5.
01 : Basic Concepts of Probability
What is probability?
Definition: How to
Calculate:
Probability
Examples: P(A)=
number of
times A
occurs/Total
number of
outcomes
P(A) is read as the
possibility of A
Tools needed for probability:
Deck of cards Dice
A standard die has 6 sides
Each side of a dice has an equal chance of
being rolled
26/52 red
16/52 face (ace, jack, king queen)
Theoretical versus Empirical:
1/52 ace of clubs
8/52 red face
2/52 black queen
5/52 even spade
4//52 7
Theoretical Definition: the Empirical Definition: this is
outcome under ideal determined by observing
conditions. this is probability of outcomes of experiment. This
what should happen is what actually happened. (it
(should happen like a theory not doing it) is like an experiment like
actually doing it and show what
actually happened from DOING
IT)
The more trials and experiments u do, the more true or balanced our outcomes will start to
become. Like even.
Probability Rules:
Rule #1:
Rule #2:
Complement Rule:
1-0.2 = .8 or 80%
ex: 2 families come to meetup at
restaurant. Intersection would be 0 bc none of them are related in common. Union would be both
families sitting at the same table. Universal would be EVERYONE in the restaurant not just the
2 families.
A complement is everything except A
B complement is everything except B
For complements don’t include the intersection either. Only outside of the letter it says.
AUB’ is what wouldn’t be inside the circles.
A∩B’ is what wouldn’t be in the intersection.
Examples:
n = total amount in set
r = how many we r selecting
Exclamation is factorial. Ex: 3! Is 3*2*1 or 10 is 10*9*8*7*6*5*4*3*2*1