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JEE Probability Study Material

The document contains a series of probability questions and problems, covering various topics such as classical definitions, addition and multiplication theorems, conditional probability, independent events, and binomial distributions. Each question presents a scenario involving probability calculations, often with multiple-choice answers. The material is intended for educational purposes, likely aimed at students preparing for exams in mathematics or statistics.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
20 views16 pages

JEE Probability Study Material

The document contains a series of probability questions and problems, covering various topics such as classical definitions, addition and multiplication theorems, conditional probability, independent events, and binomial distributions. Each question presents a scenario involving probability calculations, often with multiple-choice answers. The material is intended for educational purposes, likely aimed at students preparing for exams in mathematics or statistics.

Uploaded by

psanudeep896
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

Topicwise Questions

Classical Definition of Probability 4


1. If a dice is thrown twice, then the probability of getting 7. The probability that A speaks truth is , while this
5
1 in the first throw only is
3
1 3 probability for B is. The probability that they contradict
(a) (b) 4
36 36
each other when asked to speak on a fact
5 1
(c) (d) 4 1
36 6 (a) (b)
5 5
2. The probability of getting a total of 5 or 6 in a single 7 3
throw of 2 dice is (c) (d)
20 20
1 1 8. A bag contains 3 red, 7 white and 4 black balls. If three
(a) (b)
2 4 balls are drawn from the bag, then the probability that all
1 1 of them are of the same colour is
(c) (d)
3 6
6 7
3. Two dice are thrown simultaneously. What is the (a) (b)
71 81
probability of obtaining a multiple of 2 on one of them
and a multiple of 3 on the other 7 7
(c) (d)
5 11 91 91
(a) (b)
36 36 9. The letter of the word ‘ASSASSIN’ are written down at
1 1 random in a row. The probability that no two S occur
(c) (d) together is
6 3
4. A coin is tossed 4 times. The probability that at least one 1 1
head turns up is (a) (b)
35 14
1 2
(a) (b) 4 2
16 16
(c) (d)
13 35
14 15
(c) (d) 10. A bag contains 4 white and 3 red balls. Two draws of one
16 16
ball each are made without replacement. Then the
5. In a college, 25% of the boys and 10% of the girls offer probability that both the balls are red is
Mathematics. The girls constitute 60% of the total number
1 2
of students. If a student is selected at random and is (a) (b)
found to be studying Mathematics, the probability that 7 7
the student is a girl, is
3 4
1 3 (c) (d)
7 7
(a) (b)
6 8
11. If a committee of 3 is to be chosen from a group of 38
5 5 people of which you are a member. What is the
(c) (d)
8 6 probability that you will be on the committee
6. If a coin be tossed n times then probability that the head
 38  37
comes odd times is (a)  3  (b)  2 
1 1
(a) (b)
2 2n
 37  38 666
1 (c)  2   3  (d)
8436
(c) (d) 2n–1
2n 1
P 156 FULL COURSE STUDY MATERIAL JEE-XII
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Addition and multiplication theorem 19. A pair has two children. If one of them is boy, then the
probability that other is also a boy, is
12. If A and B are two events such that
P(A) = 0.4, P(A + B) = 0.7 and P(AB) = 0.2, then P(B) = 1 1
(a) 0.1 (b) 0.3 (a) (b)
2 4
(c) 0.5 (d) 0.4
13. A card is drawn at random from a pack of cards. The 1 1
probability of this card being a red or a queen is (c) (d)
3 6
1 1 20. A letter is known to have come either from LONDON or
(a) (b)
13 26 CLIFTON; on the postmark only the two consecutive letters
1 7 ON are legible. The probability that it came from LONDON is
(c) (d)
2 13 5 12
(a) (b)
17 17
14. If A and B are two events such that
7 17 3
P (A  B)  P (A  B)  and P (A)  2 P (B), then (c) (d)
8 30 5
P (A)  21. In a certain town, 40% of the people have brown hair,
25% have brown eyes and 15% have both brown hair and
7 7
(a) (b) brown eyes. If a person selected at random from the town,
12 24
has brown hair, the probability that he also has brown
5 17 eyes, is
(c) (d)
12 24
1 3
(a) (b)
5 8
15. The probability that at least one of A and B occurs is 0.9.
If A and B occur simultaneously with probability 0.3, then
1 2
P(A  )  P(B )  (c) (d)
3 3
(a) 0.9 (b) 0.2
(c) 0.8 (d) 1.2 Independent events and their Probability
16. Let A and B are two events and P(A )  0.3 22. A and B are two independent events. The probability that
P(B)  0.4, P(A  B )  0.5 , then P(A  B) is 1
(a) 0.5 (b) 0.8 both A and B occur is and the probability that neither of
6
(c) 1 (d) 0.1
1
Conditional probability them occurs is . Then the probability of the two events
3
1 P (B)  1 are respectively
17. If A and B are two events such that P (A)  ,
3 4
1 1 1 1
1  B (a) and (b) and
2 3 5 6
and P (A  B)  , then P   
5  A
1 1 2 1
37 37 (c) and (d) and
(a) (b) 2 6 3 4
40 45
23. The probability of solving a question by three students
23 26
(c) (d) 1 1 1
40 40 are , , respectively. Probability of question is
2 4 6
 B being solved will be
18. If 4 P(A)  6 P (B)  10 P (A  B)  1, then P   
 A
33 35
2 3
(a) (b)
48 48
(a) (b)
5 5
31 37
7 19 (c) (d)
(c) (d) 48 48
10 60

PROBABILITY 157 P
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24. Three coins are tossed. If one of them shows tail, then 29. The probability that a student is not a swimmer is 1/5.
the probability that all three coins show tail, is What is the probability that out of 5 students, 4 are
swimmers
1 1 4 4
(a) (b) 5  4 1  4 1
7 8 (a) C 4   (b)  
 5 5  5 5
2 1 4 4
(c) (d) 5 1  4 5 5  4   1
7 6 (c) C1    C4 (d) C1    
5  5  5   5
 A 1 30. An experiment succeeds twice as often as it fails. Find
25. For two events A and B, if P(A)  P    and
 B 4 the probability that in 4 trials there will be at least three
success
 B 1 4 8
P    , then (a) (b)
 A 2 27 27
(a) A and B are independent 16 24
(c) (d)
27 27
 A  3
(b) P    Expectations
B 4
31. A die is tossed thrice. If getting a four is considered a
success, then the mean and variance of the probability
 B  1
(c) P    distribution of the number of successes are
A 2
1 1 1 5
(d) All of these (a) , (b) ,
2 12 6 12
Binomial Distributions of Probability 5 1 1 5
(c) , (d) ,
26. In a box containing 100 eggs, 10 eggs are rotten. The 6 2 2 12
probability that out of a sample of 5 eggs none is rotten if
32. A die is tossed twice. Getting a number greater than 4 is
the ampling is with replacement is considered a success. Then the variance of the probability
5 5 distribution of the number of successes is
 1  1
(a)   (b)   2 4
 10   5 (a) (b)
9 9
4 5 1 5
9  9 (c) (d)
(c)   (d)   3 9
5  10 
33. A die is tossed thrice. A success is getting 1 or 6 on a
27. The items produced by a firm are supposed to contain toss. The mean and the variance of number of successes
5% defective items. The probability that a sample of 8 (a)   1, 2  2/ 3 (b)   2 / 3, 2  1
items will contain less than 2 defective items, is
(c)   2, 2  2/ 3 (d) None of these
7 6 Baye’s theorem
27  19  533  19 
(a)   (b)   34. A man is known to speak the truth 3 out of 4 times. He
20  20  400  20  throws a die and reports that it is a six. The probability
that it is actually a six, is
7 6
153  1  35  1  3 1
(c)   (d)   (a) (b)
20  20  16  20  8 5
3 3
3 (c) (d)
28. The probability that a man can hit a target is . He tries 4 6
4 35. A bag X contains 2 white and 3 black balls and another
5 times. The probability that he will hit the target at least bag Y contains 4 white and 2 black balls. One bag is
three times is selected at random and a ball is drawn from it. Then the
probability for the ball chosen be white is
291 371
(a) (b)
364 464 2 7
(a) (b)
15 15
471 459
(c) (d) 8 14
502 512 (c) (d)
15 15
P 158 FULL COURSE STUDY MATERIAL JEE-XII
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Learning Plus
1. A 9 digit number using the digits 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8 & 9 8. In drawing of a card from a well shuffled ordinary deck
is written randomly without repetetion. The probability of playing cards the events ‘card drawn is spade’ and
that the number will be divisible by 9 is: ‘card drawn is an ace’ are
(a) 1/9 (b) 1/2
(a) Mutually exclusive
(c) 1 (d) 9!/99
2. A bag contains 3 white, 3 black and 2 red balls. One by (b) Equally likely
one three balls are drawn without replacing them. The (c) Forming an exhaustive system
probability that the third ball is red, is (d) Both event does not related to each other
1 1 9. A is one of the 6 horses entered for a race and is to be
(a) (b) ridden by one of two jockeys B or C. It is 2 to 1 that B rides
2 3
A, in which case all the horses are equally likely to win, if
2 1
(c) (d) C rides A, his chance is trebled. Then the odds against his
3 4 winning are
3. Two dies are rolled simultaneously. The probability that (a) 5/13 (b) 18/5
the sum of the two numbers on the top faces will be
(c) 13/18 (d) 13/5
atleast 10 is:
(a) 1/6 (b) 1/12 10. A pair of dice is thrown. If total of numbers turned up
(c) 1/18 (d) 1/16 on both the dies is 8, then the probability that the
4. A quadratic equation is chosen from the set of all quadratic number then up on the second die is 5’ is
equations which are unchanged by squaring their roots.
The chance that the chosen equation has equal roots is 5 1
(a) (b)
(a) 1/2 (b) 1/3 36 6
(c) 1/4 (d) 2/3
5. 5 persons entered the lift cabin on the ground floor of an 1 2
(c) (d)
8 floor building. Suppose that each of them independently 5 5
and with equal probability, can leave the cabin at any other
11. A bowl has 6 red marbles and 3 green marbles. The
floor, starting from the first. The probability that all 5
persons leave at different floors is probability that a blind folded person will draw a red marble
on the second draw from the bowl without replacing the
5 8
5 C5 marble from the first draw, is
(a)   (b)
8 85 (a) 2/3 (b) 1/4
8
(c) 5/12 (d) 5/8
5! C 5 5!
(c) 5 (d) 12. Three numbers are chosen at random without replacement
8 85 from {1, 2, 3 ...., 10}. The probability that the minimum of
6. There are ten prizes, five A’s, three B’s and two C’s, placed the chosen numbers is 3 or their maximum is 7 is
in identical sealed envelopes for the top ten contestants
(a) 1/2 (b) 1/3
in a mathematics contest. The prizes are awarded by
allowing winners to select an envelope at random from (c) 1/4 (d) 11/40
those remaining. When the 8th contestant goes to select 13. If atleast one child in a family with 3 children is a boy then
the prize, the probability that the remaining three prizes the probability that 2 of the children are boys, is
are one A, one B and one C, is (a) 3/7 (b) 4/7
(a) 1/4 (b) 1/3 (c) 1/3 (d) 3/8
(c) 1/12 (d) 1/10 14. If two of the 64 squares are chosen at random on a chess
7. The chance that a 13 card combination from a pack of
board, the probability that they have a side in common is
52 playing cards is dealt to a player in a game of bridge,
in which 9 cards are of the same suit, is (a) 1/9 (b) 1/18
(c) 2/7 (d) 1/3
4 . 13 C9 . 39 C 4 4!. 13 C9 . 39 C 4 15. Two numbers a and b are selected from the set of natural
(a) 52 (b) 52
C13 C13 number then the probability that a2 + b2 is divisible by 5 is
13
C9 . 39 C 4 2!.13 C 9 . 39 C 4 (a) 9/25 (b) 7/18
(c) 52 (d) 52
(c) 11/36 (d) 17/81
C13 C13
PROBABILITY 159 P
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16. If a, b and c are three numbers (not necessarily different) 23. Odds in favour of A’s speaking the truth are 1 : 2 and
chosen randomly and with replacement from the set {1, 2, odds against B’s speaking the truth are 1 : 3. A die is
3, 4, 5}, the probability that (ab + c) is even, is thrown. Both A and B assert that on the die 4 has turned
up. Then the probability of the truth of their assertion is
50 59 1 1
(a) (b) (a) (b)
125 125 30 24
64 75 11 15
(c) (d) (c) (d)
125 125 360 17
17. An ordinary cube has four blank faces, one face marked 2 24. Two buses A and B are scheduled to arrive at a town
another marked 3. Then the probability of obtaining a central bus station at noon. The probability that bus A will
total of exactly 12 in 5 throws, is be late is 1/5. The probability that bus B will be late is 7/25.
5 5 The probability that the bus B is late given that bus A is
(a) (b) late is 9/10. Then the probabilities
1296 1944
(i) neither bus will be late on a particular day and
5 5 (ii) bus A is late given that bus B is late, are respectively
(c) (d)
2592 1967 (a) 2/25 and 12/28 (b) 18/25 and 22/28
18. The probability that the three cards drawn from a pack of (c) 7/10 and 18/28 (d) 12/25 and 2/28
52 cards are all red is 25. A & B are two independent events such that
1 3 P(A)  0.7, P(B)  a & P(A  B)  0.8 , then a is
(a) (b)
17 19
2 2 (a) 5/7 (b) 2/7
(c) (d) (c) 1 (d) 1/7
19 17
26. A & B having equal skill, are playing a game of best of
19. A basket contains 5 apples and 7 oranges and another
5 points. After A has won two points & B has won one
basket contains 4 apples and 8 oranges. One fruit is picked
point, the probability that A will win the game is:
out from each basket. Find the probability that the fruits
(a) 1/2 (b) 2/3
are both apples or both oranges
(c) 3/4 (d) 4/5
24 56 27. Before a race the chance of three runners, A, B, C were
(a) (b)
144 144 estimated to be proportional to 5, 3, 2, but during the race
A meets with an accident which reduces his chance to 1/
68 76
(c) (d) 3. If the respective chance of B and C are P(2) and P(3)
144 144
then
20. The probabilities of events, A  B, A, B & A  B are
respectively in A.P. with probability of second term equal (a) P(B)  4 (b) P(C)  4
to the common difference. Therefore the events A and B 15 15
are
(a) compatible (c) P(C)  2 (d) P(A)  4
(b) independen 5 15
(c) such that one of them must occur 28. Two cards are drawn from a well shuffled pack of 52 playing
(d) such that one is twice as likely as the other cards one by one. If A : the event that the second card
21. Out of 13 applicants for a job, there are 5 women and 8 drawn is an ace and B : the event that the first card drawn
men. It is desired to select 2 persons for the job. The in an ace card. then which of the following is true ?
probability that at least one of the selected persons
will be a woman is 4 1
(a) P(A)  ; P(B) 
(a) 25/39 (b) 14/39 17 13
(c) 5/13 (d) 10/13
1 1
22. A fair die is tossed. If the number is odd, find the (b) P(A)  ; P(B) 
probability that it is prime is 13 13

2 1 1 1
(a) (b) (c) P(A)  ; P(B) 
3 2 13 17

1 16 4
(c) 1 (d) (d) P(A)  ; P(B) 
3 221 51

P 160 FULL COURSE STUDY MATERIAL JEE-XII


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29. In a series of 3 independent trials the probability of (a) 50 & 49 (b) 54 & 45
exactly 2 success is 12 times as large as the probability (c) 45 & 54 (d) 44 & 45
of 3 successes. The probability of a success in each 33. Lot A consists of 3G and 2D articles. Lot B consists of 4G
trial is:
and 1D article. A new lot C is formed by taking 3 articles
(a) 1/5 (b) 2/5
from A and 2 from B. The probability that an article chosen
(c) 3/5 (d) 4/5
at random from C is defective, is
30. A bag contains 2 white & 4 black balls. A ball is drawn
5 times, each being replaced before another is drawn. (a) 1/3 (b) 2/5
The probability that atleast 4 of the balls drawn are (c) 8/25 (d) 4/25
white is: 34. A box has four dice in it. Three of them are fair dice but the
fourth one has the number five on all of its faces. A die is
(a) 4/81 (b) 10/243 chosen at random from the box and is rolled three times
(c) 11/243 (d) 11/81 and shows up the face five on all the three occasions. The
chance that the die chosen was a rigged die, is
31. From an urn containing 3 red & 2 white balls, a man is
to draw 2 balls at random without replacement, being 216 215
(a) (b)
217 219
promised 20 paise for each red ball he draws & 10 paise
for each white one. His expectation is: 216 215
(c) (d)
219 217
(a) 24 paise (b) 30 paise
35. A card is drawn from a well shuffled ordinary deck of
(c) 23 paise (d) 35 paise 52-playing cards. The card drawn is found to be a spade.
32. A & B throw with one dice for a stake of Rs. 99/- which Then the probability that the card is an ace, is

is to be won by the player who first throws 4. If A has 1 1


(a) (b)
13 52
the first throw then their respective expectations of
1 1
rupees are: (c) (d)
4 26

Advanced Level Multiconcept Questions


MCQ/COMPREHENSION/COLUMN/ 3. If M & N are any two events, then which one of the
NUMERICAL following represents the probability of the occurance
of exactly one of them ?
1. A student appears for tests I, II & III. The student is (a) P (M) + P (N)  2 P (M  N)
successful if he passes either in tests I & II or tests I & III. (b) P (M) + P (N)  P (M  N)
The probabilities of the student passing in the tests I, II
& III are p, q &1/2 respectively. If the probability that the
    
(c) P M + P N  2 P M  N 
student is successful is 1/2, then: (d) P  M  N  + P  M  N
(a) p = 1, q = 0
4. Let 0 < P(A) < 1, 0 < P(B) < 1 & P(A  B) = P(A) + P(B)
(b) p = 2/3, q = 1/2  P(A). P(B), then:
(c) p = 3/5, q = 2/3 (a) P(B/A) = P(B)  P(A)
(d) There are infinitely many values of p & q. (b) P(AC  BC) = P(AC) + P(BC)
2. A pair of fair dice having six faces numbered from 1 to 6 are (c) P((A  B)C) = P(AC). P(BC)
thrown once, suppose two events E and F are defined as (d) P(A/B) = P(A)
5. A student has to match three historical events i.e. Dandi
E : Product of the two numbers appearing is divisible by 5. March, Quit India Movement and Mahatma Gandhi’s
F : At least one of the dice shows up the face one. assasination with the years 1948, 1930 and 1942. The
Then the events E and F are student has no knowledge of the correct answers and
(a) mutually exclusive decides to match the events and years randomly. Let Ei :
(b) independent (0  i  3) denote the event that the student gets exactly i
(c) neither independent nor mutually exclusive correct answer, then
(a) P(Eo) + P(E3) = P(E1) (b) P(Eo) . P(E1) = P(E3)
(d) are equiprobable (c) P(E0  E1) = P(E2) (d) P(E0) + P(E1) + P(E3) = 1

PROBABILITY 161 P
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6. Let 0 < P (A) < 1, 0 < P (B) < 1 and P (A  B) = P (A) + P (B) 13. If n is even and E denotes the event of choosing even
– P (A) P (B). Then
(a) P  B | A   P(B) – P(A) 1
numbered urn ( P(u i )  ), then the value of Pw E  , is
n
(b) P(A  B)  P(A)  P(B)
(c) P(A  B)  P(A) P(B) n2 n2
(a) (b)
(d) P(A | B)  P(A) 2n  1 2n  1
7. If A & B are two events such that P(B)  1. B denotes the
event complementary to B, then n 1
(c) (d)
P(A) – P(A  B) n 1 n 1
(a) P(A | B)  1 – P(B)
Comprehension – 2 ( No. 14 to 16)
(b) P (A  B)  P(A) + P(B) – 1
If A and B are two events, then probability that atleast one of
(c) P(A) >< P(A|B) according as P(A| B ) >< P(A)
them is selected is P(A  B) = P(A) + P(B) –
(d) P(A| B ) + P( A | B ) = 1 P(A  B). For three events A, B, C the probability that atleast
8. If E1 and E2 are two events such that P(E1) = 1/4, P(E2|E1)
one of them is seleted is :
= 1/2 and P(E1|E2) = 1/4 then
(a) E1 and E2 are independent P(A  B  C) = P(A) + P(B) + P(C) – P(A  B) –
(b) E1 and E2 are exhaustive P(B  C) – P(C  A) + P(A  B  C).
(c) E2 is twice as likely to occur as E1
14. Probability that none of the three events (A, B, C) occurs
(d) probabilities of the events E1  E2, E1 and E2 are in G.P.
9. If M & N are independent events such that 0 < P(M) < (a) P ( A  B  C ) – P(A) – P(B) – P(C) + P(A  B) + P(B
1 & 0 < P(N) < 1, then:
(a) M & N are mutually exclusive  C) + P(C  A)
(b) M & N are independent (b) P(A  B  C) – P(A) – P(B) – P(C) + P(A  B) + P
(c) M & N are independent (B  C) + P(C  A) – P(A  B  C)


(d) P M N + P M N = 1  (c) P( A ) + P(B) + P(C) – P(A  B) – P(B  C)–

10. An unbiased coin is tossed n times. Let X denote the P(C  A) + P(A  B  C)
number of times head occurs. If P(X = 4), P (X = 5) and (d) none of these
P(X = 6) are in AP, then the value of n can be
15. Probability that exactly two events occurs
(a) 7 (b) 10
(c) 12 (d) 14 (a) P(A) + P(B) + P(C) – P(A  B) – P(B  C) –

Comprehension – 1 ( No. 11 to 13) P(C  A)

There are n urns each containing (n + 1) balls such that the ith (b) 2(P(A) + P(B) + P(C)) – P(A  B) – P(B  C) –
urn contains i white balls and (n + 1 – i) red balls. Let ui be the P(C  A)
event of selecting ith urn, i = 1, 2, 3, ......, n and w denotes the (c) P(A  B) + P(B  C) + P(C  A) – 3 × P(A  B  C)
event of getting a white ball.
(d) P( A  B ) + P(B  C ) + P( C  A )
11. If P(ui)  i where i = 1, 2, 3,....., n then Lim P( w ) is equal
n 
to 16. Probability that atmost two events happen
(a) 1 (b) 2/3 (a) P(A  B) + P(B  C) + P(C  A) – 3 × P(A  B  C)
(c) 3/4 (d) 1/4 (b) P(A) + P(B) + P(C) – P(A  B) – P(B  C) –
12. If P(ui) = c, where c is a constant then P(un/w) is equal to
P(C  A)
2 1
(a) (b) (c) P( A ) + P(B ) + P( C )
n 1 n 1
n 1 (d) P(A) + P(B) + P(C) – P(A  B) – P(B  C) – P(C  A)
(c) (d)
n 1 2 + P(A  B  C)C
P 162 FULL COURSE STUDY MATERIAL JEE-XII
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17. If n positive integers taken at random and multiplied NUMERICAL VALUE BASED
together, then the chance that the last digit of the product 19. Two events A and B have probabilities 0.25 and 0.50
would be respectively. The probability that both
Column –  A and B occur simultaneously is 0.14. Then the probability
(a) If the probability that units digit in square of an even that neither A nor B occurs is
integer is 4 is p, then the value of 5p is 20. A bag contains 3 red and 3 white balls. Two balls are drawn
1 one by one. The probability that they are of different
(b) If A and B are independent events and P(A  B) = , colours is.
6
21. The probability that an anti aircraft gun can hit an enemy
2 plane at the first, second and third shot are 0.6, 0.7 and 0.1
P( A ) = , then 6P(B/A) =
3 respectively. The probability that the gun hits the plane is
(c) Among 2 children, a child may equally be a boy or a 22. The probability that atleast one of the events A and B
girl if the probability that exactly one of them is a boy happens is 0.6. If probability of their simultaneous
is p, then 6p = happening is 0.2, then P  A   P  B  is
(d) A boy has 20% chance of hitting at a target. Let p
23. One hundred identical coins, each with probability, p, of
denote the probability of hitting the target for the first
time at the nth trial. showing up heads are tossed once. If
0 < p < 1 and the probability of heads showing on 50 coins
If p satisfies the inequality 625p2 – 175p + 12  0, then
value of n is is equal to that of heads showing on 51
coins, then the value of p is
Column – 
(p) 1 (q) 2 24. If the letter of the word SUCCESS are arranged, then the
probability that similar letters occurs together is
(r) 3 (s) 4
18. Match the column: 25. What is the standard deviation of the random variable
whose p.m.f.'s are given below.
Column – 
(a) A pair of dice is thrown. If total of numbers turned up X= x 1 2 3
on both the dies is 8, then the probability that the
number then up on the second die is 5’ is 1 2 2
P(X = x)
(b) A box contains 4 white and 3 black balls. Two balls 5 5 5
aredrawn successively and is found that second ball
26. Calculate the expected value of the sum of two numbers
is white,then the probability that Ist ball is also white
obtained when two fair dice are rolled.
is
27. An anti-aircraft gun can take a maximum of four shots at
(c) A biased coin with probability p, 0 < p < 1 of heads is
any plane moving away from it. The probabilities of hitting
tossed until a head appears for the first time. If the
the plane at the 1st, 2nd, 3rd and 4th shots are 0.4, 0.3, 0.2
probabilitythat the number of tosses required is even
and 0.1 respectively. What is the probability that at least
is 2/5, then p equals
one shot hits the plane ?
(d) A coin whose faces are marked 3 and 5 is tossed 4
28. A box contains 15 transistors, 5 of which are defective. An
times : what is the probability that the sum of the
inspector takes out one transistor at random, examines it
numbers thrown being less, than 15?
for defects and replaces it. After it has replaced another
Column – 
inspector does the same thing and then so does a third
(p) 5/16 (q) 1/3
inspector. The probabuility that atleast one of the
1 1 inspectors finds a defective transistor, is equal to
(r) (s)
2 5

PROBABILITY 163 P
W
JEE Mains & Advanced Past Years Questions
JEE-MAIN 5. A bag contains 4 red and 6 blacks balls. A ball is drawn at
random from the bag, its colour is observed and this ball
PREVIOUS YEAR’S along with two additional balls of the same colour are
1. Let two fair six-faced dice A and B be thrown returned to the bag. If now a ball is drawn at random from
simultaneously. If E1 is the event that die A shows up the bag, then the probability that this drawn ball is red, is:
four, E2 is the event that die B shows up two and E3 is the [JEE Main-2018]
event that the sum of numbers on both dice is odd, then 2 1
which of the following statements is NOT true? (a) (b)
5 5
[JEE Main-2016]
(a) E1 and E2 are independent 3 3
(c) (d)
(b) E2 and E3 are independent 4 10
(c) E1 and E3 are independent 6. Two cards are drawn successively with replacement from
(d) E1, E2 and E3 are independent a well shuffled deck of 52 cards. Let X denote the random
2. A box contains 15 green and 10 yellow balls. If 10 balls are
variable of number of aces obtained in the two drawn cards.
randomly drawn, one by one, with replacement, then the
Then P(X = 1) + P(X = 2) equals : [JEE Main - 2019 (January)]
variance of the number of green balls drawn is :
[JEE Main-2017] 49 52
(a) (b)
169 169
6 12
(a) (b)
25 5 24 25
(c) (d)
(c) 6 (d) 4 169 169
3. If two different numbers are taken form the set {0, 1, 2, 3, 7. An urn contains 5 red and 2 green balls. A ball is drawn at
......, 10), then the probability that their sum as well as random from the urn. If the drawn ball is green, then a red
absolute diference are both multiple of 4, is -
ball is added to the urn and if the drawn ball is red, then a
[JEE Main-2017]
green ball is added to the urn; the original ball is not
7 6 returned to the urn. Now, a secon ball is drawn at random
(a) (b)
55 55 from it. The probability that the second ball is red, is:
[JEE Main - 2019 (January)]
12 14
(c) (d) 26 32
55 45 (a) (b)
49 49

4. For three events A, B and C, P(Exactly one of A or B 27 21


occurs) = P(Exactly one of B or C occurs) = P(Exactly one (c) (d)
49 49
1 8. An unbiased coin is tossed. If outcome is a head then a
of C or A occurs) = and P(All the three events occur
4 pair of unbiased dice is rolled and the sum of the numbers
obtained on the is noted. If the toss of the coin results in
1
simultaneously) = . Then the probability that at least tail then a card from a well-shuffled pack of nine cards
16
numbered 1, 2, 3,........,9 is randomly picked and the number
one of the events occurs, is : on the card is noted. The probability that the noted number
[JEE Main-2017] is either 7 or 8 is: [JEE Main - 2019 (January)]

3 7 13 15
(a) (b) (a) (b)
16 32 36 72

7 7 19 19
(c) (d) (c) (d)
16 64 72 36

P 164 FULL COURSE STUDY MATERIAL JEE-XII


W
9. If the probability of hitting a target by a shooter, in any 14. Let A and B be two non-null events such that A  B. Then,
which of the following statements is always correct ?
1
shot, is , then the minimum number of independent shots [JEE Main - 2019(April)]
3 (a) P(A | B) = 1 (b) P(A | B) = P(B) – P(A)
at the target required by him so that the probability of (c) P(A|B)  P(A) (d) P(A|B)  P(A)
5 15. The minimum number of times one has to toss a fair coin
hitting the target at least once is greater than , is : so that the probability of observing at least one head is at
6
least 90% is
[JEE Main - 2019 (January)]
[JEE Main - 2019(April)]
(a) 3 (b) 6 (a) 5 (b) 3
(c) 5 (d) 4 (c) 2 (d) 4
10. Let S = {1, 2, ....20}. A subset B is S is said to be “nice”, if 16. Four persons can hit a target correctly with probabilities
the sum of the elements of B is 203. Then the probability
1 1 1 1
that a randomly chose n subset of S is ‘nice’ is: , , and respectively. If all hit at the target
2 3 4 8
[JEE Main - 2019 (January)]
independently, then the probability that the target would
7 5 be hit is [JEE Main - 2019(April)]
(a) (b)
220 220 25 1
(a) (b)
4 6 192 192
(c) (d)
220 220 25 7
(c) (d)
11. In a random experiment, a fair die is rolled until two fours 32 32
are obtained in succession. The probability that the 17. Assume that each born child is equally likely to be a boy
experiment will end in the fifth throw of the die is equal to: or a girl. If two families have two children each, then the
[JEE Main - 2019 (January)] conditional probability that all children are girls given that
at least two are girls is :
200 150 [JEE Main - 2019(April)]
(a) (b)
65 65
1 1
(a) (b)
225 175 11 17
(c) 5 (d)
6 65 1 1
(c) (d)
12. In a game, a man wins Rs. 100 if he gets 5 ot 6 on a throw 10 12
of a fair die and loses Rs. 50 for getting any other number 18. Minimum number of times a fair coin must be tossed so
on the die. If he decides to throw the die either till he gets that the probability of getting at least one head is more
a five of a six or to a maximum of three throws, then his than 99% is :
expected gain/loss (in rupees) is : [JEE Main - 2019(April)]
[JEE Main - 2019 (January)] (a) 5 (b) 6
(c) 7 (d) 8
400
(a) loss (b) 0 19. If three of the six vertices of a regular hexagon are chosen
9 at random, then the probability that the triangle formed
400 400
with these chosen vertices is equilateral is :
(c) gain (d) loss [JEE Main - 2019(April)]
3 3
13. In a class of 60 students, 40 opted for NCC, 30 opted for 3 1
(a) (b)
NSS and 20 opted for both NCC and NSS. If one of these 10 10
students is selected at random, then the probability that 3 1
the student selected has opted neither for NCC nor for (c) (d)
20 5
NSS is : [JEE Main - 2019 (January)]
20. Let a random variable X have a binomial distribution with
1 1 k
(a) (b) mean 8 and variance 4. If P(x  2) = , then k is equal to :
6 3
216
2 5 [JEE Main - 2019(April)]
(c) (d) (a) 17 (b) 1
3 6
(c) 121 (d) 137

PROBABILITY 165 P
W
21. For and initial screening of an admission test, a candi- 26. In an box, there are 20 cards, out of which 10 are labelled
dates is given fifty problems to solve. If the probability as A and the remaining 10 are labelled as B. Cards are
drawn at random, one after the other and with replacement,
4 till a second A-card is obtained. The probability that the
that the candidate can solve any problem is , then the
5 second A-card appears before the third B-card is :
[JEE Main-2020 (January)]
probability that he is unable to solve less than two prob-
lems is : [JEE Main - 2019(April)] 13 15
(a) (b)
48 49 16 16
316  4  54  4 
(a)   (b)   9 11
25  5  5 5 (c) (d)
16 16
164  1 
48
201  1 
49 27. A random variable X has the following probability
(c)   (d)   distribution:
25  5  5 5 X: 1 2 3 4 5
22. An unbiased coin is tossed 5 times. Suppose that a variable P(x): K2 2k K 2K 5K2
X is assigned the value k when k consecutive heads are Then P(x > 2) is equal to :
obtained for k = 3, 4, 5 otherwise X takes the value – 1. [JEE Main-2020 (January)]
Then the expected value of X is.[JEE Main-2020 (January)] 23 7
(a) (b)
3 1 36 12
(a) (b) 1 1
16 8
(c) (d)
3 1 36 6
(c) (d) 28. If 10 different balls are to be placed in 4 distinct boxes at
16 8 random, then the probability that two of these boxes
23. In a workshop there are five machines and the probability contain exactly 2 and 3 balls is :
1 [JEE Main-2020 (January)]
of any one of them to be out of service on a day is . If the
4 965 965
probability that at most two machines will be out of service (a) (b) 10
211 2
 3
3 945
on the same day is   k, then k is equal to: (c) 10 (d) None of these
 4 2
29. Let EC denote the complement of an event E. Let E1, E2 and
[JEE Main-2020 (January)] E 3 be any pairwise independent events with
17 17 P(E ) > 0 and P(E  E  E ) = 0. Then P( EC  E C / E )
(a) (b) 1 1 2 3 2 3 1
2 4 is equal to :
17 [JEE Main-2020 (September)]
(c) (d) 4
8 C
   C
(a) P E3  P E 2
C
 
(b) P E 2  P  E 3 
24. Let A and B be two independent events such that P(A) =
(c) P E   P E 
3
C
2 (d) P E   P E
C
3 2 
1 1
and P(B) = . Then, which of the following is TRUE? 30. Box I contains 30 cards numbered 1 to 30 and Box II
3 6
contains 20 cards numbered 31 to 50. A box is selected at
[JEE Main-2020 (January)]
random and a card is drawn from it. The number on the
 A'  1 A 2 card is found to be a non-prime number. The probability
(a) P   = (b) P   = that the card was drawn from Box I is :
 B'  3 B 3
[JEE Main-2020 (September)]
A 1  A  1 4 2
(c) P   = (d) P  = (a) (b)
 B'  3  AB  4 17 3
25. Let A and B be two events such that the probability that 2 8
(c) (d)
2 5 17
exactly one of them occurs is and the probability that A 31. The probability that a randomly chosen 5-digit number is
5
made from exactly two digits is :
1 [JEE Main-2020 (September)]
or B occurs is , then the probability of both of them
2 150 134
occur together is (a) 4 (b)
10 104
[JEE Main-2020 (January)]
(a) 0.02 (b) 0.10 121 135
(c) 0.01 (d) 0.20 (c) 4 (d)
10 104
P 166 FULL COURSE STUDY MATERIAL JEE-XII
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32. A die is thrown two times and the sum of the scores 39. Let in a Binomial distribution, consisting of 5 independent
appearing on the die is observed to be a multiple of 4. trials, probabilities of exactly 1 and 2 successes be 0.4096
Then the conditional probability that the score 4 has
and 0.2048 respectively. Then the probability of getting
appeared atleast once is :
[JEE Main-2020 (September)]
exactly 3 successes is equal to:
[JEE Main-2021 (March)]
1 1
(a) (b) 40 128
3 4
(a) (b)
243 625
1 1
(c) (d)
8 9 80 32
33. In a game two players A and B take turns in throwing a pair (c) (d)
243 625
of fair dice starting with player A and total of scores on
40. Let a computer program generate only the digits 0 and 1 to
the two dice, in each throw is noted. A wins the game if he
throws a total of 6 before B throws a total of 7 and B wins form a string of binary numbers with probability of
the game if he throws a total of 7 before A throws a total 1
of six. The game stops as soon as either of the players occurrence of 0 at even places be and probability of
2
wins. The probability of A winning the game is :
[JEE Main-2020 (September)]
1
5 31 occurrence of 0 at the odd place be . Then the probability
3
(a) (b)
31 61
that ' 10 ' is followed by ' 01 ' is equal to:
5 30 [JEE Main-2021 (March)]
(c) (d)
6 61
1 1
(a) (b)
20
a7 18 3
r
34. Let (2x2 + 3x +4)10 = a x r . Then a is equal to _____.
13
r 0 1 1
(c) (d)
[JEE Main-2020 (September)] 9 c
1
35. The probability of a man hitting a target is . The least JEE-ADVANCED
10
number of shots required, so that the probability of his PREVIOUS YEAR'S
1 1. A ship is fitted with three engines E1, E2 and E3. The engines
hitting the target at least once is greater than , is ______.
4 function independently of each other with respective
[JEE Main-2020 (September)]
36. Four fair dice are thrown independently 27 times. Then 1 1 1
probabilities , and . For the ship to be operational
the expected number of times, at least two dice show up a 2 4 4
three or a five, is ______. at least two of its engines must function. Let X denote the
[JEE Main-2020 (September)]
event that the ship is operational and let X1, X2 and X3
37. The probabilities of three events A, B and C are given by
P(A) = 0.6, P(B) = 0.4 and P(C) = 0.5. If P(A B) = 0.8, P(A denotes respectively the events that the engines E1 E2 and
 C) = 0.3, P(A  B  C) = 0.2, P(B  C) =  and P(A  B E3 are functioning. Which of the following is (are) true ?
 C) = , where 0.85  0.95, then  lies in the interval : [IIT JEE-2012]
[JEE Main-2020 (September)]
c 3
(a) [0.25, 0.35] (b) [0.35, 0.36] (a) P X1 | x  
(c) [0.36, 0.40] (d) [0.20, 0.25] 16
38. Out of 11 consecutive natural numbers if three numbers (b) P[ Exactly two engines of the ship are functioning
are selected at random (without repetition), then the
7
probability that they are in A.P. with positive common | X] =
difference, is : [JEE Main-2020 (September)]
8

5 10 5
(a) (b) (c) P[X | X2] =
101 99 16
5 15 7
(c) (d) (d) P[X | X1] =
33 101 16

PROBABILITY 167 P
W
2. Four fair dice D1, D2, D3 and D4 each having six faces 7. If 2 balls are drawn (without replacement) from a
numbered 1,2,3,4,5 and 6 are rolled simultaneously. The randomly selected box and one of the balls is white
probability that D4 shows a number appearing on one of
and the other ball is red, the probability that these 2
D1, D2 and D3 is [IIT JEE-2012]
balls are drawn from box B2 is [JEE Advanced-2013]
91 108
(a) (b)
216 216 116 126
(a) (b)
125 127 181 181
(c) (d)
216 216
65 55
1 (c) (d)
3. Let X and Y be two events such that P(X | Y) = , 181 181
2
8. Three boys and two girls stand in a queue. The
1 1 probability, that the number of boys ahead of every
P(Y | X) = and P(X  Y) = . Which of the following is
3 6 girl is at least one more than the number of girls ahead
(are) correct? [IIT JEE-2012]
of her, is [JEE Advanced-2014]
2
(a) P(X  Y) = 1 1
3 (a) (b)
(b) X and Y are independent 2 3
(c) X and Y are not independent
2 3
1 (c) (d)
C
(d) P(X  Y) = 3 4
3
4. Four persons independently solve a certain problem Comprehension – 2 ( No. 9 & 10)
Box 1 contains three cards bearing numbers 1, 2, 3; box 2
1 3 1 1
correctly with probabilities , , , . Then the contains five cards bearing numbers 1, 2, 3, 4, 5; and box 3
2 4 4 8
contains seven cards bearing numbers 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. A
probability that the problem is solved correctly by at least
one of them is [JEE Advanced-2013] card is drawn from each of the boxes. Let x i be the number on
the card drawn from the i th box, i = 1, 2, 3.
235 21
(a) (b) [JEE Advanced-2014]
256 256
9. The probability that x1 + x2 + x3 is odd, is
3 253
(c) (d)
256 256 29 53
(a) (b)
5. Of the three independent events E 1, E 2 and E 3, the 105 105
probability that only E1 occurs is ,only E2 occurs is  and
only E3 occurs is . Let the probability p that none of 57 1
events E 1 , E 2 or E 3 occurs satisfy the equations (c) (d)
105 2
(– 2) p = and ( – 3) p = 2 . All the given
probabilities are assumed to lie in the interval (0, 1). 10. The probability that x 1, x2, x3 are in an arithmetic
Probability of occurrence of E progression, is
Then 1 =
Probability of occurrence of E3 9 10
(a) (b)
[JEE Advanced-2013] 105 105
Comprehension –1 ( No. 6 & 7)
A box B1 contains 1 white ball, 3 red balls and 2 black balls. 11 7
Another box B2 contains 2 white balls, 3 red balls and 4 black (c) (d)
105 105
balls. A third box B3 contains 3 white balls, 4 red balls and 5
black balls. 11. The minimum number of times a fair coin needs to be
6. If 1 ball is drawn from each of the boxes B1, B2 and B3, tossed, so that the probability of getting at least two
the probability that all 3 drawn balls are of the same heads is at least 0.96, is
colour is [JEE Advanced-2013] Comprehension – 3 ( No. 12 & 13 )
82 90 Let n 1 and n 2 be the number of red and black balls,
(a) (b)
648 648 respectively, in box I. Let n 3 and n 4 be the number of red and
558 566 black balls, respectively, in box II.
(c) (d) [JEE Advanced-2015]
648 648
P 168 FULL COURSE STUDY MATERIAL JEE-XII
W
12. One of the two boxes, box I and box II, was selected at 16. P(X = Y) is
random and a ball was drawn randomly out of this box.
The ball was found to be red. If the probability that 11 1
(a) (b)
36 3
1
this red ball was drawn from box II is , then the correct
3 13 1
option(s) with the possible values of n 1, n 2, n 3 and n 4 (c) (d)
36 2
is(are)
17. Let X and Y be two events such that
(a) n 1 = 3, n 2 = 3, n3 = 5, n4 = 15
(b) n 1 = 3, n2 = 6, n3 = 10, n4 = 50 1 1 2
(c) n 1 = 8, n 2 = 6, n3 = 5, n4 = 20 P  X  , P  X | Y  and P  Y | X   .Then
3 2 5
(d) n 1 = 6, n2 = 12, n3 = 5, n4 = 20
13. A ball is drawn at random from box I and transferred to [JEE Advanced-2017]
box II. If the probability of drawing a red ball from box
4 1
1 (a) P  Y   (b) P  X ' | Y  
I, after this transfer, is , then the correct option(s) 15 2
3
with the possible values of n 1 and n 2 is(are) 2 1
(c) P  X  Y  (d) P  X  Y  
5 5
(a) n 1 = 4 and n 2 = 6 (b) n 1 = 2 and n 2 = 3
(c) n 1 = 10 and n 2 = 20 (d) n 1 = 3 and n 2 = 6 18. Three randomly chose nonnegative integers x, y and z are
14. A computer producing factory has only two plants T1 and found to satisfy the equation x + y + z = [Link] the
T2. Plant T1 produces 20% and plant T2 produces 80% of probability that z is even, is [JEE Advanced-2017]
the total computers produced. 7% of computers produced
1 36
in the actory turn out to be defective. It is known that P (a) (b)
(computer turns out to be defective given that it is 2 55
produced in plant T1) =10P (computer turns out to be
defective given that it is produced in plant T2) where P(E) 6 5
(c) (d)
denotes the probability of an event E. A computer 11 11
produced in the factory is randomly selected and it does
Comprehension – 5 ( No. 19 & 20)
not turn out to be defective. Then the probability that it is
produced in plant T2 is There are five students S1, S2, S4 and S5 in a music class and for
[JEE Advanced-2016]
them thre are five sets R1, R2, R3, R4 and R5 arranged in a row,
where initially the seat Ri is alotted to the students Si, i = 1, 2, 3,
36 47
(a) (b) 4, 5. But, on the examination day, the five students are randomly
73 79
allotted the five seats.
78 75 19. The probability that, on that examination day, the student
(c) (d)
93 83 S1 gets the previously allotted seart R1 and NONE of the
Comprehension – 4 ( No. 15 & 16) remaining students gets the seat previously allotted to
Football teams T1 and T2 have to play two games against each him/her is - [JEE Advanced-2018]
other. It is assumed that the outcomes of the two games are
3 1
independent. The probabilities of T1 winning, drawing and losing (a) (b)
40 8
1 1 1
a game against T2 are , and , respectively. Each team gets
2 6 3 7 1
(c) (d)
3 points for a win, 1 point for a draw and 0 point for a loss in a 40 5
game. Let X and Y denote the total points scored by teams T1 20. For i = 1, 2, 3, 4, let Ti denote the event that the students Si
and T2, respectively, after two games. and Si+1 do NOT sit adjacent to each other on the day of
[JEE Advanced-2016] the examination. Then the probability of the event T1 T2
15. P(X > Y) is T3 T4 is - [JEE Advanced-2018]
1 5
(a) (b) 1 1
4 12 (a) (b)
15 10
1 7
(c) (d) 7 1
2 12 (c) (d)
60 5

PROBABILITY 169 P
W
21. Let |X| denote the number of elements in set X. Let 24. Let C 1 and C 2 be two biased coins such that the
S = {1,2,3,4,5,6} be a sample space, where wach element is
2
equally likely to occur. If A and B are indepenent events probabilities of getting head in a single toss are and
3
with S, then the number of ordered pairs (A,B) such that 1
 |B| < |A|, equals [JEE Advanced-2019] 1
, respectively. Suppose  is the number of heads that
22. Let S be the sample space of all 3 × 3 matrices with entries 3
from the set {0,1}. Let the events E1 and E2 be given by appear when C 1 is tossed twice, independently, and
E1 = {A  S} : det A = 0} and suppose  is the number of heads that appear when C2 is
E2 = {A  S : sum of entries of A is 7}. tossed twice, independently, Then probability that the
roots of the quadratic polynomial x2 – x +  are real and
If a matrix is chosen at random from S, then the
equal, is [JEE(Advanced) - 2020]
conditional probability P(E1|E2) equals___
[JEE Advanced-2019] 40 20
(a) (b)
23. There are three bags B1, B2 and B3. The bag B1 contains 5 81 81
red and 5 green balls, B2 contains 3 red and 5 green balls,
1 1
and B3 contants 5 red and 3 green balls, Bags B1, B2 and B3 (c) (d)
2 4
3 3 4
have probabilities , and respectively of being 25. The probability that a missile hits a target successfully is
10 10 10
0.75. In order to destroy the target completely, at least
chosen. A bag is selected at random and a ball is chosen at
three successful hits are required. Then the minimum
random from the bag. Then which of the following options
number of missiles that have to be fired so that the
is/are correct ?
[JEE Advanced -2019] probability of completely destroying the target is NOT
(a) Probability that the selected bag is B3 and the chosen less than 0.95, is _____
[JEE(Advanced) - 2020]
3
ball is green equals 26. Two fair dice, each with faces numbered 1,2,3,4,5 and 6,
10
are rolled together and the sum of the numbers on the
39
(b) Probability that the chosen ball is green equals faces is observed. This process is repeated till the sum is
80
either a prime number or a perfect square. Suppose the
(c) Probability that the chosen ball is green, given that
sum turns out to be a perfect square before it turns out to
3 be a prime number. If p is the probability that this perfect
the selected bag is B3 equals
8 square is an odd number, then the value of 14p is _____
(d) Probability that the selected bag is B3, given that the [JEE(Advanced) - 2020]

5
chosen balls is green, equals
13

P 170 FULL COURSE STUDY MATERIAL JEE-XII


W
ANSWER KEY

TOPICWISE QUESTIONS
1. (c) 2. (b) 3. (c) 4. (d) 5. (b) 6. (a) 7. (c) 8. (c) 9. (b) 10. (a)
11. (c) 12. (c) 13. (d) 14. (a) 15. (c) 16. (b) 17. (a) 18. (a) 19. (c) 20. (b)
21. (b) 22. (a) 23. (a) 24. (a) 25. (d) 26. (d) 27. (a) 28. (d) 29. (a) 30. (c)
31. (d) 32. (b) 33. (a) 34. (a) 35. (c)

LEARNING PLUS
1. (c) 2. (d) 3. (a) 4. (a) 5. (d) 6. (a) 7. (a) 8. (d) 9. (d) 10. (c)
11. (a) 12. (d) 13. (a) 14. (b) 15. (a) 16. (b) 17. (c) 18. (d) 19. (d) 20. (d)
21. (a) 22. (a) 23. (d) 24. (c) 25. (b) 26. (c) 27. (b) 28. (b) 29. (a) 30. (c)
31. (c) 32. (b) 33. (c) 34. (c) 35. (a)

ADVANCED LEVEL MULTICONCEPT QUESTIONS


MCQ/COMPREHENSION/COLUMN/NUMERICAL
1. (a,b,c,d) 2. (c,d) 3. ( a,c,d) 4. (c,d) 5. (a,b,c,d) 6. (c,d) 7. (a,b,c,d) 8. (a,c,d) 9. (b,c,d) 10. (a,d)
11. (b) 12. (a) 13. (b) 14. (a) 15. (c) 16. (d)
17. (a)  (q), (b)  (r), (c)  (r), (d)  (r) 18. (a)  (s),(b)  (r),(c)  (q), (d)  (p)
19. [0.39] 20. [0.6] 21. [0.892] 22. [1.2] 23. [0.5049] 24. [0.057] 25. [0.2] 26. [0007] 27. [0.6976] 28. [0.703]

Advanced Level Multiconcept Questions


JEE-MAIN
PREVIOUS YEAR'S
1. (d) 2. (b) 3. (b) 4. (c) 5. (a) 6. (a) 7. (b) 8. (c) 9. (c) 10. (b)
11. (d) 12. (b) 13. (a) 14. (d) 15. (d) 16. (c) 17. (a) 18. (c) 19. (b) 20. (d)
21. (b) 22. (d) 23. (c) 24. (c) 25. (b) 26. (d) 27. (a) 28. (d) 29. (d) 30. (d)
31. (d) 32. (d) 33. (d) 34. (8) 35. (c) 36. (11) 37. (a) 38. (c) 39. (d) 40. (c)
JEE-ADVANCED
PREVIOUS YEAR'S
1. (bd) 2. (a) 3. (ab) 4. (a) 5. (6) 6. (a) 7. (d) 8. (a) 9. (b) 10. (c)
11. (8) 12. (ab) 13. (cd) 14. (c) 15. (b) 16. (c) 17. (ab) 18. (c) 19. (a) 20. (c)
21. (422.00)22. (0.50) 23. (bc) 24. (b) 25. (6) 26. (8.00)

PROBABILITY 171 P
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Common questions

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Drawing sequences without replacement involves adjusting probabilities as cards change. E.g., drawing two aces from 52 cards proceeds P(1st ace) = 4/52, then P(2nd ace) = 3/51, yielding combined probability as product, 4/52 * 3/51. Each step effectively a conditional transition reflecting altered experimental space by card count and type, key for sequence-based determinations like forming suits or numeric runs .

Moving from static to evidence-adjusted models involves integrating updates like Bayesian forecasting where learners continually update probabilities with new evidence, differentiating extended static setups optimizing real-time analysis. By adopting iterative Bayesian methods, theory users progress beyond immediate static input treatments towards forecasts incorporating dynamic shifts, revolutionizing probability-based strategies by refining prediction models on evolving conditions reflecting past insights and ongoing data .

When a fair die is rolled repeatedly until, say, a 'four' appears, the expectation reflects the average number of rolls needed. This is an application of the geometric distribution where expectation E(X) = 1/p, with p being the probability of success. For a 'four', p = 1/6; thus E(X) = 6. This approach extends by considering success in threshold configurations over multiple trials .

Conditional probability in eyewitness contexts adapts occurrence probability based on given truthfulness or statement probability. A widely-used model considers fact assertion in concert with witness truth bias. The probability that truth-quality statement reflects event reality effectively hypothesizes combined occurrence potential (0.75 * 1/6 with trust rates shaped) again reflecting overall predicament-influenced perception since underlying action persists irrespective testimonial variance .

Dependency implies possible influence between events, altering probability results. Conversely, independence indicates events do not influence each other's probability. Calculating probabilities differs; events being independent simplifies to multiplying individual probabilities (e.g., rolling a 4 and 5 simultaneously is 1/6 * 1/6 = 1/36). In contrast, dependency requires adjustments reflecting interconnected influences. Dice games often assume independence, simplifying combinatorial space, yet events like rolls influencing another's strategy exemplify potential dependencies .

Permutations challenge probability assessment by complexity of arrangement scenarios, especially nonconsecutive cases requiring complementary system consideration. Calculating probability for non-consecutive 'S's in 'ASSASSIN' demands total permutation accounting minus contiguous 'S' configurations. This usually translates into a mix of combinatorial elimination and factorial recalibration processing nuanced setups unless direct sequencing suffices complexity negation .

To solve this, calculate the outcomes that result in either a multiple of 2 or 3. A die has multiples of 2: {2, 4, 6} (3 options per die) and multiples of 3: {3, 6} (2 options per die). The total possible outcomes are 6 x 6 = 36. One die showing a multiple of 2 and the other a multiple of 3 occurs in 3 x 2 = 6 scenarios, but (2, 6) and (6, 2) are double-counted. Correct configurations total 11. Probability is 11/36 .

A binomial distribution describes scenarios with fixed number of independent, success-failure trials holding constant probability, suitable for dice scored by specific outcome counts. It's distinct due to this binary structure (success being rolling a target number, failure otherwise) and cumulative trial success modeling. Unique factorial probabilities contrast with normal or Poisson's continuous scales, marking binomial as discrete and situation-specific well-purposed for defined-success sits .

Bayes' Theorem adjusts probabilities as new data is incorporated. For a die that shows 'six' reported truthfully 3/4 of the times, the posterior probability is calculated by adjusting the base probability (1/6 for 'six') with factors of truthfulness and die structure. Thus, revised probability becomes P(six | report)= (3/4) * (1/6) / total evidence, factoring in scenarios of truth and false. This reflects belief updating reflecting die behavior and evidence .

Variance measures how much outcomes diverge from their expected value and offers insight into result dispersion. For dice, variance affects predictions by quantifying risk and reliability in outcomes. For instance, in a scenario with dice yielding success on high rolls, variance impacts our confidence in the predictions based on expected values by highlighting likelihood of deviation. This is crucial for tasks needing precision or assessing failure risk .

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