Capital Structure Impact on Valuation
Capital Structure Impact on Valuation
• So far, NPV concept and possibility to move from accounting data to cash
flows. Influence on taxation on firm value: OK. But necessity to go further
and understand the impact of the capital structure on project and
company valuation in general.
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Company valuation
• Key questions
‒ What is the market value of the company?
‒ What price to pay to buy a company?
∞
𝐹𝐶𝐹𝑡
Company value =
(1 + 𝑟)𝑡
𝑡=1
Company value = 𝐸 + 𝐷
𝐸 𝐷
Weighted Average Cost of WACC • 𝑊𝐴𝐶𝐶 ≡ 𝑟𝐸 × + 𝑟𝐷 × (1 − 𝑇𝐶 ) × βWACC
Capital 𝑉 𝑉
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Interactions between capital budgeting and financing
• There are several ways to proceed, one relies on adjusting the NPV for the
financing cost, the others adjust the discount rate:
𝑉𝐿 = 𝑉𝑈 + 𝑃𝑉(Financing Effects) = 𝐸 + 𝐷
𝐹𝐶𝐹𝑢𝑛𝑙𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑒𝑑 𝐹𝐶𝐹𝑢𝑛𝑙𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑒𝑑
𝑇𝑐 × (𝑟𝑑 × 𝐷) 𝐹𝐶𝐹𝑡𝑜 𝑒𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦
(1 + 𝑟𝑑 )𝑡
𝑊𝐴𝐶𝐶 𝑟𝑎
𝑡=1 𝑟𝑒
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For a given project, three methods
• APV ∞
𝐹𝐶𝐹𝑈,𝑡
+ 𝑁𝑃𝑉(financing effects) − 𝐼
(1 + 𝑟𝑎 )𝑡
𝑡=1
∞
• FTE 𝐹𝐶𝐹𝑡𝑜 𝑒𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦
+𝐷 −𝐼
(1 + 𝑟𝑒 )𝑡
𝑡=1
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The Adjusted Present Value
• The most straightforward and permits the user to see the sources of value
in the project (if the project is accepted)
• Procedure:
– (1) Compute the (unlevered) base-case NPV using a discount rate that
employs all-equity financing (rA), applied to the project’s unlevered
free cash flows
– (2) Then, adjust for the effects of financing which arise from:
• Transaction/flotation costs
• Tax Shields on Debt Issued
• Effects of Financing Subsidies
• Other financing impacts
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The Adjusted Present Value: MM (1963) with taxes
𝑇𝑐 × 𝐷 × 𝑟𝑑
𝑃𝑉(𝑇𝑎𝑥 𝑆ℎ𝑖𝑒𝑙𝑑) = = 𝑇𝑐 × 𝐷
𝑟𝑑
• Other assumptions?
• Value of the firm: VL = VU +TcD
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APV Example
• Data
– Cost of investment 10,000
– Incremental FCFs (unlevered) 1,800/year
– Duration (constant FCF) 10 years
– Discount rate rA 12%
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APV Example
(2) Borrowing
Suppose now that 5,000 are borrowed to finance partly the project
• Cost of borrowing : 8%
• Constant annuity: 1,252/year for 5 years
• Corporate tax rate = 40%
Year Balance Interest Amortization Tax Shield
1 5,000 400 852 160
2 4,148 332 920 133
3 3,227 258 994 103
4 2,223 179 1,074 72
5 1,160 93 1,160 37
• Has some strong defenders => see Luerhman (1997) for an easy-to-read
discussion
• Strong points
Allows easily to determine and analyze the precise impact of very different
actions linked to capital structure (tax shields but also costs of financial
distress, subsidies, hedges, cost of issue etc..)
Unbundling of each factor (in this respect rwacc is much more opaque)
Probably easier to communicate
Easy when amount of debt to issue is known
• Minus points
Need to determine the proper rate to discount the Tax shield (not so simple,
so far assumption that rd is the proper rate)
When we have a target leverage ratio: necessity to solve for both the debt
level AND the project value (but less of an issue with a spreadsheet allowing
iterative calculation)
Not easy to implement when we have a variable debt/equity ratio
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WACC method
𝐸 𝐷
𝑊𝐴𝐶𝐶 = 𝑟𝐸 × + 𝑟𝐷 × (1 − 𝑇𝐶 ) ×
𝑉 𝑉
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WACC: Sangria Corporation
Balance Sheet (Book Value, millions) Balance Sheet (Market Value, millions)
Assets 100 Debt 50 Assets 125 Debt 50
Equity 50 Equity 75
Total 100 Total 100 Total 125 Total 125
75 50
𝑊𝐴𝐶𝐶 = 0.146 × + 0.08 × (1 − 0.35) × = 0.1084
125 125
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WACC: Sangria Corporation
1.355
𝑁𝑃𝑉 = −12.5 + =0
10.84%
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WACC method: 3 Models
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WACC - Modigliani-Miller formula
• Remember that 𝑉𝑢 𝑇𝑐 𝐷 𝐸 𝐷
𝑟𝑎 × + 𝑟𝑑 × = 𝑟𝑒 × + 𝑟𝑑 ×
𝑉𝐿 𝑉𝐿 𝑉𝐿 𝑉𝐿
𝑉𝐿 − 𝑇𝑐 𝐷 𝐸 𝐷
• And VL = VU + TcD, thus 𝑟𝑎 ×
𝑉𝐿
= 𝑟𝑒 × + 𝑟𝑑 × (1 − 𝑇𝑐 ) ×
𝑉𝐿 𝑉𝐿
𝐸 𝐷
• Since 𝑊𝐴𝐶𝐶 = 𝑟𝐸 × + 𝑟𝐷 × (1 − 𝑇𝐶 ) ×
𝑉𝐿 𝑉𝐿
𝐹𝐶𝐹𝑢 𝐹𝐶𝐹𝑢
• As FCFu is perpetual => 𝑉𝐿 = = , assuming constant FCFu
𝑟𝐴 (1 − 𝑇𝐶 𝐿) 𝑊𝐴𝐶𝐶
𝐹𝐶𝐹𝑢
• Or as VL = VU + TcD = + Tc* L* VL and solve for VL
𝑟𝐴
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MM formula: example
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Using standard WACC formula
𝐷
Step 1: calculate rE using (MM) 𝑟𝐸 = 𝑟𝐴 + (𝑟𝐴 − 𝑟𝐷 )(1 − 𝑇𝐶 )
𝐸
As D/V = 0.50, D/E = 1
rE = 9% + (9% - 5%)(1-0.40)(0.50/(1-0.50)) = 11.4%
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Miles-Ezzell: WACC formula with target leverage ratio
• Assumptions:
• Any set of free cash flows
• Debt ratio L = Dt / VL,t constant
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Miles-Ezzell: Example
• Assumption:
– any free cash flows
– Debt ratio L = Dt / VL,t constant
– debt rebalanced continuously
• Demonstration see Harris and Pringle (1985). Idea very close to Miles-
Ezzell, main difference here continuous rebalancing => uncertainty related
to next year’s tax shield => need to discount it at ra
𝑊𝐴𝐶𝐶 = 𝑟𝐴 − 𝑟𝑑 𝑇𝐶 𝐿
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Harris and Pringle: Example
If you discount the … using as a discount rate … … (associated with its … you obtain as a
following cash flows… Beta), … present value
Cost of assets (cost of equity of the all-
Unlevered FCF βA = βU VU
equity firm): rA
Weighted Average Cost of Capital:
Unlevered FCF βWACC VL
WACC = rE * E/V + rD* (1–TC) * D/V
Interest Tax Shield (TS) Discount rate of the tax shield: rTS* βTS PV(TS)
Value of equity:
FCFu Value of all-equity FTE
firm: E
FCFu rA; βA rE; βE
VU
WACC;
βwacc
Value of tax Value of debt: CFD
TS
shield: D rD; βD
rTS; βTS
PV(TS)
3
1 APV method
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« In short »
Source: Taggart – Consistent Valuation and Cost of Capital Expressions With Corporate and Personal Taxes Financial
Management Autumn 1991
30
20, 27.5
25 15, 25
20
15 15, 15
10
Return on asset
0
-15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25
-5, -5 -5
-10
-10, -17.5
-20
Return on market
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How to estimate Beta asset?
• Betas equity are often estimated using stock price, yielding beta equity (βE)
• (βE) depends on both:
– Activity (βA) = beta assets
– Leverage (D/E)
• In order to get rid of the leverage effect, we need to compute beta assets (which only
depends on company activity)
• An unlevering formula can be used to estimate beta assets: e.g. (HP if 𝛽𝐷 = 0):
𝛽𝐸
𝛽𝐴 =
𝐷
1+
𝐸
• You can also estimate 𝛽𝐴 based on competitors (i.e., calculate an average of comparable
companies)
• Once a reliable estimate of beta assets is obtained, if relevant, the beta assets can be
relevered to a beta equity based on the same formula (HP if 𝛽𝐷 = 0 )
𝐷
𝛽𝐸 = 𝛽𝐴 ∗ (1 + )
𝐸
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Unlevering and relevering beta – Example
• You need to estimate the cost of capital for the following project
– Project sector: transportation
– Target debt-to-equity ratio (D/E) of the project is 1
– Marginal corporate tax rate of the project is 22%
– Risk-free debt (rf = 2%); market risk premium (MRP) = 5%
• You have identified 3 companies with a comparable activity (transportation) and gathered the
following data*:
Company βE D/E βA**
A 1.25 0 1.25
B 2.88 1.5 1.15
C 1.80 0.5 1.20
* Data consistent with Aswath Damodaran sector beta estimates (Jan 2016, [Link]
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Terminal value (1/3)
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Terminal value (2/3)
𝐹𝐶𝐹𝑡 (1 + 𝑔)
𝑇𝑉𝑡 =
𝑟−𝑔
where:
• g = long-term growth rate of the FCF
• you need to know the discount rate r!
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Terminal value (3/3)
• The terminal value is very sensitive to the chosen value of the parameters,
in particular the perpetual growth rate → don’t be over-optimistic in your
estimate of the perpetual growth rate (for example, one could use as a
proxy the GDP growth rate in a mature economy)
• Don’t forget that the terminal value obtained is expressed at time t (still
needs to be discounted to time 0 to obtain a present value!)
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