Understanding Risk and
Risk Management
RAJAT MADAN
PGDFM - I
Risk
A course of action or inaction taken
under conditions of uncertainty which
exposes the risk taker to possible
loss, or gain to reach a desired
Outcome.
An undesirable situation or
circumstance that is likely to cause a
harm or a loss
RISK
is
Everywhere
Risk is all around us
• To live is to risk dying
• To laugh is to risk appearing the
fool
• To hope is to risk despair
• To love is to risk not being loved in
return
Can
Can
We
We Avoid
Eliminate Risk?
Risk?
Types of Personal Risk
Physical risk
Emotional risk
Financial risk
Why People take Risks
Profit
• Rewards
• Excitement
• Benefits
• Stupidity
Risk Guiding Principles
Learning and personal growth
requires taking risks
• Take only these risks, where you
can handle the loss
• Adjust risks that are too much to
gamble with
• Accept that the price of risk is an
occasional failure
Risk tolerance
The amount of risk that is
acceptable to the individual,
organization or client
It may be different from the
individuals working in that
organization
Understanding Risk
Risk happens as a result of a cause
If it happens ( Probability)
it will result in (an impact or
effect).
Uncertainty, Opportunity,
Risk
Start of Completion
project of the Project
Unfavorable
Risk
Unknown
Or
Uncertainty
Favorable
Opportunity
Risk and Uncertainty
Risk
The outcome can be described within
established confidence limits
Uncertainty
Uncommon state of nature characterized
by absence of any information related to
the desired outcome.
Complete absence of information
Nothing is known about the outcome
You can not assign probabilities to uncertainty
Certainty
All information for making the right
decision is available..
The outcome is predictable with
reasonable certainty
What is Risk Management?
It is the systematic process of
identifying, analyzing and responding to
project risks. It includes actions to
maximizing the positive events and
minimizing the negative ones.
• The preparation for possible events in
advance rather than responding as they
happen.
What is the Goal of Project
Risk Management?
To forecast the various sources of
risk
to a project, especially those with
the most
serious impact, and seek to reduce
their
Consequences or probabilities.
Why Risk Management is
important?
It offers significant improvement to the
final project
• Projects have better chances of success
• It improves the project schedule and
cost
• Stakeholders and team members will
better understand the nature of the
project
• It helps to define the strengths and the
weaknesses of the project
Risk Management
Processes
1. Risk management planning
2. Risk identification
3. Qualitative risk analysis
4. Quantitative risk analysis
5. Risk response planning
6. Risk monitoring and control
Risk Management
Planning
Deciding how to approach risk
Management for a particular project
How
What
When
How much time
How much money
Risk Identification
What are the things that could
go wrong ?
What are the possible causes for
things going wrong ?
If it does go wrong, what could be
the consequences be ?
Qualitative Risk Analysis
Performing analysis of risk and
condition to prioritize the risk that
have major impact on the project.
Quantitative Risk Analysis
Evaluating risks and risk
interaction to
assess the range of possible
project
outcomes
• Measuring the probability and the
consequence of risk and
estimating its
Risk Response
Development
Developing procedures and
techniques
to enhance opportunities and
reduce
threats to the project objectives
Risk Monitoring and
Control
Monitoring of residual risks and
new risk that may come up
during the project execution
• Execute the risk reduction plan
and
• Evaluate the effectiveness of
the risk responses developed
during the project’ planning
stage
I hope it will help you in your
following examination.
THANK YOU