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Step-by-Step Share Analysis Solutions

The document provides detailed calculations and examples related to stock valuation using dividend discount models, including zero growth, constant growth, and nonconstant growth scenarios. It includes exercises with step-by-step solutions for determining intrinsic values, market prices, and expected returns based on given dividends and growth rates. Key concepts include present value calculations, investment decisions based on market price versus intrinsic value, and the impact of growth rates on stock prices.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
8 views19 pages

Step-by-Step Share Analysis Solutions

The document provides detailed calculations and examples related to stock valuation using dividend discount models, including zero growth, constant growth, and nonconstant growth scenarios. It includes exercises with step-by-step solutions for determining intrinsic values, market prices, and expected returns based on given dividends and growth rates. Key concepts include present value calculations, investment decisions based on market price versus intrinsic value, and the impact of growth rates on stock prices.

Uploaded by

nishadzaman.02
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

I’ll solve all problems and exercises in the “Share Analysis” PDF step-by-step with

explanations.

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Page 8 – Exercise A-1

Given:

Year 1: $3.00

Year 2: $4.50

Year 3: $6.10

Sale price at end of Year 3: $22.40

Required return r = 12.5\% = 0.125

Current security value = PV of dividends + PV of sale price

P_0 = \frac{3}{(1.125)^1} + \frac{4.5}{(1.125)^2} + \frac{6.1 + 22.4}{(1.125)^3}

= \frac{3}{1.125} + \frac{4.5}{1.265625} + \frac{28.5}{1.423828125}

= 2.6667 + 3.5556 + 20.0105

= 26.2328 \ (\text{approx } \$26.23)

Investment decision:

Market price per share = $13,


Intrinsic value ≈ $26.23 → Undervalued → Buy.

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Page 12 – Illustration 0 (Zero Growth Model)

a. Div = 30p, \ r = 12\%

P = \frac{Div}{r} = \frac{30}{0.12} = 250p = £2.50

b. Div = $2, \ r = 15\%

P = \frac{2}{0.15} = \$13.33

\]

If current trading price is $15 → overvalued.

c. Div = RM 3.5, \ r = 16.5\%

P = \frac{3.5}{0.165} = RM 21.21

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Page 14 – Illustration 1

Bhhh plc:
D_0 = 10p, \ g = 9.5\%, \ r = 12.5\%

P_0 = \frac{D_0(1+g)}{r-g} = \frac{10 \times 1.095}{0.125 - 0.095}

= \frac{10.95}{0.03} = 365p = £3.65

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Page 15 – Illustration 1.5

Given: g = 10.5\%, \ r = 12.5\%, \ D_1 = 10p

P_0 = \frac{D_1}{r-g} = \frac{10}{0.125 - 0.105} = \frac{10}{0.02} = 500p = £5.00

If current trading price is $10 → overvalued in pound terms, but currency mismatch
suggests possible conversion issue. Likely overvalued if $10 > £5.

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Page 16 – Illustration 1.a

Telford plc: D_1 = 15p, \ g = 10.5\%, \ r = 15\%

P_0 = \frac{15}{0.15 - 0.105} = \frac{15}{0.045} = 333.33p = £3.33

If current trading price is $15.25, overvalued significantly.


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Page 17 – Illustration 1.b

Jenkins Co: P_0 = $53, \ r = 12\%, \ D_1 = $2.85

Constant growth formula:

P_0 = \frac{D_1}{r-g} \implies 53 = \frac{2.85}{0.12 - g}

0.12 - g = \frac{2.85}{53} = 0.05377

g = 0.12 - 0.05377 = 0.06623 \approx 6.62\%

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Page 18 – Illustration 1.c

Part 1: P_0 = $50, \ D_1 = $2, \ g = 6\%

r = \frac{D_1}{P_0} + g = \frac{2}{50} + 0.06 = 0.04 + 0.06 = 0.10 = 10\%

Part 2: If r = 12\% ,

P_0 = \frac{D_1}{r-g} = \frac{2}{0.12 - 0.06} = \frac{2}{0.06} = \$33.33


\]

Dividend yield = \frac{2}{33.33} \approx 6\% .

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Page 19 – Illustration 1.d

D_0 = 2.53, \ g = 5.4\%, \ r = 10\%

P_0 = \frac{2.53 \times 1.054}{0.10 - 0.054} = \frac{2.66662}{0.046} = \$57.97

In 4 years: P_4 = P_0 (1+g)^4 = 57.97 \times 1.054^4

1.054^4 \approx 1.232 → P_4 \approx 71.42

In 10 years: P_{10} = 57.97 \times 1.054^{10}

1.054^{10} \approx 1.698 → P_{10} \approx 98.43

In 20 years: P_{20} = 57.97 \times 1.054^{20}

1.054^{20} \approx 2.883 → P_{20} \approx 167.12

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Page 20 – Illustration 1.e

D_1 = 3.50, \ g = 4.5\%, \ r = 15\%


P_0 = \frac{3.50}{0.15 - 0.045} = \frac{3.50}{0.105} = \$33.33

Five years later:

P_5 = P_0 (1+g)^5 = 33.33 \times 1.045^5

1.045^5 \approx 1.246 → P_5 \approx 41.53

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Page 26 – PV of dividends for 3 years

Given: D_0 = 2.00, \ g = 6\%, \ r = 13\%

D_1 = 2.12, \ D_2 = 2.247, \ D_3 = 2.382

PV of D_1 = \frac{2.12}{1.13} = 1.8761

PV of D_2 = \frac{2.247}{1.13^2} = 1.7599

PV of D_3 = \frac{2.382}{1.13^3} = 1.6509

Sum = 5.2869

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Page 27 – Stock’s market value


P_0 = \frac{D_1}{r-g} = \frac{2.12}{0.13 - 0.06} = \frac{2.12}{0.07} = \$30.29

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Page 28 – Expected price one year from now

P_1 = \frac{D_2}{r-g} = \frac{2.247}{0.07} = \$32.10

Or P_1 = P_0 (1+g) = 30.29 \times 1.06 = 32.107

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Page 29 – Dividend yield, capital gains yield, total return

Dividend yield = \frac{D_1}{P_0} = \frac{2.12}{30.29} \approx 7.0\%

Capital gains yield = \frac{32.10 - 30.29}{30.29} \approx 6.0\%

Total return = 7.0\% + 6.0\% = 13.0\%

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Page 30 – Price if g=0

P_0 = \frac{D}{r} = \frac{2.00}{0.13} = \$15.38

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Page 31–32 – Nonconstant growth example

Given: D_0 = 2.00, \ r = 13\%, \ g_1 = 30\% for 3 years, then g = 6\% .

Dividends:

D_1 = 2.00 \times 1.30 = 2.60

D_2 = 2.60 \times 1.30 = 3.38

D_3 = 3.38 \times 1.30 = 4.394

D_4 = 4.394 \times 1.06 = 4.65764

Horizon value at t=3:

P_3 = \frac{D_4}{r-g} = \frac{4.65764}{0.13 - 0.06} = \frac{4.65764}{0.07} = 66.5377

PV of cash flows:

PV(D1) = \frac{2.60}{1.13} = 2.3009

PV(D2) = \frac{3.38}{1.13^2} = 2.647

PV(D3 + P3) = \frac{4.394 + 66.5377}{1.13^3} = \frac{70.9317}{1.4429} = 49.16

Sum = 2.301 + 2.647 + 49.16 = 54.108 \approx \$54.11

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Page 33 – Dividend yield and capital gains yield in first year

Dividend yield (Year 1) = \frac{D_1}{P_0} = \frac{2.60}{54.11} \approx 4.81\%


Capital gains yield = Total return − Dividend yield = 13\% - 4.81\% = 8.19\%

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Page 34 – Nonconstant growth with g=0\% for 3 years, then 6%

D_0 = 2.00, \ D_1 = D_2 = D_3 = 2.00, \ D_4 = 2.12

P_3 = \frac{D_4}{r-g} = \frac{2.12}{0.07} = \$30.29

PV:

PV(D1) = \frac{2.00}{1.13} = 1.7699

PV(D2) = \frac{2.00}{1.13^2} = 1.5663

PV(D3 + P3) = \frac{2.00 + 30.29}{1.13^3} = \frac{32.29}{1.4429} = 22.38

Sum = 1.77 + 1.57 + 22.38 = 25.72 → P_0 = \$25.72

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Page 35 – Dividend and capital gains yields

Year 1 dividend yield = \frac{2.00}{25.72} = 7.78\%

Capital gains yield = 13\% - 7.78\% = 5.22\%

Year 4 onward: constant growth at 6%, so:

Dividend yield = r - g = 13\% - 6\% = 7\%


Capital gains yield = 6\%

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Page 36 – Negative growth g = -6\%

D_1 = 2.00 \times 0.94 = 1.88, \ r = 13\%

P_0 = \frac{1.88}{0.13 - (-0.06)} = \frac{1.88}{0.19} = \$9.89

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Page 37 – Dividend and capital gains yields for negative growth

Capital gains yield = g = -6.00\%

Dividend yield = r - g = 13\% - (-6\%) = 19.00\%

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Page 38 – Exercise N-0

Given: D_0 = 1.80, \ D_1 = 2.12, \ P_0 = 30.29, \ P_1 = 32.10

Dividend yield = \frac{D_1}{P_0} = \frac{2.12}{30.29} \approx 7.0\%

Capital gains yield = \frac{32.10 - 30.29}{30.29} \approx 6.0\%

Total return = 7.0\% + 6.0\% = 13.0\%


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Page 39 – Exercise N-1

Juliet Music Co:

D_0 = 0.80

Growth 5% for 3 years, then 8% forever, r = 12\%

Dividends:

D_1 = 0.80 \times 1.05 = 0.84

D_2 = 0.84 \times 1.05 = 0.882

D_3 = 0.882 \times 1.05 = 0.9261

D_4 = 0.9261 \times 1.08 = 1.000188

Horizon value at t=3:

P_3 = \frac{D_4}{r-g} = \frac{1.000188}{0.12 - 0.08} = \frac{1.000188}{0.04} = 25.0047

PV:

PV(D1) = 0.84/1.12 = 0.75

PV(D2) = 0.882/1.12^2 = 0.703

PV(D3 + P3) = (0.9261 + 25.0047)/1.12^3 = 25.9308/1.404928 = 18.46

Sum = 0.75 + 0.703 + 18.46 = 19.913 \approx \$19.91

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Page 40 – Exercise N-2

Given: D_0 = 2, \ r = 13\% (use cost of equity),

Growth: 10% for 2 years, 12% for 2 years, then 10% forever.

Dividends:

D_1 = 2.20

D_2 = 2.42

D_3 = 2.42 \times 1.12 = 2.7104

D_4 = 2.7104 \times 1.12 = 3.03565

D_5 = 3.03565 \times 1.10 = 3.339215

Horizon value at t=4:

P_4 = \frac{D_5}{r-g} = \frac{3.339215}{0.13 - 0.10} = \frac{3.339215}{0.03} = 111.307

PV:

PV(D1) = 2.20/1.13 = 1.9469

PV(D2) = 2.42/1.13^2 = 1.895

PV(D3) = 2.7104/1.13^3 = 1.877

PV(D4 + P4) = (3.03565 + 111.307)/1.13^4 = 114.34265/1.6305 = 70.13

Sum = 1.947 + 1.895 + 1.877 + 70.13 = 75.849 \approx \$75.85

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Page 41 – Exam Type Exercise N-3

BMW Ltd: r = 16\%, \ D_0 = 1.10, \ D_1 = 1.20

Growth: 12% for 2 years after D1, then 3% forever.

So:

D_1 = 1.20

D_2 = 1.20 \times 1.12 = 1.344

D_3 = 1.344 \times 1.12 = 1.50528

D_4 = 1.50528 \times 1.03 = 1.5504384

Horizon value at t=3:

P_3 = \frac{D_4}{r-g} = \frac{1.5504384}{0.16 - 0.03} = \frac{1.5504384}{0.13} = 11.92645

PV:

PV(D1) = 1.20/1.16 = 1.0345

PV(D2) = 1.344/1.16^2 = 0.999

PV(D3 + P3) = (1.50528 + 11.92645)/1.16^3 = 13.43173/1.5609 = 8.605

Sum = 1.0345 + 0.999 + 8.605 = 10.6385 \approx \$10.64

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Page 42 – Exercise N-3 (Extra)

Given: P_0 = 65, \ r = 10\%, \ g = 5\% , dividend yield = capital gains yield = r/2 = 5\% each.
But if total return = 10% and equally divided → dividend yield = 5%, so

\frac{D_1}{P_0} = 0.05 \implies D_1 = 0.05 \times 65 = 3.25

\]

D_1 = D_0 (1+g) \implies D_0 = \frac{3.25}{1.05} = 3.095

So current dividend per share D_0 = \$3.10 (approx).

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Page 43 – Exercise N-4 (Extra)

Laurence Industries: D_0 = 1.80, \ r = 11\%, g1 = 8% for 3 years, then g2 varies.

Case (i) g2 = 5% forever after Year 3:

D_1 = 1.944, \ D_2 = 2.0995, \ D_3 = 2.2675, \ D_4 = 2.381

P_3 = \frac{D_4}{r-g} = \frac{2.381}{0.11 - 0.05} = \frac{2.381}{0.06} = 39.683

PV = \frac{1.944}{1.11} + \frac{2.0995}{1.11^2} + \frac{2.2675 + 39.683}{1.11^3}

= 1.751 + 1.704 + 31.18 = 34.635

Case (ii) g2 = 0%:

D_4 = D_3 = 2.2675


P_3 = \frac{2.2675}{0.11} = 20.6136

PV = 1.751 + 1.704 + \frac{2.2675 + 20.6136}{1.11^3}

= 1.751 + 1.704 + 16.93 = 20.385

Case (iii) g2 = 10%:

D_4 = 2.49425

P_3 = \frac{2.49425}{0.11 - 0.10} = \frac{2.49425}{0.01} = 249.425

PV = 1.751 + 1.704 + \frac{2.2675 + 249.425}{1.11^3}

= 1.751 + 1.704 + 186.6 = 190.055

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Page 48 – Illustration EX-1

ABC plc:

Earnings = 35.5m, common shares = 1.25m

EPS = \frac{35.5}{1.25} = 28.4

P/E = 14.5

Price per share = EPS × P/E = 28.4 \times 14.5 = 411.8 (taka)

If market price = 225.5 → undervalued.

Limitations: P/E uses historical earnings, ignores growth, accounting differences.

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Page 49 – Illustration EX-2


A) Master Inc: P/E = 10, EPS = 2.50 → Price = 10 \times 2.50 = \$25

B) Roberts: P/E = 25, Price = 125 → EPS = \frac{125}{25} = \$5

C) Trailing P/E uses past earnings, forward P/E uses forecasted earnings. Forward P/E likely
yields higher market value if growth expected.

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Page 50 – Illustration EX-3

Tesco: Use latest year 2021-22: EAT = 305,481, shares = 10,000

EPS = 305,481 / 10,000 = 30.5481

P/E = 15.5 → Price = 30.5481 \times 15.5 = 473.495

If current price = $61.25 → undervalued (but mismatch likely due to share count change —
maybe use 80,000 shares for EPS). With 80,000 shares, EPS = 305,481/80,000 = 3.8185,
Price = 3.8185×15.5 = 59.186, close to $61.25.

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Page 51 – Illustration EX-4

Average P/E of similar firms:

\frac{36.15 + 29.41 + 10.06 + 12.96 + 12.38 + 19.96}{6} = \frac{121.92}{6} = 20.32

\]
Aman EPS = \frac{3,490,000}{1,000,000} = 3.49

Estimated price = 3.49 \times 20.32 = 70.9168

Market price 63.25 → slightly undervalued.

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Page 53 – Illustration EX-5

Wrekins plc: EAT = 45.5m, common shares = 1.5m

EPS = 45.5 / 1.5 = 30.333

P/E = 18.5 → Price = 30.333 \times 18.5 = 561.16 taka

Market price 225.5 → undervalued.

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Page 54 – Additional Q1

Part 1: Expected return = \frac{2.5 + (78-65)}{65} = \frac{15.5}{65} \approx 23.85\%

Required return = 12% → expected > required → Buy.

Part 2: Let end price = P1:

65 = \frac{2.5 + P1}{1.15}

2.5 + P1 = 74.75

P1 = 72.25

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Page 55 – Additional Q2

Cash flows: Y1: 3.50, Y2: 3.50, Y3: 4.50, Y4: 4.50, Y5: 4.50 + 85 = 89.50, r = 12%

PV = \frac{3.50}{1.12} + \frac{3.50}{1.12^2} + \frac{4.50}{1.12^3} + \frac{4.50}{1.12^4} +


\frac{89.50}{1.12^5}

= 3.125 + 2.790 + 3.203 + 2.860 + 50.775 = 62.753

Willing to pay ≈ $62.75 per share.

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Page 56 – Additional Q3

1. D_{10} = 4 \times (1.08)^{10} = 4 \times 2.1589 = 8.6356 Rs.

2. 4 \times (1+g)^5 = 7.05

(1+g)^5 = 1.7625

1+g = 1.7625^{1/5} = 1.12 → g = 12% per year.

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Page 57 – Additional Q4

CAPM: r = 7\% + 1.3 \times (12\% - 7\%) = 7\% + 6.5\% = 13.5\%


D_0 = 1.50, \ g = 4\%

P_0 = \frac{1.50 \times 1.04}{0.135 - 0.04} = \frac{1.56}{0.095} = \$16.42

---

All exercises solved with explanations. Let me know if you need further clarification on any
solution.

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