Climate Change's Impact on Travel Choices
Climate Change's Impact on Travel Choices
1 School of Tourism and Hotel Management, Cyprus International University, 99258 Nicosia, Turkey
2 Institute of Graduate Studies and Research, Department of Business Administration, Cyprus International
University, 99258 Nicosia, Turkey; [Link]@[Link]
* Correspondence: hozgit@[Link]
Abstract
Climate change poses a significant challenge to global tourism, influencing destination choices
and traveller behaviour. This study examines the awareness of individuals regarding the im-
pact of climate change on tourism destinations and their decision-making processes. Through
a qualitative research design, semi-structured interviews were conducted and analysed in
NVivo 15 to explore the extreme natural events, environmental concerns, and sustainabil-
ity considerations that can shape travel preferences. Findings from the literature and 20
interviews indicate that climate change is increasingly perceived as a barrier to destination
selection, with tourists prioritising safety, environmental resilience, and sustainability. Ad-
ditionally, transportation choices reflect a balance between efficiency and ecological impact,
with a growing inclination toward sustainable travel alternatives. This research highlights the
need for policy frameworks that address climate-related risks in the tourism sector, with a
focus on adaptation strategies and responsible travel practices. The study contributes to the
discourse on climate change and tourism by highlighting behavioural trends and proposing
measures for enhanced awareness and sustainable decision-making.
1. Introduction
The United Nations Glasgow Declaration on Climate Action, released in March 2023,
Academic Editors: Ren-Fang Chao,
Yi Fu and Shang-Pao Yeh
identified global dependence on fossil fuels, unsustainable land use, and excessive con-
sumption contributing to climate change, pollution, and biodiversity loss [1]. The COVID-
Received: 16 May 2025
Revised: 25 June 2025
19 pandemic has heightened our understanding of the relationship between these impacts
Accepted: 26 June 2025 and human health risks, underscoring the necessity to enhance public awareness regarding
Published: 29 June 2025 the ramifications of climate change. The report by the One Planet Sustainable Tourism Pro-
Citation: Özgit, H.; Saleem, U. gramme [1] highlighted the importance of rebalancing human relationships with nature to
Travel Choice: Is Climate Change a restore ecological health and enhance personal, social, and economic well-being. It reveals
Barrier? Sustainability 2025, 17, 5973. that tourism is essential, as it depends on healthy ecosystems and facilitates connections
[Link]
between individuals and these environments [1] (p. 6). Nevertheless, revitalising nature
Copyright: © 2025 by the authors. and our relationship with it is crucial for recovering the tourism sector from the pandemic’s
Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. impacts and for its future prosperity and resilience.
This article is an open access article
Ref. [2] posited that climate change is an ongoing phenomenon that necessitates
distributed under the terms and
understanding the probability of future climatic events and their effects on the tourism
conditions of the Creative Commons
Attribution (CC BY) license
industry. The author points out the necessity of examining extended timeframes and
([Link] additional variables associated with climate change. This makes the “knowledge” more
licenses/by/4.0/). uncertain due to significant climatic alterations, with annual extreme events substantially
2. Literature Review
Studies examining the effects of climate change on the tourism industry and its
impact on personal travel decisions and destination choices have yielded valuable insights.
Sustainability 2025, 17, 5973 3 of 20
A study conducted by Amelung and Viner [12] posited that climate change may shift
the peak tourist season in the Mediterranean, rendering summers less appealing due to
increasing temperatures and water scarcity. Furthermore, it is emphasised that small island
nations face an elevated risk from the repercussions of climate change, such as rising sea
levels and more-frequent extreme weather events [13]. The observable effects of climate
change also influence personal travel decisions and preferences for destinations. It is also
established in the literature that travellers are willing to invest more in “climate-friendly”
travel alternatives, such as carbon-neutral flights or eco-friendly accommodations [14].
Additionally, a study by Kulendran and Dwyer [15] revealed that travellers are inclined to
select destinations perceived as less vulnerable to climate change, such as coastal regions
with a reduced risk of flooding or mountainous areas with reliable snowfall. These findings
suggest that climate change has a substantial impact on the tourism industry, affecting
aspects such as seasonality, severe weather events, and personal travel choices. As an
increasing number of travellers become cognizant of the environmental costs of their
journeys and the threats posed by climate change, the tourism industry must evolve to
accommodate shifting preferences and perspectives.
The literature asserts that although global tourism development is driven by many
investments in infrastructure and superstructure through government support, there is
an increasing promotion of cultural and natural heritage [16]. Additionally, international
tourists’ intention to travel also increases due to the activities and resources presented
that inspire curiosity about those destinations. Furthermore, the study suggests that as
international tourist mobility increases, specific challenges, such as noise and air pollution,
along with the degradation of specific destinations, become significant environmental
concerns [16]. They also underscore challenges in air transportation in their review of
travel behaviour and climate change [17]. They suggested three different parties that
should be involved in mitigating transport emissions in light of the increasing climate
change. Hence, air transport goods and service providers, companies, governments, and
policymakers—decision-makers regarding taxes, environmental and transport laws, and
other regulatory issues [17]—and international environmental organisations should all
focus on how they will mitigate the problems arising from international mobility from a
global perspective. These problems are also emphasised by climate change activists as
they expressed frustration, indicating that government actions regarding the global climate
crisis are lagging and insufficient to create a significant impact [18] (p. 302). However, it
is mentioned that one of the key limitations is the unawareness of communities due to
inadequate education and comprehension of environmental issues and the consequences
of their actions [16]. Conversely, Howarth et al. [4], in their study, posited that one of
the greatest challenges of the 21st century is individuals’ high dependency on fossil fuel
consumption, which contributes to global climate change, attributing this change to human
activities. Nevertheless, understanding individuals’ behaviour in response to the impacts of
climate change and, consequently, the effects of these changes on sustainable development
requires further research into their awareness [16]. Additionally, it is indicated that the
tourism sector faces challenges in transitioning to sustainable emissions due to travellers’
lack of awareness about climate change and its impact on their holidays, coupled with
significant barriers to changing their behaviour [19]. The global airline industry’s market
size was expected to reach USD 900 billion in 2023, representing a positive increase over
time [20]. During the COVID-19 pandemic, the industry was among the most severely
impacted sectors globally, whereas 4.5 billion passengers travelled globally before the
pandemic [21]. According to a report released by the Statista Research Department on
31 July 2024, South Asia is expected to experience the highest average annual growth in
passenger traffic at 7.4 per cent until 2043. Furthermore, it predicts a 3.8 percent annual
Sustainability 2025, 17, 5973 4 of 20
increase in air travellers globally until 2043 [21]. This prediction indicates that an increase
in global transportation is likely; however, it may also affect climate conditions. Several
studies have highlighted the relationship between international mobility and climate
change and, thus, its impact on travellers’ destination choice decisions [4–9,19].
Moreover, one study confirms that travel decisions may be influenced by various risk
categories, whereby travellers consider specific destinations based on the associated level of
risk inherent in those locations [22]. Böcker et al. [23], on the other hand, state that in the past
decade, as climate change adaptation and mitigation gained attention, many studies have
explored how weather affects travel behaviour, particularly the use of active transport modes
that are healthy and environmentally friendly, despite varying weather conditions. Ref. [24]
investigated travel behaviour through the lens of age perception, indicating that factors such
as travellers’ age group and life period have a greater impact on location selection, vehicle
ownership, and the mode of transportation selected than the travel distance. Hence, the au-
thors excluded climate change from the factors influencing destination choice. Additionally, a
comprehensive narrative synthesis reveals that younger generations exhibit greater awareness
and concern for climate change, significantly influencing their travel decisions [25]. Their
perceptions indicate a tendency to choose destinations demonstrating ecological responsibility
and sustainability in tourism practices. This demographic actively seeks experiences that align
with their values, further driving the tourism industry towards greener initiatives [24,25].
Furthermore, as previously stated, climate change is now widely recognised as a significant
factor influencing travellers’ choice of destinations, their perceptions, and trends in tourism.
The connection between environmental conditions and tourist behaviour becomes apparent as
global temperatures rise and weather patterns alter. The impacts of climate change manifest
in various ways, including heightened concerns regarding the safety of destinations and
the sustainability of travel practices [22]. A study by Arabadzhyan et al. [26] indicates that
environmental changes lead to altered travel patterns, as tourists are drawn to destinations
perceived as safer and more resilient to climate threats. Consequently, this situation calls for
a transformation in the tourism sector’s operational practices, highlighting the necessity for
adaptive strategies that enhance the sustainability of popular travel destinations.
The COVID-19 pandemic has significantly intensified pre-existing concerns regard-
ing travel risks. Recent studies suggest that the perception of health risks, which is now
intertwined with environmental considerations, has increased travellers’ reluctance to visit
unsafe international destinations [27,28]. Nevertheless, the pandemic has necessitated a
re-evaluation of travel intentions, heightening sentiments of animosity towards regions that
have been adversely impacted by health crises [29]. This duality of risk, encompassing both
health and environmental factors, provides profound insights into the evolving dynamics
of the travel decision-making process. In a micro-level analysis, Ref. [30] examined farmers’
perceptions of climate change. These perceptions resonate within a broader context of
tourism, underscoring how the adaptive choices made by local communities can signifi-
cantly influence the attractiveness of destinations. As these communities adopt sustainable
practices to mitigate the effects of climate change, they enhance the appeal of their regions
to tourists seeking responsible travel options.
The existing literature on travel behaviour, sustainability, and crisis-related tourism
decisions offers valuable insights into environmental awareness, transportation choices, and
post-pandemic recovery [31–49] (see Table 1). However, a critical evaluation of existing
studies reveals several unaddressed gaps that demand thorough exploration in the current
research. For instance, previous studies [3,32] have extensively examined the adoption of
sustainable tourism and the digital influence on travel decisions; however, they overlook
the role of multi-sectoral policy frameworks in bridging the gap between sustainability
awareness and actionable behavioural change. Similarly, studies have highlighted climate risk
Sustainability 2025, 17, 5973 5 of 20
perception and mobility choices [9,23] but fail to account for longitudinal shifts in traveller
adaptation amidst increasing environmental uncertainties. The intersection between post-
pandemic tourism behaviour and extreme weather preparedness remains fragmented [22,42],
discussing travel hesitancy during crises yet neglecting the role of geopolitical instability
and economic volatility in reshaping global mobility trends over time. Additionally, some
studies explore sustainable travel behaviour in developing regions [47], but there is limited
inquiry into the structural barriers preventing low-carbon transitions in tourism-dependent
economies. Hence, previous studies have categorically established the need to explore further
travel choices to clearly understand human behaviour [3,9,11–13,22–24,26,31–49]. Thus, by
addressing these unresolved tensions, particularly the disconnect between awareness and
implementation, the policy gaps in sustainability adoption, and the structural constraints
limiting behavioural shifts, the present study can initiate a holistic investigation into the
evolving paradigms of travel behaviour, sustainability, and crisis resilience.
Theme Author(s)
Theme 1: Relationship Between Travel Purpose
24, 31, 32, 43, 49
and Destination
Theme 2: Relationship Between Transportation
3, 9, 11, 16, 33, 23, 34, 35, 37, 38, 39
and Environment
Theme 3: Relationship Between Extreme
17, 22, 26, 37, 40, 41, 42, 44, 45, 46, 47, 48
Natural Events and Travel Preferences
In the current study perspective, Descriptive Decision Theory (DDT) can provide
a useful lens to understand individuals’ processes for making decisions in the context
of climate change and travel preferences. DDT clearly exhibits the actual behaviour of
decision-making scenarios, rather than the expected behaviour under normative models.
Hence, using the lenses of DDT, it is more appropriate to shed light on the complexities of
travel behaviour influenced by climate change. DDT theory provides the bounded rational-
ity to understanding the distinctive and common characteristic of travel decision-making
for professional, as well as leisure, travellers. More specially, the application of DDT lenses
mainly stresses the importance of cognitive processes, biases, and heuristics that guide
individuals’ choices in four ways. Firstly, in the context of travel behaviour for climate
change, tourists may rely on mental shortcuts to simplify the decision-making process. For
instance, tourists may avoid destinations frequently cited in the news or on social media
for extreme weather events due to the perceived higher risk, even if those risks are not
statistically significant [50]. This behaviour aligns with the findings of the current study, in
which the participants identified safety and environmental conditions as key factors in their
decision-making process for destination selection. Secondly, DDT asserts that individuals
evaluate the perceived risks and benefits associated with different options. In this study,
the respondents demonstrated an awareness of environmental concerns and the impact of
climate change on their travel decisions. Additionally, the respondents were involved in ex-
plaining the ways in which they weigh the risks of climate change against potential benefits,
such as cultural immersion or leisure activities. Hence, DDT reflects their willingness to
choose destinations based on safety and environmental resilience, illustrating this decision-
making process [51]. Thirdly, DDT suggests that decisions are heavily influenced by context,
especially recent experiences and cultural factors. Factors such as media coverage of cli-
mate disasters and personal experiences with climate-related events likely shape travellers’
perceptions and choices. Hence, the respondents’ preferences for certain regions can be
influenced not only by safety but also by their past travel experiences and perceptions of
Sustainability 2025, 17, 5973 6 of 20
local responses to environmental challenges [52]. Fourthly, DDT’s lens clearly explains
individuals’ responses to information in decision-making. This study highlights that an
increased awareness of climate change issues (e.g., through reports or personal experiences)
modifies travellers’ behaviours. The study’s findings support sustainable travel initiatives
or the avoidance of high-risk destinations by showing that information on climate risks and
sustainability can drive behavioural changes in travel decisions [53]. In the past, studies
have linked “extreme natural events” to multiple contexts, such as environmental changes,
climate change, and diseases. COVID-19 has emerged as one of the important outcomes of
climate change. Some scholars, such as Zambrano-Monserrate et al. [54], have established
that the COVID-19 pandemic is an “extreme natural event” influenced by human-induced
environmental alterations, including deforestation and habitat fragmentation. Moreover,
COVID-19 and climate change are often intertwined, with either positive or negative effects
on the environment and disproportionate effects on communities [55–59]. Hence, the DDT
theory can, in the context of climate change, provide a more nuanced understanding of the
psychological mechanisms and contextual factors that influence decision-making, aimed at
promoting sustainable practices and addressing climate-related travel barriers.
• Question 2: How long did it take for you to start travelling after the pandemic? How
would you describe the reasons?
• Question 3: What is your personal attitude towards travelling to countries that have
experienced earthquakes or floods that resulted in the loss of life? Can you please
respond with details about your positive or negative opinion?
4. Results
The findings of the content analysis indicate three categories, i.e., (a) Category 1: The
relationship between travel purpose and destination. (b) Category 2: The relationship
between transportation and the environment. (c) Category 3: The relationship between
extreme natural events and travel preferences.
“Travels for leisure and professional conferences, prioritising cultural exploration, sus-
tainability, and accessibility. Prefers destinations with a rich heritage, eco-friendly
infrastructure, and moderate climates.”
P8 integrates sustainability into travel decisions by making it a key factor alongside
cultural exploration.
P10 stated the following:
“Travels for cultural exchange, architectural observations, symposiums, and professional
meetings. Also, travel for family visits and leisure with children. Prioritises struc-
tural features, historical significance, environmental conditions, and accessibility when
choosing destinations.”
P10 brings a fascinating blend of professional and personal considerations by high-
lighting architectural insights in travel selection.
P17 stated the following:
“Travels primarily for vacations, aiming to escape the instability of their home country.
Prefers direct flights to European destinations for convenience. Prioritises safety, quality
transportation, natural beauty, cuisine, and historical landmarks.”
P17’s statement reveals the role of geopolitical or economic instability and its process
in shaping travel preferences, accentuating security and comfort.
Lastly, P20 stated the following:
“Travels for sightseeing and experiencing beautiful destinations, typically once or twice a
year. Prefers safe and comfortable locations, favouring European destinations. Selects
destinations based on visually appealing landmarks and historical significance.”
P20 highlights a simple yet strong preference for aesthetically significant places, prioritising
visual appeal over other factors. Based on the content analysis, three subcategories emerged.
P10 statements have underscored the role of cultural richness and visual aesthetics
in travel motivations, which is why it is essential to understand where historical and
architectural elements shape destination preferences.
Similarly, geopolitical stability remains critical, particularly among travellers from less sta-
ble regions seeking predictability and security [9,29,45]. These insights offer a foundational
understanding of the evolving nature of travel motivations within broader socio-cultural
and environmental contexts, paving the way for future research on responsible tourism
and travel behaviour in an era of climate change [19,24,31,45].
“I prefer flights for international travel due to time efficiency. Within cities, I use trains
and the metro for convenience. I acknowledge the high carbon emissions from air travel but
see no alternative for long-distance trips.” This perspective underscores the difficulty
of balancing sustainability with practicality, as alternatives, such as rail transport,
may not always be viable across vast distances.
Similarly, P10 highlighted the intersection between efficiency and environmental concerns:
“I prefer flights for international travel and trains or trams for urban mobility. I recog-
nise transportation’s contribution to air, noise, and visual pollution, but see sustainable
aviation initiatives as the least disruptive travel option.” This respondent acknowl-
edges environmental degradation yet remains optimistic about technological
advancements in air travel that could mitigate its negative effects.
For some respondents, regional variations have a significant impact on transportation
choices. Respondent 12 offered a comparative view:
“I use public transport within Europe for convenience, but prefer renting cars outside Eu-
rope for reliability. Sustainable energy in transportation should be prioritised, but flights
remain necessary for long-distance travel due to geographical constraints.” This state-
ment highlights the geographic limitations of eco-friendly transport, illustrating
how the available infrastructure shapes behaviour.
4.3. Category 3: Relationship Between Extreme Natural Events and Travel Preferences
Extreme events, including natural events, such as pandemics, earthquakes, and floods,
significantly influence travel behaviours and decision-making processes. When choosing
destinations, travellers often consider safety, infrastructure resilience, and personal risk tol-
erance. This section of the current study explores travellers’ opinions regarding the impact
of COVID-19, their hesitancy toward disaster-affected areas, and the underlying factors
shaping their choices. Here, four respondents give insight into their unique perspectives
and behavioural shifts:
P8:
“Resumed travel a year post-pandemic, considering vaccination rates and safety proto-
cols. Evaluate disaster-affected destinations cautiously, balancing recovery support with
environmental concerns.”
P8 adopts a thoughtful approach to post-pandemic travel and disaster-stricken areas,
weighing ethical and safety considerations.
P10:
“Resumed travel after 1–1.5 years due to health concerns and the psychological impact
of the pandemic. Avoids visiting disaster-affected areas with inadequate precautions but
acknowledges the role of responsible urban planning in mitigating risks.”
P17:
“COVID-19 influenced travel choices, directing preferences toward destinations with
strong healthcare systems. Delayed travel for three to four years due to economic disrup-
tion. Avoids disaster-affected areas completely, believing recovery takes too long to ensure
personal safety.”
Sustainability 2025, 17, 5973 14 of 20
P17 highlights health infrastructure and economic factors affecting travel choices while
maintaining a strict avoidance policy in disaster-stricken regions.
P20:
“COVID-19 had a significant impact on travel behaviour, leading to delays in resuming
trips until people feel secure. Avoids travelling to regions affected by earthquakes or floods
due to fear of potential risks.”
P17, like many other respondents (P2, P4 and P9), indicates a clear demonstration
of fear-driven travel decisions, prioritising safety over personal interest in destinations.
Through a detailed content analysis, three sub-themes have emerged under this category,
which are detailed below.
“I avoid disaster-affected areas completely, believing recovery takes too long to ensure
personal safety.”
Both of these responses highlight the uncertainty surrounding post-disaster conditions,
reinforcing scepticism toward infrastructural rehabilitation. Interestingly, some of the
respondents adopted a more nuanced approach, evaluating destinations based on the
government’s response and urban planning efficiency. P10, similarly to the points of view
of other respondents (P9, P13, P16), suggested a conditional acceptance of risk, where
well-managed recovery efforts foster confidence in revisiting affected regions. Meanwhile,
others maintained neutral perspectives, perceiving disasters as inevitable, rather than as
exclusionary factors in travel. While risk avoidance remains dominant among leisure
and professional travellers, a minority demonstrate risk tolerance behaviours, navigating
decisions with situational awareness, rather than outright avoidance.
leisure travellers frequently prioritise cultural and sensory appeal over logistical consid-
erations. It can be concluded that the motivations behind travel range from professional
obligations to leisure exploration, with travellers prioritising career development, cultural
immersion, and personal relaxation [2,16,24,31].
Author Contributions: Conceptualization, H.Ö.; methodology, H.Ö. and U.S.; software, U.S.; vali-
dation, H.Ö. and U.S.; formal analysis, H.Ö. and U.S.; investigation, H.Ö.; resources, H.Ö. and U.S.;
data curation, H.Ö.; writing—original draft preparation, H.Ö. and U.S.; writing—review and editing,
H.Ö. and U.S.; visualization, U.S.; supervision, H.Ö.; project administration, H.Ö. All authors have
read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.
Institutional Review Board Statement: The study was conducted in accordance with the Declaration
of Helsinki, and approved by Cyprus International University Ethics Committee (decision number
EKK24-25/06/07 and 05.03.2025). Ethical review and approval were waived for this study based on
the consent of the project supervisor, which is acknowledged by the ethical committee of the Cyprus
International University.
Informed Consent Statement: Informed consent was obtained from all subjects involved in the study.
Data Availability Statement: The study’s research data are available upon request from the corre-
sponding author.
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