Demography Study Guide and Techniques
Demography Study Guide and Techniques
i. Demography
ii. Sources of Demographic Data
iii. Census
iv. Registration of Vital Events
v. Sample Surveys
CHAPTER TWO: DEMOGRAPHIC MEASUREMENT TOOLS
AND TECHNIQUES
i. Tools of Measurement
ii. Ratios
iii. Proportions
iv. Rates
v. Techniques of Demographic Measurement
vi. Measures of Fertility
vii. Measures of Mortality
CHAPTER THREE: GROWTH OF POPULATIONS
i. Reasons for Population Growth
ii. Population Growth Forms
iii. Population Dynamics
iv. Population Structure
v. Population Pyramids
vi. The Ecological Ages
vii. Types of Populations
viii. Theory of Demographic Transition
i. Family size Preference
ii. Education
iii. Trends in Mortality
iv. Mechanisms of Mortality Decline
v. Mortality Differentials
vi. Infant Mortality
vii. Female Education
viii. Migration
ix. International Migration
x. Internal Migration
Define Demography
Identify the different sources of demographic data
Explain the differences between the major sources of data
List and state steps needed in conducting population census.
Demography
Demography can be defined as the study of human populations including their composition,
distributions, densities, growth and other characteristics as well as the causes and consequences
of changes in these factors.
Demography, as understood today, is the scientific study of human population and its dynamics.
It is derived from two Greek Words:
Demos means population
Graphics means to draw
Demography focuses its attention on three readily available human phenomena:
Changes in population size (growth or decline)
The composition of the population and
The distribution of population in space.
Demography deals with major “demographic processes” namely fertility, mortality and
migration. These processes are continually at work within a population determining its size,
composition and distribution.
Sources of Demographic Data
Demographic data are important in providing factual basis for decisions on matters of public
policy and action concerning social and economic affairs. These data can be processed to
indicate present and future requirements of the population in terms of the types and extent of
social needs of the society such as health, education and employment.
The major sources of demographic data include:
i. Census
ii. Registration of vital events (Records)
iii. Sample surveys
iv. Ad-hoc Demographic studies
Census
Census is defined as an enumeration or complete population count at a point in time within a
specified geographical area. A census provides more reliable and accurate data if properly
enumerated.
Techniques of Census Taking
There are two techniques of conducting census, dejure and defacto.
DEJURE
A de jure census is a method of census taking in which people are counted based on
their usual place of residence, regardless of whether they are physically present there on
the census day or not.
In other words, it records individuals according to their permanent home.
This technique is the counting of people according to the permanent place of location or
residence.
1. Individuals are enumerated at their usual residence (not where they happen to be on
census night).
2. People who are temporarily away (e.g., traveling, hospitalized, on business) are still
counted at their permanent home.
3. Requires detailed record-keeping to avoid duplication or omission.
4. More complex than de facto census since it involves tracing people to their usual
residence.
More time-consuming and costly, since it requires follow-up for absent individuals.
Risk of inaccuracy if information about absent people is not provided correctly by
family or neighbors.
Difficult to apply in areas with high migration or nomadic lifestyles.
Example
Easier and faster to conduct since people are counted where they are found.
Lower risk of duplication since each person is counted only where they are present.
Useful for short-term planning (transportation, food supply, emergency services).
Example
If the same student from Kakamega is studying in Nairobi and is present in Nairobi on
census night, in a de facto census they are counted in Nairobi, not in Kakamega.
Use of Census
Provide the facts essential to government for policy-making, planning and administration.
Decision-making that facilitates the development of socio-economic policies -enhance
the welfare of the population.
Provides important data for the analysis and appraisal of the changing patterns of
rural/urban movement and concentration, the development of urbanized areas,
geographical distribution of the population according to such variables as occupation and
education, as well as the socio-economic characteristics of the population and the labor
force.
Aids in the decision-making processes of the private sector. Population size and
characteristics influence the location of businesses and services that satisfy the needs of
the target population.
Population censuses also constitute the principal source of records for use as a sampling
frame for the household surveys during the years between censuses.
Calculating health indicators and vital indices.
Users of Census Data
• Central and local government
• Interest and representative groups
• Businesses
• Local community
• Ethnic groups
•Students
• Media
Qualities of a Census
A census must have the following qualities
It should include every individual in the area (no omission or duplication).
Information should relate to a well – defined point in time.
It should be taken at regular intervals (preferably every 10 years).
It should refer to people inhabiting a well-defined territory.
Information be obtained from personal contact.
Registration of Vital Events (Statistics)
It is a regular and continuous registration of vital events. Civil registration system, which records
births, deaths, marriages etc. (vital statistics), enables rates of population growth to be calculated;
but are much less adequate than national censuses. In developing countries where illiteracy rates
are high and communications are poor, the problems of recording births and deaths are immense
not only in rural populations but also in urban areas. However, efforts are being made to improve
the collection of these data in many countries.
Sample Surveys
A sample survey is another source of demographic data carried out in a scientifically selected
area which covers only a section or portion (sample) of the population under consideration.
Study Questions
What is Demography?
Name and explain the different sources of demographic data?
State the steps that should be followed to undertake a population census.
Explain the advantages and limitations of sample surveys.
The major demographic processes of fertility, mortality and migration constitute the basic
components to determine the size, composition and distribution of a population which require
basic tools and techniques of measurement.
Tools of Measurement
The tools of measurement include:
Ratios
Proportions and
Rates
Ratios:
Ratio is a quotient of any two demographic quantities. It is the result of dividing one quantity by
another. Ratio quantifies the magnitude of one occurrence or condition in relation to another. It is
expressed in the form of:
a,b or a; b
Examples:
Sex Ratio (male – female) = Males/Females
Doctor to Population Ratio =Number of Doctors/Number of Population
Dependency Ratio = No. of People < 15 years +65 years and above/No. of Population 15-64
years of age
Qualification:
The numerator and denominator (a and b) are defined for a specific geographic area and period
of time.
The numerator may or may not be a sub – group of the denominator.
Proportion
A proportion is a ratio which indicates the relation in magnitude of a part of the whole. The
numerator is always included in the denominator. A proportion is usually expressed as a
percentage.
Example: Males to total population ratio
Males x 100
Males + females
That is, there are 50 live births for every 1000 women 20-24 years of age.
TFR = Sum of all Age specific fertility rates multiplied by age interval
Calculation of Total Fertility Rate
Age group of Number of Number of live Age specific
mothers Women birth rates
births to the age
group
15-19 years 1,237,721 117,583 0.095
20-24 978,136 268,987 0.275
25-29 979,623 283,111 0.289
30-34 989,693 254,351 0.257
35-39 814,243 162,034 0.199
40-44 548,882 57,633 0.105
45-49 406,540 22,766 0.056
Total 5,954,838 1,166,465 1.276
TFR = 5 x 1.276 = 6.38
6.38 children per woman in her reproductive life.
Total fertility rate also varies widely between populations in the world. It is higher for
developing countries than developed ones.
Example: - The sex ratio at birth of Ethiopia (2001) = 100.6 (i.e 100.6 males for every 100
females)
- and the TFR (2001) = 5.9 (5.9 children per women)
If the number of children under 5 years of age in an area is 2,000,000 and the number of women
15 – 49 years of age is 8,000,000.
Infant Mortality Rate is the number of deaths of infants under one year of age (0-11 months of
age) per 1000 live births in a given year.
Infant (children under one year of age) are at highest risk of death than any other age group.
The infant mortality rate is considered to be a sensitive indicator of the health status of a
community, because it reflects the socio-economic condition of the population; i.e. the level of
education, environmental sanitation, adequate and safe water supply, communicable diseases,
provision of health services etc. These factors mostly affect infants and children under five years
of age. Hence, IMR widely varies between countries in the world.
The post-neonatal mortality rate reflects deaths due to factors related to;
i. Environmental sanitation
ii. Infections (communicable diseases)
iii. Nutritional problems
iv. Child care etc.
It can be used as an indicator to evaluate Maternal and Child Health Care services and socio-
economic development of a community or country.
Maternal Mortality (Death) Rate (MMR)
Maternal mortality rate is the number of maternal deaths related to pregnancy, child birth and
post-natal (puerperium) complications per 1000 live births (usually per 100,000 L.B).
MMR = Number of deaths of women related to pregnancy child birth and puerperium in a year X
100,000 over the Total number of live births in the same year
It is a sensitive indicator of health status of a population. It reflects the socio- economic status of
a community.
Sex Specific Death Rates (SSDR)
Sex Specific Death Rate is the number of deaths among a specific sex group (males or females)
per 1000 population of the same sex group.
Sex specific Death (Mortality) Rate for males = Number of deaths among male’s X 100
Total number of males
Sex specific mortality rate is used to determine which sex group is at higher risk of death than
the other.
Study Questions
What are ratios, proportions and rates? Explain their differences.
Distinguish the difference between natality, fertility and fecundity
List and define the important demographic measures of fertility and mortality
CHAPTER THREE: GROWTH OF POPUALTIONS
If we assume that the number of individuals entering a population (immigration), equals the
number of leaving (emigration), population growth is the result of the increase of births over
deaths. This relationship is summarized by a formula known as the balancing equation. It is
expressed as:
P2 = P1 + ( B – D) + ( I + E)
Where: -
P2 = Size of population for the year under consideration
P1 = Size of population in the preceding year
B= Number of births between the two dates
D = Number of deaths between the two dates.
I = Number of immigrants in the time under consideration (between P2 and P1)
E = Number of emigrants in the time under consideration (between P2 and P1)
The differences between births and deaths in a population produces the Natural Increase (or
decrease) of a population. The rate of Natural Population increase is the rate at which a
population is increasing (or decreasing) in a given year due to excess (or deficit) of births over
deaths expressed as a percentage of the base population.
RNI = Births - Deaths X 100
Total Population
OR
Birth Rate - Death Rate
Net Migration: is the difference between the numbers of persons entering a geographic area
(Immigrants) and those leaving the area (emigrants).
Total Population Growth Rate
It is the rate at which a population is increasing (or decreasing) in a given year due to natural
increase and net migration expressed as a percentage of the base population.
Total Growth Rate = Natural increase + Net Migration X 100
Total Population
Population Growth Forms
Populations have characteristic patterns of increase which are called Population Growth Forms.
There are two patterns of population growth forms.
Exponential Growth Form (J - Shaped Growth Curve) In this growth form density increases
rapidly in exponential or compound interest fashion, when there is no environmental restrictions;
and then stops abruptly as environmental resistance or other limits of
resources become effective more or less suddenly. This resistance is the carrying capacity, the
upper level beyond which no major increase can occur (K).
Growth K
Time
Carrying Capacity
K
Population Growth
Population Dynamics
Population dynamics is the study of the changes in population size and structure over time
Major Factors in Population Dynamics
Three major factors or variables determine the population of a defined area and its growth over
time. There are:
i. Births (Fertility)
ii. Deaths (Mortality)
iii. Migration
iv. immigration (in migration)
v. emigration (out migration)
The balance among these three factors determines whether a population increases, remains
stationary, or decreases in number. The relation between births and deaths is referred to as
Natural Population Increase (Natural Population Growth). When the net effect of migration is
added to natural increase, this is referred to as Total Increase (Total Growth).
Population structure (composition)
Population structure refers to the composition of the population in terms of Age, sex, occupation,
religion, educational status, geographical distribution, socio– economic status etc. The structure
of a population is influenced or affected by births, deaths and migration and their predisposing
factors.
The age – sex structure determines potential for future growth of specific age groups, as well as
the total population.
Population pyramid
The age–sex structure of a country can be studied through population pyramids.
Population pyramids show pictorially (graphically) the effects of the three factors that influence
population. The overall shape of the pyramid indicates the potential for future growth.
Population pyramids present the population of an area or country in terms of its composition by
age and sex at a point in time.
The shape of the pyramid reflects the major influences on births and deaths, plus any change due
to migration over three or four generations proceeding the date of the pyramid. The following
four representations of population age – sex structure provide an overall example of what a
pyramid for different levels of population growth would look like – rapid growth, slow growth,
zero growth and negative growth
A pyramid with a Broad Base
This indicates a high percentage of young population. Rapid population growth. The low
survivorship and high natality of human population in many developing countries result in a
pyramidal stable age - structure, in which most of the population is young.
A Bell shaped Polygon:-
This indicates a moderate proportion of young to old Population. Slow population growth.
A Rectangular Polygon:-
In a more developed countries high survivorship and low natality produce populations with an
almost rectangular, stable age structure in which all age groups are equally abundant. Zero
population growth.
An Urn - shaped Figure
This type of shape indicates a low percentage of young Population, which is characteristic of a
declining Population. Negative population growth.
Type of Populations
Population s may be categorized into four major groups depending on their state of expansion:
TYPE I - EXPANSIVE
This is characteristic of traditional poor countries indicated by: -
High Fertility
High Morality
High proportion of children (young age)
Moderate Growth Rate.
TYPE II - EXPANSIVE
Includes modern, less developed countries characterized by:-
High Fertility
Declining Mortality
High Growth Rate
Very young population
TYPE III - STATIONARY
This includes contemporary developed countries characterized by:-
Declining Fertility
Declining Mortality
Moderate Growth Rate
Aging population
TYPE IV - CONSTRICTIVE
These are future developed countries characterized by:-
Low fertility
Low Mortality
Ceasing Growth Rate
Very old Population
Study Questions
Define the following demographic terms Natural population increase, Progression,
Population doubling time, Population Dynamics.
Discuss the hypothesis of Thomas Malthus on Population Growth.
Explain the differences between the Exponential Growth Form and the sigmoid Growth Form
of populations.
What is the demographic transition and why was population growth so slow during the first
stages of the transition?
How can the Age-sex structure of a population determine the needs of that population?
What does it mean to have a “young” or “old” population?
CHAPTER FOUR WOMEN AND DEVELOPMENT
After completing this chapter, the learner is able
to:
Discuss the role of women in development.
Define gender – based violence
Explain how gender differences affect women’s health and well – being
Discuss the status of women in Ethiopia
Gender
refers to the different roles that men and women play in a society, and the relative power they
wield. Gender roles vary from one country to another, but almost everywhere, women face
disadvantages relative to men in social, economic and political spheres of life. Where men are
viewed as the principal decision makers, women often hold a subordinate position in negotiations
about limiting family size, contraceptive use, managing family resources, protecting family
health, or seeking jobs.
Before or at birth, parents who prefer boys may put girls at risk of sex- selective abortion
(where technology is available to identify the sex) or infanticide.
Where food is scarce, girls often eat last, and usually less than boys.
Girls may be less likely than boys to receive health care when they are ill.
In some countries mainly in Africa, girls are subject to female genital mutilation.
Adolescent girls may be pressured into having sex at an early age – within an arranged
marriage, by adolescent boys proving their virility, or by older men looking for partners
not infected with STIs,.
Married women may be pressured by husbands or families to have more children than
they prefer and women may be unable to seek or use contraceptives.
Married and unmarried women may be unable to deny sexual advances or persuade
partners to use a condom, thereby exposing themselves to the risk of sexually transmitted
infections (STI).
In all societies, women are more likely than men to experience domestic violence.
Women may sustain injuries from physical abuse by male partners or family members,
and the fear of abuse can make women less
The effect of violence can be devastating to a woman’s reproductive health as well as to other
aspects of her physical and mental well – being. In addition to causing injury, violence increases
women’s long – term risk of a number of other health problems, including chronic pain, physical
disability, drug and alcohol abuse, and depression. Women with a history of physical or sexual
abuse are also at increased risk for unintended pregnancy, sexually transmitted infections, and
adverse pregnancy outcomes.
Empowering Women
Education
Education is the primary avenue for elevating women’s status. Two – thirds of the world’s
illiterate adults are women; and 70 percent of the children not enrolled in primary school are
girls. There is abundant evidence that more educated women tend to marry later; thus they delay
child bearing and have fewer children over the course of their lives.
Employment Opportunities
Education also expands women’s employment possibilities and their ability to secure their own
economic resources. Women are less likely than men to hold a paying job in part, because
women are not treated as equals to men in the work place. Women are paid less than men
throughout the world, although the gap is somewhat smaller in developed countries
Legislating Equality
Governments have to enact legislation to provide equal opportunities for women and men and to
protect women from discrimination. discrimination is considered essential to increasing women’s
participation in national development agendas and much has to be done beyond enacting
legislation.
Emphasizing the Girl Child
Discrimination can begin even before girls are born. Sex– selective abortions have been reported
in some countries of the world, where sons have a higher economic and social value than
daughters. The preference for boys encourages families to invest more in their sons than their
daughters, further, perpetuating gender disparities.
Male Responsibility
Programs designed to elevate women’s status are unlikely to succeed if they do not have the
backing of men. Men have a deceive role in eliminating gender disparities because they hold the
power to influence societal thinking in most parts of the world. Government policies and
encouraging men to take active part in all aspects of family life: attending to children’s health,
nutrition, and education; practicing family planning; providing economic support; caring for their
own as well as their partners’ – reproductive and sexual health.
Ensure that women can own property equally with men, obtain credit and negotiate
contracts in their own names, and exercise their rights of inheritance;
Eliminate gender discrimination in hiring, training, and wages
Eliminate exploitation, abuse, and violence against women, and
Enact laws and implement programs enabling both sexes to organize their work around
their family responsibilities.
Study Questions
What does gender mean?
Explain the significance of women on development.
List the acts of gender – based violence and discuss their effects.
What does women empowerment mean? Explain how women can be empowered.
Identify and explain the most important barriers to women empowerment.
Study Questions
What is Population Policy?
What are the reasons which stimulate governments to formulate population policies?
THE END
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