Measures of Association
Covariance
Correlation
Heights and Weights of Athletes
250
200
Weight in kgs
150
100
50
0
125 145 165 185 205 225
Height in cms
Heights and Weights of Athletes
250
200
Correlation = 0.77
Weight in kgs
150
100
50
0
125 145 165 185 205 225
Height in cms
Does Weight cause Height ?
Does Height cause Weight ?
Causation versus Correlation
Causation versus Correlation
What is Causation and how do we establish it?
Causation versus Correlation
What is Causation and how do we establish it?
• Correlation
Causation versus Correlation
What is Causation and how do we establish it?
• Correlation
• Temporal distinction between the caused and
the causing variable
Causation versus Correlation
What is Causation and how do we establish it?
• Correlation
• Temporal distinction between the caused and
the causing variable
• Control for other variables that may cause the
focal variable
Smoking and Cancer
Smoking and Lung Cancer
180
160
140
Mortality Index
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160
Smoking Index
Smoking and Lung Cancer
180
160
140
Mortality Index
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160
Smoking Index
Smoking and Lung Cancer
180
160
140
Mortality Index
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160
Smoking Index
Smoking and Lung Cancer
180
160
140
Mortality Index
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160
Smoking Index
Smoking and Lung Cancer
180
160
140
Correlation = 0.72
Mortality Index
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160
Smoking Index
Causation versus Correlation
Studies have firmly established that smoking
causes cancer
Causation versus Correlation
Studies have firmly established that smoking
causes cancer
Smoking Cancer
Controlling for
other factors
causing cancer
Causation versus Correlation
It is important to distinguish between
Causation and Correlation