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EC1B3 Problem Set 4: Growth Models Analysis

The document outlines Problem Set 4 for EC1B3, focusing on advanced economic growth models, including the Romer model and its implications. It includes questions related to innovation in China, the quality of patents, and a hypothetical scenario about economic conditions in the 29th century. Students are encouraged to post questions on Piazza for clarification.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
14 views5 pages

EC1B3 Problem Set 4: Growth Models Analysis

The document outlines Problem Set 4 for EC1B3, focusing on advanced economic growth models, including the Romer model and its implications. It includes questions related to innovation in China, the quality of patents, and a hypothetical scenario about economic conditions in the 29th century. Students are encouraged to post questions on Piazza for clarification.

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65m8pcmf9q
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
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EC1B3 Problem Set 4

due on Sunday at 6 PM

Important: if you have any doubts about the exercises, please post a question on Piazza.

Learning outcomes:
- Beyond the Solow growth model: working with slightly different assumptions

- Reading and summarising an article


- Calibration and implications of the Romer model

Question 1

Ana Maria Santacreu and Heting Zhu.


a. Summarise the main question that the researchers are trying to address in this work.
b. What Figure 1 is telling us?
c. Explain why Figure 1 is not a good representation of the evolution of innovation in
China.
d. What measures the authors suggest are a better indicator for innovation in China? What
does these measures suggest?
e. How can we interpret the fact that the quality of innovation in China is lower than other
countries? Use the Romer model to shed light on this. Is there any contradiction with
what we observe and the predictions of the Romer model? [Hint: you may need to find
out plausible values for some parameters of the model].

Question 2 (Wall-E)
In the 29th century, the Earth has become uninhabitable, and humans have left it, living in
spaceships that orbit around the planet. They have become unable to work due to their
laziness, microgravity, and prolonged time in front of computers. Everything is hence produced
by machines and robots: the production function is .
Apart from this weird production function, the economy is well described by the Solow growth
model. There is a constant saving rate , and a constant depreciation rate . Population is
constant, and so is total factor productivity The capital accumulation follows
.
a. Calculate the growth rate of capital per worker.
b. What is the steady state for capital per worker? Explain.
c. What does this suggest for the economic growth in the long run? Can you calculate the
growth rate of output per worker? What happens if we increase ?
d. What do you think is the reason behind the results in a-c? Discuss.
Highest number of patent applications ( + 2x U.s
)
.


a) •
China is quickly catching up with other global leaders in innovation .

Highest number of patent grants .


It is
,
however
, important to evaluate the quality of these patents .
This can be done through 3 measures :

Usefulness
-

or creativity of a nation 's inventions


standards required for
Brant
of innovation
-

,
significantly innovative

Number of patents applied for abroad versus the number of patents applied for domestically .

Evaluations
:


Number of patents granted in China began to increase dramatically from the mid -
zoo os .


The ratio of patents granted to patents applications in China remained the lowest among sawipbed countries
flow
"
success
"

ratio .

Invention patents in China accounted


for only 18.3% of the total number of grants Actual technological in China is not significant compared with


improvement
(c)
its skyrocketing number of patent applications .

China lags behind other innovation leaders with respect to the share of patents that are filed and granted abroad ( many Chinese
patent applications could not withstand

the international evaluation because at the lower quality at its patents .

b) Figure 1 Shows that China has more than double the patent applications of the U.s.
,
but the patent grants figures are much closer .

2000 -

2016 :
Average share of patents total applications in China only 23 44 % while it ranged between 43 So I
granted among was .

,
.

owed 50 . so % for the other countries .


Production function :
Yt = A- At

Capital accumulation function :


both =
KE + It -

due =
let +
5Yt -
otllt
w
Ñkt
Antti =
Ie -
d- he =
54 -
otne =
5ÑUt -

dine

a) Growth rate of capital per worker : Akttt


µ
=
5Ñkt
Kt
-
Ñkt
=
g- A- -
d- ✓

*
b) Steady state occurs when Aletta =
o k = ? =D k* doesn't exist i.e. there is no steady state in this model .

sent -
Elke =D we have a balanced growth path , capital will grow
constantly forever .

ht(5A -
Ñ )=o

Ht =o =D h*= ,

c) Because U*=o in the long run the economy will not grow
,

Growth rate or capita per worker


Ñkttt -
A- U A- ( httt -

b) A- Aletta A-
gu
=
=
= =

he Ut hot

AK httt Ut

Ay¥
Gy Antti
-

8k
-
=
=
= =

Ant Kt

=
SA -
d

have we have
Regular Solow a increasing returns
kt=sAht
foseaee for capital
a

/
steady
dat

stye due

JAKE
/ YEA " : show ""

1
this oywuestlon CRS
y c-
=
Akt

Ae ( 1- e) •
L Romer Crs

,
=
ye

>
he sue
?⃝
Class notes

Romer -

endogenous growth theory

}
(

AKE
"
Yt
-

Yt
:
At Lyt ke A changes time
)
=
=
✗ =o and over

Assume
=
At .
( 1- e) • L

Lat = e. L

L =
Lyt +
Lat Lye
=
G- e) •
<

" ✗
SAHEL
-

stock of ideas changes over time A At +1 __


2- Lat .
At =
2- •
let •
At Solow model Antti =
-

due
• constant marginal returns to ideas •
diminishing marginal returns to capital

• ideas don't depreciate in the model •


capital depreciates
Exogenous :
Z
,
C ,
L
( means given)

Endogenous :
Lat , Lyt ,
At ,
Yt

Growth rate of knowledge = A Atta Z • l -


L •
AX 2- e <
g.
• •

a = =

At At

t
At =
Ao ( 1 +
g. a)

Growth A Yt At +1 # At CX At +1 At e. L
of
try of knowledge
rate GDP growth rate
-

Gy
-

7-
ga
= = = •
= =
=

,
a, ,,µ At

Ye =
Yo ( It gy )t

Solow :
steady state

Romer : Balanced growth path ← Better at explaining what happens in the real world

g. = 2- • l •
L ←
L Implies the larger the population the greater the growth .
Not true .

a ,

[
The larger e
,
the better ? But if e=t
,
i. e. everyone produces ttnowbedge ,
we get no output :
Ye =
At 11 -

e) L
=
At ( 1- 1) L =D

Common questions

Powered by AI

The authors suggest using the usefulness or creativity of inventions, standards of innovation required for a patent, and the ratio of patents filed internationally as better indicators. These measures suggest that, although China has a high number of patent applications, the quality is lower, as many cannot withstand international evaluation .

The absence of a steady state for capital per worker suggests that the economy will not achieve a fixed level of output per worker in the long run; instead, the capital will continue to grow indefinitely .

Figure 1 is considered a poor representation of the evolution of innovation in China because, despite showing a high number of patent applications, it does not reflect the quality of those patents or the lower success rate of patent grants compared to other countries .

In the model, a steady state for capital per worker does not exist as indicated by the formula, suggesting that capital grows constantly, implying a balanced growth path instead of reaching a steady state .

The main research question addressed by Ana Maria Santacreu and Heting Zhu is whether the increase in patent applications in China indicates a corresponding rise in innovation quality or if it is merely a quantitative increase without substantial qualitative improvements .

The Romer model predicts that an increase in the quantity of ideas should correlate with higher economic growth. However, the observed lower quality of innovation in China contradicts this, showing that mere quantity without quality improvements might not lead to expected economic outcomes .

The growth path does not exhibit diminishing returns because the production is described by an unusual function (Y = AK) that assumes constant returns to capital instead of the traditional diminishing returns seen in the Solow model. This leads to the absence of a steady state and perpetual growth .

An increase in the saving rate raises the growth rate of output per worker by increasing the capital accumulation, assuming all else equal, which enhances productivity growth in the economy .

The Romer model suggests that while the quantity of ideas might be increasing, the quality of those ideas is crucial for economic growth. The fact that China has a lower quality of innovation compared to other countries can be interpreted as a divergence from the model's emphasis on idea quality, highlighting the need for improvements in innovation standards .

The growth rate of capital per worker is calculated by the formula g_k = sA - d, where s is the saving rate, A is the total factor productivity, and d is the depreciation rate .

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