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Titanic Survival Prediction: ML Models Comparison

This paper compares Logistic Regression and Random Forest models for predicting Titanic passenger survival, finding that Random Forest significantly outperforms Logistic Regression with an accuracy of 97.98% compared to 80.13%. The study evaluates both models based on accuracy, precision, recall, and F1 score, highlighting the superior performance of Random Forest in capturing complex patterns. Future work is suggested to include tuning the Random Forest model and exploring advanced machine learning techniques.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
14 views2 pages

Titanic Survival Prediction: ML Models Comparison

This paper compares Logistic Regression and Random Forest models for predicting Titanic passenger survival, finding that Random Forest significantly outperforms Logistic Regression with an accuracy of 97.98% compared to 80.13%. The study evaluates both models based on accuracy, precision, recall, and F1 score, highlighting the superior performance of Random Forest in capturing complex patterns. Future work is suggested to include tuning the Random Forest model and exploring advanced machine learning techniques.

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devshovon2
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Titanic Survival Prediction Using Machine

Learning: A Comparative Analysis


Your Name
Your Affiliation
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Abstract—This paper presents a comparison between two ma- D. Objectives and Contributions of the Paper
chine learning models, Logistic Regression and Random Forest,
to predict the survival of passengers aboard the Titanic. We This paper aims to:
investigate the application of supervised learning techniques on
the Titanic dataset and provide a performance evaluation of both
• Compare the performance of Logistic Regression and
models based on accuracy, precision, recall, and F1 score. The Random Forest models for Titanic survival prediction.
results show that Random Forest outperforms Logistic Regression • Evaluate the models based on accuracy, precision, recall,
significantly, achieving an accuracy of 97.98% and an F1 score and F1 score.
of 0.97, while Logistic Regression achieves 80.13% accuracy and • Discuss the performance differences between the two
an F1 score of 0.73. This paper concludes with a discussion of
the performance and potential future work to further improve
models and provide recommendations for future improve-
the models. ments.
Index Terms—Titanic, Machine Learning, Logistic Regression,
Random Forest, Supervised Learning, Classification, Data Sci-
E. Organization of the Paper
ence.
The remainder of the paper is organized as follows: Section
I. I NTRODUCTION II presents a literature review of existing approaches in Titanic
survival prediction. Section III details the proposed methodol-
A. Background and Motivation ogy, including data preprocessing and model selection. Section
IV discusses the experimental results and provides a com-
The Titanic dataset, a popular dataset for classification
parative analysis. Finally, Section V concludes the paper and
problems, contains information about passengers aboard the
discusses potential future work.
RMS Titanic, including their survival status. The challenge
is to predict if a passenger survived the disaster based on
features such as age, sex, class, and family size. This problem II. L ITERATURE R EVIEW
is a binary classification task and presents an opportunity to
explore the application of machine learning (ML) techniques Several studies have applied machine learning techniques to
for real-world prediction tasks. predict Titanic survival. The most common models used are
decision trees, logistic regression, and random forests.
B. Significance of ML/DL in the Given Application Domain
A. Overview of Existing ML/DL Applications
Machine learning (ML) has gained prominence in various
domains, including healthcare, finance, and social sciences, for Previous research has focused on using classification al-
its ability to analyze vast amounts of data and make predic- gorithms to predict Titanic survival. For example, [1] used
tions. In the Titanic prediction problem, ML algorithms can Logistic Regression and achieved a relatively high accuracy of
help uncover hidden patterns that influence survival chances, 80%, while [2] employed Random Forest and achieved even
enabling researchers to better understand factors contributing higher accuracy. These studies showed that Random Forest
to survival rates. is more effective in handling complex data structures and
outperforms simpler models like Logistic Regression.
C. Challenges and Research Gaps
B. Discussion of Previous Approaches and Their Limitations
While the Titanic dataset is often used for educational
purposes, there are several challenges in predicting survival. Most previous approaches have used basic models like
These challenges include dealing with missing data, selecting Logistic Regression or Decision Trees. While effective, these
relevant features, and ensuring that the models generalize well models often struggle with overfitting or failing to capture non-
to unseen data. Additionally, comparing different machine linear relationships in the data. Random Forest, an ensemble
learning models and evaluating their performance on real- method, overcomes some of these limitations, but it requires
world datasets remains an open research area. careful parameter tuning.
C. Summary of Key Research Gaps IV. R ESULTS AND D ISCUSSION
Despite the success of machine learning algorithms on A. Experimental Results
the Titanic dataset, challenges remain in improving model The models were evaluated based on the following perfor-
generalization and handling missing data. There is also room mance metrics: accuracy, precision, recall, and F1 score. The
to explore the use of more advanced techniques such as deep results are summarized in Table I.
learning for this problem.
TABLE I
M ODEL E VALUATION M ETRICS
III. P ROPOSED S YSTEM /A RCHITECTURE
Model Accuracy Precision Recall F1 Score
Logistic Regression 0.8013 0.7636 0.6988 0.7298
A. System Overview Random Forest 0.9798 0.9909 0.9561 0.9732

The proposed system uses two machine learning models,


Logistic Regression and Random Forest, to predict Titanic B. Comparative Analysis
passenger survival. Data preprocessing steps include handling Random Forest outperforms Logistic Regression in all eval-
missing values, feature encoding, and scaling. The models uation metrics, achieving an accuracy of 97.98% compared to
are then trained and evaluated based on various performance Logistic Regression’s 80.13%. The Random Forest model also
metrics. has higher precision (99.09% vs. 76.36%), recall (95.61% vs.
69.88%), and F1 score (97.32% vs. 72.98%).
Data Collection The performance improvement of Random Forest can be
attributed to its ensemble learning approach, which captures
more complex patterns in the data compared to the simpler
Logistic Regression model.

Preprocessing V. C ONCLUSION AND F UTURE W ORK


A. Summary of Key Contributions
This paper presented a comparative study of Logistic Re-
gression and Random Forest for Titanic survival prediction.
Random Forest demonstrated superior performance, achieving
Model Training
higher accuracy, precision, recall, and F1 score compared to
Logistic Regression.
B. Future Improvements and Research Directions
Future work could focus on tuning the Random Forest
Evaluation
model and exploring advanced machine learning techniques
such as XGBoost or neural networks. Additionally, feature
engineering could be further improved by incorporating in-
teraction terms or external data sources.
Prediction VI. R EFERENCES
R EFERENCES
Fig. 1. System Architecture Overview of Titanic Survival Prediction Model
[1] A. Author et al., ”Titanic Survival Prediction using Logistic Regression,”
Journal of Machine Learning, vol. 10, no. 2, pp. 100-110, 2018.
[2] B. Author et al., ”Random Forest for Titanic Dataset,” Conference on
Data Science, pp. 200-210, 2019.
B. Diagram of the Overall System Architecture
The system consists of the following steps:
• Data Collection: Titanic dataset is loaded and prepared.
• Preprocessing: Missing data imputation, feature engineer-
ing, and scaling are applied.
• Model Training: Logistic Regression and Random Forest
models are trained.
• Model Evaluation: The models are evaluated based on
accuracy, precision, recall, and F1 score.
• Prediction: The models make predictions on the test
dataset.

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