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AI Dengue Outbreak Prediction System

The NSCET Hackathon 2025 project titled 'AI Dengue Outbreak Predictor' aims to utilize artificial intelligence for early prediction and alert generation of dengue outbreaks in high-risk villages. The system leverages various data sources, including health, meteorological, and environmental data, to forecast dengue risks and issue timely alerts through SMS or WhatsApp. The approach is feasible and beneficial for government and health authorities, enabling faster medical responses and effective resource allocation to prevent outbreaks.

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adhithiya062006
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12 views10 pages

AI Dengue Outbreak Prediction System

The NSCET Hackathon 2025 project titled 'AI Dengue Outbreak Predictor' aims to utilize artificial intelligence for early prediction and alert generation of dengue outbreaks in high-risk villages. The system leverages various data sources, including health, meteorological, and environmental data, to forecast dengue risks and issue timely alerts through SMS or WhatsApp. The approach is feasible and beneficial for government and health authorities, enabling faster medical responses and effective resource allocation to prevent outbreaks.

Uploaded by

adhithiya062006
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

NSCET HACKATHON 2025

Problem Statement ID – NH-S19

Problem Statement Title – AI Dengue Outbreak Predictor

Theme – Smart Dengue Forecasting

PS Category- Software

Team ID - #NH-T116

Team Name –Tech Titans


AI DRIVEN OUTBREAK
FORECASTING
An AI system for early dengue outbreak prediction and alert generation

• Detection usually happens after widespread infection has already


occurred.
• This project uses Artificial Intelligence to enable early prediction of
dengue outbreaks.
• High-risk villages are identified based on analyzed data.
• Early alerts are issued to support timely preventive actions.
• Dengue outbreaks are reported annually across several villages.
TECHNICAL APPROACH
Technologies Used
• Python for AI
• Machine learning models
• Maps to show risk areas
• SMS / WhatsApp alerts

Working Steps
• Collect dengue and weather data
• Predict risk for each village
• Show results on map
• Send warning messages
FEASIBILITY AND VIABILITY
• The system is feasible as it uses existing
and publicly available data.
• No expensive hardware is required for
implementation.
• The solution can be effectively used by
government and health authorities.
IMPACT AND BENEFITS
• Enables faster medical response and preventive measures
• Reduces hospital overcrowding during peak outbreak periods
• Supports cleaner and safer village environments
• Helps the government in effective planning and resource
allocation
• Provides early warning to prevent dengue outbreaks and save
lives
DATA ACQUISITION LAYER
Data Sources

•Health Data: Historical dengue case records


•Meteorological Data: Rainfall, temperature, humidity, wind
speed
•Environmental Data: Water stagnation zones, drainage density
•Vector Data: Mosquito breeding site surveys
•Demographic Data: Population density, housing patterns
•Spatial Data: Village-wise GIS coordinates
FEATURE ENGINEERING LAYER
Derived Features

• Lagged dengue incidence values (t-1, t-2, t-3 weeks)


• Rainfall accumulation index
• Humidity variability index
• Temperature anomaly score
• Seasonal climate indicators
• Population vulnerability score
• Breeding site density index
• Environmental risk factor index
GIS & SPATIAL INTELLIGENCE
LAYER
GIS Integration

• Spatial clustering (DBSCAN / K-Means)


• Heatmap generation
• Risk zoning
• Temporal spatial analysis
• Predictive hotspot mapping

Tools

QGIS / ArcGIS / GeoPandas / Folium


AI MODEL DESIGN HYBRID
MODELING STRATEGY
Time-Series Forecasting Model
Model: LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory Network)

Purpose
Predict future dengue case trends based on temporal
patterns

Input
Weather + historical dengue + seasonal features

Output
Forecasted dengue case probability
RESEARCH AND REFERENCES
•Explainable AI for dengue prediction
[Link]
25000288
•Machine learning dengue forecasting
[Link]
•Systematic review of dengue prediction models
[Link]
•LSTM-based dengue forecasting
[Link]
dengue-cases-in-gujarat-a-machine-learning-approach
•GIS + AI dengue hotspot mapping
[Link]
706X2500138X

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