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Disney Wait Times & Probability Homework

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Disney Wait Times & Probability Homework

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cc2158
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© All Rights Reserved
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Statistics 211 – Fall 2025

Homework 2 – Assignment
Submit solutions online via “Assignments” on Canvas

1.
The following are 10 am wait times for Disney World’s “Space Mountain” ride recorded on 50
different days:

10 15 15 15 15 15 20 20 20 20
25 25 25 25 25 25 30 30 30 30
30 30 30 30 35 35 35 35 35 35
35 35 40 40 40 40 45 50 50 50
50 50 55 55 60 75 75 75 105 110
The numbers have been rounded to the nearest 5 minutes and sorted in increasing order.

a. Find the five-number summary (5 pt).


b. Identify potential outliers, indicate how you determined it was an outlier. (2 pt).
c. Construct a boxplot (3 pt).

2.
A new model of laptop computer can be ordered with one of three screen sizes (10 inches, 12
inches, 15 inches) and one of four hard drive sizes (50G, 100G, 150G, 200G). Consider the
experiment in which a laptop order is selected and the screen size and hard drive size are
recorded.
a. Determine the sample space for this experiment (2 pts)
b. Let A be the event that the order is for a laptop with a screen size of 12 inches or
smaller. Let B be the event that the order is for a laptop with a hard drive size of at
most 100 GB.
i. What outcomes are in A∪ 𝐵? (2 pts)
ii. What outcomes are in A∩B ? (2 pts)
iii. What outcomes are in 𝐴𝑐 ? (2 pts)
c. Let C denote the event that the order is for a laptop with a 200 GB hard drive. Are
events A and C mutually exclusive? Are events B and C mutually exclusive? Explain. (2
pts)

3.
Three people – denoted P1, P2 and P3 – frequent a medical clinic that always has a physician at
each of stations 1, 2 and 3. During a particular week, each of the three people visits the clinic
exactly once and is randomly assigned to a station (each station is equally likely). One
experimental outcome is (1,2,1) which means that P1 is assigned to station 1, P2 is assigned to
station 2, and P3 to station 1.
a. List the 27 possible outcomes. (3 pts)
b. Determine the probability that all three people go to the same station. (3 pts)
c. Determine the probability that all three go to different stations. (3 pts)
4.
In the game of craps, a player rolls two balanced dice. Thirty-six equally likely outcomes are
possible. Let:
A = event the sum of the dice is 7.
B = event the sum of the dice is 11.
C = event the sum of the dice is 2.
D = event the sum of the dice is 3.
E = event the sum of the dice is 12.
F = event the sum of the dice is 8, and
G = event doubles are rolled.

a. Compute the probability of each of the seven events. (2 pts)


b. The player wins on the first roll if the sum of the dice is 7 or 11. Find the probability of
that event by using the special addition rule and your answers from part (a). (2 pts)
c. The player loses on the first roll if the sum of the dice is 2, 3 or 12. Determine the
probability of that event by using the special addition rule and your answers from part
(a). (2 pts)
d. Compute the probability that either the sum of the dice is 8 or doubles are rolled,
without using the general addition rule. (2 pts)
e. Compute the probability that either the sum of the dice is 8 or doubles are rolled by
using the general addition rule, and compare your answer to the one you obtained in
part (d). (2 pts)

5.
Consider wagering in horse racing. In a quinella wager, the bettor picks the two horses that he
or she believes will finish first and second, but not in a specified order. In a trifecta wager, the
bettor picks the three horses he or she thinks will finish first, second and third in a specified
order. The 144th running of the Kentucky Derby had a field of 20 horses.
a. For that 144th running of the Kentucky Derby, how many different quinella wagers were
there? (4 pts)
b. How many different trifecta wagers were there? (4 pts)
c. If you randomly select the horses for a trifecta bet, what is the probability that you will
win the bet? (2 pts)

6.
The Powerball lottery is run in many different states. Winning the jackpot requires that you
select the correct five different integers between 1 and 69 and, in a separate drawing, you must
also select the correct single number between 1 and 26. Find the probability of winning the
jackpot. (9 pts)
7.
Among patients admitted to a hospital’s intensive care unit (ICU):
• 35% have high blood pressure,
• 42% have an infection, and
• 12% have both problems.
a) Find the probability that an ICU patient has an infection, given that the patient has high
blood pressure. (3 pts)
b) Find the probability that an ICU patient has high blood pressure, given that the patient has
an infection. (3 pts)
c) Find the probability that an ICU patient has either high blood pressure or an infection. (4
pts)
d) Find the probability that an ICU patient has NEITHER high blood pressure nor an infection.
(2 pts)
e) Are the events “patient has high blood pressure” and “patient has an infection”
independent? Why or why not? (2 pts)

8.
a) There are 4 balls in an urn:
• There are two white balls, marked w1 and w2 respectively.
• There are also two black balls, marked b1 and b2, respectively.
A colleague conducts the following experiment:
• A ball is chosen at random. Your colleague records which ball (w1, w2, b1 or b2) was
chosen.
• The ball is then put back in the urn. The process is then repeated, i.e., a second ball is
chosen and recorded.
You are told: "At least one of the chosen balls is w1". What is the probability that both of the
chosen balls are white? (5 pts)
b) The same experiment is conducted as in part a, but this time you are told: "At least one of
the chosen balls is white." What is the probability that both of the chosen balls are white?
(5 pts)
HINT: Consider the restricted sample space in each situation

9.
In a certain factory, machines 1, 2 and 3 are all producing springs of the same length. Machine
1 produces 2% defective springs, machine 2 produces 1% defective springs and machine 3
produces 3% defective springs. Of the total production of springs in the factory, machine 1
produces 35%, machine 2 produces 25% and machine 3 produces 40%.
A) Of the total springs produced in a day, what percent are defective? (4 pts)
B) Suppose a spring is randomly selected and found to be defective. What is the
probability that it came from machine 3? (4 pts)
10.
The International Olympic Committee wanted to ensure that the competition in the 2008
Olympic Games was as fair as possible. So, the committee administered more than 5000 drug
tests. All medal winners were tested, as well as other randomly selected competitors. Suppose
that 2% of athletes had actually taken banned drugs. No drug test is perfect. Sometimes the
test is positive, indicating that an athlete took drugs, but the athlete actually didn’t. We call
this a false positive result. Other times, the drug test is negative, but the athlete actually took
drugs. This is called a false negative result. Suppose that the testing procedure used at the
Olympics has a false positive rate of 1% and a false negative rate of 0.5%.
A) Find the probability that a randomly-tested athlete will have a positive test. (5 pts)
B) If an athlete has a positive test, what is the probability that they actually use drugs? (5
pts)

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