EPS and PBV Impact on Mayora Indah Stock
EPS and PBV Impact on Mayora Indah Stock
This study aims to analyze the effect of Earning Per Share (EPS) and Price
to Book Value (PBV) on the share price of PT Mayora Indah Tbk during the
period 2015–2024. The study uses a quantitative approach with secondary
data obtained from the company's annual financial reports and stock price
data published by the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The analysis methods us
ed include classical assumption tests, multiple linear regression, t-tests, F-
tests, and the coefficient of determination. The results show that EPS and
PBV do not have a significant partial or simultaneous effect on the compa
ny's stock price. A low coefficient of determination indicates that these
two fundamental variables only explain a small portion of stock price
variation, while the majority is influenced by external factors such as
market conditions, investor sentiment, and macroeconomic dynamics.
This finding confirms that PT Mayora Indah Tbk's stock price movements
are more influenced by factors outside the company's fundamentals.
Introduction
The capital market plays an important role in the modern economy
because it serves as a means of raising long-term funds for companies
while providing investment alternatives for the public. Stock price
movements in the capital market reflect the value of a company based on
available information, both fundamental and non-fundamental. Therefore,
understanding the factors that affect stock prices is important for
investors, company management, and parties involved in financial
decision-making.
PT Mayora Indah Tbk is a company engaged in the Fast Moving
Consumer Goods (FMCG) industry and is known as a national and
international producer of processed foods and beverages. Despite its
stable reputation and strong sales performance, Mayora's share price
between 2015 and 2024 showed a pattern of fluctuation that did not
always correspond to changes in the company's fundamental
performance. This phenomenon raises questions about the extent to
which the company's fundamental factors influence its share price in the
market.
Two fundamental indicators that are often used to assess the health
and performance of a company are Earnings Per Share (EPS) and Price to
Book Value (PBV). EPS describes a company's ability to generate earnings
per share, while PBV shows the market's assessment of the company's
book value. In theory, an increase in EPS and PBV should increase investor
interest in buying the company's shares, which will ultimately drive up the
share price. However, in practice, this is not always the case, as stock
prices can also be influenced by external factors such as macroeconomic
conditions, interest rates, inflation, market sentiment, and global
dynamics.
Given the misalignment between fundamental movements and the
share price of PT Mayora Indah Tbk during the research period, it is
important to conduct an empirical test to determine whether EPS and PBV
still have a significant influence on the company's share price. This study
aims to provide a deeper understanding of the relevant fundamental
factors and evaluate whether these two variables are reliable indicators
for investors in assessing Mayora shares.
Therefore, this study is expected to contribute to the academic
literature on fundamental analysis and provide useful information for
investors and capital market practitioners in making more rational and
data-driven investment decisions.
Theoretical Framework
Earning Per share
According to Nor Hadi (2015), Earnings per Share (EPS) is the ratio
between net income after tax in the fiscal year and the number of shares
issued by the company. According to Larson (in Sudirman, 2015),
“Earnings per share, also known as net income per share, is the amount of
profit earned per share of common stock outstanding of a company.”
(Earnings per share is also known as net income per share, which is the
amount of profit earned per share of common stock of a company).
According to Hantono (2018), Earnings Per Share is a per-share
ratio, also known as the book value ratio, which is used to measure the
success of management in generating profits for shareholders. In addition,
according to E. Santoso (2019), Earnings Per Share is part of the
company's net income allocated to each outstanding common share.
According to Fahmi (2012), Earnings per Share (EPS) is a form of
profit distribution given to shareholders for each share they own.
However, in practice, not all profits can be distributed, as some of them
are retained. Meanwhile, according to Hanafi and Halim (2015), Earnings
Per Share (EPS) is the financial ratio most widely used by stock investors
in analyzing a company's ability to generate profits based on the shares it
owns.
Based on the expert opinion above, it can be concluded that Earning
Per Share (EPS) is a financial ratio that measures the net profit per share
generated by a company for each common share outstanding. This ratio
serves as an important indicator for assessing the success of
management in creating profits for shareholders and is one of the most
1st International Conference on
Management, Business and
Economy (ICoMBEc 2025)
Vo. 1 No. 1 2025
e-ISSN : XXXX-XXX
Stock Price
According to Darmadji and Fakhrudin (2012), the stock price is the
price that occurs on the exchange at a certain time. Stock prices can
change up or down in a very short time. These changes can occur in
minutes or even seconds. This is possible because it depends on the
balance between supply and demand between buyers and sellers of
shares.
According to Brigham and Houston (2014), stock prices determine
shareholder wealth. Maximizing shareholder wealth means maximizing
the company's stock price. The stock price at a given time will depend on
the future cash flows expected to be received by the “average investor” if
they purchase the stock.
According to Hadi (2015), the stock price is basically the current
stock price, and when trading closes, the stock price is the closing price.
1st International Conference on
Management, Business and
Economy (ICoMBEc 2025)
Vo. 1 No. 1 2025
e-ISSN : XXXX-XXX
Previous Research
Previous research conducted by Putri, Suryono, and Munandar
(2025) shows that EPS has a significant effect on stock prices in banking
companies. These results indicate that changes in earnings per share
(EPS) are quite sensitive to investor response, so that increases or
decreases in EPS are directly reflected in changes in stock prices.
However, these findings are not entirely consistent with the results of
research conducted on PT Mayora Indah Tbk. Although EPS changed every
year, this variable did not have a significant effect on stock prices during
the 2015–2024 period. This condition shows that investors' perceptions of
fundamentals in the consumer goods sector differ from those in the
banking sector, which tends to be more stable and heavily influenced by
financial reports.
Different results are also seen when compared to research by
Zaman, Ludvy, and Nuryani (2023), who studied large companies in the
financial sector. That study concluded that EPS has a significant partial
effect on stock prices and is an important indicator for investors in
assessing company performance. These findings contradict the study on
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, where EPS did not contribute significantly to
explaining stock price movements. This difference may be due to different
industry characteristics and lower market sensitivity to changes in
earnings for food and beverage processing companies.
Meanwhile, research conducted by Labiba, Rasmini, and Kostin
(2021) shows that EPS is still a strong variable in influencing stock prices
in the mining sector. The study found that changes in EPS have a
significant impact on investor valuation, thereby affecting stock price
dynamics in the market. However, the findings of this mini-study differ
again because the EPS of PT Mayora Indah Tbk does not show a significant
relationship. This indicates that investor response in the consumer goods
sector does not always follow traditional fundamental patterns, but is
more influenced by business expansion, macroeconomic conditions, and
industry sentiment.
In the context of PBV, several previous studies, such as those by
Nurhayati (2023) and Dzakwan, Fariantin, and Setiawati (2023), show that
PBV has a significant effect on stock prices in a number of sectors. PBV is
often considered a measure of market valuation that reflects investors'
perceptions of a company's fair value. However, the results of a mini-
research study on PT Mayora Indah Tbk show that PBV did not have a
significant effect during the research period. This discrepancy may be
influenced by stock price fluctuation patterns that are more driven by
external factors, such as global economic conditions, changes in raw
material costs, and increasingly fierce industry competition.
In addition, changes in the consumer goods industry over the past
few years have led to differences in research results. During this period,
companies in the FMCG sector faced major challenges such as rising
production costs, changes in consumption patterns, and increasingly
1st International Conference on
Management, Business and
Economy (ICoMBEc 2025)
Vo. 1 No. 1 2025
e-ISSN : XXXX-XXX
fierce competition from imported products and new brands. This situation
has prompted investors to focus more on long-term prospects, product
innovation, and market expansion rather than fundamental indicators
such as EPS and PBV directly. This can be seen from the relatively volatile
price movements of Mayora's shares, despite their relatively stable
fundamental valuations.
Therefore, previous studies generally show that EPS and PBV tend to
have a significant effect on stock prices in various sectors. However, the
results of this mini-study provide an exception for PT Mayora Indah Tbk
during the 2015–2024 period. This finding reinforces the understanding
that stock prices are not only influenced by fundamental factors, but also
by external conditions, industry sentiment, and market competition
dynamics, which are often more dominant.
Framework
Earning Per
Share (X1) H1
Stock Price
(Y)
H2
Price to Book
Value (X2)
H3
signal to the market, which can drive investor interest and increase stock
prices through increased demand. Thus, EPS not only describes current
financial performance, but also provides an indication of future profit
expectations, which ultimately contributes to the formation of stock prices
in the capital market.
Method
This study uses a quantitative approach with a correlational
descriptive research design, which aims to determine the relationship and
influence between fundamental company variables, namely Earning Per
Share (EPS) and Price to Book Value (PBV), on stock prices. According to
Sugiyono (2020), quantitative research is a research method with a
systematic, planned, and structured design, based on the philosophy of
positivism, and aims to test theories through variable measurement and
statistical analysis. This approach was chosen because it is in line with the
research objectives, namely to capture and analyze the relationship
between variables objectively, measurably, and based on numbers.
The data used in this study was obtained from the annual financial
reports of PT Mayora Indah Tbk and year-end closing stock prices
published by the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). All data collected was
numerical and could be processed using Statistical Package for the Social
Sciences (SPSS) software. This study was conducted on PT Mayora Indah
Tbk with a data coverage of 10 years, namely the period from 2015 to
2024. EPS and PBV data were obtained from the company's annual
1st International Conference on
Management, Business and
Economy (ICoMBEc 2025)
Vo. 1 No. 1 2025
e-ISSN : XXXX-XXX
financial reports, while year-end stock price data was accessed through
the IDX official website ([Link]) and the company's official
platform.
The research population includes all annual financial reports
published by PT Mayora Indah Tbk. Sample selection uses purposive
sampling, which is a sampling technique based on specific criteria
relevant to the research objectives. The criteria used are: (1) the company
consistently published financial reports during the 2015–2024 period, (2)
EPS and PBV data were available in full in the financial reports, and (3)
there was year-end closing price data for the research period. Based on
these criteria, the research sample consisted of time series data for ten
years.
The independent variables in this study include Earning Per Share
(EPS) as X1 and Price to Book Value (PBV) as X2. Meanwhile, the
dependent variable is stock price (Y). EPS is calculated based on the
division of net income after tax by the number of outstanding shares,
while PBV is calculated from the ratio between stock price and book value
per share. The stock price in this study refers to the year-end closing price
data, which is considered to represent the company's annual market
value.
The data analysis method begins with testing classical assumptions,
including normality, multicollinearity, heteroscedasticity, and
autocorrelation tests to ensure that the regression model used is free
from statistical assumption violations. Once all assumptions are met, the
analysis continues using multiple linear regression to determine the
magnitude of the effect of EPS and PBV on stock prices, both partially and
simultaneously. Hypothesis testing is performed using the t-test to see the
effect of each variable partially, and the F-test to assess the effect of both
simultaneously. In addition, the coefficient of determination (R²) is used to
determine the extent to which the EPS and PBV variables explain the
variation in stock price changes.
Data was collected through documentation methods, namely by
accessing, recording, and processing data obtained from the financial
reports of PT Mayora Indah Tbk and summaries of IDX stock prices
relevant to the research variables. Since all data was sourced from official
publications, this study fully utilized verified secondary data that was
ready for analysis. Using this approach, the study is expected to provide
an empirical description of the relationship between company
fundamentals and stock prices during the period 2015–2024.
Net Profit
Earning Per Share=
Number of Shares Outstanding
Total Equity
Book Value of Shares=
Number of Shares Outstanding
Results
two years reflects valuation maturity, where the market has found the
right equilibrium price. The consistent PBV pattern above 3.5x confirms
Mayora's position as a premium issuer with strong fundamentals
recognized by the market.
EMPIRICAL FINDINGS
Test Result
Based on the normality test results showing that the sig value of 0.200 is
greater than 0.05, it can be concluded that this data is normally distributed.
b. Heteroscedasticity Test
Based on the results of the heteroscedasticity test above, the significance value
of variable X1 is 0.858 and the significance of variable X2 is 0.329. Therefore, it can
be concluded that variables X1 and X2 do not exhibit heteroscedasticity.
c. Multicollinearity Test
1st International Conference on
Management, Business and
Economy (ICoMBEc 2025)
Vo. 1 No. 1 2025
e-ISSN : XXXX-XXX
d. Autocorrelation Test
Based on the results of the autocorrelation test above, the DU value is 1.6413,
the DW value is 2.353, and the 4-DU value is 2.3587. Since DU<DW<4-DU, it can
be concluded that variables X1 and X2 do not exhibit autocorrelation.
The equation shows that if EPS and PBV are considered constant, the predicted share
price is 2770.433. Each one-unit increase in EPS is estimated to decrease the share price by
1.092 points, while each one-unit increase in PBV is estimated to decrease the share price by
72.821 points. However, both coefficients are not significant, so their effect cannot be stated
with statistical certainty.
4. Coeffisient Test
5. Correlation Coeffisient Test
1st International Conference on
Management, Business and
Economy (ICoMBEc 2025)
Vo. 1 No. 1 2025
e-ISSN : XXXX-XXX
It is known that the R Square value of 0.447 explains that 44.7% of stock price
variation can be explained by the EPS and PBV variables. The remaining 55.3% is influenced
by other variables outside the scope of this study.
6. Hypothesis Test
a. T-Test (Partial)
b. F-Test
1st International Conference on
Management, Business and
Economy (ICoMBEc 2025)
Vo. 1 No. 1 2025
e-ISSN : XXXX-XXX
Discussion
The results of this study provide an important overview of the
relationship between fundamental indicators—Earning Per Share (EPS)
and Price to Book Value (PBV)—and the share price of PT Mayora Indah
Tbk during the period 2015–2024. Empirical findings show that these two
variables have no significant effect, either partially or simultaneously, on
the share price. This condition indicates that the company's stock price
movements are more influenced by external dynamics than internal
fundamental changes as measured by EPS and PBV.
Theoretically, EPS is commonly viewed as a key indicator of
profitability that should increase investor interest when its value
increases. However, the regression results show a negative and
insignificant coefficient direction when tested simultaneously, implying a
1st International Conference on
Management, Business and
Economy (ICoMBEc 2025)
Vo. 1 No. 1 2025
e-ISSN : XXXX-XXX
difference from the signal theory which states that an increase in profit is
usually interpreted as positive news for the market. This discrepancy can
be explained by the characteristics of the FMCG industry, which tends to
have stable margins, high levels of competition, and dependence on
fluctuations in raw material costs. In a mature industry such as FMCG,
investors tend to pay more attention to long-term growth, market
expansion, and product innovation than to annual fluctuations in net
profit.
Findings related to PBV also show patterns that are inconsistent with
many previous studies. In general, PBV is considered a valuation indicator
that reflects market expectations of a company's ability to create value.
However, in this study, PBV did not have a significant effect on stock
prices. The data shows that book value per share increased relatively
quickly, while stock prices moved more slowly. This created a downward
trend in PBV in the long term, even though the company's fundamentals
improved. This phenomenon indicates that the market may have reached
a point of equilibrium in assessing the valuation of PT Mayora Indah Tbk
shares. Thus, the PBV variable is no longer a dominant factor in shaping
investor perceptions.
When compared to studies in other sectors such as banking, mining,
and finance, these findings show quite clear differences. Previous studies
often found that EPS and PBV had a significant effect on stock prices in
those sectors. This difference in results is likely related to industry
characteristics, market structure, and investor sensitivity, which vary
across sectors. For consumer goods companies such as Mayora,
expectations of operational stability and long-term distribution
sustainability are factors that are given more attention than technical
annual fundamental changes.
From a practical standpoint, these findings have implications for
investors and company management. Investors need to consider that
traditional fundamental indicators do not always reflect stock price
movements in consumer goods companies. External factors such as
macroeconomic conditions, exchange rates, global commodity prices,
consumer behavior, and industry competition can have a greater
influence. For management, these results indicate the importance of
market communication strategies, investor expectation management, and
strengthening non-financial factors that are perceived by the market as
indicators of sustainable growth.
Overall, the results of this study show that the market value of PT
Mayora Indah Tbk in the 2015–2024 period is more sensitive to external
dynamics and market sentiment than to key fundamental variables such
as EPS and PBV. This reinforces that stock analysis in the consumer goods
sector requires a more holistic approach, not only relying on financial
ratios but also considering structural factors and dynamic market
behavior.
1st International Conference on
Management, Business and
Economy (ICoMBEc 2025)
Vo. 1 No. 1 2025
e-ISSN : XXXX-XXX
Conclusion
This study aims to analyze the effect of Earning Per Share (EPS) and
Price to Book Value (PBV) on the share price of PT Mayora Indah Tbk
during the period 2015–2024. The results of the analysis show that both
variables have no significant effect, either partially or simultaneously.
Statistically, EPS and PBV can only explain a small portion of stock price
variation, while the majority is influenced by other factors outside the
research model.
These findings contribute significantly to the literature on
fundamental analysis, particularly in the context of the consumer goods
industry. Unlike the banking or mining sectors, which consistently show
stock price sensitivity to fundamental indicators, FMCG companies such as
Mayora demonstrate that external factors, market perceptions, and
macroeconomic conditions play a more dominant role. Thus, this study
confirms that the use of EPS and PBV as the main tools for assessing stock
prices in the consumer goods sector needs to be done carefully and
supplemented with other more representative indicators.
This study has limitations, particularly in terms of the limited
number of observations over a 10-year period and the use of only two
fundamental variables. Future research should include additional variables
such as ROE, DER, sales growth, macroeconomic factors, and non-
financial variables such as product innovation and market expansion. In
addition, more comprehensive methodological approaches such as panel
data models, VAR, or volatility analysis could also enrich our
understanding of the factors that influence stock price dynamics.
Acknowledgments
The author would like to express his deepest gratitude to Mrs. Siti
Apriliani, S.E., M.M., for her guidance and academic support, which
enabled this research to be completed successfully. The author also
thanks the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) and PT Mayora Indah Tbk for
providing financial report data and market information openly, which
served as the main source for the empirical analysis in this research.
Thanks are also extended to colleagues who provided input, scientific
discussions, and constructive suggestions that helped improve the quality
and accuracy of this scientific work.
References
Brigham, E. F., & Houston, J. F. (2014). Fundamentals of Financial
Management (Ed. 14). Cengage Learning.
Brigham, E. F., & Houston, J. F. (2018). Essentials of Financial
Management (Ed. 4). Cengage Learning.
Darmadji, T., & Fakhruddin, H. M. (2012). Pasar Modal di Indonesia:
Pendekatan Tanya Jawab. Salemba Empat.
1st International Conference on
Management, Business and
Economy (ICoMBEc 2025)
Vo. 1 No. 1 2025
e-ISSN : XXXX-XXX