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Understanding Random Variables and Probability

The document discusses random variables, defining them as sets of possible values from random experiments, such as coin tosses. It distinguishes between discrete and continuous random variables, explaining their respective probability functions and distribution functions. Additionally, it covers concepts like joint probability functions, mathematical expectation, variance, and moment generating functions.
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
5 views110 pages

Understanding Random Variables and Probability

The document discusses random variables, defining them as sets of possible values from random experiments, such as coin tosses. It distinguishes between discrete and continuous random variables, explaining their respective probability functions and distribution functions. Additionally, it covers concepts like joint probability functions, mathematical expectation, variance, and moment generating functions.
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

MODULE-2

RANDOM VARIABLES
Random Variables
A Random Variable is a set of possible values from a random
experiment.
Example: Tossing a coin: we could get Heads or Tails.
Let's give them the values Heads=0 and Tails=1 and we have a Random
Variable "X“:
• In short:
X = {0, 1}

• Note: We could choose Heads=100 and Tails=150 or other


values if we want! It is our choice.

• We have an experiment (such as tossing a coin)


• We give values to each event
• The set of values is a Random Variable
Sample Space
A Random Variable's set of values is the Sample
Space.
Probability
• P(X = value) = probability of that value
{HHH, HTH, THH, T TH, HHT, HT T, THT, T T T}
One dimensional random variable:
• Discrete random variable:
A random variable is called discrete random variable if its set of
possible outcomes is countable.
Example: number of defectives in a sample of k items.

• Probability function (or) Probability Mass Function (p.m.f):


If X is a discrete R.V. which can take the values such that , then is
called the probability mass function and it satisfies the following
conditions:
• Probability distribution function:
The collection of pairs is called the probability distribution of the
R.V. X.
• Continuous random variable :
A random variable X is said to be a continuous random variable if it
takes all possible values between certain limits or in an interval
which may be finite or infinite.
Example: person's height, (within the range of human heights), not
just certain fixed heights.
Probability density function (p.d.f):
In case of a continuous random variable, we do not talk of
Probability at a particular point (which is always zero) but we always
talk of probability in an interval. If p(x) dx is the probability that the
random variable X takes the value in a small interval of magnitude
dx, e.g., (x, x + dx) or (x – dx /2 , x + dx/ 2 ) , then p(x) is called
the probability density function (p.d.f.) of the r.v. X.
Distribution Function (or)
Cumulative Distribution Function (cdf)
MOMENTS
EXAMPLE
Problem:
Problem:
Problem:
Problem:
Problem:
Problem:
Solution:
Problem:
Solution:
Two-dimensional Random Variables
Joint Probability Function
Joint Probability Mass Function:
Joint Probability Density Function
Two-dimensional distribution function
Marginal Distribution Functions:
Conditional Probability Function:
Conditional Probability Function:
Remark
Independent Random Variables
Example
Example
Solution
Mathematical Expectation
Expected Value of a function of a random
variable
Expected Value of Two-dimensional RV
• Theorem. (Multiplication Theorem of Expectation). If X
and Y are independent random variables, then
E(XY ) = E(X ) . E(Y )

• In general, if X1, X2, …, Xn are n independent random variables,


then
E(X1 X2 X3 … Xn) = E(X1) . E(X2) … E(Xn)

• Remark. The multiplication theorem of expectation holds only


for independent events while no such condition on the variables
is required for the addition theorem of expectation.
VARIANCE OF X IN TERMS OF EXPECTATION
Co-Variance
Correlation Coefficient:
Example:
Example: What is the expected number of heads appearing when a
fair coin is tossed three times ?

Solution:
Example: A random variable X is defined as the sum of faces
when a pair of dice is thrown. Find the expected value of X.
Moment Gnerating Function (MGF)
Properties of MGF:
PROBLEM:

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