topic 8
. foreign exchange basics
- exchange rate: the price of one currency in terms of another
1. the nominal exchange rate
- the price you pay for this currency
- exchange the currency of one country for the currency
- depreciation 貨幣貶值 of the currency that is falling in value
- appreciation 貨幣增值 of the currency that is rising in value
2. the real exchange rate
- exchange the goods and services from one country for the goods
3
and services from another country
- the ratio more than one, foreign products cheap
2
3. why are exchange rates important
- appreciates: country’s goods abroad become expensive, foreign goods
become cheaper
- depreciates: goods abroad become cheaper, foreign goods more
expensive
. foreign exchange markets
- over-the-counter 場外交易市場
- 2 transactions make up
1. spot transactions 即期交易: immediate exchange of bank deposits,
completed at the spot rate
2. forward transactions: exchanges at future date, completed at the
forward rate
. exchange rates in the long run
1. the law of one price
- arbitrage 調解: identical 完全相同的 products should sell for the same
price of where they are sold
- American steel costs $100 per ton; Japanese steel costs 10,000 yen
per ton
- the yen and the dollar must be 100 yen per dollar
2. change in exchange rate
- the exchange rate were 200 yen to the dollar
- Japanese steel sell $50 per ton (10,000/2)
1
- american sell 20,000 yen per ton (100x200)
- american steel more expensive than japanese steel in both countries
- given a fixed dollar price, excess supply of american steel
3. change in price
- yen of japanese steel has increased by 10%
- the exchange rate 110 yen per dollar, a 10% appreciation of the dollar
- unchanged (11,000 yen/110 yen per dollar)
4. the law of one price fails
- Transportation costs
- tariffs 關稅
3
- technical specifications 技術規格
- tastes
- cannot be traded
. theory of purchasing power parity 比價 (PPP)
- one unit of U.S. domestic currency will buy same basket of good and
services anywhere in the world.
- exchange rates reflect changes in the price levels of the two
countries.
- if one country’s price level 物價⽔平 rises relative to another’s, its
currency should depreciate, other one should appreciate
. why PPP cannot fully explain exchange rates
- the exchange rates are determined by changes in relative price levels
相對價格, assumption all goods are identical in both countries
- does not take many goods and services, not traded across borders
. factors affecting exchange rates in long-run
1. Relative price levels: a rise in relative price levels cause a country’s
.
currency to depreciate (inflation)
2. tariffs and quotas: trade barriers causes a country’s currency to
appreciate
3. preferences for domestic v. foreign goods
- increased demand for a country’s good, appreciate
- increased demand for imports, depreciate
4. productivity: more productive relative, appreaciates