass; 15%
Biomass; 14%
Oil; 34%
Oil; 32%
Geothermal; 18%
Geothermal; 19%
Hydro; 5%
Solar/Wind; 0%Biofuels; 1%
Hydro; 4% Natural Gas; 6%
Natural Gas; 6%
Coal; 22%
Total Ene rgy: 47.6 MTOE Coal; 22%
RE: 39.7%
RE + Natgas: 46%
Total Energy: 51.8 MTOE
RE: 37.9%
RE + Natgas: 43.4%
DEPARTMENT OF
ENERGY
FUEL INPUT MIX FOR POWER
GENERATION
2014
2015
Other RE; 0%
Oil; 6%
Natural Gas; 12%
Geothermal; 37%
Coal; 35%
Hydro; 10%
Total Input: 23.7 MTOE
RE: 47.4%
DEPARTMENT OF
ENERGY
Other RE; 1%
Oil; 6%
Natural Gas; 11%
Geothermal; 38%
Coal; 37%
Total Input: 25.2
MTOE
RE: 47.0%
Hydro; 9%
2015 POWER
PHL Generation
PHILIPPINES
GENERATION MIX 82.4 TWh
PHL RE =
25.4%
- Interconnection
Source: DOE Power Statistics 2015
CAPACITY MIX
PHILIPPI
NES
Source: DOE List of Existing Power Plants, 30 June
6
2016
2016 1ST HALF CAPACITY
PHL Installed Capacity
PHILIPPINES
20.06 GW
MIX
PHL RE =
34.3%
Wind; 2% Solar; 3% Biomass; 1%
Hydro; 18%
Coal; 33%
Geothermal ; 10%
Natural Gas; 14%
- Interconnection
Source: DOE List of Existing Power Plants, 30 June 2016
Oil Based; 18%
CAPACITY MIX
LUZON
Dependable
Capacity
Wind; 2% Biomass; 1% Solar; 2%
Hydro; 17%
Coal; 38%
Geothermal ; 6%
Natural Gas; 21%
Oil Based; 14%
Source: DOE List of Existing Power Plants, 30 June
2016
CAPACITY MIX
VISAYAS
Dependable
Capacity
Solar; 11%
Biomass; 3%
Coal; 30%
Wind; 4%
Hydro; 0%
Geothermal ; 33%
Oil Based; 19%
Source: DOE List of Existing Power Plants, 30 June
2016
CAPACITY MIX
MINDANAO
Dependable
Capacity
Biomass; 0% Solar; 2%
Coal; 25%
Hydro; 36%
Geothermal ; 5% Oil Based; 32%
Source: DOE List of Existing Power Plants, 30 June
2016
REVISITING ENERGY DATA
Establish updated inventory of
operating power plants
Determine capacity requirement
Assess operating performance of power
plants
Operating manual Desk Audit
Efficiency
Availability factor
Economic Life
DEPARTMENT OF
ENERGY
REVISITING ENERGY DATA
Determine level of contracted capacity
by plant
Bilateral Contracts between the DU/EC
and GenCo (PSA/PSC)
Replacement Power comes in during
preventive Maintenance
Ancillary Services Procurement
Agreements between NGCP and Genco
(ASPA)
Average capacity related to WESM
sales
DEPARTMENT OF
Dispatch
Issues (Scheduled VS Actual)
ENERGY
3
2
EXPAND
EXPAND
ENERGY
ENERGY
ACCESS
ACCESS
6
1
PROMOTE
PROMOTE
A
A LOW
LOW
CARBON
CARBON
FUTURE
FUTURE
ENSURE
ENSURE
ENERGY
ENERGY
SECURITY
SECURITY
ENCOURAGE
ENCOURAGE
INVESTMENT
INVESTMENT
IN
IN
INFRASTRUCT
INFRASTRUCT
URE
URE AND
AND
FACILITIES
FACILITIES
2016-2030
STRATEGIC
DIRECTIONS
FOSTER
FOSTER
STRONGER
STRONGER
INTERNATION
INTERNATION
AL
AL RELATIONS
RELATIONS
AND
AND
PARTNERSHIP
PARTNERSHIP
S
S
STRENGTHE
STRENGTHE
N
N
CONSUMER
CONSUMER
WELFARE
WELFARE
AND
AND
PROTECTIO
PROTECTIO
N
N
PURSUE
DEVELOPMEN
T AND
IMPLEMENTAT
ION OF LOCAL
ENERGY
PLANS
IMPLEMENT
IMPLEMENT
&
& MONITOR
MONITOR
SECTORAL
SECTORAL
ROADMAPS
ROADMAPS
&
& ACTION
ACTION
PLANS
PLANS
ADVOCATE
ADVOCATE
THE
THE PASSAGE
PASSAGE
OF
OF THE
THE
DEPARTMENT
DEPARTMENT
S
S LEGISLATIVE
LEGISLATIVE
AGENDA
AGENDA
13
STRATEGIC DIRECTIONS FOR 2016-2030
ENSURE ENERGY SECURITY
Improve reliability, availability and resiliency of energy
infrastructure and facilities
Connect the Mindanao grid with the interconnected Visayas
and Luzon Grids
Promote indigenous energy development and utilization
Promote technology innovation through research, development,
demonstration and deployment
Clean, efficient and smart technologies
Climate proof energy infrastructures and facilities
Practice
climate
change
readiness/preparedness
adaptation
and
disaster
14
STRATEGIC DIRECTIONS FOR 2016-2030
EXPAND ENERGY ACCESS TO
ENSURE AFFORDABLE,
RELIABLE, SUSTAINABLE
AND MODERN ENERGY FOR ALL
Update
and
implement
the
Power
Development Plan and its component plans
(Transmission Devt. Plan, Distribution Devt.
Plan, Missionary Electrification Devt Plan,
Household Electrification Devt Plan)
Achieve 100 percent electrification of
targeted households in all the three major
islands
Accelerate total privatization of PSALM
assets
15
STRATEGIC DIRECTIONS FOR 2016-2030
PROMOTE A LOW CARBON
3
FUTURE
Institute fuel mix policy
Triple RE Capacity by 2030 (based on
2010 level)
16
STRATEGIC DIRECTIONS FOR 2016-2030
ENCOURAGE INVESTMENT IN
INFRASTRUCTURE AND FACILITIES
Plan and build an appropriate portfolio of installed
and dependable power capacities for baseload,
mid-merit and peaking requirements.
Build a common carrier LNG receiving and
distribution infrastructure anchored at a future
Clean Energy City
17
GDP Economic Growth
Drivers2015
2020
10%
9%
31%
61%
59%
All industry
All Agriculture
All Commercial
All Industry
All Agriculture
2025
All Commercial
2030
7%
8%
30%
29%
63%
62%
All Industry
All Agriculture
30%
All Commercial
All Industry
All Agriculture
GDP growth: 2016 = 7%; 2017 to 2030 = 7.5%
All Commercial
LUZON LOAD CURVE MAY 3 2016
Max Demand =
9,726 MW (3 May
2016)
Demand
Demand and Required Reserves
Source: National Grid Corporation of the Philippines
LUZON LOAD DURATION CURVE
Source: National Grid Corporation of the Philippines
LUZON GENERATION PROFILE
2016 THEORETICAL
PROFILE
Baseload
Intermediate
Peaking
8887.0
4 9,000
1954.1
6 2,000
503.36 500
78%
17%
4%
2014 PROFILE BASED ON ACTUAL PLANT
FACTORS
5840.411,500
Baseload
9 5,900
2457.1
Intermediate
0 2,500
3730.4
Note: Natural Gas included as baseload
Peaking
7 3,700
100%
49%
21%
31%
STRATEGIC DIRECTIONS FOR 2016-2030
PURSUE DEVELOPMENT AND
IMPLEMENTATION OF LOCAL
ENERGY PLANS IN SUPPORT
OF REGIONAL ECONOMIC
DEVELOPMENT PLANS
Formulate/update Philippine Energy Plan and
Regional Energy Plans
Mindanao Energy Plan
Visayas Energy Plan
Mindoro Island Power Development Plan
Palawan Island Power Development Plan
22
STRATEGIC DIRECTIONS FOR 2016-2030
IMPLEMENT AND MONITOR SECTORAL
ROADMAPS AND ACTION PLANS
Alternative fuels
Energy Efficiency and Conservation
Resource development (oil, gas and coal)
Renewable Energy
Downstream oil, gas and coal
Power and electrification
ICT for energy (greater access to information by public and other
stakeholders)
23
STRATEGIC DIRECTIONS FOR 2016-2030
ADVOCATE THE PASSAGE OF THE
DEPARTMENTS LEGISLATIVE AGENDA
Energy Efficiency and Conservation, Natural Gas, Liquefied
Petroleum Gas (LPG), Energy projects as projects of national
significance, Petroleum Upstream Regulation
Review of existing laws such as EPIRA, Downstream Oil
Industry, Renewable Energy
24
STRATEGIC DIRECTIONS FOR 2016-2030
STRENGTHEN CONSUMER WELFARE AND
PROTECTION THROUGH MULTISECTORAL MULTIMEDIA IEC PROGRAMS
Conduct nationwide IEC campaigns on ways to reduce
electricity, fuel consumption and safe handling and
usage of petroleum products
Promote energy awareness among public school
students through conduct of seminars and field visits
25
STRATEGIC DIRECTIONS FOR 2016-2030
FOSTER STRONGER INTERNATIONAL
RELATIONS AND PARTNERSHIPS
Bilateral and multi-lateral energy cooperation
Facilitate free trade agreements on energy trade
and services
UNs Sustainable Energy for All (SE4All)
26
DEPARTMENT OF
ENERGY
END OF PRESENTATION
Energy Insights: The New
Administrations Energy Plan
25 August 2016