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Hypothesis Testing Practice Set

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Hypothesis Testing Practice Set

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Data Analytics

(CS40003)

Practice Set V

(Topic: Hypothesis Testing)

I. Concept Questions

1. In a hypothesis test, the p value is 0.043. This means that the null
hypothesis would be rejected at α = 0.05.

2. If the null hypothesis is rejected by a one-tailed hypothesis test, then it will


also be rejected by a two-tailed test.

3. If a null hypothesis is rejected at the 0.01 level of significance, it will also


be rejected at the 0.05 level of significance.

4. If the test statistic falls in the rejection region, the null hypothesis has been
proven to be true.

5. The risk of a type II error is directly controlled in a hypothesis test by


establishing a specific significance level.

6. If the null hypothesis is true, increasing only the sample size will increase
the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis.

7. If the null hypothesis is false, increasing the level of significance (α) for a
specified sample size will increase the probability of rejecting the null
hypothesis.

8. A coin is tossed 10,000 times and head turns up 5,195 times. Is the coin
unbiased?
9. A sample of 900 members is found to have a mean of 3.47 cm. Can it be
reasonably regarded as a simple sample from a large population with mean
3.23 cm. and standard deviation 2.31 cm ?

10. The heights of six randomly chosen sailors are, in inches, 63, 65, 58, 69,
71 and 72. The heights of 10 randomly chosen soldiers are, in inches, 61,
62, 65, 66, 69, 69, 70, 71, 72 and 73. Do these figures indicate that soldiers
are on an average shorter than sailors? Test at 5% level of significance.

11. Suppose a test on the hypotheses H0: m = 200 against Ha : m > 200 is
done with 1% level of significances p = 40 and n = 16.
What is the probability that the null hypothesis might be accepted when
the true mean is really 210? What is the power of the test for m = 210?
How these values of b and 1 – b change if the test had used 5% level of
significance?
Which is more serious, a Type I and Type II error?

12. The following nine observations were drawn from a normal population:

9 20 24 23 29 21 17 27

(i) Test the null hypothesis H0: m = 26 against the alternative


hypothesis Ha: m ¹ 26. At what level of significance can H0 be
rejected?
(ii) At what level of significance can H0 : m = 26 be rejected when
tested against Ha : m < 26

13. The following sample was taken from a normally distributed population
with a known standard deviation σ = 4. Test the hypothesis that the mean
μ = 20 using a level of significance of 0.05 and the alternative that μ >
20:

23, 32, 22, 31, 27, 25, 21, 24, 20, 18.

14. Using the data in Exercise 1 and using a 0.05 level of significance, test
the null hypothesis that the population sampled has a mean of μ = 171.
Use a two-tailed alternative.
15. Assume that a random sample of size 25 is to be taken from a normal
population with μ = 10 and σ = 2. The value of μ, however, is not known
by the person taking the sample.
a) Suppose that the person taking the sample tests H0:μ = 10.4 against
H1:μ=10.4. Although this null hypothesis is not true, it may not be
rejected, and a type II error may therefore be committed. Compute
β if α = 0.05.
b) Suppose the person wanted to test H0:μ = 11.2 against H1:μ =
[Link] β for α = 0.05 and α = 0.01.
c) What principles of hypothesis testing are illustrated by these
exercises?

16. A standardized test for a specific college course is constructed so that the
distribution of grades should have μ = 100 and σ =10. A class of 30
students has a mean grade of 92.
a. Test the null hypothesis that the grades from this class are a
random sample from the stated distribution. (Use α = 0.05.)
b. What is the p value associated with this test?
c. Discuss the practical uses of the results of this statistical test.

17. The family incomes in a certain city in 1970 had a mean of $14,200 with
a standard deviation of $2600. A random sample of 75 families taken in
1975 produced y¯ = $15, 300 (adjusted for inflation).

Assume σ has remained unchanged and test to see whether mean income
has changed using a 0.05 level of significance.

18. A drug company is testing a drug intended to increase heart rate. A


sample of 100 yielded a mean increase of 1.4 beats per minute, with a
standard deviation known to be 3.6. Since the company wants to avoid
marketing an ineffective drug, it proposes a 0.001 significance level.
Should it market the drug? (Hint: If the drug does not work, the mean
increase will be zero.)

Common questions

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Given a sample of student grades with mean 92 from a distribution where the population mean is 100, testing whether this sample comes from the claimed distribution involves calculating a test statistic to determine how likely a sample mean of 92 is under the assumption that the true mean is 100. If statistical significance is shown, it suggests the sample is unlikely drawn from that population. This relationship is assessed through hypothesis testing with standard distributions .

The role of Type II error, representing false negatives in hypothesis testing, is critical. With α = 0.05 and α = 0.01, a lower significance level typically results in a higher Type II error rate. Thus, with the more stringent α = 0.01, the chance of failing to detect an effect when there is one is greater, requiring larger samples or more potent effects to be detected reliably .

Reducing the significance level (α) decreases the probability of a Type I error (rejecting a true null), but it increases the probability of a Type II error (failing to reject a false null), as it requires more strong evidence to reject the null hypothesis. Conversely, increasing α decreases the Type II error but raises the risk of a Type I error .

A p-value indicates the probability of observing test results at least as extreme as the results actually observed, under the assumption that the null hypothesis is correct. If the p-value is less than or equal to the significance level (α), such as 0.043 for α = 0.05, the null hypothesis is rejected, indicating that the observed effect is statistically significant .

Changing the null hypothesis in terms of its claim or value can affect the test's sensitivity and specific conditions of rejection. For instance, if testing H0: μ = 10.4 against H1: μ ≠ 10.4, altering the null to H0: μ = 11.2 shifts the test focus and the probability landscape for rejection. Specifically, differing population mean expectations, like testing the same sample as μ = 11.2 or μ = 10.4, alter the distance from sample mean results and hence affect the probability of rejection due to altered test statistics .

Using a high significance level, such as α = 0.001 in drug testing, reduces the risk of falsely concluding that a drug is effective (Type I error). This stringency is critical as it implies high confidence in the drug's effectiveness before it is marketed, reducing risks for the company and consumers. However, it could also increase the likelihood of a Type II error, where an effective drug is not identified due to insufficient evidence of effectiveness .

In a one-tailed hypothesis test, the rejection region is on one side of the distribution, which tests whether a parameter is either greater than or less than a specified value, but not both. Therefore, it is easier to achieve statistical significance than a two-tailed test, which has rejection regions on both sides and tests for deviations in both directions .

Practical significance considers whether the magnitude of a finding is large enough to be of practical concern in real-world scenarios, while statistical significance assesses whether an observed effect is likely due to chance. An effect size might be statistically significant yet so small that it is not practically meaningful, emphasizing the need to evaluate the context of results, not just statistical outputs .

Increasing the sample size while the null hypothesis is true can increase the test's power, which means the probability of correctly rejecting a false null hypothesis becomes larger. However, if the null hypothesis is true, larger samples also increase the test's sensitivity, potentially leading to a rejection of the null due to minimal practical significance that’s statistically significant .

This statement is incorrect. If the test statistic falls in the rejection region, the null hypothesis is rejected, not proven true. Hypothesis testing does not prove hypotheses true but rather provides evidence against them. Falling in the rejection region suggests sufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis in favor of the alternative .

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