2022 Transcript
2022 Transcript
Speakers:
Mr. Sanjiv Mehta, Chief Executive Officer and Managing Director
Mr. Ritesh Tiwari, CFO and Executive Director, Finance and IT
Mr. A Ravishankar, Group Finance Controller and Head of Investor Relations
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Moderator: Ladies and gentlemen, good day and welcome to Hindustan Unilever
Limited Conference Call for the results for the March Quarter and
Financial Year ended 2022.
A. Ravishankar: Thank you Stanford. Good evening, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to
the conference call of Hindustan Unilever Limited.
We hope that you are staying safe and healthy. We will start the
presentation with Sanjiv, talking about our performance in this financial
year, and the progress we have made on our strategic priorities. Then
Ritesh will share deeper insights into our in-quarter performance and
share our future outlook as well.
Before we get started with the presentation, I would like to draw your
attention to the safe harbor statement included in the presentation for
good order sake. With that, over to you, Sanjiv.
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Sanjiv Mehta: Thank you Ravi. Good evening, everyone. Always a pleasure to interact
with you all. And let's first look at the Full Year ‘22 Performance. And
what a year it has been. To begin with, I am absolutely delighted to
report that we have crossed the Rs. 50,000 crore turnover mark in this
fiscal.
Our EBITDA margins for the year were at a healthy 24.8% and almost
flat versus last year, an extremely commendable performance of
balancing growth and profitability.
Profit after Tax and earnings per share grew 11%. In such a challenging
context, robust performance is reflective of our strategic clarity, the
strength of our brands, our execution prowess and our agility and
adaptability. Our belief that sustainable and purposeful business drive
superior performance is clearly reflected in the strong performance that
we have delivered, while also making significant progress on our
sustainability agenda.
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The first is of course winning with our portfolio; you have a wide and
resilient portfolio of more than 50 purposeful brands, spanning 15
FMCG categories. In more than 80% of our business we are strong
market leaders. In such difficult times, consumers tend to stick to large
and trusted brands that offer better price value equation.
While we already have a wide portfolio, we are tapping into new demand
spaces. Our strong marketing and R&D capabilities enable us to quickly
pick up consumer trends and address them. Our ability to do market
development at scale, positions us well to build these categories of the
future.
We have 16 brands with turnover of more than Rs. 1000 crore and
together these brands make up more than 75% of our top-line. Surf Excel
and Brooke Bond lead the pack with each contributing more than
Rs. 5,000 crore. Surf Excel has also become the largest fabric solutions
brand in India. Three of our brands, Vim, Rin and Dove joined the
Rs. 2,000 crore club this year. Further Ice Cream brand, Kwality Wall’s
crossed a Rs. 1,000 crore turnover mark.
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Overall, we added a very sizable Rs. 5,000 crore to our top-line this
fiscal year. Importantly, Rs. 900 crore came through innovations, clearly
showing our agility in responding to the evolving consumer trends.
Three campaigns from HUL were part of the WARC 2022 World's Most
Awarded Campaign. And we won seven awards at the Festival of Media.
Clearly, we are winning with our brand with a force for good, powered
by purpose and innovation.
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With the increase in footfalls, modern trade stores are bouncing back.
And we are partnering with them for our joint marketing plan and
providing consumers the best shopping experience.
Now this chart summarizes the challenge that we have been facing in
terms of material cost inflation, and how we navigate this with the agility
to grow our consumer franchise and at the same time protect our
business model. These are the two most important imperatives at this
stage. Till now our practice has been to quote market inflation numbers,
which are external numbers before any cost savings that we make.
However, with a dramatic inflation, we thought it will be useful to give
you a sense of material costs increase that we see in the business through
the lens of NMI or Net Material Inflation.
NMI is net absolute inflation after adjusting for the benefit of our buying
efficiencies, hedging, product design or redesign to value and other
savings. NMI that we have seen in March quarter of ‘22 was 4.5 times
of the NMI in June quarter ‘20. In fact, the NMI in full year ‘22 has been
higher than the cumulative NMI we had seen in the last five years.
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highest YoY market share gain we have seen in more than a decade.
Through Dynamic Financial Management we grew our consumer
franchise and protected our business model. We reduced costs by driving
savings harder, which stood at 7% of our turnover. Using our WiMI
strategy we capture the opportunities to premiumise resulting in 2x
growth for the premium portfolio versus rest of the portfolio.
Reimagine HUL as all of you know has been a key pillar of our growth
strategy. We have spoken about in detail in our earlier conversations.
And today I just want to give you an overview of the key action that we
have taken in the space.
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Talking about digital operations our Home Care factory in Dapada has
joined the World Economic Forum's, Prestigious Lighthouse Network.
It is the first FMCG manufacturing site in India to have received the
status.
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Promoting good health and wellbeing is another focus area for us.
During the year we launched three more Suvidha Centers, and we now
have seven such Community Health and Sanitation Centers in Mumbai.
The recently launched center in Dharavi is one of the largest community
toilets in India, catering to the needs of 50,000 people. These centers
provide a life of dignity to our slum dwellers.
We are further expanding our Shakti Initiative, and now support over
160,000 rural women entrepreneurs. We are creating a larger social
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These are only a few examples of the extensive work that we are doing
in the area of sustainability. We will shortly be sharing a full suite of
ESG commitments across the three compass pillars of improving the
health of the planet, improving people's health confidence and
wellbeing, and contributing to a fairer and more socially inclusive world.
Now before handing over to Ritesh, to take you through our financials
in more detail, I would like to say that this has been a remarkable year.
Despite a very challenging external environment we have delivered
strong all-round performance, crossed the Rs. 50,000 crore turnover
mark. I am sure that there is one of the many milestones that we will
continue to craft in our journey.
Ritesh Tiwari: Thank you Sanjiv. Good evening, everyone. I will now walk you
through our in-quarter performance and our future outlook.
Let me reiterate the impact of price point packs which we had spoken
during our December quarter results. Almost 30% of our business comes
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from packs that operate at magic price points like Rs. 1, Rs. 5 or Rs. 10.
In these packs our preferred mode of taking price increase is by reducing
grammage. As a result, even the same number of units sold leads to
volume decline. This had a circa 2% to 3% impact on our UVG.
Profit after Tax, but before exceptional item was up 9%. Our net profit
at Rs. 2,327 crore increased 9% versus MQ’21.
Now let me give you a breakdown of the growth across the three
divisions:
Home Care sustained it's very strong, double digit growth momentum
growing at 24%. Beauty & Personal Care grew ahead of the market at
4% led by skin cleansing. Foods & Refreshment delivered a strong
performance growing at 5% on back of an exceptionally high base. We
will get down to talk about performance within each of the division in
subsequent slides.
Now let me talk about some of the innovations we landed in the quarter:
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Dove’s new Hair Therapy helps prevent hair breakage and is made
without sulfates, that gives gentle nourishing care.
Sunsilk has added Onion and Jojoba oil shampoo to its franchise, while
Lakme Absolute has launched a new eye makeup range that includes
long lasting Explore pencil, range of 10 pencils with matte and metallic
finishes.
Ahead of summer, Kwality Wall’s has launched exciting new ice cream
flavors like Trixy Blueberry Cheesecake, Royal Kulfi, Black Forest
Feast and Cassata Cake.
Home Care had another strong quarter of double digit growth enabled
by robust performance in both Fabric Wash and Household Care. Both
categories grew in strong double digits with all part of portfolio
performing well. Home Care grew volumes in mid single digit,
reflecting the strength of our brands to price up in inflationary
conditions.
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have continued with our calibrated pricing approach in both fabric wash
and household care.
F&R grew 5% on a very high base of 36% in MQ21. Tea continued its
robust performance and grew competitively on an exceptionally high
prior year comparator. We expanded our value and volume market share
in the quarter. Coffee grew in double digits.
Foods delivered a high double digit growth with all parts of the business
doing well. Our recent food innovations, peanut butter and mayonnaise
continue to gain traction with consumers. Ice Creams had a very strong
quarter with high double digit growth. I had spoken earlier about
exciting range of innovation, we launched for this year, summer.
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Sanjiv has already spoken in detail about our full year delivery. Let me
quickly recap the numbers.
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CPI inflation has also been increasing, has now breached RBI’s
threshold for last three months in a row. Latest inflation survey by RBI
clearly indicates that houses are feeling the pressure of inflation with
71% responded that they are expecting more inflation in the coming
months. This is also influencing consumer behavior as they try to
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manage their household budgets. Consumers are looking for better value
across their purchase basket and food and kitchen items are being
prioritized over discretionary categories. They are titrating volumes and
preferring the trusted brands.
Let me spend some time elaborating about the impact of inflation on our
material cost. We use a measure called Net Material Inflation, which is
net absolute inflation after factoring in all savings and efficiencies.
Our NMI in March Quarter‘22 was 4.5x of June Quarter‘20. This does
not take into account the recent surge. If things remain same, we expect
sequentially more inflation in next two to three quarters. We will
continue to dynamically manage the situation in a similar way we have
done in the past several quarters. As you know we have a very robust
savings program. Let me give you a few examples of what we are doing
to bring it alive for you.
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For HUL, the drivers of value creation remain the same. We will grow
our top-line ahead of the market by growing core competitively,
premiumising our portfolio and doing market development at scale. We
will deliver modest margin expansion and continue with our track record
for strong capital discipline. At the same time, we will continue to build
a purpose-led future-fit HUL by delivering on our ESG commitments
and leading digital transformation.
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A. Ravishankar: Thank You Sanjiv. Thank You Ritesh. With this we will now move on
to the Q&A section. We request you to kindly restrict the number of
questions to a maximum of two at a time. In case you have further
questions, please rejoin the queue again. In addition to the audio, as
always, our participants have an option to post the questions through the
web. And we will take these questions just before we end.
Moderator: Thank you Sir. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the question-
and-answer session.
Ritesh Tiwari: On palm oil, the situation has been volatile. And the conversation which
happened first on restriction of sales, which was later on called out only
to remain localized to the cooking oil component, which is palm olein
part of that, and CPO supplies to continue.
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Number two as you know what we consume and the largest component
of our input ingredient is PFAD. And PFAD gets manufactured the
moment you refine CPO to produce ultimately palm olein or palm
stearin. And the PFAD which get consumed, there are few sources only
where PFAD gets utilized. One of the largest source of that is soap
industry. And hence we do believe that PFAD supplies would continue
for us to get.
Last but not least, as you know, of course, in long term India has leaned
in, in terms of giving more amount of support to what we need to do as
a country, to achieve palm sufficiency in times to come and investments
have gone into in this area.
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Abneesh Roy: My second and last question is on the recent development in the ad
campaign, HUL not to target children under 16 in ad campaign, how
much relevant this is to India. I understand the Unilever global
relevance, in terms of India relevance, how much is it relevant? What's
the impact on food and ice cream? And doesn't your ad campaigns
become a bit competitively disadvantaged, even your competition
doesn't face this issue? So, how do you overcome that disadvantage?
Sanjiv Mehta: I think, Abneesh this is all about responsible marketing. And it is not
that we are going to stop advertising. And our focus would be on
mothers and fathers, the parents. And we don't see in any way getting
disadvantaged.
Moderator: Thank you. The next question is from Chirag Shah from CLSA. Please
go ahead.
Chirag Shah: Good evening, at the outset congratulations for navigating through such
a tough backdrop so very well. My question is on the BPC segment, can
you just touch upon the progress, on the digital-first business segments
that we have? And staying on BPC if you can just also touch upon the
other two levers which is basically growing the core and premiumization
and market development?
Ritesh Tiwari: Starting with digital-first brands. Overall, we have spoken in last few
quarters of results that on digital-first brands, we have launched our own
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D2C brands - ‘Simple’, ‘Love, Beauty and Planet’ or ‘Baby Dove’. And
as I had called out earlier, there are two very clear objectives out here.
a) A portfolio, which is digital-first brand and b) Set of capabilities,
which help us to drive digital-first brand be it performance marketing,
be it the analytics which go behind generating online revenue. And all
of that is very clearly installed with us.
Along with that, let me, if I talk on digital-first brand, let me also then
go back to talk about our own digital sales footprint, between
Ecommerce, eB2C, eB2B, D2C website and Shikhar where we do
directly sell online, to many of our retailers. All this put together to give
a digital demand capture, it has now in this quarter gone beyond 20%,
so more than 20% of Hindustan Unilever sales gets digitally captured.
In times like this when lot of channel transformation happens one of the
most significant way to look at – whether we are making progress, is to
look at how much amount of sales are getting captured digitally. This
then also provides us platform to do demand generation and demand
fulfillment in a very different manner. So, that's on the digital-first
brand.
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Chirag Shah: And the second question is on the nutrition part of the business. Now
that the integration largely seems to be behind, what is the direct
coverage target that we have for the nutrition business. And also is it
now a good time to start looking at getting into the adjacencies?
Ritesh Tiwari: Yeah, so on nutrition we have now completed the entire transition from
all elements, from people, from factories, from capabilities, from
manufacturing, and also our go-to market operations, across all elements
we have completed our integration.
Where we are today with our direct distribution is twice the number of
outlets now, we reach directly as compared to pre-integration. So, that
objective is also very clearly met.
The single biggest source of growth and value creation, Chirag for us is
to do market development at scale. We had called out that it's a very
attractive category, but low penetration to start with. And which is why
one of the fundamental driver of growth will be market development.
And we are doing market development at scale, sans couple of quarters
where we had very peak of COVID wave-I, and COVID wave-II, we
have continued our job of market development. Even in this quarter,
March Quarter ‘22, we have done more than 10 million consumer
connects.
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Now talking about adjacencies, what we have done with the entire plus
portfolio, which has been activated on high science, be it Protein Plus or
be it Diabetes Plus, that is one clear portfolio that we have activated and
ensured that that starts to do the job of more broadening the offering that
we have under Horlicks.
Chirag Shah: If I can just slip one small question on the LUP side, you mentioned that
reducing grammage is the first option for any pricing action. Now
obviously, we have a very large LUP portfolio. And given the
inflationary pressures, I am just wondering how much more leverage do
we have in terms of taking pricing actions through reducing grammages.
Ritesh Tiwari: So, overall, when it comes to pricing, before I come to LUP, as Sanjiv
called out earlier, that the first port of call that we have is always to drive
savings hard, try saving hard across all the lines of the P&L. So, there is
a net cost that you need to deal with is a smaller number, and which is
what then we end up taking calibrated price increases.
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Moderator: Thank you. The next question is from Latika Chopra from JP Morgan.
Please go ahead.
Latika Chopra: Sanjiv, I just wanted to check your thoughts in the rural growth
trajectory. We saw that the March quarter on an aggregate basis was
lower than the previous quarter. But are you seeing any green shoots
sequentially in the agri economy as you exited the quarter, any thoughts?
Sanjiv Mehta: If we were to look at the hard number, we are clearly seeing that the last
three months, both the value growth and volume growth in urban and
rural has been lower than the MAT growth. While there is you know one
has to understand that there is base period impact, but on a total basis,
we are seeing the decline happening. And if you were to recall, in the
first year of the pandemic rural growth was going ahead, growing much
ahead of urban, because urban movement was curtailed, MT was more
or less closed. And then in the second period, second year, we saw urban
picking up when they came back as things started to open up.
Now your question on rural, are we seeing green shoots, I believe that
there are a few factors which could contribute to rural recovery. First is
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a good harvest, we are seeing that the Rabi harvest should be good from
all counts. Second is the indicators are that the rain fall should be decent.
The third is, with the Agri prices moving up, there would be benefit to
the farmers, what we need to assess whether that will get neutralized by
input price increase, or there would be a net benefit to the farmers. If it
is a net benefit to the farmer, it would be fabulous, because we are seeing
that the government procurement has been much lower because farmers
are selling it in the open market.
And then last, but not the least, is government spending of 7.5 lakh
crores on CAPEX and if that is front ended, which I believe it should be,
then we should start seeing a recovery happening. And if the geopolitical
crisis settles down, then we will definitely see a tapering off the
commodity price increase, which all together could result in the revival
of demand and revival of growth. So, I am hopeful, but very difficult to
put our finger on when this will happen.
Latika Chopra: My second question was, you definitely talked about market share
improvements across 75% plus of your portfolio. But could you tell us,
how are market shares across the three segments behaving for you, on
the Ecommerce front, I remember earlier you used to talk about
Ecommerce market shares are more than modern trade, modern general
trade. But how is the trend now there, particularly on the Ecommerce
front for your key segments?
Sanjiv Mehta: First is, we are growing market share from a Nielsen perspective, in
urban and rural in value and volume. We are increasing market share
across the three divisions, Beauty & Personal Care, Foods &
Refreshments and Home Care. We are increasing our market shares, in
large packs, mid packs and small packs. And we are increasing our
market share across geographies and when you look at it from a lens of
premium, mid-tier and BoP. So, it is a market share gains across
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Moderator: Thank you. The next question is from Percy Panthaki from IIFL. Please
go ahead.
Percy Panthaki: My first question is generally when there is a lot of pressure on the
consumer wallet, in the past we have seen some amount of down-trading
as in not just the pack size, but the customer goes for sort of slightly
more affordable brand, in the same product category. So, have you seen
that happening because you have brands across price points, so within
your portfolio, have you seen people moving from a brand to a lower
brand within your portfolio or outside your portfolio?
Ritesh Tiwari: India is as you know, not a homogeneous country. And we have seen
more than one shopper behavior and consumer behavior at this point in
time. The overall trend of down-trading where consumers are seeking
value that is very clearly established. With inflation where it is now
extremely significant, and consumer wallet size getting compromised
they are clearly putting more priority to essentials over discretionary.
But when I look at our own sales at Hindustan Unilever, our premium
portfolio in this year of 2021-22 across quarters, has grown at twice the
pace as rest of the portfolio, which means there are still consumers, who
are able to buy and who are spending to buy our products which offer
higher order benefits. And as we called out in the past our premium
products are at price point at 120 plus index. So, we have seen traction
in that space as well.
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Sanjiv Mehta: It’s absolutely the right question you posed to us. But increasingly, what
we have done, we have also made our premium pack accessible. So, in
the laundry, one of our fastest growing brand remains Surf Excel.
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which is really exploding and you need to get your fair share of growth
there?
Sanjiv Mehta: You know, first I think, Percy, people often forget, but it's worth
reminding that we have added Rs. 5,000 crores of turnover this year.
And when we talk about digital landscape, all the growth that you see in
digital is not always incremental. Many of them are a channel shift that
happens. And our ploy today is not just that digital-first brands only
because I think one must remember that we have great mega brands and
you have seen how we have progressed to Rs. 5,000 crore, Rs. 2,000
crore, Rs. 4,000 crore, Rs. 1,000 crore and our first port of call will be,
to have the consumer’s access these brands and what we are doing is,
for us design-for-channel is a very important initiative. How do we
design our products or even existing brand, not just the Simple and Love,
Beauty & Planet, but our existing brand so, that they meet the needs of
the digital consumer. So, that's the first port of call.
So, for us, the play is going to be multi-channel. And the important bit
is on an aggregate, and in the channels which are growing fast. We
would want to have not only a fair share, but improve our share. And I
think that strategy for us is working pretty well.
Moderator: Thank you. The next question is from Kunal Vora from BNP. Please go
ahead.
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Kunal Vora: My first question is on the digital demand capture which you mentioned,
around 20% now where do you see yourself getting to in next two, three
years? And can you talk about the benefits as these numbers move up?
Would it mean lower employee requirement at distributor level? And
are there any other cost benefit? And how are you ensuring that Shikhar
continues to remain preferred over eB2B competition, which is coming
in?
Sanjiv Mehta: I have always maintained that good competitors keep us on our toes. We
are now into our fourth version of Shikhar. And when we did the
benchmarking study on Shikhar used by retailer, and ease of use and the
functionality, it came in right on top. So, we are very pleased with the
way Shikhar has progressed. And by far it would be the biggest app
adopted by the retailers.
And now our thrust is, how do we customize the assortment for each
store, so that for a store owner, it makes it much easier to navigate, and
we can give them the offering, which we feel rightfully should be sold
through those outlets.
The other important bit, which I want to harness about, for us, it is not
just about demand capture, we want to be very clearly the most
intelligent consumers goods enterprise. So, the way we are harnessing
the three eco-systems of consumers, customers and operations and the
entire idea is that across the value chain, we need to use data technology.
And today, whether it is decision making, whether it is S&OP planning,
whether it is factories, whether it is demand capture, whether it is our
fulfillment centers which are highly automated, across the value chain,
we are bringing in technology. And even the decisions that we make on
pricing, on promotions, on investment, increasingly, we are using
intelligence.
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So, increasingly, we want to ensure that across the value chain, we are
able to use technology. And on every area we are bringing in the
principle of attribution to growth. So, as far as technology and all is
concerned, we are highly focused, and these are what we are creating
would be the new moats around us.
Kunal Vora: Second and last question on the LUPs, you mentioned that you are
introducing some bridge packs, but will you also be vacating some of
the price points and how do you see the net impact of the introduction
of bridge packs versus a vacation of certain LUP price point?
Sanjiv Mehta: First is, you know, let us be very clear, we are not going to lose
consumers. And we are going to do it in a manner where the consumer
gets incentivized to move to a bridge pack, that's what we would do. So,
moving to a bridge pack for the consumer would be creating value.
Moderator: Thank you. The next question is from Harit Kapoor from Investec.
Please go ahead.
Harit Kapoor: My first question is on the margin side, just trying to kind of crystal ball
gazing into the next 12 months, on one hand, you have a challenge of a
weaker demand environment. And you still have to keep, passing on
price increases, albeit calibrated. On the other hand, you also have a
challenge, where some of the discretionary categories are a bit weaker,
as compared to the base category, which again, implies a slightly weaker
mix something that we saw in fiscal year ’21 also, during COVID.
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lower. So, is there a broad margin band that you look at or it’s going to
be very market related and you have to keep taking a call every month
or two depending on how things are panning out from a demand
perspective.
Ritesh Tiwari: Absolutely a very pertinent question in the times that we are in. So, our
strategy has two components number one is to protect our business
model and number two is to grow our consumer franchise. If these are
the two objectives achieved, we will know that all the work that we have
done has been successful. And this has been done in last several quarters
as we have been in a very challenging atmosphere be it COVID, be it
the latest geopolitical crisis or be it inflation that we have seen
unprecedented. And the number which I had quoted earlier, from JQ’20
of 100 to 4.5 times in MQ’22.
In all this period, what we did, was the first port of call is to keep driving
savings hard across the length and breadth of the P&L. At Hindustan
Unilever, we have a very strong savings culture, where savings is
generated and done by everybody in the organization, be it colleagues
in supply chain, be it colleagues in marketing, or colleagues in sales. So,
all lines of the P&L, we try to bring maximum efficiencies. And I quoted
certain examples earlier to you of supply chain, even on product where
we design to value if there's more amount of weight to a bottle, can we
manufacture a bottle with a little lesser, lightweight, it will help
environment it will also help the cost. Media attribution to growth and
hence the kind of ROI we want to generate. So, that’s the first port of
call.
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Number two this is also where portfolio comes into play, where we have
portfolio across price points from mass, from premium, from mid. And
I called out earlier that even in these times, there is a segment of
population in premium where we are able to sell higher order benefit
products, and the growth of that portfolio has been twice the growth of
the rest of the portfolio. So, that is something which has also helped us
in times that we are in today. So, strategy is mix of that, pricing, and
driving cost efficiencies and of course holding our consumer franchise.
But what we are not blinking in times like this is to invest behind our
products, invest behind our brands. One of the example, I quoted earlier
that our products superiority today is twice as much as it was in the base
of 2019. So, two times we have more superior products, compared to
2019. Media we have spent 100 crore more in this quarter to ensure that
our salience and our media reach is not getting compromised. And we
continue to maintain our share of voice ahead of our share of market.
So, that gets very squarely done.
Now, in short term, as I called out, we will see stress in margins and
margins will decline in short term. And why that will happen, because
of the price versus cost gap, when you have sudden huge amount of
inflation in input cost, it takes time for us to then mitigate that through
cost synergies and pass on the incremental impact through calibrated
price increases. And which is why what we mentioned that there will be
short term impact on margin as price versus cost gap increases. But we
are very confident that we will build it back in a phased manner back
into P&L.
But what we are very clear what will not get compromised is our own
will to ensure that we are able to grow our business ahead of FMCG
market growth. So, that's the overall strategy of the business.
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Sanjiv Mehta: I will just add a bit more flesh to the bone, to the comprehensive answer
that Ritesh has given. We also measure the elasticity. How much is the
volume impact that we would have. But we must remember that there is
nothing like a perfect elasticity or perfect inelasticity. The second
important bit is that when your brands are superior, whether from a
mental reach perspective, or brand power, or from a product superiority,
then your capacity to take price increase is much more, because the
consumers don't always look at absolute price they always look at price
value equation. So, that factor also gets into it now.
Harit Kapoor: The second is a much shorter question. Actually, just wanted to get your
sense on, in your view, do you expect, say media intensity over the next
few months also to keep trending downwards? I am not talking about
your share of voice, but from an aggregate perspective given probably,
players who have lower market shares, regional etc, might be even more
stretched than you are, who don't have some of the levers, do you expect
that media intensity impact will also keep coming down progressively,
at least until the inflation impact is severe?
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Sanjiv Mehta: See, it has come down by nearly about 20%, if we look at the GRPs on
a total basis, but let me be emphatic, we have, our share of voice is more
than a share of market. And for us, it is we play for the long term we
don't play for the short term. If we see media intensity goes up, we will
unblinkingly invest more behind our brands.
Moderator: Thank you. The next question is from Shirish Pardeshi from Centrum
Capital. Please go ahead.
Shirish Pardeshi: Two things I am referring Slide #30 and that is the full year performance
I am referring. So when you report a full year Rs. 14,000 odd crore for
food and refreshment. And the growth is about 6.8%. Since we have
completed one year of GSK acquisition, could you, I mean, I don't want
to get into too much detail, but if you can broadly tell me what is the
growth and what is the contribution from GSK portfolio.
Ritesh Tiwari: Yeah, so, overall, as you have seen, that the growth that we have in food
and refreshment is very healthy. And there are two dimensions to that
growth a) The growth is comprehensive in terms of the portfolio that we
have, but more importantly, as we call out earlier that growth is
extremely competitive. And we have gained market share, and we have
further improved penetration.
And I was speaking a little earlier about click down on Horlicks within
that. So, we have successfully integrated Horlicks. Our reach now, direct
distribution is twice what we had pre-merger period. Now when it comes
to growth of Horlicks as I mentioned earlier, the key job to be done out
here is continue to do market development at scale and support the
market growth. Now Horlicks within that is a discretionary category, the
point I was making earlier with significant amount of inflation that
consumers are witnessing in their kitchen, they are putting more priority
at this point in time to essentials against discretionary categories like
HFD categories like skincare. But our job is very clearly cut out which
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But overall within F&R, if I can call out certain other categories, we
have seen very good growth across our Foods & Refreshment, Foods
portfolio. Tea, we have seen again, very good competitive growth, we
now have both value and volume leadership in our Tea portfolio. You
heard us speaking about coffee having a double-digit growth in the
quarter. So, it's a pretty broad base performance in the Foods &
Refreshment portfolio.
Shirish Pardeshi: Just one follow up here. You did mention in the beginning that the entire
integration front end and the back end is done for the GSK, full merger
which has happened. And I did see from the margin perspective, the
segmental margin for Food & Refreshment has gone up by 200 basis
point. So, the question here is that with the full integration now behind
do you think this another 200, I mean, I am not saying number, but you
see that further expansion on the segmental margin can happen now
onwards, despite the inflation, that is different.
Ritesh Tiwari: From the cost synergy front, we had mentioned earlier that we made
very significant progress. And since the first year and half, we have
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already achieved over ambition that we had on cost synergy, for the first
three years in the business case. A good portion of that generation that
we did on cost synergy we have invested back in the business to keep
driving market development.
Now, if you ask me, is there a further headroom for us to gain synergies
and grow further in terms of margin headroom for Horlicks portfolio?
The answer is absolutely yes. The areas which will further get savings
will be in the area of supply chain and distribution. What we have now
finished doing is full integration of our go-to-market structure. The point
I was making that our direct outlet coverage is twice what we had earlier.
Areas like media, overhead costs, those synergies we have already
realized, but in terms of distribution, when I say DCs - depots, in terms
of factory manufacturing, there is further headroom that we have to
realize, and we have clear line of sight as well of those, it’s just that we
have been sequencing as to what we should first dial up, and then which
is second and third port of call we should go in terms of driving
synergies.
So, yes, there is further headroom for growth. And we have very clear
line of sight over the next two, three years to keep driving that.
Shirish Pardeshi: And my last question, when I look back, since the time I am tracking
this Company, what I understand you did mention that we are ahead of
share of market in terms of spends and our SOV is much higher. But just
an observation having worked in industry, what I find that when we have
done the activation and the rural penetration and through the access
pack, and you did mention that LUP is also a big number, what I am
trying to say here in the volatile demand condition and last two, three
quarters, Sanjiv did mention that rural is slowing down, so we did pick
up that. But in the context when the demand is not coming and when our
prime goal is to improve the frequency of usage, do we think that to gain
further market share or to maintain ahead of the curve, even if the rural
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is not coming back at some point of time in next four quarter we will
have to up the investments in advertising.
Sanjiv Mehta: Yes, advertising, we look at it from a couple of lenses. One is, of course
competitive. Yes, we want to be ahead of our market share. The second
is we also look at it from a reach perspective. Because let's also accept
that we are not, FMCG doesn't operate in isolation, we operate for the
eyeballs with other industries as well. So, we need to have a minimal
reach to ensure that our brands remain salient. We do that.
The third thing also we must accept that market development when we
invest in it, these are generally first purchased by early adopters. And
early adopters are people who have more disposable income with them.
So, market development, we believe will continue to grow at a pace
faster than the rest of the market, which we have seen over the last
several years and it will continue to be so. And we will not cringe away
from investing in market development.
A. Ravishankar: We will take some questions on the web now. I will start with a question
from Avi Mehta from Macquarie. The question is we are traditionally
looked to maintain EBITDA margins in the 24% to 25% range as we
play all lines of P&L to offset inflation. Would it be fair to expect
margins to move to the lower end of this range in the near term? And
move back ahead, ensuring that FY23 margins are in this range?
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Ritesh Tiwari: This is the point I was clarifying and giving more details earlier. We do
expect in next two to three quarters sequentially inflation to further go
up in terms of commodity costs and input cost inflation. As I mentioned
in the strategy is very clear protecting the business model with a very
clear objective to grow our consumer franchise and the point that we
made earlier, we keep investing for getting the job done. Hence in the
next two to three quarters we will see margin to decline. And why that
will happen, because the price versus cost gap - when you have sudden
increase in cost and we continue to do the job in terms of reducing the
cost impact through savings, but the increase which is so substantial in
short term, it will lead to of price versus cost gap. And that's what will
end up impacting margins in short term. But as I mentioned that in our
mind, it's very clear that we will build this margin back in a phased
manner over quarters after that. So, that's our clear strategy from a
margin perspective. I hope that gives a very clear understanding of
where do we see margins for next few quarters.
Sanjiv Mehta: Yes, product superiority, we do blind test. And because if we were to do
branded test, we will have an unfair advantage, so we do very clear,
blind test to test attributes which are most relevant for the consumer.
And that's how we assess the product superiority.
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Ritesh Tiwari: There are three reasons why the number is higher compared to periods
earlier. Number one is we announced that we do have now a
participation in PLI scheme. And as part of that this is the first year of
the PLI scheme and the incentive that we get that is recorded in this line
of other income.
Third as you know, we host global cost centers and global capabilities,
which we invoice globally to Unilever. That has further increased in the
quarter in terms of investment in those capabilities. And hence, since we
host them, we also invoice them the earned income through markups.
Those are the three reasons why other income is higher compared to last
year.
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But there are also other pockets of investments that we have done be it
our distribution centers, be the Nano factory, which we spoke about, the
way we have digitized that factory and we have invested in those
capabilities or for that matter Ice cream cabinets. This is also the time
for us with a good season for Ice cream, as you know, March quarter we
called out we had pretty good strong growth in ice cream. In fact our
business in ice cream now is higher compared to pre-COVID levels. So,
those are the areas where we have done investment in our CAPEX and
hence we have seen number inching up.
In the COVID period we were measured with our cash expenditure and
our capital discipline and now the growth is coming in and we have
appropriately leaned in to ensure that. The last thing that you want is
growth getting compromised for not having invested. Investment be it
in CAPEX or the investment be it in BMI or for the matter product
superiority across the board, we do ensure that growth in no way gets
compromised. So, that's the reason why you see an increase in CAPEX
expenditure in this financial year.
A. Ravishankar: There is a question from Chirag on what has helped secure the strong
margin in Foods business also what has led to strong performance in
Fabric care and Household care?
Ritesh Tiwari: So in the foods business margins, there are two broad drivers of that,
one, as you know the F&R business includes the nutrition business, and
we gave the narrative of the kind of margin we have driven because of
cost synergies with nutrition that is one clear driver. And of course, tea,
we know that we had very high amount of commodity prices at one point
in time. And as we speak now, though commodity is still elevated over
2019, but year-on-year now the inflation is not as high as you have seen
in the past period. In fact, year-on-year the Tea commodity costs are
coming down.
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So, there are two factors. But I would say the predominant factor is the
kind of work we have done in Horlicks. Beyond Horlicks, beyond Tea,
of course, overall, as I mentioned that the job that we keep doing in
driving cost synergies across the board, by driving various operating
synergies be it distribution, by traveling less kilometers per product
movement, or for that matter, cost synergies of media, or promotions, or
other supply chain elements. So, there is a large amount of work, which
happens in the P&L across the board, that also benefit you see within
F&R, as well. So, those are the three reasons I would say why you are
seeing better profitability, compared to what we have seen in the past.
Sanjiv Mehta: And just to add to what Ritesh has said why Home Care has done so
well, I think first we need to sit back and take a bit of a macro picture,
that in the last about nine years, we have added Rs. 25,000 crores to our
turnover, which is doubling our business and which is more than the
absolute turnover of any other FMCG Company.
The second is we have tripled our EBITDA during this period. And
market cap, you guys monitor more closely than I do, I leave it to you.
And during this period or even if you look at it during the last couple of
years that is the strength of our portfolio not any category will keep
growing at a linear pace that doesn't happen. But if you look at it in
recent times, we have had a great journey with Tea, where we have taken
not only value leadership, but volume leadership and phenomenal
growth.
When you look at our hair care, where we have got record shares right
now, and where we have created markets, an amazing journey we have.
And similarly on home care, it's been a consistent delivery of superior
products with great brand and consistency of engagement platform. Now
dirt is good is something with its improved, different manifestation. We
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have been running this engagement platform for years. And that is how
we have built this great property and product superiority, brand power,
brand salience, distribution prowess and our Reimagine HUL agenda
these are all contributing in different ways to ensure that we have a
rhythm on growth and have ensured that we make such a robust business
model.
And that's the reason I say that many times people talk about niche
brand, they will always be there, but at our scale and size adding 5000
crores as delta turnover in a year that gives a sense of the kind of strong
business that we have created with Hindustan Unilever.
A. Ravishankar: Thank you Sanjiv. With that, we will now come to the end of the Q&A
session. If there are any further unanswered questions, please feel free
to reach out to us in the IR team and we will be happy to clarify.
Before we end let me again remind you that the playback of the event
will be available on the IR website in a short while. A copy of the results
and the presentation if not with you already, it is on the website as well.
With that we would like to draw the call to a close. Thank you everyone
for your participation and have a great evening.
Moderator: Thank you very much Sir. Ladies and gentleman on behalf of Hindustan
Unilever Limited, that concludes this conference. We thank you all for
joining us and you may now disconnect your lines.
Disclaimer: This transcript has been edited to remove and / or correct any grammatical
inaccuracies or inconsistencies of English language that might have occurred inadvertently
while speaking.
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