Course title Probability & Statistics
Instructor Haseeb Ali
Course Code STAT-2131
Credit Hours 3(3, 0)
Semester Fall 2021
Pre-requisite Some basic knowledge of mathematics and algebra would do.
Office Hours Monday-Friday (08:30 to 11:30)
Introduction
Statistical methods used in practice are based on a foundation of statistical theory. One branch of this
theory uses the tools of probability to establish important distributional results that are used throughout
statistics. Another major branch of statistical theory is statistical inference. It deals with issues such as
how do we define a "good" estimator or hypothesis test, how do we recognize one and how do we
construct one? This course is concerned with the fundamental theory of Probability and statistical
inference.
Course Objectives
This course is intended for students primarily in computing and data science rather than math or statistics
majors. It consists of concepts, ideas, and applications of statistics rather than a theory course. Topics
include histograms, measures of central tendency and variation, probability, binomial and normal
distributions, and their applications, confidence intervals, and tests of statistical hypotheses.
Course Outcomes
At the completion of this course, students will be able to:
Engage in problem solving strategies, such as organizing information, drawing diagrams
and modeling.
Use symbolic representations to solve problems. This includes manipulating formulas,
solving equations, and graphing lines.
Build the foundational analytical skills that will enable a student to successfully
complete an undergraduate level problem
Home Work/Programs
Home work will be due (usually online) at given date. Under normal circumstances, late work will not be
accepted. Students are expected to do their own assignments avoiding plagiarism.
Attendance
80% attendance is mandatory.
Evaluation Criteria
S. No. Assessment Items %age
1 Assignments 10
2 Quizzes / Class Participation 5
3 Project Demonstration/Presentation 5
4 Midterm (after 8 weeks) 30
5 Final examination (after 16 weeks) 50
Total 100
Course Outline
Introduction to Statistics and Data Analysis, Statistical Inference, Samples, Populations, and the Role of
Probability. Sampling Procedures. Discrete and Continuous Data. Statistical Modeling. Types of
Statistical Studies. Probability: Sample Space, Events, Counting Sample Points, Probability of an Event,
Additive Rules, Conditional Probability, Independence, and the Product Rule, Bayes’ Rule. Random
Variables and Probability Distributions. Mathematical Expectation: Mean of a Random Variable, Variance
and Covariance of Random Variables, Means and Variances of Linear Combinations of Random
Variables, Chebyshev’s Theorem. Discrete Probability Distributions. Continuous Probability Distributions.
Fundamental Sampling Distributions and Data Descriptions: Random Sampling, Sampling Distributions,
Sampling Distribution of Means and the Central Limit Theorem. Sampling Distribution of S2, t-Distribution,
F- Quantile and Probability Plots. Single Sample & One- and Two-Sample Estimation Problems. Single
Sample & One- and Two-Sample Tests of Hypotheses. The Use of P Values for Decision Making in
Testing Hypotheses (Single Sample & One- and Two- Sample Tests), Linear Regression and Correlation.
Least Squares and the Fitted Model, Multiple Linear Regression and Certain, Nonlinear Regression
Models, Linear Regression Model Using Matrices, Properties of the Least Squares Estimators.
Recommended Text Books:
Probability and Statistics for Engineers and Scientists by Ronald E. Walpole, Raymond H. Myers,
Sharon L. Myers and Keying E. Ye, Pearson; 9th Edition (January 6, 2011).
Probability and Statistics for Engineers and Scientists by Anthony J. Hayter, Duxbury Press; 3rd
Edition (February 3, 2006), ISBN-10:0495107573
Schaum's Outline of Probability and Statistics, by John Schiller, R. Alu Srinivasan and Murray
Spiegel, McGraw-Hill; 3rd Edition (2008). ISBN-10:0071544259
Reference Books:
Ron Larson, Betsy Farber, Prentice Hall, Elementary Statistics Picturing the World Fifth edition
Tentative Lecture Plan
Lec. # Lecture Contents
1 Introduction to Statistics and Data Analysis,
2 Statistical Inference, Samples, Populations, and the Role of Probability.
3 Sampling Procedures. Discrete and Continuous Data.
4 Statistical Modeling. Types of Statistical Studies.
5 Probability: Sample Space, Events, Counting Sample Points
6 Probability of an Event, Additive Rules,
7 Conditional Probability, Independence, and the Product Rule, Bayes’ Rule.
8 Random Variables and Probability Distributions.
9 Mathematical Expectation: Mean of a Random Variable, ,
10 Variance and Covariance of Random Variables,
11 Means and Variances of Linear Combinations of Random Variables
12 Means and Variances of Linear Combinations of Random Variables
13 Chebyshev’s Theorem
14 Chebyshev’s Theorem
15 Discrete Probability Distributions.
16 Continuous Probability Distributions.
17 Fundamental Sampling Distributions and Data Descriptions:
18 Random Sampling, Sampling Distributions,
19 Sampling Distribution of Means and the Central Limit Theorem.
20 Sampling Distribution of S2, t-Distribution,
21 F- Quantile and Probability Plots.
22 Single Sample& One- and Two-Sample Estimation Problems
23 Single Sample & One- and Two-Sample Tests of Hypotheses.
24 The Use of P Values for Decision Making in Testing Hypotheses (Single Sample & One-
and Two- Sample Tests), Linear Regression and Correlation.
25 The Use of P Values for Decision Making in Testing Hypotheses (Single Sample & One-
and Two- Sample Tests),
26 Linear Regression and Correlation.
27 Least Squares and the Fitted Model
28 Multiple Linear Regression and Certain,
29 Nonlinear Regression Models,
30 Linear Regression Model Using Matrices,
31 Properties of the Least Squares Estimators
32 Grand Quiz