PORTFOLIO-
MARKOWITZ MODEL
SIMPLE DIVERSIFICATION
Portfolio risk can be reduced by the simplest kind of
diversification.
Portfolio means the group of assets an investor owns.
The naive kind of diversification is known as simple
diversification.
In the case of simple diversification, securities are selected at
random and no analytical procedure is used.
Simple random diversification reduces the total risk. The
reason behind this is that the unsystematic price fluctuations
are not correlated with the markets systematic fluctuations.
DIVERSIFICATION & PORTFOLIO RISK
How simple diversification reduces the risk?
Unique
Risk
Market Total Risk
Risk
5
Number of stocks
PROBLEMS OF VAST DIVERSIFICATION
PURCHASE OF POOR PERFORMERS
INFORMATION INADEQUACY
HIGH RESEARCH COST
HIGH TRANSACTION COST
THE MARKOWITZ MODEL
ASSUMPTION:
• The individual investor estimates risk on the basis of
variability of return i.e. the variance of returns .
• Investors decisions is solely based on the expected return and
variance of returns only.
• For a given level of risk, investor prefers high return.
• Likewise, for a given level of return investor prefers lowr risk
than higher risk.
CONCEPT OF MARKOWITZ MODEL
Take the stock of ABC Stock ABC Stock XYZ
Co. & XYZ Co. The
returns expected from Return % 11 or 17 20 or 8
each co. and their
probabilities of Probability .5 each .5 each
occurrence , expected return return
returns and the variances Expected 14 14
are given: Return
Variance 9 36
Standard 3 6
Deviation
The change in portfolio Stock Stock Portfolio
proportions can change the ABC(X1) XYZ(X2) Standard
portfolio risk. Taking the Deviation
same example of ABC & 100 0 3
XYZ stock, the portfolio
standard deviation is
66.66 33.3 0
calculated for different
proportions.
50 50 1.5
0 100 6
Values of Rp and standard deviation p for
varying degrees of correlation co-efficient
Proportion Proportion of Rp S.D p S.D p S.D p S.D p
of X Y security in rxy rxy rxy rxy
security in portfolio 1-X +1 -1 0 +.5
portfolio X
1.00 0.00 5.00 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0
0.75 0.25 5.75 5.5 0.5 3.9 4.8
0.50 0.50 6.50 7.0 3.0 5.4 6.25
0.25 0.75 7.25 8.5 6.5 7.6 8.1
0.00 1.00 8.00 10.0 10.0 10.0 10.0
RISK & RETURN WITH DIFFERENT
CORRELATION
r=+1 r=-1
Rp Rp
[Link] [Link]
RISK & RETURN WITH DIFFERENT
CORRELATION
r=0 r=+0.5
Rp Rp
[Link] [Link]
MARKOWITZ EFFICIENT FRONTIER
Portfolio Expected Return (Rp)% Risk ([Link])
A 17 13
B 15 8
C 10 3
D 7 2
E 7 4
F 7 8
G 10 12
H 9 8
J 6 7.5