Crash Course PDF: Semester II Essentials for Statistical Inference
1. Basic Probability Concepts
- Sample Space and Events: All possible outcomes of an experiment.
- Types of Events: Independent, mutually exclusive, exhaustive.
- Classical Probability: P(E) = favorable outcomes / total outcomes.
- Axiomatic Probability: Based on Kolmogorov's axioms.
- Conditional Probability: P(A|B) = P(A and B) / P(B), if P(B) > 0.
- Bayes' Theorem: P(A|B) = [P(B|A) * P(A)] / P(B)
2. Random Variables and Distributions
- Random Variable: A function assigning a number to each outcome in the sample space.
- Discrete Random Variables: Finite or countable values (e.g., Binomial, Poisson).
- Continuous Random Variables: Infinite values in a range (e.g., Normal).
- pmf: Probability mass function, for discrete variables.
- pdf: Probability density function, for continuous variables.
- cdf: Cumulative distribution function.
3. Expectation and Variance
- Expectation (Mean): E(X) = [x * P(x)] for discrete, or x f(x) dx for continuous.
- Variance: Var(X) = E(X^2) - [E(X)]^2
- Standard Deviation: Square root of variance.
- Linearity of Expectation: E(aX + b) = aE(X) + b
Crash Course PDF: Semester II Essentials for Statistical Inference
4. Common Distributions
- Binomial Distribution: n trials, p probability. Mean = np, Var = np(1-p)
- Poisson Distribution: Rare events. Mean = , Var =
- Normal Distribution: Bell-shaped curve. Mean = , Var = 2
- Applications: Used in hypothesis testing, sampling, and inference.
5. Central Limit Theorem (CLT)
- States that the sampling distribution of the sample mean approaches a normal distribution as the sample
size increases (n 30).
- Even if the original population is not normal, sample means will tend to be normal.
- Important for estimation and hypothesis testing.