Investment Risk and Cost of Capital Analysis
Investment Risk and Cost of Capital Analysis
A significant difference implies that debt significantly affects the overall cost of capital, often due to tax shields from interest payments. If the WACC is lower than the unlevered cost, debt is reducing the cost of capital. Conversely, if higher, the firm's risk profile might increase, affecting future financing decisions. In Cavo Corp’s case, with an equity cost of capital of 15% and debt cost of 7%, the presence of debt is likely beneficial if WACC is lower than the unlevered cost .
Total risk is measured by volatility. Walmart's stock has a volatility of 16.1%, whereas Johnson & Johnson has a lower volatility of 13.7%. Therefore, Walmart carries more total risk than Johnson & Johnson .
Using the CAPM formula: Equity Cost of Capital = Risk-free rate + Beta * (Market Return - Risk-free rate). For Walmart, with a beta of 0.20, risk-free rate of 4%, and market return of 12%, it would be calculated as 4% + 0.20 * (12% - 4%) = 5.6% .
The expected return on AutoParts' 10-year bonds is the sum of the risk-free rate (1.5%) and the market risk premium (8%), resulting in 9.5%. This is significantly higher than just the risk-free rate, indicating substantial risk, likely consistent with its BBB rating that suggests moderate credit risk with potential changes in its economic environment .
Using CAPM, Equity Cost of Capital is calculated as Risk-free rate + Beta * (Market Return - Risk-free rate). For Tikyberd, this is 2% + Beta * (12% - 2%). With a beta range of 0.65 to 0.95, the equity cost of capital ranges from 2% + 0.65 * 10% = 8.5% to 2% + 0.95 * 10% = 11.5% .
Using a peer company's beta, such as Seguin Inc's beta of 1.3, is justified when there is no direct market data for a start-up. This peer beta assumes similar market risk due to comparable operational and industry exposure. It serves as a reasonable proxy to estimate the start-up's cost of equity, assuming it will face similar economic conditions and industry risks .
First, calculate the Equity Cost of Capital using CAPM: 4% + 0.75 * 7% = 9.25%. Then, find the market value of the firm's capital structure by adding equity and debt. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) incorporates both equity and debt costs. Calculate it using WACC = (E/V * Re) + (D/V * Rd * (1 - Tax Rate)), assuming the tax rate, and you have the cost of capital for the firm's investment .
Total risk refers to the stock's standard deviation of returns, reflecting both systematic and unsystematic risk. Market risk, reflected in beta, only considers the systematic risk. Walmart, with a volatility of 16.1%, has higher total risk than Johnson & Johnson's 13.7%. However, its market risk (beta 0.20) is lower than Johnson & Johnson's (beta 0.54), indicating that while Walmart is riskier overall, it is less sensitive to market movements .
Cash reserves can lower the firm's effective operational risk because they provide liquidity and financial flexibility, enabling the firm to withstand downturns better than its beta alone might suggest. Thus, Orange’s observed beta may overstate its fundamental business risk, as it doesn’t account for the buffering effect of cash against potential losses .
A change in tax rates directly impacts the WACC by altering the cost of debt. With lower tax rates, the tax shield from interest payment deductions diminishes, increasing the WACC, assuming all else remains equal. Conversely, higher tax rates enhance tax shields, reducing the effective after-tax cost of debt and thereby the WACC, influencing capital budgeting and financing decisions .