Dy Reng 2012
Dy Reng 2012
DOI 10.1007/s11142-012-9194-7
Edward L. Maydew
Abstract Despite decades of research on how, why, and when companies manage
earnings, there is a paucity of evidence about the geographic location of earnings
management within multinational firms. In this study, we examine where companies
manage earnings using a sample of 2,067 U.S. multinational firms from 1994 to
2009. We predict and find that firms with extensive foreign operations in weak rule
of law countries have more foreign earnings management than companies with
subsidiaries in locations where the rule of law is strong. We also find some evidence
that profitable firms with extensive tax haven subsidiaries manage earnings more
than other firms and that the earnings management is concentrated in foreign
income. Apart from these results, we find that most earnings management takes
place in domestic income, not foreign income.
S. D. Dyreng
Duke University, Durham, NC 27708, USA
e-mail: [Link]@[Link]
M. Hanlon
Massachusetts Institute Technology, Cambridge, MA 02142, USA
e-mail: mhanlon@[Link]
E. L. Maydew (&)
University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC 27599, USA
e-mail: edward_maydew@[Link]
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1 Introduction
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Where do firms manage earnings? 651
firms with subsidiaries in high rule of law countries is more pronounced in foreign
income, consistent with the earnings management occurring in the foreign
jurisdiction. Again, we are not comparing earnings management of foreign firms
to U.S. firms—all the firms in the sample are U.S. domiciled and subject to U.S.
laws and accounting standards. Thus, despite the firm being subject to U.S. GAAP
and SEC rules, the data are consistent with the geographic location of a U.S. firm’s
foreign subsidiaries being associated with significant differences in earnings
management.
Second, we find that profitable firms with extensive tax haven subsidiaries engage
in more earnings management, which is also concentrated in foreign earnings. This
is not simply a manifestation of tax havens reducing the tax expense; we measure
earnings management before taxes. Rather, we posit that tax havens are more
desirable locations for earnings management because there is little or no local tax
cost as a result of managing pre-tax income (and likely no U.S. tax cost because
cash repatriations are not affected). For example, Erickson et al. (2004) find that
firms engaging in fraudulent accounting incur actual tax costs when inflating their
accounting earnings. They conjecture that firms can minimize the tax cost of such
activities by locating them in a tax haven. In addition, Desai and Dharmapala (2006)
observe that the same types of activities and structures that facilitate tax avoidance
via tax havens can be used to facilitate managerial misappropriation. Our
predictions are based on implications from these prior papers—earnings manage-
ment can generate tax costs that can be avoided in tax havens, and the structures
employed in tax haven subsidiaries provide obfuscation that aids earnings
management activities.
Finally, apart from the above results, earnings management appears to be more
prevalent in domestic income than in foreign income. This is not a simple result of
domestic operations being larger in scale than foreign operations; on average,
foreign and domestic operations are of the same order of magnitude for the firms in
our sample.
We conduct a number of additional tests to examine the robustness of the results,
including examining the absolute value of discretionary accruals, controlling for
performance differences across firms, using different measures of rule of law and
tax haven status, and using restatements as the indication of earnings management
instead of discretionary accruals. Across these tests, the results are generally
consistent and in line with our main findings. One exception is that when examining
restatements we do not find evidence that firms operating in tax havens are more
likely to restate their financial statements. The evidence on rule of law continues to
hold in the restatement sample as it did in the discretionary accruals tests, that is,
firms with proportionately more subsidiaries in low rule of law countries restate
earnings more often.
We contribute to the literature by examining a new aspect of earnings
management—the role of the geographic footprint of a U.S. multinational’s
subsidiaries. Specifically, we show that the previously documented effect that rule
of law has on earnings management is actually much more pervasive. Not only does
the rule of law in the parent company’s jurisdiction matter, but so does the rule of
law in the jurisdictions of the firm’s subsidiaries. In addition, we show that
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subsidiary structures involving tax havens are associated with higher discretionary
accruals for profitable firms. Finally, policymakers will find the results of this study
interesting, particularly to the extent they have expressed concern about auditing
and accounting in the foreign operations of U.S. multinationals and as they consider
U.S. policies toward tax haven nations.
The paper proceeds as follows. In the next section, we review the prior literature
with particular attention to research that provides a basis for our predictions about
the geographical incidence of earnings management. In Sect. 3, we develop our
hypotheses. In Sect. 4, we discuss our sample, variable measurement, and empirical
tests. In Sect. 5, we present our results, and in Sect. 6, we conclude.
Our inquiry focuses on U.S. multinationals and the management of earnings within
the firm, that is, where do multinationals manage earnings. Because our sample
consists entirely of U.S. SEC registrants, all the companies are required to apply
U.S. GAAP to their financial statements regardless of where the underlying
operations are located.3 In our sample, the top-level regulatory environment is held
constant across our firms. What varies, however, are the local legal and regulatory
environments of the countries in which foreign subsidiaries are located.
The ability of the U.S. to effectively exert regulatory control over the accounting
in the foreign operations of U.S. multinationals has been a longstanding issue. For
example, the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (FCPA) of 1977 aims to prevent U.S.
companies and their agents from bribing foreign officials. The FCPA also contains
important accounting provisions that require U.S. registrants to maintain a system of
internal controls that provide reasonable assurance that, among other things, the
transactions are properly recorded to permit preparation of financial statements in
conformity with GAAP (Golden et al. 2006). In addition, the SEC enforcement
manual states that it may be more difficult to obtain evidence to bring a case forward
with respect to activities in certain foreign jurisdictions (SEC 2011).
Two examples in which the SEC did become aware of and bring action against
firms for earnings management in their foreign subsidiaries are as follows. The SEC,
in Accounting and Auditing Enforcement Release (AAER) No. 2727, accuses
Bristow Group Inc., a Delaware corporation with headquarters in Houston, Texas, of
improprieties at a foreign subsidiary. Specifically, Bristow’s wholly owned U.S.
subsidiary, AirLog International, Ltd., through its Nigerian affiliate, Pan African
Airlines Nigeria Ltd. (PAAN) made improper payments totaling approximately
$423,000 to employees of the governments of two Nigerian states. These improper
payments, however, were not properly recorded in AirLog’s books and were never
3
The subsidiary may also be required to prepare financial statements in accordance with local GAAP for
a variety of reasons. Our point here is that when the earnings are consolidated and reported for the entire
company, all the earnings are reported using U.S. GAAP and are subject to U.S. securities laws.
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Where do firms manage earnings? 653
There is little prior research on where, within a multinational company, earnings are
managed. Leuz et al. (2003), in an influential paper, examine earnings management
around the world in a sample of over 8,000 firms from 31 countries and provide
evidence of the importance of institutional features on accounting. For example,
they provide evidence that earnings management is more likely to occur at
companies that are located in countries where investor protection is weaker,
reasoning that such protection prevents the extraction of private benefits by insiders
and thus reduces the incentives to obfuscate information. However, they do not
examine earnings management within the firm. In other words, they compare a U.S.
domiciled company with a firm domiciled in Singapore, for example, but they do
not compare the domestic earnings of a U.S. multinational with the foreign earnings
of that same multinational company. Like Leuz et al. (2003), we are interested in the
4
December 7, 2009, speech before the American Institute of Certified Public Accountants (AICPA)
National Conference on Current SEC and PCAOB Developments, Washington, DC (Goelzer 2009).
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effect of rule of law on earnings management, but our focus is on whether the rule of
law at the subsidiary level matters, holding constant the parent rule of law. Thus, our
entire sample is U.S.-based multinationals, and all of the earnings are subject to U.S.
securities laws and regulations and are reported under U.S. GAAP. We examine
whether variation in the local rule of law applying to the foreign subsidiaries affects
earnings management.
Kedia and Rajgopal (2011) examine the geography of financial misreporting, but
their study is focused on the location of corporate headquarters relative to an SEC
office. If corporate headquarters is in a county far from an SEC office and the local
auditor office in the county is lax, companies in that county report a higher
incidence of earnings decreasing restatements. Dyreng et al. (2010), Grullon et al.
(2010), and McGuire et al. (2012) examine the effect of social norms on earnings
management. These studies generally find that firms located in counties with high
levels of religious adherence are less likely to engage in earnings management.
While related and interesting, these papers examine differences in earnings
management across firms and do not look at the location of the earnings
management within the firm.
Other papers do examine foreign earnings relative to U.S. earnings of U.S.
multinational corporations, but these papers do not examine the extent of
manipulation of those earnings. More importantly, the studies do not investigate
the effect of institutional features in the location of the earnings on earnings
properties. These papers are primarily concerned with the relative market valuation
of the earnings. For example, Bodnar and Weintrop (1997) examine the relation
between returns and domestic and foreign incomes and report that foreign earnings
have a greater association with returns, consistent with the foreign earnings being
related to growth opportunities reflected in returns. Another example is Thomas
(1999), who, in a Mishkin (1983) framework, examines whether foreign earnings
have different persistence than domestic earnings and whether trading profits can be
earned via trading on the knowledge of such a difference. Thomas reports that
foreign earnings have greater persistence than domestic earnings but that the market
underestimates the persistence of foreign earnings, leading to predictable future
returns. Hope et al. (2008) extend Thomas (1999) and report evidence consistent
with investor mispricing of foreign earnings decreasing after the adoption of SFAS
131 Disclosures about Segments on Enterprise and Related Information. While
these papers consider foreign versus domestic earnings, their focus is on mispricing,
not where multinationals undertake earnings management.
Perhaps most closely related to our paper are three working papers: Durnev, et al.
(2011), Beuselinck et al. (2010), and Fan (2008). Durnev et al. (2011) examine
governance at offshore financial centers and the effects on earnings management.
The authors classify companies incorporated in an offshore financial center and U.S.
domiciled firms that have affiliates in offshore financial centers both as ‘‘offshore
firms,’’ to which they compare other U.S. firms without offshore affiliates. The
authors report evidence consistent with offshore firms engaging in more earnings
management than non-offshore firms. They further document that companies with a
higher Offshore Attitude Index, intended to measure the firm’s institutional and
legal environment, manage earnings more with accruals than with real earnings
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Where do firms manage earnings? 655
5
There are other important papers that are somewhat related to our research but less directly. For
example, Duru and Reeb (2002) report evidence that analysts have lower forecast accuracy when firms
have greater international diversification. Looking across firms—thus, more similar in spirit to Leuz et al.
(2003), Pincus et al. (2007) document the occurrence of the accrual anomaly in foreign countries, and
DeFond et al. (2007) provide evidence that earnings announcements are more informative in countries
with strong investor protections. In addition, there are other papers beyond Erickson et al. (2004) that
study the relation between taxes and earnings management. For example, Badertscher et al. (2009)
(discussed below), Frank et al. (2009), and Rego (2003). Frank et al. (2009) find a positive relation
between aggressive tax reporting and aggressive financial reporting, and Rego (2003) finds economies of
scale in tax planning, such that multinational firms are better able to avoid tax. We do not study tax
planning in our paper.
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3 Hypothesis development
Earnings management can occur at the direction of central management or via the
conduct of a division or subsidiary manager.6 In our setting, the predictions are the
same in either case. For example, if central managers decide to engage in earnings
management, they must decide whether to manage domestic income, foreign
income, or both. Managers are expected to consider the expected costs of earnings
management, including the likelihood of being challenged or discovered. In
addition, managers will consider the potential benefits of earnings management such
as higher compensation (Healy 1985) or avoiding the violation of a debt covenant
(DeFond and Jiambalvo 1994; Sweeney 1994; Dichev and Skinner 2002), for
example. The expected likelihood of being caught may be lower for domestic
earnings management, if directing earnings management in the foreign jurisdiction
would involve more people or would involve people who do not work closely with
top management. In other words, to the extent that top management wants to limit
the number of people involved and keep the misreporting close to the parent
company, earnings management will occur in domestic income. However, it is
possible that foreign income will be managed more in order to avoid getting caught.
For example, if the Kedia and Rajgopal (2011) result—that firms farther from SEC
offices manage earnings more than firms close to SEC offices—can be generalized
to U.S. subsidiaries relative to foreign subsidiaries, then more earnings management
will take place in foreign jurisdictions. Because there are reasons for earnings
management to be located either more or less in foreign earnings than domestic
earnings, we make no directional prediction with regard to the overall geographic
location of earnings management.
Our first directional prediction (Hypothesis 1) focuses on the rule of law in the
foreign countries where the firm’s subsidiaries are located. We predict that the local
legal systems of the firm’s subsidiaries affect the firm’s propensity to engage in
earnings management, such that having subsidiaries in weak rule of law countries
will be associated with more earnings management. The effect of local institutions
on accounting quality has been shown in prior literature, as discussed above (for
example, Leuz et al. 2003). Earnings management in foreign operations may be less
likely to be challenged, and, if so, the consequences are likely to be less stringent
when there is a weak rule of law. Audits of foreign operations are typically
performed by foreign affiliates of the auditor or, in some cases, by an unrelated
foreign audit firm. If those audits are lacking the rigor of the audit of the U.S.
operations, as suggested is often the case by the PCAOB chair as discussed above,
then the managers might face less chance of being challenged if they manage
6
In an analysis of fraudulent financial reporting over the period 1998–2007, the Committee of
Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission (COSO) states: ‘‘The SEC named the CEO and/
or CFO for some level of involvement in 89 % of the fraud cases, up from 83 % of cases in 1987–1997.
Within 2 years of the completion of the SEC’s investigation, about 20 % of CEOs/CFOs had been
indicted and over 60 % of those indicted were convicted’’ (Beasley et al. 2010). Thus, many cases of
financial manipulation name central managers as the guilty party. However, some cases are done by
‘‘rogue’’ managers, as the two SEC AAER cases in Sect. 2 indicate. Top management at Boston Scientific
and Bristow did not appear to be, and were not accused of being, involved in the fraud.
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Where do firms manage earnings? 657
foreign income, particularly if the rigor of the local audit is affected by the local rule
of law. The effect of local rule of law on earnings management, if any, is interesting
when examining the earnings of subsidiaries of U.S. multinationals because the
earnings of subsidiaries are required to be reported under U.S. GAAP and U.S.
securities laws. The U.S. is considered to have a strong rule of law, which ideally
should act as a constraint on earnings management in both domestic and foreign
operations, in which case weaker constraints based on local law would not matter.
Our second directional prediction (Hypothesis 2) focuses on the role of tax
havens in earnings management. We predict that having subsidiaries in tax havens is
associated with more earnings management. This prediction comes in part from
Erickson et al. (2004), which examines whether firms engaging in accounting fraud
pay taxes on the fraudulent earnings. Erickson et al. (2004: p. 391) do not study
where firms manage the earnings, or whether the taxes are foreign or domestic, but
the authors conjecture that ‘‘the firm might overstate the income of a foreign
subsidiary located in a low-tax country.’’ Managing earnings in a tax haven avoids
cash tax payments as well as the accounting income tax expense in most cases.7
In a follow-up study to Erickson et al. (2004), Badertscher et al. (2009) examine
restatement firms and characteristics of restatement firms that manage earnings
using methods where book income conforms to taxable income or using methods
that are unconfirmed. One of the premises in that study is that nonconforming
earnings management is less costly than conforming earnings management because
there is no tax cost if the item managed is not conformed between book and taxable
incomes. In our study, we look within a firm and hypothesize another way managers
can avoid paying tax on the income managed—by managing the earnings in a low-
tax jurisdiction (that is, a tax haven).8 Thus, our study complements Badertscher
et al. (2009) because we both hypothesize that earnings management is more likely
when tax costs are lowest.
Another reason we expect to see more earnings management for firms with tax
haven subsidiaries comes from Desai et al. (2007) and Desai and Dharmapala
(2006). Those studies posit that the same structures and activities conducive to tax
avoidance (that is, complex structures and secrecy) are also conducive to private
diversion of the firm’s resources by managers. Indeed, the authors argue that the
primary intent of many tax shelters is to increase accounting earnings. Furthermore,
in a report by the Joint Committee of Taxation (JCT) prepared for the Senate
Finance Committee, the JCT noted that Enron created many entities in jurisdictions
that did not impose taxes on such entities (for example, tax havens). In particular, as
of December 31, 2001, the Enron ownership structure included 441 entities formed
in the Cayman Islands, a country that has never imposed a corporate income tax.
These entities were used for transactions that increased reported earnings (for
example, LJM Cayman) but did not generate additional taxes.
7
Many tax havens have a corporate tax rate of zero, but conceptually for this paper we only need havens
to impose lower taxes on income than does the U.S.
8
Our premise assumes that the earnings from the subsidiary are not repatriated and the U.S. tax is not
incurred. The Badertscher et al. (2009) study assumes all the income is taxable in the U.S. and that
managers lessen the tax via nonconforming earnings management.
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Of note is that our hypothesized prediction for tax havens is most applicable to
profitable, tax-paying firms. Our prediction is that tax havens allow earnings
management in a tax free manner, which implies that taxes are costly for the firm.
As a result, in the tests that follow, we estimate our regressions over the full sample
and separately over a subsample of profitable firms (that is, positive pre-tax
domestic and foreign earnings).
In addition, we recognize that haven locations could be used by the corporations
in our study for tax planning purposes. The income and accruals measures that we
examine in our tests are pre-tax and thus are not affected by reductions in tax
expense as a result of any tax planning via tax havens (or otherwise). For example,
the earnings management that we observe in our measures is not simply a
manifestation of transfer pricing for tax purposes. Such tax-motivated income
management involving tax havens typically involves shifting income across
jurisdictions (for example, U.S. to foreign) within the current year. While this
can increase pre-tax foreign income and decrease pre-tax domestic income, it will
not affect total consolidated pre-tax earnings. In contrast, accounting-motivated
earnings management involves shifting income over time (for example, accruals
that increase current year income and decrease next year’s income or real
transactions accelerated into the current period).9
4.1 Variables
We examine two measures of discretionary accruals in our analyses, and later in the
paper we examine restatements as well. The first is signed pre-tax discretionary
accruals, PTDACC. The second is the absolute value of pre-tax discretionary
accruals |PTDACC|. The absolute value of discretionary accruals is useful as a
dependent variable to capture both income-increasing and income-decreasing
earnings management when there is reason to expect both types of earnings
management in a sample.10
Note that data on foreign operations is extremely limited from public sources,
especially following the implementation of SFAS 131, and thus direct tests of
earnings management in specific foreign locations are difficult (Berger and Hann
2003). We employ company-wide measures of discretionary accruals and conduct
an array of cross-sectional tests using the rule of law and tax haven location to
investigate our research question.
9
Similarly, companies can tax plan for a variety of other reasons, for example, to maximize foreign tax
credits. While firms in our sample may be doing such tax planning, to our knowledge such tax planning
will not affect our tests. We have constructed the tests using pre-tax measures to avoid incorrect
inferences due to tax planning.
10
Studies examining the absolute value of discretionary accruals include Dechow and Dichev (2002),
Frankel et al. (2002), Klein (2002), Chung and Kallapur (2003), Myers et al. (2003), Leuz et al. (2003),
and Bergstresser and Philippon (2006). As discussed later, we control for operating volatility in our
analyses, following the recommendations of Hribar and Nichols (2007).
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Where do firms manage earnings? 659
11
See [Link] for a detailed discussion and listing of
factors.
12
We use the lists in Miedema (2008) as per Dyreng and Lindsey (2009).
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660 S. D. Dyreng et al.
Our sample selection criteria are described in Table 1. We begin with all U.S.
incorporated firm-years listed on Compustat during the period 1994–2009,
excluding only the smallest of firms (assets less than $1 million or lagged assets
less than $1 million), firms in regulated industries (SIC codes 4900–4999 and
6000–6999), and those with missing values for pre-tax income, operating cash flow,
cash taxes, change in sales, change in receivables, and gross property, plant, and
equipment. This gives us an initial sample of 78,448 firm-years. From these
observations, we exclude firm-years that belong to industry-years with less than 10
13
See [Link] for fur-
ther details.
14
This definition captures noncorporate entities, which may not all meet the technical definition of an
SPE. We follow prior convention for labeling purposes but recognize that there is measurement error in
this variable.
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Where do firms manage earnings? 661
U.S. Corporations covered by Compustat between 1994 and 2009 with total assets 10,710 78,448
greater than $1 million and nonmissing values of the following variables: OANCF,
TXPD, SALE, RECCH, PPEGT, and PI
With data necessary to compute Jones Model Accruals (including lagged assets for the 10,412 69,819
scalar, and 10 industry-year observations to estimate the equation)
With nonmissing values of PIDOM and PIFO 6,832 32,734
With nonmissing values of RULE OF LAW, HAVEN INTENSITY, SPE INTENSITY, 2,067 11,077
CPI CHANGE SUB COUNTRIES, GDP CHANGE SUB COUNTRIES,
FOREIGNNESS, CASH FLOW VOLATILITY, and SALES VOLATILITY
This table explains the sample selection criteria used in the study. Variables referred to above are defined
in Table 3 and in Sect. 4
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This table presents the Fama–French 30 industry composition of the sample, compared to all US
incorporated multinational firms in Compustat during the sample period with at least 1 year of non-
missing assets. Multinational firms are defined as firms that have at least one nonzero value of pre-tax
foreign income (PIFO), foreign tax expense (TXFO), or foreign deferred tax expense (TXDFO). The
financial and utility industries are dropped because we eliminate regulated industries from the sample. Of
the 14 firms in Compustat in the tobacco industry, none fulfill all our sample selection criteria, so the
industry is dropped from the table. Thus, the table has data on 27 industries
is 0.026 in the sample, which is slightly smaller than the mean pre-tax foreign
income of 0.028. The median firm still has more domestic income, however, with
median pre-tax domestic income of 0.036 compared to median foreign pre-tax
income of 0.019.
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Where do firms manage earnings? 663
This table contains descriptive statistics for variables used in our study. The sample consists of 11,077
observations, selected as outlined in Table 1. PTDACC is pre-tax discretionary accruals, calculated using
the modified Jones model using pre-tax accruals instead of total accruals (see Eq. 2). The model is
estimated separately for each two-digit SIC code and year for which there are at least 10 observations.
|PTDACC| is the absolute value of pre-tax discretionary accruals. PIDOM is pre-tax domestic income
from Compustat. PIFO is pre-tax foreign income from Compustat. PIDOM and PIFO are scaled by total
assets at the beginning of the year. RULE OF LAW is the average rule of law of the countries in which the
firm operates. Rule of law scores for each country are obtained from the World Bank Governance
Indicators. HAVEN INTENSITY is the number of countries in which the firm discloses a subsidiary that
are tax havens divided by the total number of countries in which the firm discloses a subsidiary. A country
is designated as tax haven if it appears on at least two of the four lists of tax havens in Miedema (2008) as
per Dyreng and Lindsey (2009). SPE INTENSITY is the number of subsidiaries that are limited liability
companies, limited partnerships, or trusts divided by the total number of subsidiaries. FOREIGNNESS is
foreign sales from Compustat geographic segment data divided by total SALES from Compustat. CASH
FLOW VOLATILITY is the moving 5-year standard deviation of pre-tax cash flow from operations (i.e.
CSHO ? TXPD - XIDOC), each year running from year t - 4 to year t. SALES VOLATILITY is the
moving 5-year standard deviation of SALES from Compustat each year running from year t - 4 to year
t. NCOUNTRIES is the log of the total number of countries in which the firm discloses a subsidiary. SIZE
is the log of total assets. CPI CHANGE SUB COUNTRIES is the average change in consumer price index
for the countries in which the firm discloses material subsidiaries. GDP CHANGE SUB COUNTRIES is
the average change in GDP for the countries in which the firm discloses material subsidiaries. Data on
CPI and GDP are gathered from the World Economic Outlook Database, April 2010 edition, available
from the International Monetary Fund
RULE OF LAW has a mean (median) value of 1.065 (1.087). The raw Rule of
Law measure from the World Bank is designed so that it is mean zero, with a
standard deviation of one across all countries in a given year. Thus, the firms in the
sample tend to have most of their subsidiaries in high rule of law countries. There is
a substantial use of tax haven subsidiaries in the sample, consistent with widespread
use of tax haven subsidiaries among multinational firms in general. The variable
HAVEN INTENSITY has a mean (median) of 0.177 (0.146), indicating that 17.7 %
of the average firm’s material foreign subsidiaries are located in tax havens. Most
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664 S. D. Dyreng et al.
firms in the sample do not report special purpose entities (at least among their
material subsidiaries)–our sample has a median SPE INTENSITY of zero and a mean
of 0.058. The mean (median) value of 0.381 (0.358) for FOREIGNNESS (foreign
sales from Compustat geographic segment data divided by total sales from
Compustat) indicates that a large percentage of sales of the firms in the sample are
earned in foreign jurisdictions. CASH FLOW VOLATILITY and SALES VOLATIL-
ITY have mean values of 0.062 and 0.232, respectively. NCOUNTRIES has a mean
(median) value of 2.348 (2.398), and, since it is the natural log of the number of
countries in which the firm reports material subsidiaries, indicates that the mean
firm has material subsidiaries in approximately 10 countries. The natural log of the
firms’ assets, SIZE, has a mean (median) value of 6.716 (6.676). The variable CPI
CHANGE SUB COUNTRIES, the measure of the average rate of inflation in
countries in which the sample firms have subsidiaries, has a mean (median) of 5.205
(3.003). The variable GDP CHANGE SUB COUNTRIES, a measure of the average
change in gross domestic product in the countries in which the sample firms have
subsidiaries, has a mean (median) of 3.444 (3.494).
Table 4 reports the correlations among these variables. The Pearson correlations
are in the upper right and the Spearman correlations are in the lower left. Consistent
with Hribar and Nichols (2007), we find positive correlations between the absolute
value of (in our case pre-tax) discretionary accruals and the volatility of cash flows
and sales and a negative correlation with firm size. The number of countries in
which the firm lists material subsidiaries is also negatively correlated with the
absolute value of pre-tax discretionary accruals. We next turn to the multivariate
tests.
Our first set of analyses examine whether foreign subsidiary characteristics are
associated with discretionary accruals. Three models with different combinations of
explanatory variables are estimated, with the full model as follows:
PTDACCit ¼ a0 X
þ a1 RULE OF LAWit þ a2 HAVEN INTENSITYit
þ ak CONTROLkit þ it : ð3Þ
The results are presented in Table 5, Panel A.17 In the first column, we present
the results from estimating the regression including RULE OF LAW and control
variables. In the second column, we present results from estimating the regression
including HAVEN INTENSITY and control variables. The full model with all of the
17
We use robust regression to control for outliers. In the regressions, all continuous variables are mean
centered at zero for ease of interpretation of the interaction effects (Aiken and West 1991). We multiply
the dependent variable by 100 to facilitate interpretation of the coefficients as percentages. The standard
errors in all regressions are computed after clustering observations by firm and year to mitigate the effects
of cross-sectional and intra-firm correlation in the residuals (Petersen 2009). For all regressions we
present one-tailed p values for t statistics where we have a prediction and two-tailed p values otherwise.
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Table 4 Correlations
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
1 PTDACC -0.29* 0.51* 0.22* -0.06* -0.02 0.02* 0.02 -0.06* -0.04* 0.04* 0.06* 0.01 0.00
2 |PTDACC| 0.13* -0.33* -0.14* 0.06* 0.04* -0.01 0.01 0.29* 0.22* -0.14* -0.21* -0.03* -0.07*
3 PIDOM 0.31* -0.12* 0.14* -0.03* -0.01 0.01 -0.13* -0.14* -0.04* 0.10* 0.21* 0.02* 0.07*
Where do firms manage earnings?
4 PIFO 0.17* -0.11* 0.23* -0.11* 0.06* -0.04* 0.24* -0.01 0.02 0.20* 0.20* 0.01 0.09*
5 RULE OF LAW -0.05* 0.07* -0.00 -0.15* -0.04* -0.01 -0.11* 0.10* 0.06* -0.33* -0.27* -0.11* -0.28*
6 HAVEN INTENSITY -0.01 0.01 -0.01 0.11* -0.10* -0.04* 0.08* 0.08* 0.05* 0.04* 0.05* -0.03* 0.13*
7 SPE INTENSITY 0.02* -0.05* -0.00 0.01 -0.19* 0.04* -0.10* -0.04* -0.02* -0.13* 0.05* -0.02* -0.01
8 FOREIGNNESS 0.01 -0.00 -0.21* 0.36* -0.14* 0.13* -0.08* 0.03* -0.04* 0.28* 0.05* -0.02* 0.06*
9 CASH FLOW -0.07* 0.25* 0.01 -0.05* 0.16* 0.07* -0.15* 0.01 0.43* -0.20* -0.37* -0.02* 0.00
VOLATILITY
10 SALES VOLATILITY -0.02* 0.19* 0.09* -0.01 0.11* 0.01 -0.09* -0.09* 0.44* -0.11* -0.23* -0.02 0.01
11 NCOUNTRIES 0.02* -0.13* 0.08* 0.33* -0.41* 0.25* 0.14* 0.35* -0.24* -0.14* 0.55* 0.06* 0.08*
12 SIZE 0.02* -0.20* 0.17* 0.27* -0.33* 0.14* 0.31* 0.09* -0.39* -0.27* 0.56* 0.07* 0.07*
13 CPI CHANGE SUB 0.04* -0.05* 0.06* 0.15* -0.64* 0.01 0.10* 0.04* -0.20* -0.10* 0.41* 0.35* 0.02*
COUNTRIES
14 GDP CHANGE SUB -0.03* -0.09* 0.07* 0.11* -0.28* 0.15* 0.04* 0.06* -0.02 -0.00 0.12* 0.10* 0.06*
COUNTRIES
This table presents the bivariate Pearson (above the diagonal) and Spearman (below the diagonal) correlations. All variables are defined in Table 3. Sample selection
criteria are in Table 1. * Significance at the 5 % level or better
665
123
666 S. D. Dyreng et al.
Table 5 Discretionary accruals as a function of rule of law, tax haven intensity, and controls
Panel B: Sub-sample of firm-years with positive pre-tax domestic income and positive pre-tax foreign
incomeb
123
Where do firms manage earnings? 667
Table 5 continued
Panel B: Sub-sample of firm-years with positive pre-tax domestic income and positive pre-tax foreign
incomeb
123
668 S. D. Dyreng et al.
HAVEN INTENSITY
Fig. 1 Plot of the effect of RULE OF LAW and HAVEN INTENSITY on Discretionary Accruals
(PTDACC). This figure presents estimates of the effect of RULE OF LAW and HAVEN INTENSITY on
discretionary accruals (PTDACC) when both foreign and domestic pre-tax earnings are positive. The
estimates are obtained by estimating Eq. (3), except replacing the continuous measures of RULE OF LAW
(HAVEN INTENSITY) with 5 indicator variables based on quintiles of RULE OF LAW (HAVEN
INTENSITY). To show the incremental effect, the baseline is centered on zero
to face significant tax costs from earnings management in the first place and thus are
less likely to focus their earnings management in tax havens. Accordingly, in Panel
B of Table 5, we re-estimate Eq. (3) over the set of firm-years that have positive
pre-tax foreign and positive pre-tax domestic income. The results in Panel B
indicate that, among profitable firms, earnings management is increasing in the
extent to which the firms have tax haven subsidiaries. The coefficient on HAVEN
INTENSITY is positive and significant in both specifications where it is included,
ranging from 0.828 in column (2) to 0.836 in column (3). Economically, a one
standard deviation increase in HAVEN INTENSITY increases the average level of
discretionary accruals by about 0.15 % of beginning assets. As in the broad sample
of firms, RULE OF LAW is negative and significant, as predicted, in each
specification where it is included, with a one standard deviation increase in RULE
OF LAW translating to a decrease in discretionary accruals of about 0.5 % of
beginning assets.
In terms of the control variables, the results in Table 5, Panel A, and Table 5,
Panel B, show a consistently positive coefficient on FOREIGNNESS, though
insignificant in Panel A, and a consistently negative coefficient on SIZE.
Coefficients on CASH FLOW VOLATILITY are significantly negative across all
specifications. These findings are consistent with the modified Jones model better
explaining accruals, and thus leaving less to be labeled discretionary, for large firms
and firms with low operating volatility (Hribar and Nichols 2007). We also find
consistently negative coefficients on CPI CHANGE SUB COUNTRIES, though
123
Where do firms manage earnings? 669
Table 6 Discretionary accruals on domestic pre-tax income and pre-tax foreign income and interacted
effects
Panel B: Sub-sample of firm-years with positive pre-tax domestic income and positive pre-tax foreign
incomeb
123
670 S. D. Dyreng et al.
Table 6 continued
Panel B: Sub-sample of firm-years with positive pre-tax domestic income and positive pre-tax foreign
incomeb
In Table 6 we examine the mapping of foreign and domestic pre-tax income into
discretionary accruals. The idea is to examine how earnings management can be
123
Where do firms manage earnings? 671
18
The breakdown of pre-tax income into pre-tax domestic income and pre-tax foreign income is required
by the SEC to be included in the tax footnote of firm’s financial statements to correspond with the
breakdown of tax expense into domestic and foreign components.
123
672 S. D. Dyreng et al.
Hypothesis 1 predicts that firms with subsidiaries in countries with a high rule of
law will have less earnings management in foreign earnings. That is, Hypothesis 1
predicts that x1 \ 0. Hypothesis 2 predicts that firms with subsidiaries in tax haven
countries will have more earnings management in foreign earnings. That is,
Hypothesis 2 predicts that x2 [ 0.
Table 6 presents the results of the estimations of the above equations with Panel
A estimated over all firm-years and Panel B estimated over firm-years with positive
pre-tax foreign and positive pre-tax domestic income. In Panel A of Table 6, Model
1 examines how discretionary accruals are explained by pre-tax domestic income
and pre-tax foreign income without control variables (that is, Eq. (7) above). The
coefficients on both PIDOM and PIFO are positive and significant, with values of
22.031 and 14.817, respectively. The coefficient on PIDOM is significantly greater
than the coefficient on PIFO, as indicated by the test in the bottom row of the table.
The interpretation is that, at the mean, a dollar of pre-tax domestic income results in
approximately 22 cents of pre-tax discretionary accruals, whereas a dollar of pre-tax
foreign income results in approximately 15 cents of pre-tax discretionary accruals.
Dollar-for-dollar, this is consistent with domestic income being subject to more
earnings management than foreign income.
We expand this in Model 2 by first adding HAVEN INTENSITY and RULE OF
LAW and the control variables from Table 5 both as main effects and interacted
separately with PIDOM and PIFO: SPE INTENSITY, FOREIGNNESS, NCOUN-
TRIES, SIZE, CPI CHANGE SUB COUNTRIES, GDP CHANGE SUB COUN-
TRIES, SALES VOLATILITY, and CASH FLOW VOLATILITY. For the sake of
brevity, the coefficients on those variables are not reported in Table 6, and their
presence is instead noted by a ‘‘YES’’ in the rows labeled ‘‘CONTROLS.’’ Notice
that the control variables result in a large increase in explanatory power from an R2
of approximately 21 % in Model 1 to approximately 33 % in Model 2. With the
controls included, both PIDOM and PIFO remain positive and significant (29.050
19
We use the superscript j to indicate a vector of controls that includes all of the controls in the vector k
and also includes RULE OF LAW and HAVEN INTENSITY.
123
Where do firms manage earnings? 673
20
Calculated as -18.633 9 0.487 = -9.1. Note that 0.487 is the standard deviation of RULE OF LAW
from Table 3.
123
674 S. D. Dyreng et al.
123
Where do firms manage earnings? 675
HAVEN INTENSITY
Fig. 2 Plot of the effect of RULE OF LAW and HAVEN INTENSITY on the Mapping of Pre-tax Income
from Foreign Operations (PIFO) into Discretionary Accruals (PTDACC). This figure presents estimates
of the effect of RULE OF LAW and HAVEN INTENSITY on the mapping of pre-tax income from foreign
operations PIFO into discretionary accruals (PTDACC) when both foreign and domestic pre-tax earnings
are positive. The estimates are obtained by estimating Eq. (11), except replacing the continuous measures
of RULE OF LAW (HAVEN INTENSITY) with 5 indicator variables based on quintiles of RULE OF LAW
(HAVEN INTENSITY). To show the incremental effect, the baseline is centered on zero
123
676 S. D. Dyreng et al.
Table 7 Absolute value of discretionary accruals as a function of rule of law, tax haven intensity, and
controls
Prediction Model 1 Model 2 Model 3
This table presents estimates from the following model: jPTDACCit j ¼ a0 þ a1 RULE OF LAWit þ
P
a2 HAVEN INTENSITYit þ ak CONTROLkit þ it . Each of the variables shown in the table is defined in
Table 3. The dependent variable, jPTDACCit j, has been multiplied by 100 to ease interpretation of the
coefficients. T statistics, shown in parentheses below the coefficient estimates, are based on standard
errors that are clustered by firm and year. One tailed tests of significance are used where a signed
prediction has been made. ***, **, and * represent statistical significance at the 1, 5, and 10 % levels,
respectively
123
Where do firms manage earnings? 677
Table 8 Absolute value of discretionary accruals on pre-tax domestic income and pre-tax foreign
income and interacted effects
Prediction Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5
This table presents estimates from the following model: jPTDACCit j ¼ c þ p0 jPIDOMit j þ p1 jPIDOMit j
P K
RULE OF LAWit þ p2 jPIDOMit j HAVEN INTENSITYit þ k pk jPIDOMit j CONTROL P it þ x0
jPIFOit j þ x1 jPIFOit j RULE OF LAWit þ x2 jPIFOit j HAVEN INTENSITYit þ k xk jPIFOit j
P
CONTROLkit þ j cj CONTROLitj þ eit . Each of the variables shown in the table is defined in Table 3. The
dependent variable, jPTDACCit j, has been multiplied by 100 to ease interpretation of the coefficients.
Each of the variables has been mean-centered to facilitate interpretation of the interaction terms.
T statistics, shown in parentheses below the coefficient estimates, are based on standard errors that are
clustered by firm and year. One tailed tests of significance are used where a signed prediction has been
made. ***, **, and * represent statistical significance at the 1, 5, and 10 % levels, respectively
123
678 S. D. Dyreng et al.
22
We thank an anonymous referee for this suggestion.
123
Where do firms manage earnings? 679
Kothari et al. (2005) describe how performance matching can improve modified
discretionary accruals models by controlling for extreme performance that makes
estimation of discretionary accruals difficult. Dechow et al. (2011) present a new
method of improving the modified Jones model based on researcher-predicted
timing of accrual reversals. Both of these adjustments are only improvements to the
model under certain conditions. For performance matching, if performance is
correlated with earnings management, the power of the model is actually reduced as
it throws the proverbial baby out with the bathwater. For the Dechow et al. (2011)
model, the modified Jones model’s ability to detect discretionary accruals is only
improved if the researcher has a prediction of when the managed accruals will
reverse.
We control for performance by adding return-on-assets to our discretionary
accrual regression models in untabulated tests. The results are qualitatively the same
for our test variables except for the coefficient on HAVEN INTENSITY in Table 5,
Panel B, which becomes insignificant. We do not have predictions about when
managed accruals will reverse in our setting and thus do not test for reversals in our
analyses.
We test the robustness of our results to different definitions of our main variables.
First, we replace HAVEN INTENSITY throughout the study with the natural log of
the number of tax haven countries in which the firm operates and find similar
results. Second, we replace RULE OF LAW throughout the study with a variable that
counts the number of ‘‘corrupt’’ countries in which the firm operates and we find
that firms in more corrupt countries engage in more foreign earnings management.23
In sum, our results do not appear to be highly dependent on specific definitions of
tax haven intensity or rule of law.
23
A corrupt country was defined to be any country in the most corrupt quartile of the World Bank’s
Corruption Index.
123
680 S. D. Dyreng et al.
5.3.6 Restatements
In further robustness tests, we replace pre-tax discretionary accruals from Eq. (3) with
a binary variable that equals one if the firm restated its financial statements for that
year. Compared with discretionary accruals, restatements have the advantage that
they are independent of the researcher, as they are not based on a researcher-generated
model of accruals. However, restatements have two main disadvantages. First,
restatements will not capture within-GAAP earnings management. Second, and most
importantly, for a restatement to occur the GAAP violation must be discovered. Thus,
the most successful earnings management may never result in a restatement, either
because it was within GAAP to begin with or because it was well hidden and never
discovered. Since variation in the risk of detection across foreign operations is at the
heart of this paper’s hypotheses (that is, firms manage earnings where they expect the
likelihood of detection to be the lowest), restatements are less than ideal for this paper
(Hennes et al. 2008). (The same would hold true for SEC AAERs.) Indeed, a recent
study by Srinivasan et al. (2011) reports that foreign firms from countries with weak
rule of law are less likely to restate earnings than those companies from strong rule of
law locations, even though the companies from the weak rule of law countries have
more earnings management. The authors conclude that home country enforcement
affects the likelihood of firms reporting an irregularity, and thus less frequent
restatements do not indicate high quality earnings, at least for their sample.
Because the dependent variable is an indicator variable, we estimate the model
with logistic regression. We include a number of additional controls that have been
used in prior research examining accounting restatements and fraud.24 Restatements
are gathered from the Government Accountability Office (GAO) and cover the years
1995–2005. The new data requirements (the restatement variable plus the additional
controls) reduce the sample size to 6,699 firm-years, of which 269 are restatement
firm-years.
In Table 9, we report results from the logistic regression. Consistent with our
predictions, we find that increases in RULE OF LAW significantly reduce the
likelihood of a restatement. The unconditional probability of restatement in our
sample given the explanatory variables is about 4 %. A one standard deviation
improvement in RULE OF LAW decreases the probability of a restatement by
0.9–3.1 %. On the other hand, we find no evidence that HAVEN INTENSITY is
associated with restatements.
Current research suggests that propensity score matching can improve the reliability
of results in observational studies (Armstrong et al. 2010). Accordingly, we re-
estimate the results in Tables 5, Panel A, 7, and 9 using a propensity score matching
24
The additional control variables include change in receivables, change in inventory, change in cash
sales, change in return-on-assets, change in the number of employees, the level of ‘‘soft’’ assets, an
indicator for whether the firm issued debt or equity in the period, an indicator for whether the firm has
outstanding leases, a measure of ex ante financing needs, Altman’s Z, and industry fixed effects. See
Dechow et al. (2011) for detailed definitions of these variables.
123
Where do firms manage earnings? 681
approach, as follows. First, we keep only those observations in the lowest quintile of
RULE OF LAW or the highest two quintiles of RULE OF LAW. Firm-years that are
in the lowest quintile of RULE OF LAW are assigned to the ‘‘treatment’’ group, and
firm-years that are in the highest two quintiles of RULE OF LAW are assigned to the
potential ‘‘control’’ group. We then fit a logistic regression predicting the treatment
as a function of the control variables from Table 5. We use the predicted probability
of receiving the treatment to match treatment firm-years to control firm-years,
requiring matches to have predicted probabilities within 10 % of each other and
come from the same industry. Once treatment and control firm-years are matched,
we compare mean values for PTDACC and |PTDACC| across the two groups, and
we compare the frequency of observed restatements across the two groups.25 Results
25
Not every treatment firm will match with a control firm, and the propensity score approach involves a
trade-off. If the matching process is relaxed so that more firms match, then the resulting matches will be
less precise. Conversely, if the matching is required to be very precise, then there will be fewer successful
matches.
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682 S. D. Dyreng et al.
Table 10 Propensity score test of rule of law on discretionary accruals, absolute value of discretionary
accruals, and restatements
Panel A: Comparison of mean discretionary accruals and mean absolute value of discretionary accruals
across strong and weak RULE OF LAWa
Panel B: Frequency of restatement firm-years across strong and weak RULE OF LAWb
are presented in Table 10. Panel A of Table 10 shows that 1,300 firms with weak
RULE OF LAW matched to 1,300 firms with strong RULE OF LAW. The table
shows that firms in the weak RULE OF LAW sample have statistically higher mean
values of PTDACC and |PTDACC| than firms in the strong RULE OF LAW sample,
consistent with the results in Tables 5 and 7. Panel B shows the frequency of
restatements across the two groups. In this panel, the number of observations drops
because matching firms were not required to have restatement data. The panel
shows that of 799 firm-years with weak RULE OF LAW, 41 were restated, while
only 25 of 870 were restated in the strong RULE OF LAW group. The difference is
statistically significant with a p value of 0.009. This finding is consistent with the
results presented in Table 9 that firms with subsidiaries in countries with a weak
rule of law are more likely to restate earnings.
In Table 11, we repeat the exercise of Table 10 but for HAVEN INTENSITY. We
find no evidence that firms with greater tax haven intensity have higher mean values
of PTDACC and |PTDACC|, although the differences are in the direction that we
123
Where do firms manage earnings? 683
Table 11 Propensity score test of haven intensity on discretionary accruals, absolute value of discre-
tionary accruals, and restatements
Panel A: Comparison of mean discretionary accruals and mean absolute value of discretionary accruals
across strong and weak HAVEN INTENSITYa
Panel B: Frequency of restatement firm-years across strong and weak HAVEN INTENSITYb
would predict when examining |PTDACC|. Likewise, we find no evidence that firms
with greater tax haven intensity are more likely to restate financial statements.
Again, this is consistent with the logistic regression results in Table 9. Overall, the
tests suggest that having subsidiaries in weak rule of law countries is associated with
more earnings management and a higher likelihood of restatement, whereas having
subsidiaries in tax havens does not appear to be associated with statistically higher
mean values of PTDACC and |PTDACC|, nor does it appear to be associated with
the likelihood of restatement.
6 Conclusions
123
684 S. D. Dyreng et al.
years 1994–2009. We report three main findings. First, we find that, on average,
domestic income tends to be managed more than foreign income. Second, we
predict and find that firms with extensive foreign subsidiaries in countries with a low
rule of law engage in more earnings management than other firms and that the
earnings management is concentrated in foreign income. Third, we find that
profitable firms with a relatively high proportion of subsidiaries in tax havens
manage earnings more than other firms, as measured by discretionary accruals, and
that the incremental effect is also concentrated in foreign income. Together, these
results provide initial evidence about where firms manage earnings.
All studies are subject to caveats, and ours is no exception. First, there is
disagreement in the literature about how best to measure earnings management. We
employ three measures of earnings management and obtain generally similar
results. Second, some of the tests assume a linear relation between earnings and
discretionary accruals, which is a simplification. Third, in an ideal experiment, we
could assign firms randomly to do business in different locals, with varying levels of
rule of law and taxation, and then observe how their earnings management changed
with the footprint of their operations around the world. Like most researchers using
archival data, we do not have the luxury of random assignment, and thus we have
the limitations that come with observing data as they naturally occur, including
endogeneity and self-selection concerns. We attempt to control for these issues,
introducing a number of controls for both firm-specific and macro-factors, as well as
conducting a propensity matching analysis. However, to the extent these controls
are not sufficient, readers should interpret the results with reasonable caution.
This paper contributes to the long line of research on earnings management by
providing initial evidence on where firms manage earnings, a question that is for the
most part unexplored. In addition, our study is an early step in the literature focused
on looking within multinational firms rather than only across firms. We look forward
to further inquiries in this spirit in the future.
Acknowledgments We appreciate helpful comments from Patricia Dechow (editor), Annalisa Prencipe
(discussant), two anonymous referees, Dirk Black, Alex Edwards, Jürgen Ernstberger, Jeff Hoopes, Chad
Larson, Alina Lerman, K. Ramesh, Tjomme Rusticus, Terry Shevlin, Nemit Shroff, Shyam Sunder, Jake
Thomas, Jake Thornock, Alex Young, Frank Zhang, and workshop participants at the 2011 European
Accounting Association Annual Congress, the 2011 London Business School Accounting Symposium,
the 2011 Review of Accounting Studies Conference, Florida State University, University of Chicago,
University of Notre Dame, University of Southern California, University of Toronto, Texas A&M
University, and the Yale 2010 Accounting Research Conference. Maydew acknowledges financial
support from the Arthur Andersen Faculty Fund.
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