UNIT II
Currency Risk & Its Management
Currency Risk (Exposure) or
Foreign Exchange Risk
Exchange Rate between currencies changes
frequently
Such change influences the value of
multinational firms – their
Assets,
Liabilities,
Present and future cash flows
In other words, they faces CURRENCY RISK
Currency Risk
Types
Types of Currency Risk
Economic Risk Accounting or
(Effects Cash Flows) Translation Risk
(Do not effect Cash Flows)
Transaction Risk
(Current Cash Flows)
Operating Risk
(Future Cash Flows)
Currency Risk
1. Transaction Risk
Concerned with the impact of changes in
exchange rate on Current Cash Flows.
Mainly because of following:
Export & Import
Borrowing & Lending in Foreign Currency
Intra-Firm flow in an Multinational Company
Currency Risk
2. Operating Risk
Concerned with the impact of changes in
exchange rate on Future Cash Flows.
Which is related to Costs and Revenues of firm
Mainly because of following:
Increase in Cost of imported Raw-Material
If domestic currency depreciates
Decrease in Export Revenue
If domestic currency appreciates
Increase in other factors cost
Currency Risk
3. Translation Risk
Also known as Accounting Risk
Emerges on account of consolidation of
financial statements (P&L, BS) of multinationals
It is done by converting financial statements of
subsidiaries denominated in different currencies
into the domestic currency of parent company
Any change in exchange rate effects the
consolidated statements
Currency Risk
3. Translation Risk
One Thought – It is irrelevant, as does not
effects the cash flows
Other Thought – Relevant, as it effects the net
worth (share prices) of firm
This risk is also depends on no. of countries in
which multinational works
If no. of countries is high, so will depreciate and
other will appreciate neutralizing the effect
Translation Risk
Methods of Translation
Current Rate Method
All items at current rate
In case of fixed assets against historical concept
Current / Non-Current Method
CurrentAssets/Liabilities at Current Rate
Fixed Assets / Long Term Liabilities at Historical Rate
Income Statement at average rate
Translation Risk
Methods of Translation
Monetary / Non-Monetary Method
AllLiabilities & Current Assets except stock at current
Inventory & Fixed Assets at Historical rate
Income statement (except) depreciation at average
rate
Temporal Method
All liabilities and current assets (including inventory if
shown at MP) at current rate
All Fixed assets and Inventory (if shown at CP) at
historical rate.
Income Statement (except Dep.) at average
Management of Currency Risk
Reducing the currency risk, through different
types of hedging, to eliminate the result in loss,
is known as Management of Currency Risk.
We can see different strategies of different type
of Risks:
Hedging of Transaction Risk
Hedging of Operating Risk
Hedging of Translation Risk
Management of Currency Risk
Hedging of Transaction Risk
Contractual Hedges
Natural Hedges
Leads and Lags
Cross-Hedging
Currency Diversification
Risk-Sharing
Pricing of Transaction
Parallel Loans
Matching of Cash Flows
Management of Currency Risk
Hedging of Operating Risk
Marketing Strategies
New Markets
Product Differentiation
New Pricing
Production Strategies
New Source of Raw-Material
New Substitutes via Research
Management of Currency Risk
Hedging of Translation Risk
Selecting Appropriate Method
International Trade Theories
Why does Nations Trade?