Instructor created example
Sample:
IPL powerplay [Link] powerplay
Model : Number of 4’s in an inning of a powerplay..
Total number of innings = 1598
Number of 4’s : 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
13
Number of innings: 8 30 91 157 212 274 265 214 168 94 43 25 14
3
Define X: Number of times 4 occurs in the first 36 legal deliveries (powerplay) of an inning.
P(X=0) = 8/1598 = 0.0050
P(X=1) = 30/1598 = 0.0187
P(X=2) = 91/1598 = 0.0569
P(X=3) = 157/1598 = 0.0982
P(X=4) = 212/1598 = 0.1326
P(X=5) = 274/1598 = 0.1714
P(X=6) = 265/1598 = 0.1658
P(X=7) = 214/1598 = 0.1339
P(X=8) = 168 /1598 = 0.1051
P(X=9) = 94 /1598 = 0.0588
P(X=10) = 43/1598 = 0.0269
P(X=11) = 25/1598 = 0.0156
P(X= 12) = 14/1598 = 0.0087
P(X=13) = 3/1598 = 0.0018
Now, check whether this follows the Binomial distribution.
Let p be the probability of success.
p = P(occurrence of 4 in a ball)
= number of times 4 occurred in all the legal deliveries during powerplay of an inning / total
number of balls
= 9091 / (1598*36) = 9091 / 57528 = 0.158
Using the Binomial distribution: n = 36, x : {0, 1, …., 36}, p = 0.158
P(X=0) = 0.0020
P(X=1) = 0.0138
P(X=2) = 0.0453
P(X=3) = 0.0965
P(X=4) = 0.1494
P(X=5) = 0.1795
P(X=6) = 0.1741
P(X=7) = 0.1400
P(X=8) = 0.0952
P(X=9) = 0.0556
P(X=10) = 0.0281
P(X=11) = 0.0125
P(X=12) = 0.0048
P(X=13) = 0.0016
For x>13, P(X=x) is approximately 0.
Hence, the random variable X (number of fours in first 36 legal deliveries) follows the
Binomial distribution.