Bond Pricing and Yield Analysis
Bond Pricing and Yield Analysis
6.1) Suppose an 8 percent coupon, 30-year maturity bond with par value of Rs 1,000 is paying semiannual coupon
payments. Further suppose that the market interest rate is 8 percent. What is the price of this bond? What would happen
to the price of this bond if the market interest rate were 10 percent? If it were 6 percent? What do your calculation reveal
with respect to the relationship between coupon rate and market interest rate, and the bond's price?
Solution
Given:
Annual Coupon (I) = 0.08 × Rs 1,000 = Rs 80
Face value (M) = Rs 1,000
Maturity (n) = 30 years
If the market interest rate kd is 8 percent:
𝐼 𝑅𝑠80
𝑉𝑜 = 2 × 𝑃𝑉𝐼𝐹𝐴𝑘𝑑 + 𝑀 × 𝑃𝑉𝐼𝐹𝑘𝑑 = × 𝑃𝑉𝐼𝐹𝐴8%,2×30 + 𝑅𝑠1,000 𝑃𝑉𝐼𝐹8%,2×30
,2𝑛 ,2𝑛 2 2 2
2 2
= 𝑅𝑠40 × 𝑃𝑉𝐼𝐹𝐴4%,60 + 𝑅𝑠1,000 𝑃𝑉𝐼𝐹4%,60
= 𝑅𝑠40 × 22.6234 + 𝑅𝑠1,000 × 0.0951
= 𝑅𝑠904.9 + 𝑅𝑠95.1
= 𝑅𝑠1,000
If the market interest rate (kd) is 10 percent:
𝐼 𝑅𝑠80
𝑉𝑄 2 × 𝑃𝑉𝐼𝐹𝐴𝑘𝑑 + 𝑀 × 𝑃𝑉𝐼𝐹𝑘𝑑 = 2 × 𝑃𝑉𝐼𝐹𝐴10%,2×30 + 𝑅𝑠1,000 𝑃𝑉𝐼𝐹10%,2×30
,2𝑛 ,2𝑛 2 2
2 2
= 𝑅𝑠40 × 𝑃𝑉𝐼𝐹𝐴5%,60 + 𝑅𝑠1,000 𝑃𝑉𝐼𝐹5%,60
= 𝑅𝑠40 × 18.9293 + 𝑅𝑠1,000 × 0.0535 = 𝑅𝑠757.17 + 𝑅𝑠53.5
= 𝑅𝑠810.67
If the market interest rate (kd) is 6 percent:
1 𝑅𝑠80
𝑉𝑜 = 2 × 𝑃𝑉𝐼𝐹𝐴𝑘𝑑 + 𝑀 × 𝑃𝑉𝐼𝐹𝑘𝑑 = 2 × 𝑃𝑉𝐼𝐹𝐴6%,2×30 + 𝑅𝑠1,000 𝑃𝑉𝐼𝐹6%,2×30
,2𝑛 ,2𝑛 2 2
2 2
= 𝑅𝑠40 × 𝑃𝑉𝐼𝐹𝐴3%,60 + 𝑅𝑠1,000 𝑃𝑉𝐼𝐹3%,60
= 𝑅𝑠40 × 27.6756 + 𝑅𝑠1,000 × 0.1697
= 𝑅𝑠1,107.02 + 𝑅𝑠169.7
= 𝑅𝑠1,276.72
Hence, if the interest rate declines to 6 percent, the bond's price would increase to Rs 1276.72.
Above calculations reveal that if the market interest rate were not equal to the bond's coupon rate: the bond would not sell
at par value. At a higher interest rate, the present value of the payments to be received by the bondholder is lower
Therefore, bond prices fall as market interest rates rise. Conversely, at a lower interest rate: the present value of the
payments to be received by the bondholder is higher: and therefore: bond prices increase as market interest rates decline.
6.2 ) A bond with a coupon rate of 7 percent makes semiannual coupon payments on January 15 and July 15 of each year.
The Journal reports the ask price for the bond on January 30 at 100:02. What ,mat is the invoice price of the bond is the
coupon period has 182 days?
Solution
2
The reported bond price = 100.02 = 100 32 percent of par = Rs 1,000.625
However, 15 days have passed since the last semiannual coupon was paid, so:
15
Accrued interest = Rs 35 × 182 = Rs 2.885
The invoice price is the reported price plus accrued interest = Rs 1,003.51
6.3 )Suppose a bond was issued several years ago when the interest rate was 7 percent. The bond's annual coupon
rate was thus set at 7 percent. For simplicity, suppose that the bond pays its coupon annually. Today, with three years
left in the bond's life, the interest rate is 8 percent per year.
a. What is the bond's fair market price?
b. What is the fair price of bond next year?
c. If an investor had purchased the bond at price calculated in part 'a' and sold at the price calculated in part 'b', what
would be holding period return?
d. Why investor's rate of return is equal to the competitive market interest rate prevailing at the time?
Solution 6.3
Given,
Face value (M) = Rs 1,000
Annual Coupon = 0.07 ×Rs 1,000 = Rs 70
Time to Maturity (n)=3 year
Market Interest rate (kd) =8%
a. The bond's fair market price today when interest rate is 8 percent is given by:
𝑉0 = 𝐼 × 𝑃𝑉𝐼𝐹𝐴8%,3 + 𝑀 × 𝑃𝑉𝐼𝐹8%,3
= 𝑅𝑠 70 × 2.5771 + 𝑅𝑠 1,000 × 0.7938
= 𝑅𝑠 180.40 + 𝑅𝑠 793.80
= 𝑅𝑠 974.20
b. In another year, after the next coupon is paid and remaining maturity falls to two years, the bond would sell at:
𝑉0 = 𝐼 × 𝑃𝑉𝐼𝐹𝐴8%,2 + 𝑀 × 𝑃𝑉𝐼𝐹8%,2
= 𝑅𝑠 70 × 1.7833 + 𝑅𝑠 1,000 × 0.8573
= 𝑅𝑠 124.83 + 𝑅𝑠 857.30
= 𝑅𝑠 982.13
c. If an investor had purchased the bond at Rs 974.20 and sold it for Rs 982.13 after one year after realizing Rs 70 in annual
coupon, the holding period return over the year would be as follows:
𝐼+ 𝑉1 −𝑉0 Rs 70+ Rs 982.13−Rs 974.20
HPR = 𝑉0
= Rs 974.20 = 0.08 or 8%
Hence, the holding period return over the year is 8 percent, exactly the current rate of return available in the market.
d. When bond prices are set according to the present value formula, any discount from par value provides an anticipated
capital gain that will augment a below-market coupon rate just enough to provide a fair total rate of return. Conversely, if
the coupon rate exceeds the market interest rate, the interest income by itself is greater than that available elsewhere in
the market. Investors will bid up the price of these bonds above their par values. As the bonds approach maturity, they will
fall in value because fewer of these above-market coupon payments remain. The resulting capital losses offset the large
coupon payments so that the bondholder again receives only a competitive rate of return.
6.4) Compute the current yield of a 10 percent, 25-years bond that is currently priced in the market at Rs 1,200. Use annual
compounding to find the promised yield on this bond. Repeat the promised yield calculation, but this time use semiannual
compounding to find yield-to-maturity.
Solution
Par value (M) = Rs 1,000 (Assumed)
Annual interest (l) = Rs 100
Maturity period (n) = 25 years
Current yield (cy) = ?
Coupon rate (c)=10%
Current market price = Rs 1200
Promised yield to maturity = ?
Using annual compounding
We have,
Annual Interest 100
Current yield = = 1200 = 8.33%
Current Market Price
1 1
1− 1000 1−
1.08 25 1.09 25 1000
PV at 8% = 100 + = Rs 1213.4955 PV at 9% = 100 + = Rs 1098.2258
0.08 1.08 25 0.09 1.09 25
Hence: Price of the bond Rs 1200 lies between 1098.2258 and 1213.4955.
By interpolation,
PV −PV
Actual YTM = LR + PVLR−PVTR × HR − LR = 8% + 1213.4955−1098.2258 × 9% − 8%
1213.4955−1200
LR HR
13.4955
= 8% + 115.2697 × 1% = 8.12%
Repetition of the promised yield calculation but this time using semi annual compounding:
𝐼 𝑀−Price 100 1000−1200
+ + 46
2 𝑛×2 2 25×2
Approximate semiannual YTM = 𝑀+2×price = 1000+2×1200 = 1133.33 = 4.06%
3
3
1
1− 1000
1.04 50
PV at 4% = 50 + = Rs 1214.8218
0.04 1.04 50
1
1− 1000
1.05 50
PV at 5% = 50 + = Rs 1000
0.05 1.05 50
Hence, the price of the bond Rs 1200 lies between Rs 1000 and Rs 1214.8218.
By Interpolation,
PV −PV
Actual YTM = LR + PVLR−PVTR × HR − LR
LR HR
1214.8218−1200
= 4% + 1214.8218−1000 × 5% − 4%
14.8218
= 4% + 214.8218 × 1% = 4.07%
Semi annual YTM = 4.07%
Annual YTM = 4.07% × 2 = 8.14%
Effective annual yield = 1 + Semi annual YTM 2 − 1 = 1 + 0.0407 2 − 1 = 8.31%
6.5 ) Suppose an 8 percent coupon, 30-year maturity bond sells for Rs 1,150 and is callable in 10 years at a call price of Rs
1,100.
a. What is its yield to maturity? Whats is its yield to call?
b. In what situation, the bond is likely to call ? Explain.
Solution
Given,
Annual coupon (I) = 0.08 x Rs 1,000 = Rs 80
Selling price of bond = Rs 1.150
Face Value (M) = Rs 1,000
Maturity (n) = 30 years
Call period (t) = 10 years
Call price (CP) = Rs 1,100
𝑎. 𝐶𝑎𝑙𝑐𝑢𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑜𝑓 𝑦𝑖𝑒𝑙𝑑 𝑡𝑜 𝑚𝑎𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑖𝑡𝑦:
𝐹𝑖𝑟𝑠𝑡, 𝑤𝑒𝑤𝑜𝑟𝑘 − 𝑜𝑢𝑡𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑎𝑝𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑥𝑖𝑚𝑎𝑡𝑒𝑌𝑇𝑀𝑜𝑛𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑏𝑜𝑛𝑑𝑎𝑠𝑓𝑜𝑙𝑙𝑜𝑤𝑠:
𝑀−𝑉
𝐼+ 𝑛 0 Rs 80+Rs 1,000−
30
Rs 1,150
Rs 75
Approximate YTM = 𝑀+2𝑉0 = Rs 1,000+2×Rs 1,150 = Rs 1,100
3 3
= 0.0681 or 6.81%
𝑇ℎ𝑒 𝑎𝑝𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑥𝑖𝑚𝑎𝑡𝑒 𝑌𝑇𝑀 𝑖𝑠 6.81 𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑐𝑒𝑛𝑡. 𝐼𝑡 𝑠𝑢𝑔𝑔𝑒𝑠𝑡𝑠 𝑡ℎ𝑎𝑡 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑦𝑖𝑒𝑙𝑑 𝑡𝑜 𝑚𝑎𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑙𝑖𝑒𝑠 𝑏𝑒𝑡𝑤𝑒𝑒𝑛 6𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑐𝑒𝑛𝑡 7𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑐𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑎𝑛𝑛𝑢𝑎𝑙
𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒. 𝑇ℎ𝑒𝑟𝑒𝑓𝑜𝑟𝑒, 𝑤𝑒 𝑤𝑜𝑟𝑘 − 𝑜𝑢𝑡𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝑎𝑡 𝑙𝑜𝑤𝑒𝑟 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒 6% 𝑎𝑛𝑑 ℎ𝑖𝑔ℎ𝑒𝑟 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒 7% 𝑎𝑠 𝑓𝑜𝑙𝑙𝑜𝑤𝑠:
𝑉𝐿𝑅 = 𝐼 × 𝑃𝑉𝐼𝐹𝐴𝑘𝑑 ,𝑛 + 𝑀 × 𝑃𝑉𝐼𝐹𝑘𝑑 ,𝑛
= 𝑅𝑠80 × 𝑃𝑉𝐼𝐹𝐴6%,30 + 𝑅𝑠1,000 𝑃𝑉𝐼𝐹6%,30
= 𝑅𝑠80 × 13.7648 + 𝑅𝑠1,000 × 0.1741
= 𝑅𝑠1,101.18 + 𝑅𝑠174.1
= 𝑅𝑠1,275.28
Since the value of bond at 6 percent discount rate is higher than its current selling price (Rs 1: 150): we try at higher rate: 7
percent.
𝑉𝐻𝑅 = 𝐼 × 𝑃𝑉𝐼𝐹𝐴𝑘𝑑 ,𝑛 + 𝑀 × 𝑃𝑉𝐼𝐹𝑘𝑑 ,𝑛
= 𝑅𝑠80 × 𝑃𝑉𝐼𝐹𝐴7%,30 + 𝑅𝑠1,000 𝑃𝑉𝐼𝐹7%,30
= 𝑅𝑠80 × 12.4090 + 𝑅𝑠1,000 × 0.1314
= 𝑅𝑠992.72 + 𝑅𝑠131.4
= 𝑅𝑠1,124.12
Since the current selling price of bond falls between the value of bond at higher rate and lower rate, we interpolate as
follows to work−out YTM.
𝑉LR −𝑉0
YTM = LR + 𝑉 × HR −LR
LR −𝑉HR
Rs 1,275.28−Rs 1,150
= 6% + × 7% − 6%
Rs 1,275.28−Rs 1,124.12
Rs 125.28
= 6% + × 1%
Rs 151.16
= 6% + 0.83% = 6.83%
𝐻𝑒𝑛𝑐𝑒, 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑌𝑇𝑀 𝑜𝑛 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑏𝑜𝑛𝑑 𝑖𝑠 6.83 𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑐𝑒𝑛𝑡.
𝐶𝑎𝑙𝑐𝑢𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑜𝑓 𝑦𝑖𝑒𝑙𝑑 𝑡𝑜 𝑐𝑎𝑙𝑙:
First, we work-out the approximate YTC on the bond as follows:
b. When interest rates fall, the present value of the bond's scheduled payments rises, but the call provision allows the
issuer to repurchase the bond at the call price. If the call price is less than the present value of the scheduled
payments, the issuer can call the bond at the expense of the bondholder.
6.6 ) XYZ Company has bonds outstanding with 9 years left to maturity. The bonds have an 8 percent annual coupon rate and,
were issued last year at par value of Rs 1,000, but due to changes in interest rates, each bond's value has fallen to Rs 901.40. The
capital gains yield earned by investors over the last year was - 9.86 percent.
a. What is the expected current yield for the coming year?
b. What is the yield to maturity?
c. What is the expected capital gains yield for the next year if interest rates do not change?
Given,
Par value = Rs 1000
Maturity period = 9 years
Selling price of bond = Rs 901.40
Coupon interest = 8% of Rs 1000 = Rs 80
Capital gain yield= -9.86%
Coupon interest Rs 80
𝑎. 𝐶𝑢𝑟𝑟𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑦𝑖𝑒𝑙𝑑𝑓𝑜𝑟𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑛𝑒𝑥𝑡𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟 = = Rs 901.40 = 0.0888 = 8.88%
Current market price of bond
b. Yield to maturity (YTM) = ?
To calculate YTM- at first- we have to calculate approximate YTM by using following formula:
𝑀−Price
𝐼+ 𝑛
Approximate YTM = Price
𝑀+2× 3
d. The YTM differs from the current yield of the bond due to several reasons. For example, this bond is selling at a premium
over par value (that is, selling price is Rs 1,276.72 rather than Rs 1,000), the coupon rate (8%) exceeds the current yield
(6.27%), and which exceeds the yield to maturity (6.09%). The coupon rate exceeds current yield because the coupon rate
divides the coupon payments by par value1 (Rs 1,000) rather than by the bond price (Rs 1,276.72). In turn, the current yield
exceeds yield to maturity because the yield to maturity accounts for the built-in capital loss on the bond; the bond bought2
today for Rs 1,276.72 will eventually fall in value to Rs 1,000 at maturity. This example illustrates a general rule: For
premium bonds, coupon rate is greater than current yield, which in turn is greater than yield to maturity. Conversely, for
discount bonds, these relationships are reversed.
6.8 ) A 2-year bond selling at Rs 1,000 par value is paying a 10 percent coupon once a year. Suppose the yield to maturity is
also 10 percent.
a. If the coupon payment can be reinvested at an interest rate of 10 percent, What is its realized compound rate?
b. Suppose the interest rate at which the coupon can be invested is only 8 percent. What is its realized compound rate?
c. What relationship do you observe between realized compound rate and coupon reinvestment rate? Explain.
Solution
Given ,
Annual coupon (1) = 0.10 x Rs 1,000 = Rs 100
Time to maturity (n) = 2 years
Face value =Rs 1,000
Bond's price = Rs 1,000
𝑎. 𝐼𝑓 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑐𝑜𝑢𝑝𝑜𝑛 𝑝𝑎𝑦𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑐𝑎𝑛 𝑏𝑒 𝑟𝑒𝑖𝑛𝑣𝑒𝑠𝑡𝑒𝑑 𝑎𝑡 𝑎𝑛𝑖𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑡𝑟𝑎 𝑒 𝑜𝑓 10 𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑐𝑒𝑛𝑡:
𝑇ℎ𝑒 𝑓𝑢𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑒 𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑐𝑜𝑢𝑝𝑜𝑛𝑠 𝑟𝑒𝑖𝑛𝑣𝑒𝑠𝑡𝑒𝑑 𝑎𝑡 𝑎 10% 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒 𝑖𝑠 𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑝𝑢𝑡𝑒𝑑 𝑎𝑠 𝑓𝑜𝑙𝑙𝑜𝑤𝑠:
Future value of coupon = 𝐼 × FVIFA10\%,2 = Rs 100 × 2.1000 = Rs 210
𝑇ℎ𝑒 𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑚𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑙 𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝑖𝑠:
Terminal value = Future value of coupons + Maturity value
Terminal value = Rs 210 + Rs 1,000 = Rs 1,210
Note that we purchased the bond for Rs 1,000 at the time of issue and our total investment grows to Rs 1,210 at the end of
year 2. Thus, our annual realized rate of return (r) is computed as:
Terminal value = 𝑉0 1 + 𝑟 𝑛
Rs 1,210 = Rs 1,000 1 + 𝑟 2
Rs 1,210
1 + 𝑟 2 = Rs 1,000
1 + 𝑟 = 1.2100
𝑟 = 1.10 − 0.10 = 0.10 or 10%
Hence, the realized compound return on the bond is 10%
𝑏. 𝐼𝑓 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑐𝑜𝑢𝑝𝑜𝑛 𝑝𝑎𝑦𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑐𝑎𝑛 𝑏𝑒 𝑟𝑒𝑖𝑛𝑣𝑒𝑠𝑡𝑒𝑑 𝑎𝑡 𝑎𝑛 𝑖𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑡 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒 𝑜𝑓 8𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑐𝑒𝑛𝑡:
The future value of coupons reinvested at 8% rate is computed as follows:
Future value of coupon = 𝐼 × FVIFA8%,2 = Rs 100 × 2.0800 = Rs 208
Problem 6.9.
Suppose you buy a 30-year, 7.5 percent annual payment coupon bond for Rs 980 when its yield to maturity is 7.67 percent.
You plan to hold it for 20 years. Your forecast is that the bond's yield to maturity will be 8 percent when it is sold and that the
reinvestment rate on the coupons will be 6 percent. What is your realized compound rate from this investment?
Given:
Face value = Rs 1,000
Purchase price of bond = Rs 980
Maturity = 30 years
𝐴𝑛𝑛𝑢𝑎𝑙 𝑐𝑜𝑢𝑝𝑜𝑛 = 0.075 × 𝑅𝑠1,000 = 𝑅𝑠750.075 × 𝑅𝑠 1,000 = 𝑅𝑠 75
Coupon reinvestment rate = 6%
Substituting the values:
𝑉20 = 𝑅𝑠75 × 6.7101 + 𝑅𝑠1,000 × 0.4632
𝑉20 = 𝑅𝑠503.26 + 𝑅𝑠463.2
𝑉20 = 𝑅𝑠966.46
We know, the reinvestment rate of 20 annual coupon payments of Rs 75 is 6 percent. Thus, the future value of a 20-year Rs
75 annuity with an interest rate of 6 percent is given by:
Future value of coupon = 𝐼 × FVIFA6%,20
Substituting the values:
Future value of coupon = 𝑅𝑠75 × 36.7856 = 𝑅𝑠2,758.92
And the terminal value is:
Terminal value = Future value of coupons + 𝑉20
Substituting the values:
𝑇𝑒𝑟𝑚𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑙 𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 = 𝑅𝑠2,758.92 + 𝑅𝑠966.46 = 𝑅𝑠3,725.38
We purchased the bond for Rs 980 at the time of issue, and our total investment grows to Rs 3,725.38 at the end of year 20.
Thus, our annual realized rate of return (rr) is computed as:
Terminal value = 𝑉0 × 1 + 𝑟 20
𝑅𝑠3,725.38 = 𝑅𝑠980 × 1 + 𝑟 20
𝑅𝑠3,725.38
1 + 𝑟 20 = 𝑅𝑠980
1/20
1 + 𝑟 = 3.8014
𝑟 = 1.0690 − 1 = 0.0690 or 6.90%
Hence, the realized compound return on the bond is 6.90 percent.
Problem 6.10.
A 25-year, zero-coupon bond was recently being quoted at 11.625 percent of par. Find the current yield and the promised
yield of this issue, given that the bond has a par value of Rs 1,000. Using semiannual compounding, determine how much
an investor would have to pay for this bond if it were priced to yield 12 percent.
Solution
Given:
Maturity period = 25 years
Current price = 11.625% of Rs 1,000 = Rs 116.25
Maturity value = Rs 1,000
We have,
Annual interest 0
Current yield = Current price = 116.25 = 0
1 1
𝑀 𝑛 1000 25
Again, calculation of promised yield (𝑦): = −1= − 1 = 1.0899 − 1 = 0.0899 = 8.99%
𝑃0 116.25
Using semi-annual compounding,
𝑌𝑖𝑒𝑙𝑑 𝑡𝑜 𝑚𝑎𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑦 = 12% , 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 = ?
𝑀 1000
Price = 2𝑛 = = 𝑅𝑠54.29
𝑦
1+2 1.06 50
Problem 6.11.
A newly issued bond pays its coupons once a year. Its coupon rate is 5 percent, its maturity is 20 years, and its yield to
maturity is 8 percent.
After-tax bond return
a. Find the holding-period return for a one-year investment period if the bond is selling at a yield to maturity of 7 percent by
the end of the year.
b. If you sell the bond after one year when its yield is 7 percent, what taxes will you owe if the tax rate on interest income is
40 percent and the tax rate on capital gains income is 30 percent?
c. What is the after-tax holding-period return on the bond?
d. Find the realized compound yield before taxes for a two-year holding period, assuming that (i) you sell the bond after two
years, (ii) the bond yield is 7 percent at the end of the second year, and (iii) the coupon can be reinvested for one year at a 3
percent interest rate.
e. A 9-year bond has a yield of 10 percent and duration of 7.194 years. If the market yield changes by 50 basis points, what
is the percentage change in the bond's price?
Solution 6.11
a. Initial price
𝑃0 = 𝑅𝑠50 × PVIFA8%,20 + 𝑅𝑠1,000 × PVIF8%,20
𝑃0 = 𝑅𝑠50 × 9.8181 + 𝑅𝑠1,000 × 0.2145 = 𝑅𝑠705.41
Next year's price:
𝑃1 = 𝑅𝑠50 × PVIFA7%,19 + 𝑅𝑠1,000 × PVIF7%,19
𝑃1 = 𝑅𝑠50 × 10.3356 + 𝑅𝑠1,000 × 0.2765 = 𝑅𝑠793.28
𝑅𝑠50+ 𝑅𝑠793.28−𝑅𝑠705.41
HPR = = 0.1954 = 19.54%
𝑅𝑠705.41
b. Using OID tax rules, the cost basis and imputed interest under the constant yield method are obtained by discounting
bond payments at the original 8% yield and simply reducing maturity by one year at a time:
Constant yield prices (compare these to actual prices to compute capital gains):
𝑃0 = 𝑅𝑠705.41
𝑃1 = 50 × PVIFA8%,19 + 𝑅𝑠1,000 × PVIF8%,19
𝑃1 = 𝑅𝑠50 × 9.8181 + 𝑅𝑠1,000 × 0.2145 = 𝑅𝑠711.89
⟹ 𝐼𝑚𝑝𝑙𝑖𝑒𝑠Implicit interest over first year = 𝑅𝑠711.89 − 𝑅𝑠705.41 = 𝑅𝑠6.48
𝑃2 = 𝑅𝑠50 × PVIFA8%,18 + 𝑅𝑠1,000 × PVIF8%,18
𝑃2 = 𝑅𝑠718.84 ⟹ 𝐼𝑚𝑝𝑙𝑖𝑒𝑠Implicit interest over second year = 𝑅𝑠718.84 − 𝑅𝑠711.89 = 𝑅𝑠6.95
Tax on explicit interest:
Tax on coupon = 0.40 × 𝑅𝑠50 = 𝑅𝑠20
Tax on implicit interest in first year = 0.30 × 𝑅𝑠6.48 = 𝑅𝑠1.94
Capital gain in first year:
Actual price at first year YTM − constant yield price:𝑅𝑠793.28 − 𝑅𝑠711.89 = 𝑅𝑠81.39
Tax on capital gain:
0.30 × 𝑅𝑠 81.39 = 𝑅𝑠 24.42
Total taxes:
Tax on coupon = 𝑅𝑠22.59 + 𝑅𝑠24.42 = 𝑅𝑠47.01
Rs 50+ Rs 793.28−Rs 705.41 −Rs 47.01
𝑐. 𝐴𝑓𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑡𝑎𝑥𝐻𝑃𝑅 = = 0.1288 = 12.88%
Rs 705.41
𝐻𝑒𝑛𝑐𝑒, 𝑎 50 𝑏𝑎𝑠𝑖𝑠 𝑝𝑜𝑖𝑛𝑡 𝑖𝑛𝑐𝑟𝑒𝑎𝑠𝑒 𝑖𝑛 𝑌𝑇𝑀 𝑤𝑜𝑢𝑙𝑑 𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑢𝑙𝑡 𝑖𝑛𝑡𝑜 3.27 𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑐𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑑𝑒𝑐𝑙𝑖𝑛𝑒 𝑖𝑛 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑏𝑜𝑛𝑑 ′ 𝑠 𝑝𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒.
Problem 6.12
Calculate the YTM and Macaulay's duration for the two Treasury bonds below.
𝑉0 = 𝐶 × PVIFA𝑦,𝑛 + 𝑀 × PVIF𝑦,𝑛
= Rs 40 × PVIFA5%,10 + Rs 1000 × PVIF5%,10
= Rs 40 × 7.7217 + Rs 1000 × 0.6139
= Rs 922.77
c. Hence, the value of bond B is Rs 922.77.
The rate of return or yield to maturity that the investor would earn by purchasing Bond C at Rs 1276.76 with S percent
coupon and 30-year maturity is given by:
Step 1: Calculate the approximate yield to maturity (AYTM)
𝑀−𝑉0
𝐶+
𝑛
AYTM = 𝑀+2×𝑉0
3
Rs Rs
80+
1,000−Rs 1,276.76
30
= Rs 1,000+2× Rs 1,276.76
3
Rs 70.7747
= Rs 1184.5067 = 0.0597 or 5.97%
Step 2: Referring AYTM, it seems that the actual yield to maturity lies between 5% and 6%.
Now, we calculate the present value of bond at 5% and 6%.
Trying at 5%:
𝑉𝐿𝑅 = Rs 80 × PVIFA5%,30 + Rs 1,000 × PVIF5%,30
= Rs 80 × 15.3725 + Rs 1,000 × 0.2314 = Rs 1,461.20
𝑇𝑟𝑦𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑎𝑡 6%
𝑉𝐻𝑅 = Rs 80 × PVIFA6%,30 + Rs 1,000 × PVIF6%,30
= Rs 80 × 13.7648 + Rs 1,000 × 0.1741 = Rs 1275.28
𝑆𝑡𝑒𝑝3: 𝐼𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑝𝑜𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑒 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒𝑠 𝑎𝑡5% 𝑎𝑛𝑑 6%
𝑊𝑒 ℎ𝑎𝑣𝑒,
𝑉 −𝑉
YTM = LR + 𝑉 𝐿𝑅−𝑉 0 × HR − LR
𝐿𝑅 𝐻𝑅
Rs 1461.20−Rs 1276.76
= 5% + Rs 1461.20−Rs 1275.28 × 6% − 5%
= 5% + 0.99 × 1% = 5.99%
Hence, the investor would earn an annualized yield of 5.99% if the bond is purchased today at Rs 1276.76 and held until 30 years
maturity.
d. The duration of Bond B with 8 percent coupon (c), 5-year maturity (t) bond paying semiannual coupon and 10 percent yield to
maturity (y) is given by:
1+𝑦/2 1+𝑦/2 +2𝑛 𝑐/2−𝑦/2
Duration = −
𝑦/2 𝑐/2 1+𝑦/2 𝑛 −1 +𝑦/2
1+0.10/2 1+0.10/2 +2×5 0.08/2−0.10/2
= −
0.10/2 0.08/2 1+0.10/2 5 −1 +0.10/2
𝐴𝑔𝑎𝑖𝑛 𝑤𝑒 ℎ𝑎𝑣𝑒,
𝑁𝑜𝑤,
𝑅𝑠.25 𝑅𝑠.31.25 𝑅𝑠.39.06 𝑅𝑠.39.06 1+𝑔𝑐
𝑅𝑠. 588.8 = + + + 0.12− 𝑔𝑐
1.12 1 1.12 2 1.12 3 3
(1+0.12)
𝑅𝑠.39.06 1+𝑔𝑐
𝑜𝑟, 𝑅𝑠. 588.8 = 𝑅𝑠. 22.32 + 𝑅𝑠. 24.91 + 𝑅𝑠. 27.80 + 0.12 −𝑔
1 1.4049𝑐
𝑅𝑠.39.06 1+𝑔
𝑐
𝑜𝑟, 0.12 − 𝑔𝑐 =
𝑅𝑠.721.80
𝑜𝑟, 0.12 − 𝑔𝑐 = 0.0541 1 + 𝑔𝑐
𝑜𝑟, 0.12 − 𝑔𝑐 = 0.0541 + 0.0541 𝑔𝑐
𝑜𝑟, 0.0659 = 1.0541 𝑔𝑐
𝑔𝑐 = 0.0625 𝑜𝑟 6.25%
Problem 6.20.
Suruchi, an investor, is thinking about buying some shares of ABC Company at Rs 500 per share. She expects the price of
the stock to rise to Rs 750 over the next 3 years. During that time she also expects to receive annual dividends of Rs 50 per
share.
Common stock valuation and expected rate of return
a. What is the intrinsic worth of this stock, given a 10 percent required rate of return?
b. What is its expected return?
Solution 6.20
Given,
Current price (Po) = Rs 500
Price year 3 (P3) = Rs 750
a. Amount dividend = Rs 50 for 3 year period in each year
If required rate of return (ks) 100 0 intrinsic value ?
𝐷1 𝐷2 𝐷3
𝐼𝑛𝑡𝑟𝑖𝑛𝑠𝑖𝑐𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝑃0 = 1 + 2 + 3 + 𝑃3
1+𝑘 1+𝑘 1+𝑘
50 50 50+750
= + + = 𝑅𝑠. 687.83
1.10 1 1.10 2 1.10 3
𝑏. 𝐶𝑢𝑟𝑟𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑝𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑠𝑡𝑜𝑐𝑘 𝑖𝑠 𝑅𝑠500, 𝐸𝑥𝑝𝑒𝑐𝑡𝑒𝑑 𝑟𝑒𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑛 𝑘𝑠 =?
𝑊𝑒ℎ𝑎𝑣𝑒
𝐷 𝐷 𝐷 𝑃
𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 = 1+𝑘1 1 + 1+𝑘2 2 + 1+𝑘3 3 + 1+𝑘3 3
50 50 50 750
500 = + + +
1+𝑘 1 1+𝑘 2 1+𝑘 3 1+𝑘 3
𝑆𝑖𝑛𝑐𝑒, 𝑎𝑡 10% 𝑟𝑒𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑛, 𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑠𝑡𝑜𝑐𝑘 𝑖𝑠 𝑅𝑠687.83, 𝑤𝑒 𝑡𝑟𝑦 𝑎𝑡 ℎ𝑖𝑔ℎ𝑒𝑟 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒.
𝑁𝑜𝑤 𝑡𝑟𝑦 𝑎𝑡15%
50 50 50+750
𝑃𝑉 𝑎𝑡 15% = 1 + 2 + 3 = 𝑅𝑠. 607.2984
1.15 1.15 1.15
50 50 50+750
𝑃𝑉 𝑎𝑡 20% = + + = 𝑅𝑠. 539.3519
1.20 1 1.20 2 1.20 3
50 50 50+750
𝑃𝑉 𝑎𝑡 25% = + + = 𝑅𝑠. 481.6
1.25 1 1.25 2 1.25 3
𝑆𝑖𝑛𝑐𝑒, 𝐶𝑢𝑟𝑟𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑝𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑠𝑡𝑜𝑐𝑘 𝑅𝑠500 𝑙𝑖𝑒𝑠 𝑏𝑒𝑡𝑤𝑒𝑒𝑛 481.6 𝑎𝑛𝑑 539.3519.
𝐵𝑦 𝐼𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑝𝑜𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛, 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑟𝑒𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑟𝑒𝑑 𝑟𝑒𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑛 𝑘𝑠 is:
𝑅𝑒
𝑘𝑠 = 𝐿𝑅 + 𝑃𝑉 𝑎𝑡 𝐿𝑅 − 𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑟𝑒𝑑 𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒𝑃𝑉 at LR − PV at HR × 𝐻𝑅 − 𝐿𝑅
539.3519−500
= 20% + 539.3519−481.6 × 25% − 20%
196.7595
= 20% + = 23.41%
57.7519
Problem 6.21.
Nepal Technologies Pvt. Ltd. is a little known company in information technology industry. The earnings and dividend
growth prospects of the company are disputed by financial two analysts- Mr. A, and Mr. B. Mr. A has forecasted 9 percent
annual constant growth in dividends while Mr. B has predicated 21 percent growth in dividends for the next two years,
which has been expected to slow down to 6 percent normal level thereafter. Company's current dividend per share is Rs
15. Stock with similar risk is currently priced to provide a 12 percent expected return.
a. What is the value of company's stock according to Mr. A?
b. What is the value of company's stock according to Mr. B?
c. Assume that the company's stock now sells for Rs. 405 per share. If the stock is fairly priced at the present time, what is
the implied perpetual dividend growth rate? What is the implied price-earnings ratio on next year's earnings, based on this
perpetual dividend growth assumption and assuming a 20 percent payout ratio?
Solution 6.21
𝐺𝑟𝑜𝑤𝑡ℎ 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒 𝑓𝑜𝑟𝑒𝑐𝑎𝑠𝑡𝑒𝑑 𝑏𝑦 𝑀𝑟. 𝐴 𝑔 = 9%
𝐺𝑟𝑜𝑤𝑡ℎ 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒 𝑓𝑜𝑟𝑒𝑐𝑎𝑠𝑡𝑒𝑑 𝑏𝑦𝑀𝑟. 𝐵:
For first two year 𝑔 = 21%
Growth rate after second year 𝑔𝑎 = 6%
𝐶𝑢𝑟𝑟𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑑𝑖𝑣𝑖𝑑𝑒𝑛𝑑𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑠ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒 𝐷0 = 𝑅𝑠15
𝑅𝑒𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑟𝑒𝑑𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒𝑜𝑓𝑟𝑒𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑛 𝑘𝑠 = 12%
𝑁𝑜𝑤,
𝑎. 𝑉𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝑝𝑒𝑟 𝑠ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑠𝑡𝑜𝑐𝑘 𝑃0 , 𝑎𝑐𝑐𝑜𝑟𝑑𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑡𝑜𝑀𝑟. 𝐴:
𝐷0 1+𝑔 𝑅𝑠.15 1+0.09
[𝑃0 = = = 𝑅𝑠. 545]
𝑘𝑠 −𝑔 0.12−0.09
Year Dividend and Price PVIF @ 12% PV
1 D₁ = D₀(1+g) = Rs 15 (1.21) = Rs 18.15 0.8929 Rs 16.21
P₀ = Rs 343
Assume also that as the result of a strange set of circumstance, these three companies all have the same required rate of
return of 10 percent.
a. Use the appropriate DDM to value each of these companies.
b. Comment briefly on the comparative values of these three companies. What is the major cause of the differences
among these three valuations?
Solution 6.23
Given,
𝐾𝑠 =10%
𝐷0 = Rs 22.5
𝑃/𝐸𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜 = 21 times
𝐸𝑥𝑝𝑒𝑐𝑡𝑒𝑑 𝑡𝑜 𝑝𝑎𝑦 𝑑𝑖𝑣𝑖𝑑𝑒𝑛𝑑 𝑜𝑓 𝑅𝑠20 𝑝𝑒𝑟 𝑠ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒 𝑖𝑛 𝑛𝑒𝑥𝑡 5𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟𝑠
𝐸𝑎𝑟𝑛𝑖𝑛𝑔𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑠ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒𝑖𝑛𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟5 = 𝑅𝑠. 50
𝐷𝑖𝑠𝑐𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑡𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒 𝑘 = 12%
𝑈𝑠𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑑𝑖𝑣𝑖𝑑𝑒𝑛𝑑 − 𝑎𝑛𝑑 − 𝑒𝑎𝑟𝑛𝑖𝑛𝑔𝑠 𝑚𝑜𝑑𝑒𝑙 𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑝𝑢𝑡𝑒 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑠𝑡𝑜𝑐𝑘 𝑗𝑢𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑓𝑖𝑒𝑑 𝑝𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 =?
𝐶𝑎𝑙𝑐𝑢𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑜𝑓 𝑝𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 𝑖𝑛 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟 5:
MPS
𝑃/𝐸𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜 = EPS
𝑃
𝑜𝑟, 21 = 5
50
𝑜𝑟, 𝑃5 = 𝑅𝑠. 1,050
𝑃0 = 602.70
𝑉𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑠𝑡𝑜𝑐𝑘 𝑖𝑠 𝑅𝑠602.70
Problem 6.26.
The cash dividends per share of the Alpha Company have been growing at an annual rate of 5 percent, and this growth rate
is expected to continue into the foreseeable future. Alpha's current cash dividend is Rs 20 per share. The following two-
factor model is assumed to be appropriate to determine the required rate of return on the shares of Alpha:
PVGO is negative. This is because the net present value of the firm’s projects is negative: The rate of return on those assets
is less than the opportunity cost of capital. Such a firm would be subject to takeover, because another firm could buy the
firm for the market price of Rs 222.22 per share and increase the value of the firm by changing its investment policy. For
example, if the new management simply paid out all earnings as dividends, the value of the firm would increase to its no-
growth value, E1= Rs 50/0.15 = Rs 333.33.
Problem 6.28.
The stock of JB Company is currently selling for Rs 100 per share. Earnings per share in the coming year are expected to be
Rs 20. The company has a policy of paying out 50 percent of its earnings each year in dividends. The rest is retained and
invested in projects that earn a 20 percent rate of return per year. This situation is expected to continue indefinitely.
a. Assuming the current market price of the stock reflects its intrinsic value as computed using the constant-growth DDM,
what rate of return do JB's investors require?
b. By how much does its value exceed what it would be if all earnings were paid as dividends and nothing were reinvested?
c. If JB Company were to cut its dividend payout ratio to 25 percent, what would happen to its stock price? What if JB
eliminated the dividend?
Solution 2.28 𝑏. Since 𝑘 = ROE, the NPV of future investment
𝐷1
opportunities is zero:
𝑎. 𝑘= +𝑔
𝑃0 𝐸1
𝑃𝑉𝐺𝑂 = 𝑃0 − = Rs 100 − Rs 100 = 0
𝑘
𝐷1 = 0.5 × Rs 20 = Rs 10
𝑐. Since 𝑘 = ROE, the stock price would be unaffected by
𝑔 = 𝑏 × ROE = 0.5 × 0.20 = 0.10
cutting the dividend and investing the additional earnings.
Rs 10
Therefore: 𝑘 = Rs 100 + 0.10 = 0.20 = 20%
Problem 6.29.
The risk-free rate of return is 8 percent, the expected rate of return on the market portfolio is 15 percent, and the stock of1
ABC Company has a beta coefficient of 1.2. ABC pays out 40 percent of its earnings in dividends, and the latest earnings
announced were Rs 10 per share. Dividends were just paid and are expected to be paid annually. You expect that ABC will
earn an ROE of 20 percent per year on all reinvested earnings forever.
a. What is the intrinsic value of a share of ABC stock?
b. If the market price of a share is currently Rs 100, and you expect the market price to be equal to the intrinsic value one
year from now, what is your expected one-year holding-period return on ABC stock?
Solution 6.29
𝑎. 𝑘 = 𝑅𝐹 + β 𝐸 𝑅𝑚 − 𝑅𝐹 = 8% + 1.2 15% − 8% = 16.4%
𝑔 = 𝑏 × ROE = 0.6 × 20% = 12%
𝐷1 1+𝑔 Rs 4×1.12
𝑉0 = = 0.164−0.12 = Rs 101.82
𝑘𝑠 −𝑔
Rs.0.54 Rs.0.58 Rs.0.63 Rs.0.68 Rs.0.73 Rs.0.79 Rs.1.08 Rs.1.14 Rs.1.21 Rs.1.31
= + 2 + 3 + 4 + 5 + 6 + 7 + 8 + 9 + +
1+0.14 1+0.14 1+0.14 1+0.14 1+0.14 1+0.14 1+0.14 1+0.14 1+0.14 1+0.14 10
Rs.1.31 1+0.00 1
×
0.14−0.00 1+0.14 10
Rs.0.86 Rs.0.93 Rs.1.00 Rs.1.08 Rs.1.14 Rs.1.21 Rs.1.31 Rs.1.41 Rs.1.52 Rs.1.64 Rs~2.08
= + 2 + 3 + 4 + 5 + 6 + 7 + 8 + 9 + 10 +
1+0.14 1+0.14 1+0.14 1+0.14 1+0.14 1+0.14 1+0.14 1+0.14 1+0.14 1+0.14 1+0.14 10
= Rs. 0.47 + Rs. 0.45 + Rs. 0.43 + Rs. 0.40 + Rs. 0.38 + Rs. 0.36 + Rs. 0.34 + Rs. 0.33 + Rs. 0.31 + 𝑅𝑠. 0.29 + Rs. 2.08
= Rs. 5.84
𝑊𝑜𝑟𝑘𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑛𝑜𝑡𝑒𝑠:
𝐷1 = 𝐷0 1 + 𝑔 = 0.50 1 + 0.08 = 0.54
𝐷2 = 𝐷1 1 + 𝑔 = 0.54 1 + 0.08 = 0.58 and so on
𝑁𝑜𝑡𝑒: 𝑇ℎ𝑒 𝑎𝑛𝑠𝑤𝑒𝑟𝑠 𝑖𝑛 𝑡𝑤𝑜 𝑚𝑒𝑡ℎ𝑜𝑑𝑠 𝑎𝑟𝑒 𝑠𝑙𝑖𝑔ℎ𝑡𝑙𝑦 𝑑𝑖𝑓𝑓𝑒𝑟𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑑𝑢𝑒 𝑡𝑜 𝑟𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑑𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑒𝑟𝑟𝑜𝑟.
Problem 6.32.
Big Bazar Limited generated an EPS of Rs 27.50 over the last 12 months. The company's earnings are expected to grow by
25 percent next year, and because there will be no significant change in the number of shares outstanding, EPS should
grow at about the same rate. You feel the stock should trade at a P/E of around 30 times earnings. Use the P/E approach to
set a value on this stock.
Solution 6.32
𝑃/𝐸𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜 = 30 times =
𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 𝑡 = P/E ratio × EPS𝑡 = 30 × 34.375 = Rs. 1,031.25
Problem 6.33.
The Mission Corporation's cash flow from operations before interest and taxes was Rs 2 million in the year just ended, and
it expects that this will grow by 5 percent per year forever. To make this happen, the firm will have to invest an amount equal
to 20 percent of pretax cash flow each year. The tax rate is 35 percent. Depreciation was Rs 200,000 in the year just ended
and is expected to grow at the same rate as the operating cash flow. The appropriate market capitalization rate for the
unleveraged cash flow is 12 percent per year, and the firm currently has debt of Rs 4 million outstanding. Use the free-cash
flow approach to value the firm's equity.
Solution 6.33
𝐵𝑒𝑓𝑜𝑟𝑒 − 𝑡𝑎𝑥 𝑐𝑎𝑠ℎ 𝑓𝑙𝑜𝑤 𝑓𝑟𝑜𝑚 𝑜𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛𝑠 (𝑅𝑠 2,000,000 × 1.05) = 𝑅𝑠 2,100,000
𝐿𝑒𝑠𝑠: 𝐷𝑒𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑐𝑖𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 (𝑅𝑠 200,000 × 1.05) = 210,000
𝑇𝑎𝑥𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒 𝐼𝑛𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒 = 1,890,000
𝐿𝑒𝑠𝑠: 𝑇𝑎𝑥𝑒𝑠 (@35%) = 661,500
𝐴𝑓𝑡𝑒𝑟 − 𝑡𝑎𝑥 𝑢𝑛𝑙𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑔𝑒𝑑 𝑖𝑛𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒 = 1,228,500
𝐴𝑓𝑡𝑒𝑟 − 𝑡𝑎𝑥 𝑐𝑎𝑠ℎ 𝑓𝑙𝑜𝑤 𝑓𝑟𝑜𝑚 𝑜𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛𝑠 = 1,438,500
(𝐴𝑓𝑡𝑒𝑟 − 𝑡𝑎𝑥 𝑢𝑛𝑙𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑔𝑒𝑑 𝑖𝑛𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒 + 𝑑𝑒𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑐𝑖𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛)
𝑁𝑒𝑤 𝑖𝑛𝑣𝑒𝑠𝑡𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡 (20% 𝑜𝑓 𝑅𝑠 2,100,000) = 420,000
𝐹𝑟𝑒𝑒 𝑐𝑎𝑠ℎ 𝑓𝑙𝑜𝑤 (𝐹𝐶𝐹𝐹) = 1,018,500
(𝐴𝑓𝑡𝑒𝑟 − 𝑡𝑎𝑥 𝑐𝑎𝑠ℎ 𝑓𝑙𝑜𝑤 𝑓𝑟𝑜𝑚 𝑜𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛𝑠 − 𝑛𝑒𝑤 𝑖𝑛𝑣𝑒𝑠𝑡𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡)
𝐹𝐶𝐹𝐹1 Rs.1,018,500
𝑉0 = = = Rs. 14,550,000
𝑘𝑒 −𝑔 0.12−0.05
Note:
• Dividends = 0 for the next four years. So retention ratio (b) = 1.00 (100% plowback ratio)
• Company will pay 100% dividend in fifth year and growth of dividend will be zero.
𝐷5 12.4416
𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒𝑜𝑓𝑠𝑡𝑜𝑐𝑘𝑎𝑡𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑒𝑛𝑑𝑜𝑓𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟4, 𝑃4 = 𝑘 = = 82.944
𝑠 −𝑔 0.15−0
𝑃4 82.944
𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒𝑜𝑓𝑠𝑡𝑜𝑐𝑘𝑛𝑜𝑤, 𝑃0 = = = Rs. 47.42
1+𝑘𝑠 4 1+0.15 4
The maximum price that my friend should pay to for GG stock is Rs 47.42 per share,
𝑐. 𝐺𝑖𝑣𝑒𝑛,
𝑃𝑎𝑠𝑡𝑑𝑖𝑣𝑖𝑑𝑒𝑛𝑑 𝐷0 = Rs. 18 per share
𝐺𝑟𝑜𝑤𝑡ℎ 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒 𝑔 = 5%
𝑅𝑒𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑟𝑒𝑑 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒 𝑜𝑓𝑟𝑒𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑛 𝑘𝑠 = 11%
𝐶𝑢𝑟𝑟𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑝𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑠𝑡𝑜𝑐𝑘 𝑃0 = Rs. 400 per share
𝐸𝑎𝑟𝑛𝑖𝑛𝑔𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑠ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒 𝐸0 = Rs. 27 per share
Intrinsic value of stock Rs.315
𝑖. 𝐴𝑐𝑡𝑢𝑎𝑙𝑃/𝐸𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜 = = = 11.11 times
𝐸1 28.35
𝑤ℎ𝑒𝑟𝑒,
𝐸1 = 𝐸0 1 + 𝑔 = Rs. 27 1 + 0.05 = Rs. 28.35
𝐷1 = 𝐷0 1 + 𝑔 = Rs. 18 1 + 0.05 = Rs. 18.90
𝐷1 18.90
𝐼𝑛𝑡𝑟𝑖𝑛𝑠𝑖𝑐 𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑠𝑡𝑜𝑐𝑘 = 𝑘 −𝑔 = 0.11−0.05 = Rs. 315 per share
𝑠
𝑃0 Rs.400
𝑖𝑖. 𝑁𝑜𝑟𝑚𝑎𝑙 𝑃/𝐸𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜 = = = 14.11 times
E1 28.35
𝑖𝑖𝑖. 𝑀𝑎𝑟𝑘𝑒𝑡 𝑝𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑠𝑡𝑜𝑐𝑘 𝑖. 𝑒. , 𝑅𝑠400 𝑖𝑠 𝑚𝑜𝑟𝑒 𝑡ℎ𝑎𝑛 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑖𝑛𝑡𝑟𝑖𝑛𝑠𝑖𝑐 𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑠𝑡𝑜𝑐𝑘 𝑖. 𝑒. , 𝑅𝑠315 . 𝑆𝑜, 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑠𝑡𝑜𝑐𝑘 𝑖𝑠 𝑜𝑣𝑒𝑟
𝑝𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒𝑑 𝑖𝑛 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑚𝑎𝑟𝑘𝑒𝑡.
Problem 6.35.
As an investment advisor, suggest on the following stock valuation problems:
a. The Nepal Electronic Quotation System (NEQS) Corporation pays no cash dividend currently and is not expected to for
the next five years. Its latest EPS was Rs 10, all of which was reinvested in the company. The firm’s expected ROE for the
next five years is 20 percent per year, and during this time it is expected to continue to reinvest1 all of its earnings. Starting
six years from now the firm’s ROE on new investments is expected to fall to 15 percent, and the company is expected to
start paying out 40 percent of its earnings in cash dividends, which it will continue to do forever after.2 NEQS’s market
capitalization rate is 15 percent per year.
i. What is your estimate of NEQS’s intrinsic value per share?
ii. Assuming its current market price is equal to its intrinsic value, what do you expect to happen to its price over the next
year? The year after?
iii. What effect would it have on your estimate of NEQS’s intrinsic value if you expected NEQS to pay only 20 percent of
earnings starting in year 6?
b. The stock of Almond Corporation is currently selling for Rs 10 per share. Earnings per share in the coming year are
expected to be Rs 2. The company has a policy of paying out 50 percent of its earnings each year in dividends. The rest is
retained and invested in projects that earn a 20 percent rate of return per year. This situation is expected to continue
indefinitely.
i. Assuming the current market price of stock reflects its intrinsic value as computed using the constant-growth DDM, what
rate of return do Almond's investors require?
ii. By how much does its value exceed what it would be if all earnings were paid as dividends and nothing were reinvested?
iii. If Almond were to cut its dividend payout ratio to 25 percent, what would happen to its stock price? What if Almond
eliminated the dividend?
Solution 6.35
Time Et Dt b g
0 Rs 10,000 Rs 0.000 1.00 20.0%
1 Rs 12,000 Rs 0.000 1.00 20.0%
5 Rs 24,883 Rs 0.000 1.00 20.0%
6 Rs 29,860 Rs 11,944 0.60 9.0%
Financial Statistics December 2016 December 2017 December 2018 3-Year Average
COGS as % of sales 77.59% 79.07% 77.96% 78.24%
General & admin. as 14.37% 12.78% 12.89% 13.16%
% of sales
Operating margin 7.18% 7.41% 8.51% -
Pretax income/EBIT 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% -
Tax rate 24.00% 27.50% 32.58% -
Balance Sheet December 2016 December 2017 December 2018
Cash and cash Rs 460 Rs 50 Rs 480
equivalents
Accounts receivable Rs 540 Rs 720 Rs 950
Inventories Rs 300 Rs 430 Rs 590
Net property, plant, Rs 760 Rs 1,830 Rs 3,450
and equipment
Total assets Rs 2,060 Rs 3,030 Rs 5,470
Current liabilities Rs 860 Rs 1,110 Rs 1,750
Total liabilities Rs 860 Rs 1,110 Rs 1,750
Stockholders’ equity Rs 1,200 Rs 1,920 Rs 3,720
Total liabilities and Rs 2,060 Rs 3,030 Rs 5,470
equity
Market price per share Rs 21.00 Rs 30.00 Rs 45.00
Book value per share Rs 3.79 Rs 5.55 Rs 9.89
Annual dividend per Rs 0.00 Rs 0.00 Rs 0.00
share
Table B: XYZ Corporation financial statements: yearly data .For the month December (Rs in '000 except per-share data)
Income Statement (December) (December) (December)
2016 2017 2018
Revenue Rs 104,000 Rs 110,400 Rs 119,200
Cost of goods sold Rs 72,800 Rs 75,100 Rs 79,300
Selling, general, and Rs 20,300 Rs 22,800 Rs 23,900
admin. expense
Depreciation and Rs 4,200 Rs 5,600 Rs 8,300
amortization
Operating income Rs 6,700 Rs 6,900 Rs 7,700
Interest expense Rs 600 Rs 350 Rs 350
Income before taxes Rs 6,100 Rs 6,550 Rs 7,350
Income taxes Rs 2,100 Rs 2,200 Rs 2,500
Income after taxes Rs 4,000 Rs 4,350 Rs 4,850
Diluted EPS Rs 2.16 Rs 2.35 Rs 2.62
Average shares 1,850 1,850 1,850
outstanding (000)
15.82%+15.11%+11.96%
Average ROE of ABC = = 14.30%
3
For XYZ Corporation:
Year (1) Tax (2) Interest (3) Operating (4) Assets (5) Leverage (6) =(1×2×3×4×5)
Burden= Burden= Profit Turnover=
𝑆𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠
Ratio=
𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠 ROE
𝑁𝑒𝑡 𝑖𝑛𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒 𝑃𝑟𝑒𝑡𝑎𝑥 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑓𝑖𝑡 𝐸𝐵𝐼𝑇 𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠 𝐸𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦
Margin=
𝑃𝑟𝑒𝑡𝑎𝑥 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑓𝑖𝑡 𝐸𝐵𝐼𝑇 𝑆𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠
2016 4000
=0.6557
6100
=0.9104
6700
=0.0644
104000
=3.0861
33700
=1.8216 0.2161 or
6100 6700 104000 33700 18500
21.61%
2017 4350
=0.6641
6550
=0.9493
6900
=0.0625
110400
=3.4393
32100
=1.605 0.2175 or
6550 6900 110400 32100 20000
21.75%
2018 4850
=0.6599
7350
=0.9545
7700
=0.0646
1199200
=3.5476
33600
=1.4802 0.2137 or
7350 7700 119200 33600 22700
21.37%
21.61%+21.75%+21.37%
𝐴𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑔𝑒𝑅𝑂𝐸𝑜𝑓𝑋𝑌𝑍 = = 21.58%
3
𝑺𝒖𝒔𝒕𝒂𝒊𝒏𝒂𝒃𝒍𝒆 𝒈𝒓𝒐𝒘𝒕𝒉 𝒓𝒂𝒕𝒆:
𝑭𝒐𝒓𝑨𝑩𝑪𝑪𝒐𝒎𝒑𝒂𝒏𝒚:
(1) (2) (3)=(1)×(2)
Year ROE Plowback ratio Growth rate (g)
(EPS - DPS) / EPS
15.82%+15.11%+11.96%
Average sustainable growth rate of ABC = = 14.30%
3
For XYZ Company
Year (1) (2) (3)=(1)×(2)
ROE Plowback ratio Growth rate (g)
𝐸𝑃𝑆 −𝐷𝑃𝑆
𝐸𝑃𝑆
2016 21.61% 2.16−1.42
=0.3426 7.40%
2.16
7.40%+7.59%+7.34%
Average sustainable growth rate of XYZ = = 7.44%
3
a. The average ROE for past 3 year of period for ABC Company is 14.30 percent while that for XYZ Corporation is 21.58
percent. Looking into the return on equity, it cannot be concluded that ABC Company is more profitable than XYZ
Company. ABC has slightly higher profit margin because of lower tax burden. However, its leverage and asset turnover are
lower. Although, its growth in sales seems to be higher than that of XYZ but it is not capable of generating higher rupee of
sales per rupee of assets as indicated by lower assets turnover ratio. Therefore, ROE of ABC is significantly lower.
On the other hand, the average sustainable growth rate for ABC is 14.30 percent while that of XYZ is 7.44 percent. The
higher sustainable growth rates the ABC is maintaining over past three years are primarily due to the higher plowback
ratio. If the plowback ratio of ABC remains lower as to that of XYZ, it cannot maintain this growth rate.
b. ABC's return on equity has been declining primarily due to the use of lower leverage over the past two years. However, its
EPS growth is higher. Higher EPS is determined by lower tax burden and higher profit margin, which are unaffected by the
leverage.