Overview of Nepal's Financial Markets
Overview of Nepal's Financial Markets
INTRODUCTION
Capital markets, which deal with securities such as stocks and bonds, are associated
with financial resource mobilization on a long term basis. By raising capital directly
from the public, they lower the cost of capital. Capital markets also allow for wider
ownership among the public, thereby distributing risks and wealth amongst smaller
investors. For investors, they provide an effective vehicle for making investment
choices which suit their own preferences of risk and returns based on available
information. As such, capital markets help the economy to generate more savings and
productive investments. A basic feature of an efficient capital market is constant
liquidity, i.e., an easy mechanism for entry and exit by investors. This requires
sufficient volume and size of transactions in the market.
Capital market is a market of long-term securities, which have maturities more than of
one year while money market is the market of short term securities maturing at most
one year. Both the market plays an important role for establishment and operation of
financial activities (Winfield and Curry; 1985:8).
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Money Market refers to the network of corporations, financial institutions, investors
and governments which deal with the flow of short-term capital. The money market
usually applied to the buying and selling of debt instruments maturing in one year of
less. There numerous types of money market instruments and the best known are
commercial papers, banker's acceptances, treasury bills, certificates of deposits,
Eurodollars, repurchase agreements etc (Bhattarai; 2004:159).
Securities are the legal representation of the right to receive prospective future
benefits under stated condition which represents shares, stock, bond and debenture
stock issued by a corporate body.
Institutional investors and individual investors, both are equally important from the
investment point of view. As to the general meaning, the organized financial
institutions that have substantial funds investment in the securities of others are
known as institutional investors. Institutional investors play decisive role in the
mobilizing the financial recourses from small savers to large units of industrial
investors through collecting funds from small savers by issuing own securities in large
volume through direct placement in primary market as well as they trade on securities
in large volume in the secondary market provide liquidity and competitive market
provide to the listed securities among various companies.
Institutional investors are the active financial intermediaries involved in the securities
market as investors. Generally, they are less restricted in buying and selling
securities. They buy and sell in bulk and have significant impact on the securities
market in respect of resource mobilization, stock market price movement, market
liquidity and so on. Especially , institutional investors do not hold securities for
financial securities in order to control over the management of the corporation
instead they hold securities for financial benefits that may be generate from these
investment in the day to day transaction basis.
On the other hand we cannot neglect the potentiality of individual investors. There is
an emerging trend of household saving to be invested in some security to earn future
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profit among common people. Unemployed, adult, housewives, retired personnel,
students are attracted to investment day to day so that they can have some favorable
future return. However, individual investor looks for different alternative than
investing only in security market.
Both the investors no doubt must have equal participation in the investment. But the
environment for the investment should be friendly i.e. having a sound economic
condition, only than they feel comfortable to invest. In the financial market the
investors have different option to invest.
Equities are probably the most familiar type of security. They come in two forms;
common stock and preferred stock. Common stock represents ownership in a
corporation. The two most important characteristics of common stock as an
investment are its residual claim and limited liability features (Bodie, Kane &
Marcus; 2002:44). Common stock, much more important due to different features like
interest coupon, dividends, capital appreciation, ownership right, status etc will be
searching by the investor to make investment.
Another type of security is preferred stock which represents the right to receive the
stated dividend. The dividend on a preferred stock is usually fixed at some amount
and never changed. Further, in the even of liquidation, preferred shares have a
particular face value. The reason preferred stock (or preference stock, as it is
sometimes termed) is called "Preferred" is that a company must pay the fixed
dividend on its preferred stock before any dividends can be paid to common
shareholders. In other words, preferred shareholders must be paid first (Corrado &
Jordan; 2002:70).
Primary Market is the market in which securities are first time offered by the
company to the Investors. The issuers may be a brand- new company or that has been
in business for many-many years. The securities offered might be a new type for the
issuers or additional amount of securities used frequently in the past. The primary
market functions are operated by middlemen, called investment bankers. The
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investment bankers' principal activity is to bring sellers and buyers together, this
creating a market. He normally buys the new issues from the issuer at an agreed upon
price and hope to resell it to the investing public at a higher price or he does this on
the basis of commission from the issue for taking responsibility of selling the
securities to the potential investors. This act of investment bankers is said to be
underwriting of securities.
But all new issues are not underwritten; many issuers make direct sales to investor
group, with only some investment banking securities provided for example, securities
are often sold directly to institutions. This is referred to private placement. The
investment bankers may act only as a finder; that is, he locates the institutional buyers
for a free.
The secondary market liquidates the shares and provides the opportunity between the
seller of the securities and investors. So, the investor can buy or sell any securities of
any business companies that are listed in the secondary market.
After securities have been purchased from the primary market, they can be traded in
the secondary market. The secondary market comprises the organized security
exchange and a specialist facilitates the transaction. The major of all capital market
transaction occur in the secondary markets do not go to the organizational issuer
instead to the initial owners (seller) of the securities (NEPSE, Annual report;
2001:73).
So, the secondary market is a security market where old securities are traded. In other
words, once the securities have been issued in primary market, then they are traded in
secondary market .The trading of stocks in secondary market is held of different
business companies without their involvement. Investors can buy and sell any
securities of any business companies that are listed in secondary market.
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capital for the financing of business companies. Once the investors purchase the
security from the primary market, they need a place to sell those securities, which is
called secondary market. Once new issues have been purchased by investors, they
change hands in the secondary markets. There are actually two broad segments of the
secondary markets: The organized stock exchange and the Over the counter market
(Fisher and Jordan; 2000:22).
Government polices, rules and regulations impact the interest rates and market
situation. Financial market is affected by the government activities. Government
policies influence in the economy of the state, on the money supply and likewise
transaction of financial instrument in security market. The government can create
certain favorable situation for the up liftment of security market.
There are two types of investors & they are ; Institutional Investors & Individual
Investors. Generally Institutional Investors think that they can earn by investing
substantial funds in the securities of others. Their attitude towards earning is very
positive. They also think that they can earn with the help of mobilizing the financial
resources from small savers to large units of industrial investors through collecting
funds form small savers by issuing own securities in large volume through direct
placement in primary market as well as they trade on securities in large volume in the
secondary market provide liquidity and competitive market provide to the listed
securities among various companies. They thin that they can buy and sell in bulk and
have significant impact on the securities market in respect of resource mobilization,
stock market price movement market liquidity & so on.
Individual Investors think that they can earn by investing their household saving in
some security. They also think that they can earn by investing their saving in land,
gold etc. They think that they can earn by taking loan from banks and other financial
institutions to invest in land, building, gold etc. with the process of purchasing at low
price and selling at very high price from which they think that they can earn high.
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Investors are looking for projects. They make investment planning with mutual funds,
money markets, stocks, bonds, portfolio and GICS. The Institutional Investors Group
on Climate Change (IIGCC) is a forum for collaboration between pension funds and
other institutional investors on issues related to climate change ( [Link].).
Investors are willing to share their knowledge and experience. Chemicals companies
should monitor & manage expectations as there has been a sharp reversal of investor
attitude towards the industry over the past few months. Investors’ changing attitude
towards construction group Henry Boot, whose shares are the income portfolio’s most
successful investment. Although Pizza Express shares remain good value at the
moment, there is distinct possibility Mr. Market’s unforgiving attitude towards
stumbling retailers could se the fall a lot lower.
Many top performing local authorities see to have adopted a Scrooge- like attitude
towards the staff who have earned them three star status. Real estate investment trusts
change the attitude of investors towards the attraction of commercial property.
This paper attempts to explain the effect of dividend payment and retained earning on
market price of share in the context of Nepalese companies. A majority of earlier
studies conducted in USA mostly indicate that retained earning effect is more than the
dividend effect given investment opportunities. A study of Indian evidence shows that
their stock market has also started recognizing the impact of retained earnings. This
paper investigates these implications in the context of Nepal and finds only limited
support for it. The results indicate the customary strong dividend and very weak
retained earnings effect on market price of share. The study shows a predominant
influence of dividends and an absence of retained earning effect on share price.
Dividends are found relatively more attractive among the Nepalese stockholders.
They are therefore not indifferent toward dividend and retained earnings (Pradhan,
2003).
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Investors with a wait and see attitude for institutional lending & financing are missing
a great opportunity to buy while everything is on sale . Investors started the week
running to the safety of Treasurys and commodities such as gold, worried that any
other asset. The collective attitude of investors determines share price levels.
Investors generally adopted a wait & see attitude, in anticipation of the release of
annual report on corporate results and they are taking a ‘Wait and see attitude’, in
anticipation of definite signals from government.
The history of capital market in Nepal dates back to 1936 in which year the shares of
Biratnagar Jute Mills Ltd. were floated. In 1937, Tejarath was set up to facilitate loans
to the government employees and was converted into Nepal Bank Ltd. Government of
Nepal introduced the Company Act in 1964 and the first issue of government bonds
made in the same year through Nepal Rastra Bank (NRB) to collect the
developmental expenditures. It carried 6 percent rate of interest and had the maturity
period of five years (Shrestha; 2038).
Government of Nepal announced the Industrial Policy in 1974 and under this policy,
an institution named Securities Marketing Center (SMC) was established to deal in
government securities-development bonds and national savings bonds, and corporate
securities of few companies. The government had the virtual monopoly over the
security market. Then, Securities Exchange Center (SEC) was established in 1976
under the ownership of the government, Nepal Rastra Bank (NRB) and Nepal
Industrial Development Corporation (NIDC) - a government owned industrial
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development bank. The main function of SEC was to assist in the development of a
capital market by performing the role of a broker, underwriter and share issuer, and to
sell government bonds. It was the only capital market institution in Nepal. Securities
Exchange Act came into force in 1984. Since then, SEC started to operate under this
act. The purpose of this act was to provide systematic and favorable market
environment for securities ensuring and protecting the interest of individuals and
institutional investors as well as to increase the public participation in various firms
and companies (Gurung 1999). After the inception of the Securities Exchange Center,
shares of various manufacturing, trading and banking companies became listed.
Interestingly, the listed shares were dominated by public enterprises during this stage.
SEC had provided facilities to trade the government securities and few of corporate
securities like shares and debentures. Only the shares of 10 companies were listed in
SEC and there was involvement of no broker and dealer in the securities market. So,
SEC itself was undertaking the job of brokering, underwriting, managing public issue,
market making for government bonds and other financial services (NEPSE 1998).
Apart from this, there was the absence of effective secondary market to ensure
liquidity to the securities.
The interim government (1990/91) initiated financial reform program and two indirect
investment vehicles-Citizen's Investment Fund and NIDC Capital Markets Ltd.- were
established with the collective investment schemes in the corporate sector (Gurung
1999).
Then, due to the world whim of privatization and economic liberalization, the
operation of SEC was felt to change to make it compatible with the changing
economic system. In 1992, the Finance Companies Act was amended. This enabled
finance companies to be established to function in various areas such as leasing,
housing finance, and hire-purchase. These institutions were also allowed to perform
capital market functions such as share issue, portfolio management, market making
and custodial services. In 1993, the Securities Exchange Act was amended and the
Securities Exchange Center (SEC) was converted into two distinct entities - Nepal
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Stock Exchange (NEPSE) for securities trading by private brokers and the Securities
Exchange Board, Nepal (SEBO/N) for oversight functions as a regulatory body. This
amendment also permitted private sector market intermediaries and set the operating
guidelines for intermediary functions such as broking, market making, issue
management, and portfolio management.
The Nepalese securities market still could not take it's height. The further
improvement of this market is very crucial. It helps in accumulating even small
savings for development activities of the economy otherwise, which would have spent
in unproductive areas. But it is true that there is no presence even of organized money
market in rural areas, which covers more than 80 percent of the total area of the
country. Thus, the securities market is only confined to the very limited urban areas of
Nepal.
Basically, Institutional investors may play more significant role in the capital market
of the country like Nepal. It is because; the development of the capital market in
Nepal is in infant stage. The knowledge and information about the stock market to the
general people is very low. Therefore they cannot supply the sufficient funds in the
capital market and their role in the stock market is almost insignificant.
In Nepal only limited types of security are traded. The investors are restricted to
choose only the limited types of securities are available to invest. Equity is the major
instrument of financial market in Nepal.
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marketability and liquidity to the government and corporate securities by facilitating
transactions in its trading floor through member, market intermediaries, such as
broker, market makers etc. Government of Nepal, Nepal Rastra Bank, Nepal
Industrial Development corporation and members are the shareholders of NEPSE.
NEPSE opened its trading floor on 13th January 1994. Members of NEPSE are
permitted to act as intermediaries in buying and selling of government bonds and
listed corporate securities. At present, there are 23 member brokers and 2 market
makers, who operate on the trading floor as per the Securities Exchange Act, 1983,
rules and bye-laws. Besides this, NEPSE has also granted membership to issue and
sales manager securities trader (Dealer). Issue and sales manager works as manager to
the issue and underwriter for public issue of securities whereas securities trader
(Dealer) works as individual portfolio manager. In the beginning of the 2007/08 fiscal
year, NEPSE has replaced the old open-out-cry system of securities trading, which
was in place since the beginning of secondary trading in 1994, with the automated
trading system (ATS). The ATS has not only mechanized securities trading, but also
reduced the manipulation of prices and human errors.
The number of investors is estimated to cross one million. A non profit organization
till now, NEPSE is operating under the Securities Exchange Act-2063. The
Government of Nepal (58.66 %), the Nepal Rastra Bank (34.60%), the Nepal
Industrial Development Corporation (6.12%) and Licensed Members (0.62%) are its
shareholders.
SEBO/N was established on June 7, 1993 with its mission to facilitate the orderly
development of a dynamic and competitive capital market and maintain its credibility,
fairness, efficiency, transparency and responsiveness under the Securities Exchange
Act 1983 (SEBO, 2001). It is an apex regulator of the securities market in Nepal. It
registers the securities and approves the public issues. Moreover, SEBO/N frames the
policies and programs required to monitor the securities market, provides license to
operate stock exchange business and stock brokers and supervises and monitors the
stock exchange operations and securities businesspersons.
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The functions, duties and powers of SEBO/N as per the Securities Related Act, 2006
are as follows.
Stock Market in Nepal has been growing gradually in term of turnover as well as
capital investment. As of the June 2008 there are 23 stockbrokers, 3 securities dealers
and 9 issue managers providing securities market intermediation services.(SEBO/N,
2008). The major regulatory framework for the securities markets is provided by
securities Act 2006, which has given authority to the SEBO/N for the regulation of
securities market.
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Security market in Nepal is witnessed a slight growth from last year. But the growth
of security market is not so satisfactorily. If we compare the NEPSE index of the year
2004/05 with the current year 2008/09 then great increment can be observed. These
do prove that the security market is expanding as per the increased awareness of
security market in Nepal.
Table 1.1
Securities Market Indicators (in Millions)
Year 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09
Number of Public Issue 14 29 34 64 64
Amount of Public Issue 1626.8 2443.3 2295.5 10668.2 16828.5
No. of listed co. 125 135 135 142 159
No. of traded companies 170
102 110 116 136
Paid up Value of Listed 16771.8 19958.0 21798.8 29465.0 61140
Securities
Market Capitalization 61365.89 96763.74 186301.28 366247.50 512939.07
Annual turnover 4507.68 3451.92 8360.10 22820.80 21681.14
No. of share traded 18434.00 12221.93 18147.25 28599.77 30547.16
NEPSE index 286.67 386.83 683.95 963.36 749.10
(Source: SEBO/N Annual Report 2008/09)
From the above table we can have a glance picture of the trading of security (Share) in
NEPSE. A total of 64 public limited companies raised funds amounting to Rs.
16828.5 million by floating securities in the fiscal year 2008/09. In the fiscal year
2007/08, a total of 64 public limited companies had raised funds from public issue of
securities amounting to Rs. 10668.2 million.
In the last fiscal year total listed companies in Nepal Stock Exchange Ltd. Were 142
which reached to be 159 in the fiscal year 2008/09. In the fiscal year 2008/09, the
market capitalization of the listed companies increased by 28.59 percent to be Rs.
512939.07 million as compared to market capitalization of Rs. 366247.5 million in
the fiscal year 2007/08. In the fiscal year 2008/09, the annual turnover decreased by
5.25 percent to be Rs. 21681.14 million as compared to turnover of Rs. 22820.8
million in the fiscal year 2007/08. In the fiscal year 2008/09, the price index of the
listed securities in Nepal Stock Exchange Ltd. (NEPSE Index) reached to 749.10
points with the decrease of 214.26 points as compared to fiscal year 2007/08.
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In the fiscal year 2007/08, securities market has shown positive signs in line with the
country heading towards political stabilization and with the estimation of rising trend
of major economic indicators like gross domestic product at basic price, gross
national income, national saving and gross domestic saving. The securities markets as
a whole has shown its dynamism with the rising number of companies floating share,
increase in the number of listed companies, significant increase in market
capitalization and market index and percent of turnover on market capitalization as
compared to previous fiscal year. (Annual Report; SEBO/N: 2007/08)
In the fiscal year 2008/09, 12 companies comprising four commercial banks, five
development banks, two finance companies, and one other company issued their
securities to the public. 50 companies comprising six commercial banks, 13
development banks and 27 finance companies three insurance companies and one
other company issued rights shares. The stock exchange has been delisting 1 company
for non-compliance of legal provisions. NEPSE have categorized 78 companies into
group 'A' comprising 15 commercial banks, 15 development bank, 36 finance
companies, 10 insurance companies, one manufacturing and processing company and
one other company. Citizen Investment Trust (CIT) have sold units amounting to Rs.
2262.0 million and repurchased units amounting Rs. 173.60 million under Citizen
Unit Scheme. Under the NCM Mutual Fund, 2002 total investment have reached to
Rs. 151.53 million and the net asset value (NAV) reachd to Rs. 536.85. 68 companies
have declared cash dividend and bonus share. Out of these companies, 15 have
declared cash dividend, 35 have declared bonus shares, 18 companies have declared
both dividend and bonus shares.(SEBO/N Annual Report; 2008/09)
The Government of Nepal has issued three new Regulations, namely, Securities
Businessperson (Stock Broker, Dealer and Market Maker) Regulation-2007,
Securities Board Regulation-2007 and Stock Exchange Licensing Regulation-2007.
Among other things, paved the way for opening a new stock exchange, increase the
number of stock brokers and reduce the brokerage commission.
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After a long time wait, Over-the-counter (OTC) market is started from the beginning
of June, 2008. OTC market has helped to transact the securities of those companies
that are not listed in the NEPSE. This market has also helped those investors who hold
the securities of unlisted companies. They have got an opportunity to trade such
securities. OTC market allow to trade securities of unlisted companies. (Aviyaan
Weekly, June, 2008). Over-the-counter Ltd. Implemented the bylaws since June, 04
2008.
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This study has tried to find out the different prominent factors of the investors.
Actually it focuses much more towards the investors and with regard to the financial
instrument, which are traded in the NEPSE.
Investors in Nepal have been found relating it to gambling and speculation. However,
it is very different from speculation and gambling. It is the process of rational
decision-making. The investment process begins from setting investment policy to
portfolio construction, revision and performance evaluation. Choice of securities for
investors is extremely limited and confined to a few securities to construct and
evaluate efficient portfolios. Due to state of utopia and over-expectation of getting
rich overnight, people (mid-class) hesitate to invest in securities at first. Also if they
invest in securities, they don’t behave rationally. Instead, they invest in without
proper analysis and judgment of the risk and return leading their decision to
adhocism. There is presence of information gap, misguided attitude, and suspicious
authenticity of the financial statements published by the institutions. Guided by these,
the investors are seemed selecting the securities without proper guidance and analysis.
As a result, they may incur losses or reap profits beyond their expectations.
While investing rationally in a security, the price and value of that security should be
matched and taken decision accordingly. If the price of that security is greater than its
value, it will be better to sell short or simply sell. Likewise, if the price is less than its
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value, it will be better to buy or invest in (Francis, J. C: 2001, 209). This can only
happen and the accurate price can be calculated only when the investors are provided
with sufficient, authentic information required to calculate the real value of securities
and their growth prospective. But in the context of Nepal, there is limited flow of
information, non-transparency of the trading mechanisms, poor knowledge of
securities analysis, and lack of consultancies for consultation to judge and value the
securities. Thus, the problem is that the investors could not identify the profitable
stocks to invest in.
Some of the specific objectives behind conducting this research study will be:
To examine the impact on the stock marker as per the change of investors’
perception.
To examine whether investors’ perception leads to growth of the stock
market.
To indicate the criteria adopted by the investors while making decision on
securities.
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To analyze the forms of return desired by Nepalese investors on securities
investment.
To reveal the earnings desired by investors from securities.
Regarding the problems inherent and stated above, this study may act as a guideline to
introduce the securities issued in the market, and the earnings associated with them to
the investors. On the basis of study of investment trend, behavioral analysis and
investors’ earnings preference, we can infer certain core ideas on investors’ attitude
towards securities. Thus, it will be beneficial for the potential investors and the
prospective issuers too. As a result, the trading of capital market may expand both in
volume and value. Instilling positive attitude on securities and enticing the investors
on taking rational decision is thus its major significance. In another way, it may also
help in bolstering the earnings of minority investors and thus helps reduce the
widening gap prevailing in our society. Hence, somewhere there lays the potentiality
and significance of conducting this study. The topic thus selected, the focus and the
objective thus targeted through it are of vital importance to the existing as well as
potential investors. If referred seriously, this may bring a drastic change in investors’
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current attitude and induce them to invest more rationally. Moreover, this study aims
to inculcate in the investors mind for conduction of fair securities transaction through
proper analysis of risk and return and comparison of price with value.
This whole research work have been divided into five chapters. They are
as follows.
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The first and introduction chapter of the research work. This chapter has
included introduction, focus of study, statement of the problem, need and
significant of the study objective of the study.
The second chapter is termed as review of related literature. This study
deals with the review of related studies.
The third chapter research methodology deals with the research design,
population and sample, data collection procedures, statistical and
Analytical tools and variables defined.
The fourth chapter present the analysis and interpretation of the study in
this chapter secondary data are approved and analysis the data.
The fifth chapter of this research work is the final chapter. This chapter
contains summery, conclusion and recommendation.
In this way, the whole research area is outrightly categorized into five parts and every
part have been properly organized and prepared as mentioned. If required, necessary
additions might be performed without violating the core topic structure.
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CHAPTER-II
REVIEW OF LITERATURE
This chapter highlights upon the existing literature and research related to the present
study with a view to functioning out what had already been explained and how the
present research adds to this dimension. Under this research, various books, journals,
articles and previous research has been consulted and reviewed.
Every Investor wants to invest those sectors that can assure the increment of their
wealth. Financial Market is one of the best sector that investor can be assured that
their investment will be safe and can earn more benefit. After analysing the detailed
information provided by various companies, investors select and invest in one of the
best alternative securities of any companies.
2.1.1 Investment
The word 'investments' is one that most of us are familiar with hearing in financial
context. For many of us, it may make us thing of big business and vasts sums of
money, but there is much to the world of investments than multi-million dollar deals.
Although it is true that, at the top level, investments may run into many millions, it is
possible for the average person in the street to invest smaller amounts of money and
to invest it wisely.
In truth, investments can cover a wide range of options. One of the most traditional
types of investing is in the stock market. This has been viewed by some as being a
difficult type of investment to get into, but times are changing. The new range of
online stockbrokers available mean that it's now easy (and fairly inexpensive) to get
involved in buying and selling shares.
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An alternative type of investment, which has become particularly popular in the UK,
is that of property. Putting money into residential properties and then taking a rental
income is seen by many as a win-win situation. The largest downside to this type of
investing is that a large capital sum is needed to begin with, or else it is need to take
out a sizeable loan. As with the stock market, property should be looked at as a long-
term investment.
Investment in its broad sense means the sacrifice of current dollars for future dollars.
The investment for future returns generally and automatically involves two attributes
time and risk. The sacrifice of present wealth takes place in certainty but the reward or
return is uncertain and hence bears a risk of uncertainty (Sharpe, Alexander and
Bailey; 2002:11).
Investment is an exchange of financial claim - stocks and bonds etc. Investment is the
employment of funds with the aim of achieving additional income or growth in value.
It involves the commitment of resources that have been saved or put away from
current consumption in the hope that some benefits will accrue in future. An
investment involves the sacrifice of current rupees for future rupees. The sacrifice
takes place in the present and certain. The reward comes later and is uncertain.
Investment is generally categorized into real assets or financial assets. Real assets are
tangible, material things such as buildings, automobiles, factories, knowledge and
machines that are used to produce goods that can be seen and felt. Real assets are
generally less liquid than financial assets. Returns on real assets are frequently more
difficult to measure accurately. But our principal concern is with financial assets.
Financial assets are piece of paper representing an indirect claim to real assets held by
someone else. These pieces of paper represent debt or equity commitments. Financial
assets define the allocation of income or wealth among investors. Financial assets are
created and destroyed in the ordinary course of doing business. When a loan is paid
off, both the creditor's claim (a financial asset) and the debtor's obligation (a financial
liability) cease to exist. Financial assets such as stocks and bonds can be held by
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investors in both direct and indirect forms. Investors can buy and sell stocks and
bonds directly through financial markets or indirectly by pooling their funds with
other [Link] returns on a financial asset come from the income produced by the
real assets that are financed by the issuance of the security.
There are various types of investment alternatives have been developed in financial
market. Widely used investment alternatives in modern business society are classified
as follows:
a) Equity Securities:
Equities are probably the most familiar type of security. Stocks are shares of
ownership of a public corporation which are sold to investors to allow the companies
to raise a lot of cash at once. The investors profit when the companies increase their
earnings which keeps the economy growing. It is easy to buy stocks, but takes a lot of
knowledge to buy stocks in the right company. Equities are often termed as stocks or
shares. Stocks represent a part ownership of a corporation (Hatch; 1983:165). Holding
a stock certification means that the holder owns the part of the corporation. Thus there
are only corporate stocks no government of state and local government stock, since
individuals cannot own governments (at least not legally) (Ritter; 1993:29). Equities
or stocks are basically the contracts that establish an ongoing relationship between
borrower and lender and almost always bundling some combination of control
"Control Rights" and rights to be a "residual claimant". In the establishment of the
corporations of small and medium sizes, stock sales to the incorporators are usually
the principal source of cash and other assets (Kent; 1972:264).
People invest in equities because they want to make more income than they do in a
saving account. For the possibility of making more income, they assume more risk.
There are several advantages and disadvantages of investing in stock. The likelihood
of dividends and price appreciation motivates most investors to purchase common
stocks. Many companies might declare relatively small cash dividends, perhaps with a
return of only 2 or 3 percent. But these companies may also offer a good chance for
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price appreciation over time. Equity investment also offers a high potential return.
Greater than average returns are possible if one buys and sells the correct stocks. On
the other hand, in equity investments risk of various types are also present. There is
the financial risk that the company will go bankrupt. There is the liquidity risk that the
price of stock might be quite low when one wants to sell it. Along with them inflation
risk also presents. In the period of high inflation, market prices of equity are
depressed.
Equity securities or stocks come in two forms: common stock and preferred stock. Of
these, common stock is much more important.
i) Common Stock
Common stock is the first security of a corporation to be issued and in the event of
bankruptcy, the last to be retired. Each share of common stock entitles its owner to
one vote on any matters of corporate governance that are put to a vote at the
corporation's annual meeting and to a share in the financial benefits of ownership. An
investor in common stock receives certificate of ownership, stating the number of
shares and par value of share. Common stock holders have the voting rights, they can
vote for a board of directors and to vote on major issues that may be presented before
them. Dividend is not a must for common stocks; some pay it but not all. Companies
in early growth stage typically pay low or no dividends; rather, they retain as much
earnings as possible to finance rapid growth. As companies become more established,
they may pay a high percentage of profits as dividends (Santomero and Babbel;
1997:343).
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The term preferred relates to the right of preference in payment of dividends when
funds are scarce and preference in payment in the event of bankruptcy. In exchange
for these preferences, the preferred shareholder generally accepts a fixed dividend as
opposed to a common dividend which may increase a company profits increase.
When a company is unable to pay dividends for several periods on cumulative
preferred stock, all unpaid dividends must be paid before any common dividends may
be paid. The voting rights of preferred stockholders may not be the same as those of
common stockholders (Elli;2001:218).
Preferred stock has features similar to both equity and debt. Like a bond, it promises
to pay to its holder a fixed amount of income each year. In this sense preferred stock
is similar to an infinite-maturity bond, that is, a perpetuity. It resembles a bond in that
it does not convey voting power regarding the management of the firm. Preferred
stock is an equity investment, however. The firm retains discretion to make the
dividend payments to the preferred stockholders; it has no contractual obligation to
pay those dividends.
b) Debt Securities
Debt securities are those on which interest has to pay an they have certain maturity
period. Debt securities can be divided into two parts. They are as follows:
Treasury Bills
Treasury bills (T-bills) are the most marketable of all money market instruments. T-
bills represent the simplest form of borrowing: The government raises money by
selling bills to the public. Investors buy the bills at a discount from the stated maturity
value. At the bill's maturity, the holder receives from the government a payment equal
to the face value of the bill. The difference between the purchase price and ultimate
24
maturity value constitutes the investor's earnings. Individuals can purchase T-bills
directly at auction or on the secondary market from a government securities dealer. T-
bills are highly liquid; that is, they are easily converted to cash and sold at low
transaction cost and with not much price risk. Market of T-bill has started since 2018
B.S. and the process of selling treasury bills of banks, financial institutions and
individuals through an auction has been initiated since 2045 in Nepal
Certificates of Deposits
A certificate of deposit or CD is a time deposit with a bank. Time deposits may not be
withdrawn on demand. The bank pays interest and principal to the depositor only at
the end of the fixed term of the CD. CDs are usually negotiable and they can be sold
to another investor if the owner needs to cash in the certificate before its maturity
date. Short-term CDs are highly marketable, although the market significantly thins
out for maturities of three months or more.
Commercial Paper
Commercial paper is an unsecured debt issued by large and well known corporations
with high credit ratings to finance its short term needs. Very often, commercial paper
is backed by a bank line of credit, which gives the borrower access to cash that can be
used (if needed) to pay off the paper at maturity. Commercial paper is available in a
variety of denominations and usually ranges in maturity from 2 to 270 days.
Government Securities
Government securities are the fixed income securities issued by the government.
These securities are among the safest of all investments, as the government is unlikely
to default on interest or on principal repayments. In Nepal, Nepal Rastra Bank has
been actively issuing various government securities like T-bills, Development bonds,
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National Saving Bonds, Special Bonds and public saving cards with the main aims of
tackling the deficit budget.
Treasury Notes:
Treasury Note is a marketable government debt security with a fixed interest rate and
a maturity between one and 10 years. Treasury notes can be bought either directly
from the government or through a bank.
When buying Treasury notes from the government, it can be either put
in a competitive or noncompetitive bid. Treasury notes are extremely popular
investments as there is a large secondary market that adds to their liquidity. Interest
payments on the notes are made every six months until maturity. The income for
interest payments is not taxable on a municipal or state level but is federally taxed.
Treasury notes are similar to certificates of indebtedness except with regard to their
time until maturity.
Treasury Bonds
Treasury bonds (T-Bonds, or the long bond) have the longest maturity, from ten years
to thirty years. They have interest payment every six months like T-Notes, and are
commonly issued with maturity of thirty years. The secondary market is highly liquid,
so the yield on the most recent T-Bond offering was commonly used as a proxy for
long-term interest rates in general. Treasury bond issues that are callable may be
called anytime during the last 5 years of the life of the issue.
Saving Bonds
Savings bonds provide a safe, risk-free investment guaranteed by the government. It is
also a long term debt instrument, which normally matures in five years. This types of
bonds in Nepal known as pubic saving card. The characteristics of the public saving
card are same as the other long term bonds. It has also fixed interest rate and payable
semiannually. It can be purchased only by Nepalese citizens. It is also a taxable
government bond. Nepal government initiated the process of selling public saving
card since 2059.
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Agency Securities
Debt obligations of these entities are collectively called agency securities or simply
agencies. Agency Securities are fixed-income securities that are issued by U.S.
government-sponsored entities (GSEs) that are started to reduce borrowing costs for
students, farmers, and homeowners. Agency securities are issued by organizations
such as Government National Mortgage Association (Ginnie Mae), Federal Home
Loan Mortgage Corporation (Freddie Mac), and Federal National Mortgage
Association (Fannie Mae). Government sponsored enterprises (GSE) are private
corporations chartered by the Federal Government and granted privileges so they can
advance specific purposes. However, because of their special GSE status, the market
doesn't demand as high of an interest rate as it would from an equivalent private
sector issuer because of the perception that the government would step in to back the
securities in the case of a default. However, the government does not actually back
these debt issues.
Municipal Securities
Municipal bonds are issued by state and local governments. They are similar to
Treasury and corporate bonds except that their interest income is exempt from federal
income taxation. The interest income also is exempt from state and local taxation in
the issuing state. Municipal bonds are typically less complicated investments than
corporate bonds. However, while municipal debt often carries a high credit rating,
default risk does exist. Thus, investing in municipal debt requires more care than
investing in Treasury securities. There are basically two types of municipal bonds.
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Revenue Bonds
Revenue bonds are issued to finance particular projects and are backed either by the
revenues from that project or by the particular municipal agency operating the project.
Typical issuers of revenue bonds are airports, hospitals, highway and port authorities.
Obviously, revenue bonds are riskier in terms of default than general obligation
bonds. Revenue bonds may carry a slightly higher interest rate than General
Obligation bonds, however, they are usually considered the second-most secure type
of municipal bonds.
Corporate Bond
Corporate bonds are debt securities issued by private and public corporations.
Companies issue corporate bonds to raise money for a variety of purposes, such as
building a new plant, purchasing equipment, or growing the business. When we buy a
corporate bond, we lend money to the "issuer," the company that issued the bond. In
exchange, the company promises to return our money, also known as "principal," on a
specified maturity date. Until that date, the corporation usually pays a stated rate of
interest. They typically pay semiannual coupons over their lives and return the face
value to the bondholder at maturity. These bonds are similar in structure to Treasury
issues but they differ most importantly from Treasury bonds in degree of risk.
c) Derivate Securities
The term derivative is commonly used to describe a type of security whose market
value is directly related to, or derived from, another traded security. Option, futures,
and forward contracts are examples of derivatives as well as stock warrants, swap
agreements and other more exotic variations. The most important determinant of the
price of the option is the current price of the company's shares on the open market
(the underlying asset).
i) Option
Option contract an agreement that gives the owner of stocks the right, but not the
obligation, to buy or sell a specific asset at a specified price for a set period of time.
The most familiar options are stock options. Options are a very flexible investment
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tool, and a great deal is known about them. Options come in two flavors - calls and
puts options. Call options are securities that allow a person to buy a stock at a
specified price, known as the exercise (or strike) price, on or before a certain date,
known as the expiration date. Put options are similar to call options except that they
give the buyer the right to sell stock at a specific price instead of buying it.
ii) Rights
Rights are issued by a corporation to existing common stockholders in connection
with the sale of additional shares of stock at a specified attractive price within a
specified time. A rights issue is offered to all existing shareholders individually and
may be rejected, accepted in full or (in a typical rights issue) accepted in part by each
shareholder. Rights are often transferable, allowing the holder to sell them on the
open market. Rights can be sold separately from the share to other investors during
the life of the right or shareholders must either take up the rights or let them lapse.
Once the rights have lapsed, they no longer exist). Subscription price for new share,
number of new shares, value of right and effect of the rights should be considered
before issuing rights by financial manager.
iii) Futures
Futures contracts are agreements to buy or sell assets at some time in the future.
Futures that provide the contract holder the right to buy or sell a specified amount of
an agricultural and natural resources commodity at a designated price within a
specified period of time are known as commodity futures. Futures that provide the
contract holder the right to sell or buy Treasury bond, foreign exchange and stock
index is known as financial futures.
iv) Warrants
A Warrant is an option to buy a stated number of shares of common stock or bond at a
specified exercise price. Warrants are similar to the call options except that they are
issued by the firm itself and, typically, have longer maturities. When debt, preferred
stock, or common stock is issued, it may be sold in units, which include one or more
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warrants to purchase common stock or other securities. Warrants, thus, are often used
as "sweeteners" to make it easier to sell the associated security.
d) Other Securities
i) Pension funds
A Pension fund is a pool of assets forming an independent legal entity that are bought
with the contributions to a pension plan for the exclusive purpose of financing
pension plan benefits. Pension funds are important shareholders of listed and private
companies. The Economist has reported that pension funds world-wide hold over the
largest for any category of investor of other funds.
The diversity in securities market instruments attracts the investors of various risk
preferences providing the choices in the investment alternatives. But in case of
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Nepalese securities market, it is mostly dominated by risky instrument (equity share),
which constitutes more than 80 percent of the total paid up value of the securities
listed in the stock exchange and the rest consisting of preference, debentures/bonds
and mutual funds. Recently government securities are listed in the stock exchange,
however, these securities are mostly held by institutions and free float securities are
not in the hands of individuals resulting in limited or no trades. Lack of benchmark
interest rate provided by government securities market and the trustee mechanism, the
corporate bonds issue practice has still not been popular. So, the market has not
become attractive to risk averter and risk neutral investors (Thapa; 2007).
a) Individual Investors
Individual investors are those who buy and sell securities for their personal account,
and not for another company or organization. Individual investors buy in much
smaller quantities than larger institutional investors. Individual investors are part
timer; they are the businessman, government worker, doctors, lawyers and even
housewives, students and unemployed adults. When a individual buys securities,
holds them and gets divided of profit through price appreciation, the cash flow
become income to the people. Individuals have an opportunity cost in obtaining
investment information, such as reading publication, tracking stocks prices and
building a files on securities.
b) Institutional Investors
A non-bank person or organization that trades securities in large enough share
quantities or dollar is known as institutional investor. An institutional investor is an
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investor, such as a bank, insurance company, retirement fund, hedge fund, or mutual
fund, that is financially sophisticated and makes large investments, often held in very
large portfolios of investments. Because of their sophistication, institutional investors
may often participate in private placements of securities, in which certain aspects of
the securities laws may be inapplicable. Institutional investors face fewer protective
regulations because it is assumed that they are more knowledgeable and better able to
protect themselves.
All investors require greater return for greater risk, Thus, all portfolio managers much
be aware of not only the return they provide investors, but how the return measures up
to the level of risk taken to achieve it.
The number-one reason why individuals invest too conservatively or do not invest at
all is fear of loosing money. A healthy respect for the dangers of financial markets is
essential to investing, but too much fear, often driven by a lack of understanding, can
be debilitating. The key to investing is not avoiding risk, but managing it intelligently
(Ellie; 2001:107).
On ground of assurance of the return, there are two kinds of Investments - Riskless
and Risky. Riskless investments are guaranteed, but since the value of a guarantee is
only as good as the guarantor, those backed by the full faith and confidence of a large
stable government are the only ones considered riskless.
Depending on the nature of the investment, the type of investment will vary. Mostly
the investment risks are divided as follows:
a) Business Risk
Business risk is the financial risk inherent in a particular company. Components of
business risk include fluctuations in sales, cash flow, and earnings due to any
multitude of causes, including poor management, economic downturns, or a highly
competitive environment. The most extreme result of business risk is bankruptcy of
the company in which investors receive partial or no payment of interest and principal
on bonds and find their common stock worthless.
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b) Market Risk
Market risk is the result of momentum in the securities markets. These movements, or
trends, are generally the result of changes in economic, political, or social conditions,
or investor preferences. Nearly all marketable investments are subject to market risk.
Stocks are subject to the market risk of the general stock market and to the current
trend in investing styles, whether it is growth versus value of small versus large-
company stock.
c) Liquidity Risk
Liquidity risk is the risk that an investment cannot be sold quickly at a reasonable
price. In the event that we would need to raise cash for an emergency, selling
investments with liquidity risk can cause significant losses in principal. Avoiding
liquidity risk is as simple as keeping enough invested in liquid securities to cover an
emergency. A good rule of thumb is six months living expenses held in liquid
investment.
d) Management Risk
The risks associated with ineffective, destructive or underperforming management,
which hurts shareholders and the company or fund being managed. This term refers to
the risk of the situation in which the company and shareholders would have been
better off without the choices made by management. Management risk refers to the
chance that company managers will put their own interests ahead of the interest of the
company and shareholders. Management risk also applies to investment managers,
whose decisions and actions may divert from the investors' wishes or reduce the value
of an investment portfolio.
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interest rate changes. This has a big impact on interest-paying investments because as
market interest rate rises or falls, an investor’s money is tied up in a bond that pay less
or more than the going rate, and hence the value of the investor’s bond decreases or
increases.
f) Inflation Risk
This is the uncertainty over future rates of inflation. If the return from an investment
is barely keeping up with the rate of inflation, an investor’s purchasing power will be
eroded as time goes on. In other words, the investor will receive a lesser amount of
purchasing power than what was originally invested because the cost of buying
everything has gone up. Inflation risk is also known as Purchase power risk that is
potential risk of loss in the value of cash due to inflation.
g) Default Risk
The risk that companies or individuals will be unable to pay the contractual interest or
principal on their debt obligations is known as default risk. This is the uncertainty
regarding an issuing firm’s ability to pay interest, principal, etc. on its debt
instruments.
h) Callability Risk
This is the risk that an investment is recalled (or retired) prior to the original stated
date. This type of risk is most applicable to long-term bonds and preferred stocks.
This usually happens when the issuing firms find the market conditions favorable in
“refinancing” such investments
i) Political Risk
This is caused by changes in the political environment that affect an investment’s
market value. Political risk can be classified as either domestic or foreign political
risk. An example of domestic political risk is a change in the tax laws, and an example
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of foreign political risk is a change in a foreign government’s policy regarding capital
outflow.
The investment process describes how an investor makes decisions about what
securities to invest in, how extensive these investments should be, and when they
should be made. Though it does not get sufficient attention and understanding, the
investment process is critical for every investor for several reasons. The investment
process involves the following steps:
Technical Analysis:
Technical analysis is a method of using past price and volume patterns to predict
future price movements. In another word, Technical analysis is technique for
predicting market direction of future stock price movements based on historical price
and volume behaviour and investor sentiment. It is widely used in the commodity
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markets. It is essentially the search for bullish or bearish signals, meaning positive or
negative indicators about stock prices or market direction.
Fundamental Analysis:
Fundamental analysis represents the examination of a firm's accounting statements
and other financial and economic information to assess the economic value of a
company's stock. Information regarding such things as management quality, products
and product markets is often examined as well.
d) Performance Evaluation
Investing is after all focused on one objective and one objective alone, which is to
make the most money we can, given the risk constraints us operate under. Investors
are not forgiving of failure and unwilling to accept even the best of excuses, and
loyalty to money managers is not a commonly found trait. By the same token,
performance evaluation is just as important to the individual investor who constructs
his or her own portfolio, since the feedback from it should largely determine how that
investor approaches investing in the future.
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2.1.6 Investor's Objectives, Constraint and Preferences
a) Objectives
Different investors will have very different investment objectives and strategies.
Some of investors will be very active, buying and selling frequently; other will be
relatively inactive, buying and holding for long periods of time. Some will be willing
to bear substantial risk in seeking out returns; for others, safety is a primary concern.
We invest today to have more tomorrow. In other words, investment is simply
deferred consumption; instead of spending today, we choose to wait because we wish
to have more to spend later. There is no difference, really, between investing and
saving.
Most investors are risk-averse, meaning that all other things the same, they dislike
risk and want to expose themselves to the minimum risk level possible. However,
larger returns are generally associated with larger risks, so there is a trade-off. In
formulating investment objectives, the individual must therefore balance return
objectives with risk tolerance (Corrado and Jordan; 2002:53).
Whether waging a war, building a car or making a seafood gumbo, investor must
identify investment objectives (Elli; 2001:283).
b) Constraints
Investor's investment will be affected be affected by various constraints. Most
common and important constraints are as follows:
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Resources:
Resources are probably the most obvious constraint and the one to which many
investor relate. Resources mean any kind of real assets and financial assets.
Obviously, Lack of resources, investment can not be undertaken at all. So, minimum
requirement of resource should be maintain before investment undertaken. Since there
are frequently minimum commission levels, account fees, and other costs associated
with buying and selling securities an investors need resources.
Horizon
The investment horizon refers to the planned life of the investment. The investment
horizon for retirement depends on age which can very long whereas buying house in
near future is relatively short horizon. So it is true that stocks outperformed the other
investments in the long run, but there were short periods over which they did much
worse.
Liquidity
An asset with a high degree of liquidity is one that can be sold quickly without a
significant price concession. There is the possibility that an asset will need to be sold
quickly.
Taxes
Different types of investments are taxed very differently. When we talk about the
return on an investment, what is really relevant is the after tax return. As a result,
taxes are a vital consideration. Higher tax bracket investors will naturally seek
investment strategies with favorable tax treatments, while lower tax bracket investors
will focus more on pretax returns.
Special circumstances
Everyone will have some special or unique requirements or opportunities. Since it is
difficult to envision any other investment with such a favorable payoff, such an
opportunity should probably be taken even though there may be some undesirable
38
liquidity, tax or horizon considerations. Possible special circumstances would be
essentially endless. The number of dependents and their needs will vary from investor
to investor, and the need to provide for dependents will be an important constraint.
Some investors want to invest only in companies whose product and activities they
consider to be socially or politically suitable, and some investors want to invest
primarily in their own community or state.
c) Investors Preferences
Preference on investment depends upon the nature of investors. Risk lover (investor)
prefers on the stock which have high return and risk averse investor prefers on the
stock which have low risk even though the stock have low return. So, investors vary
in their preferences. Some investors are very concerned about the possibility of losses
with stocks and prefer to keep a lower proportion of stocks in their portfolios. Other
investors are less concerned about the possibility of losses with stocks and prefer to
keep a higher proportion of stocks in their portfolio. Some investors prefer stocks of
socially responsible companies and some conventional companies. Some investors
prefer foreign stocks while others prefer domestic stocks. Some people believe that
they can pick stocks that would earn higher than average returns where as some
people believe that they are unable to do so.
a) Primary Market
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Market in which corporations and government institutions raise a new capital is
known as primary market. Primary market is basically concerned with the
accumulation of funds. All securities, whether in money or capital markets, are
initially issued in the primary market. This is the only market in which the company
or government is directly involved in the transaction and receives direct benefit from
issue that is the company actually receives the proceeds from the sale of securities.
Once the securities begin to trade among individual, business, government or
financial institution, savers and investors, they become part of the secondary market.
(Bhattarai; 2004:06).
c) Secondary Market
The market in which previously issued securities are traded among investors is known
as secondary market. In the secondary market, investors are constantly appraising the
values of companies by buying and selling shares previously issued by these
companies. In the secondary market investors buy and sell stocks with other investors.
If you think of the primary as the new-car showroom at an automotive dealer, where
cars are first sold to the public, then the secondary market is just the used-car lot.
Secondary market stock starting among investors through three channels: 1. Directly
with other investors, 2. Indirectly through a broker who arranges transactions for
40
others. 3. Directly with a dealer who buys and sells securities from inventory
(Corrado & Jordan; 2002;126).
41
provides immediate information on a computer linked system of bid and asked prices
for stocks offered by various dealers.
f) Third Market
The third market is an OTC Market where the securities listed in the organized stock
exchange are also traded. More generally, the term third market now refers to the
trading of any exchange listed security in the over the counter (OTC) markets. The
trading hours are not fixed to the third market like organized stock exchange. In the
third market dealers provide only execution and record keeping services for their
client.
g) Fourth Market
The fourth market refers to direct trading between investors in exchange listed
securities without benefit of a broker. The direct trading among investors that
characterizes the fourth market has exploded in United States few years back due to
the advent of the electronic communication network (ECN) which provides quotations
and execution automatically.
The amount of risk associated with an investment is directly related to its expected
total return. This universal rule of investing means that if we want a higher level of
return on our investment, then we will have to take more risk to get it. If we are
willing to take a higher level of risk, we should expect to be compensated by earning
a higher rate of return. It is not always true that a riskier asset will pay a higher
average rate of return, it is usually true. The reason is that most investors are risk
averse. As a result, high risk assets must offer investors high returns to induced them
to make the riskier investments.
In addition to knowing intuitively that risk and expected return are related, risk of
investments can be measured numerically by equating volatility in total returns with
risk. Standard deviation is a statistical measure of past volatility. It measures the
extent to which numbers differ from the arithmetic mean of the series. The standard
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deviation has more meaning when we know that normally two-thirds of the returns
will lie within one standard deviation of the mean.
Return
Market Risk
premium line
r3%
r2%
r1%
Risk
σ1 σ2 σ3
The figure 2.1 represents a higher risk premium. For taking risk S.D. 1, the expected
return is r1 when an investor assumes risk S.D.2, the return must be r2 Increasing the
return (risk premium) by r2-r1 for assuming more risk: S.D.2-S.D1. This assumption
of linear relationship states that the risk premium must increases or decreases in
proportion to a change in level of risk. It also indicates higher the risk, higher the
return and lower the risk lower the return.
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directly encompasses interest rate, market, and inflation risks. Investors cannot escape
this part of the risk because no matter how well they diversify, the risk of the overall
market cannot be avoided. The variability in a security's total returns not related to
overall market variability is called the nonsystematic risk. An unsystematic risk is one
that affects a single asset, or possibly a small group of assets. This risk is unique to a
particular security and is associated with such factors as business and financial risk as
well as liquidity risk. Although all securities tend to have some nonsystematic risk, it
is generally connected with common stocks.
E(ri)
CAPM or SML
Stocks investors who want to invest n the stock market should not invest directly in
corporation. At first, they come in stock exchange market. They invest on the
information base on prospectus of company and other public notice and details, which
are published by the company.
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While investment policies needed to be informed, the investor needs to consider many
factors. Usually these are the factor to be considered in the investment planning
decision (Shim and Siegel; 1989:256).
Investing is all about making money by investing in the stock market rationally. The
following things are the basis for the investments to meet the criteria of stability and
strength. Let's review the typical investments considered by most. The following are
some investment attributes that must be considered by investors.
Security of principal
Role of return
Marketability (Liquidity)
Stability of income
Strength(Leverage)
Inflation
Cash flow
Tax benefit
Limited Management Requirements.
Investor investing in stock must compare price and value of share in market and
should select shares, which have owner market price than its intrinsic value. The
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investors investing in bonds and debenture should find out the provision of repayment
of principle in case of default.
The investor are to informed about following before making investment decision in
primary issue or initial issue (SEBON; 2058:11).
i. The investors should take necessary information about company such as;
promoters, size of company, growth of company, company's environment, Board
of directors (BOD) and the past and forecasted statements (Performa balance
sheet) etc. from the prospectus, Articles, Memorandum of the concerned company
and company's promoters.
ii. The investor should make a public announcement made by the company in
National daily newspaper before 7 to 15 days the opening of issue of share.
i. To keep all information of the companies return to the shareholders in the form
of cash dividend, stock dividend, bonus share etc. To keep the timely
information about companies earning per share (EPS), book price per share
(BPS), price earning ratio (P/E ratio), future plan and growth expectancy of the
company by studying annual, quarterly and half yearly performance reports,
profit and loss account, Balance sheet and Annual Reports etc.
ii. To analyze the information (price sensitive and other information) notified to
the investor in the notice board of SEBON and NEPSE about the listed
companies.
iii. To study the articles related to the trading of shares and economic matters
published in the different newspaper and magazines.
iv. To study the trading statements and financial analysis of the listed companies
published by NEPSE.
v. To study annual reports and other information published by SEBON.
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vi. To attend the Annual General Meeting (AGM) regularly.
vii. To study the act and regulation concerning to the share holders right.
viii. To derive the necessary information related to the trading of shares from website
from SEBON ([Link]) and NEPSE ([Link])
The investment consideration begins from the selection of the broker to assist the
trading in the securities market. Most investors have access to investment information
in the form of oral and written form from their brokers. Brokers subscribe to well
known investment information sources that can be used by their customers. Brokers
are most active trading agents of capital markets. Stockholders are back bone of stock
market and its smooth functioning.
The representative should not be the type who is always trying to sell the investor
something on the other hand, he should be aware of securities held by the investors
47
and should informed him of any news that is relevant to those holding. Basically the
function of the representative is to give service and information to the investors so
that the latter can make investment decision and for a mutually satisfactory business
relationship between the two lies with the investor for he must make his own
investing philosophies and goals quite clear so that the representative will be able to
offer the type of served desired (Fisher [Link], 1992).
For an investor the investment process starts after the selection of a reliable broker
who can guide well in investment industry. The broker helps investors in security
analysis and in providing all necessary information about the stocks current position.
Every investor must be able to calculate the intrinsic value of security and if the
market rice available below the value the purchase should be made and vice versa.
Besides above mentioned basic principles, some basic factors really affect the
investment policy and composition of the components. However, their degree of
affecting power may vary. These are the pother factors that have significant affecting
power:
Regulatory Provision
Management Perception
Present composition of the investment portfolio
Availability and accessibility of the investment
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where they are available. Up to date information is required on the status of and trends
in the economy, particular industries, and firms.
There are two broad categories of information: Internal and external. Internal
information consists of data and events made public by firms concerning their
operations .It mainly takes the form of interim and annual reports to shareholders, and
public and private investments of the officers and managers of the firm. The principal
information sources generated internally by a firm are its financial statements. The
analyst does not, of course, limit inquiry to information provided by accountants,
ingenious and competent analysts sample widely from many kinds of information.
Actions Speak Louder than words: Information is not usually available to all parties in
business in equal measure. For example, the board of directors will know more about
49
the future prospects of the business of the business than the shareholders who have to
rely on published information. This information asymmetry means that investors not
only listen to the board's rhetoric and confident projections, but also examine the
information content in its corporate actions. This signaling effect is most commonly
seen in the dividend signals that the company is expected to be able to sustain those
levels of cash distribution in the future (Pike and Neale; 1998:23).
Many corporate managers are some what parsimonious in their release of information
to the market. Their motives are often understandable, such as reluctance to divulge
commercially sensitive information. As a result many valuations are largely based on
inspired guesswork.
The value of a company quoted on a semi-strong efficient market can snoop the pre-
product to what information has been released supplemented by intuition, yet
company chairman are fond of complaining that the market persistently undervalues
their companies.
Some for example, Richard Brason (Virgin) and Andrew Loyd- webber (Really useful
group) have, in expansion even mounted buy- back operations to repurchase publicly
held shares to return 'their' enterprises in to private hands. The problem however, is
often of their own making.
The market can only absorb and process the information offered to it. Indeed,
information hoarding may even be interpreted adversely. If information about the
company performance and future prospects is jealously guarded we should not be
surprised if the valuation even of quoted companies appears somewhat haphazard
(Pike and Neale, 1998:97).
Information helps the investors that the best investment decision taking among the
above available. Information affects the prices of the securities of a company. Any
information that affects the value of the company will also affects the price of its
securities. This includes firm specific information of its future earnings, cash flows
50
and growth prospects; macro economic information on inflation, interest rates and the
economy; the industry specific information. As the managers of the company have
control on the firm specific information they should provide such information to the
investors (capital market) as soon as possible.
Importance of Information
No one should buy a stock without knowing as much as possible about company that
issues it, and it is possible only by gathering as much information as is available on
the company.
Informed investing is not grouping in the dark, it is not purchasing a share because the
name is attractive, it is the investing in the company whose performance and strengths
have been evaluated and the investment is made in a reasonable belief that company is
good and the price will rise.
The information that one should seek to be able to invest knowledgeably can be
broken down into:
Information on the company-its performance, its sales its profits and its
products.
Information in the company's performance in relation to the other similar
companies.
Information on the industry in which the company operates. Industries go
through periods of boom and depression. Some companies are more
susceptible to economic depression than others. It is important to know at
what stage of the economic cycle the company is in.
Information on the company at a period of drought, agro-based industries
would not do well.
Information on government policy on legislation likely to be passed, on
taxation to be imposed, or duties to be levied or reduced. All these would
affect the performance of the company and as a result the share price.
51
Information on consumer outlook and fashions and spending. These can be of
prime importance.
In Nepal, the investors do not properly understand the risk and reward of investing in
the stock market. This leads to increase the savings into bank deposits rather than
direct investment in the shares by the individual investors. In order to make informed
decisions, investors must have access to accurate and timely information. But this is
not the case in Nepalese corporate sector. The lack of accurate and timely information
is one of the important reasons why investors to a great extent have lost their
confidence in Nepalese stock market. Privatized companies have even a worse track
record in case of periodic performance publicity or disclosure. They show the losses
more readily in worse situation than the profit in prosperous situation.
Investors' confidence in the Nepalese stock market is relatively low because of stock
market volatility. Investors put their money in shares expecting reasonable return to
earn from it. Such returns in the form of both dividend appreciation and capital
appreciation should be reasonable enough to attract them. Dividend as a prime
motivator is worthy enough to attract the investor to make the investment decision, if
provided enough and regularly. But the dividend policy and calculation is not so easy
to analyze. Blank epitomizes the lack of consensus by stating the harder one look at
the dividend picture, the more it seems like a puzzle, with pieces that just don't fit
together (Black Journal, 1976 and Adhikary dissertation, 2001:5).
These days information highway or the Internet has become to the most easily
accessible mediums to gain information in any subject matter. In the study period,
various journals and articles have been consulted.
52
(1965), and the Option Pricing Model of Black and Scholes (1973). Although, these
models are all included in Institute of Faculty Education Ltd. (1996), their acceptance
or use is controversial.
Finance from the investor’s perspective is explained as: “Investor’s whether they are
individuals or institutions such as pension funds, mutual funds, mutual funds or close
endowments hold portfolios that are they hold a collection of different securities.
Much of the innovation in investment research over the past 40 years has been the
development of a theory of portfolio management, and this module is principally an
introduction to these new methods. It will answer the basic question what rate or
return will investors demand to hold a risky security in their portfolio? To answer this
question, we must consider what investors want how we define return, and what mean
by risk.”
One of the fundamental issues in finance is what the factors are that affect expected
return on assets, the sensitivity of expected return to those factors and the reward for
bearing this sensitivity. There is a long history of listing in this area, and it is clearly
one of the investigated areas in finance.
Almost all of the testing, investors were aware of using realized returns as a proxy for
expected returns. The use of average realized returns as a proxy for expected returns
relies on a belief that information surprises tend to cancel out over the period of a
study and realized returns are therefore an unbiased estimate of expected return.
However, it is to be belief that there is ample evidence but this belief is misplaced.
There are period’s longer than 10 years during which stock market realized returns are
an average less than the risk free.
53
“In our benchmark model with perfect information, returns are unpredictable using
past information. But returns become predictable both cross section all and overtime.
When investors learn about the cash flows process without perfect information return
is negatively related to past dividends and prices appear to react too strongly to realize
dividends.”
Return is the main objective of investment and any investors want to make more
money in the future. The main measurement tool of benefit, which is received from a
security, is the rate of return.
The investor return is a measure of growth in wealth resulting from that investment.
This growth measure is expressed in percentage forms to make it comparable across
large and small investors. Stock returns may be riskier or more volatile, but this
concept is a difficult one to express simply. To do so, we borrow a concept from
statistics, called standard deviation. It is a simple measure allowing us to quantity
asset returns by risk, and it also provides the basis for investor decision about
portfolio choice.
In securities market the feedback is often slow and noisy. There may even be a trade-
off between speed and clarity of feedback whereby short-term traders get quicker, but
noisier, feedback, and long-term traders receive clearer feedback but must wait for it.
This paper looks at what happens in financial market when people are overconfidence
and concluded that overconfidence is costly to society. Overconfident traders do not
share risk optimally; they expand too many resources, on information acquisition and
they trade too much. These are dead weight losses. Overconfidence increases trading
volume and market depth, but decreases the expected utility of confident traders.
Overconfident traders increase volatility, though overconfident market makers may
dampen it. Price taking traders, who are overconfident about their ability to interpret
when there are many overconfident traders, market, tend to under-react to the
information rational traders. Under-react to abstract, statistical and highly relevant
information and overreact to salient, but less relevant information. Like those who
54
populate them, markets are predictable in their biases (Terrance Odean, Journal of
Finance, 1998:87).
Small investor is far loss exposed low risk than if his eggs were in one or two baskets
-for oven the most highly regarded companies have boon known to go into
liquidation. Modem financial theory suggests that diversification should be one of the
prime objectives of the investors. The public is increasingly aware of the need for
management. This in part reflects increased advertising and promotional activities
initially by unit trust groups, more recently by the life assurance companies (Winfield
& Curry; 1985).
If a man loses his money in the stock market it is almost always because of his own
greed stupidity or gullibility. It is certainly never the fault of the exchanges and it is
very rarely the fault of his broker (Palat; 1991).
Ghimire (2002), "The essence of the message is that investors should be careful at this
time while investing in the secondary market. For example, buy Standard Chartered
Bank Nepal LTD's shares when they come down to Rs.1500 because the dividend
yield then will be more than 7% Investors should be considered also while investing
in the primary market. Do not get excited to heavy investment on primary issue
because the allocation would be low and you may have to wait for six months before
the scrip you invest on will be open for trading on the secondary market. Even then it
will not offer the price sufficient to compensate for the wait."
Shrestha, (2000), study on "Why share market is inactive, problems and measures"
found that "Investors are noticing about the negligence of public limited companies
that have raised funds from share market by providing sufficient assurance of return
on their investment within a desirable time framework as promised in prospectus. But
despite so many years say 2 to 4 years company management is simply taking lame
excuses of the problems which they have to face in real business world. Actual results
have lagged behind from that of the estimated results exhibited in prospectus at the
time of floating shares to the investing public.
55
2.3 Review of Unpublished Masters Degree Thesis
Under this section, various masters degree thesis related to this study have been
reviewed.
Mr. Badri Subedi (2003) on his study “Investors Awareness in the securities Market
in Nepal” the study had the following objectives:
To examine the popularity of the securities among the general public.
To find out whether the investors are adequately aware or not in the share
trading.
To trace out the investors attitude towards the share investment in comparison
to investment in other sectors.
To achieve the objectives of this study, descriptive and analytical design has been
used. Some financial and statistical tools have been applied to examine facts and
descriptive techniques have been adopted to evaluate awareness of investors in
Nepalese security market and through analyzing following findings have been drawn
out:
Out of the total investors 24.54 percent investors responded that there are better
opportunities for investors in non- securities sectors while 75.46 percent responded
there were better opportunities for Nepalese investors in securities sectors. Among
these respondents, who choose securities market as better sector for investors,
responded the banking, finance, insurance, manufacturing, hotel, trading and other
sectors are suitable for investment in ranking. Likewise, the respondents, who chose
non- securities sector as better sector for investors responded the bank fixed deposit,
fixed asset, business venture and other sectors are suitable for investment in ranking.
They specify the nursing home and educational institutes.
18.05 percent of the respondents said that they are satisfied with the present
availability of the information about the securities while 81.95 percent of the
56
respondents showed their dissatisfaction about the present situation of the availability
of the adequate information.
Companies are found unable to meet the target level as described in the prospectus as
14 percent of the investors said that listed companies are able to meet the target as
mentioned in their prospectus while 86 percent of them said that they are not able to
meet the target as mentioned in the prospectus.
The status of grievances handling of the different institutions involved in share trading
activities could not be considered satisfactory as 12.5 percent of the total respondents
are found satisfied with the performance of the different institutions in handling the
grievances of investors while 87.5 percent of them showed their dissatisfaction.
Most of the investors were found dissatisfied with the return they are presently getting
from the stock investment as 23.61 percent of the total investors were found satisfied
while 76.39 percent were found dissatisfied.
Friends and other sectors were found to be highly inspiring source to get the idea to
invest in share while investors education program and brokers were found to be less
inspiring sources to make investment in shares.
The regulatory aspect of NEPSE is found at low to maintain the fair share trading
activities as 29.17 percent of investors were found satisfied with the regulatory
activities while 70.83 percent of them were found dissatisfied with their regulatory
activities.
The dividend and capital appreciation were found most inspiring factors for investors
to invest in shares while social status and participation in AGM were found less
57
inspiring factors whereas marketability was found to be moderately considerable
factors.
The level of investors' awareness in the securities market was found at low and
moderate level as responded by most of the investors while it is at very low and very
high level as responded by very few investors.
The rumor and whim is found highly and moderately responsible in influencing the
decision of the investors in share investment as responded by most of the investors
whereas it is at low and very low responsible as per some of the investors.
Mr. Kiran Pandit (2004) has conducted a study on “Investors Preference and
Financial Instruments in Nepal.” The study has the following objectives:
To explore widely used financial instruments in Nepal.
To study the primary issues in Nepalese Financial Market.
To analyze the preferences of the different investors of Nepal and to know
what type of instruments the investors prefer the most.
In order to achieve the defined objectives Mr. Pandit has combined Descriptive,
Exploratory and analytical methods. By the help of these followings has been drawn:
The issuance of corporate securities made since 1993/94 shows that around
76% of total issue is covered by common stock is the most widely used
corporate security. Government issues, show that Treasury bills are the mostly
used government security, which covers around 39% of total government
issues.
58
investors preferred the corporate securities whereas unemployed preferred real
estate.
Results showed that investors prefer banking and financial sector very much in
comparison to other sectors. Analysis of subscription ratios showed that the
issues of financial institutes are highly over subscribed in the primary market.
In the secondary market trading also, last five years trading volume shows that
more than 55% of trading volume is covered by the shares of commercial
banks.
Growth (capital gain) was found to be the most preferred investment objective
for all type of investors. When only stock investment was considered, then
also investors preferred capital gain. Bonus shares appeared as the second
preferred objective of the stock investment.
When alternatives with increasing risk and return, were asked to select.
Majority of investors selected alternative with moderate risk and return.
59
Mr. Prasad Dangol (2004) had conducted a study on “A Study on Investors Attitude
on Stock Market of Nepal ” The study had the following objectives:
To examine the factors that influence investors’ attitude,expected return and
risk.
To analyze on investors’ attitude towards investment in securities.
In order to achieve the objective Mr. Dangol used the secondary data as well as
primary data in the form of questionnaire. And the data collected has analyzed by
using the different test and ultimately following major findings has been detected
which are as follows:
The revenue dividends and capital gains from stocks were not also 100%
reinvested on stocks. It was seen that 52.59% individual and 55%
institutional investors’ perceptions indicated that they did reinvest the
dividends and capital gains in stock, 7.41% individual and 5% institutional
investors indicated that their reinvestment depended on others situations.
The remaining 40% of both types of investors indicated that they did not
reinvest the dividend and capital gains in stock.
The fluctuation of the stock price is the cause of the investors’ perception.
Actually, changing perception of investors’ continuously pushes the price
of the stock up and down. From the one sample runs test it was found that
banks, manufacturing and others sectors have a negative trend in response
60
to their share price. Similarly finance and insurance sectors have a positive
trend in response to their share price. In aggregate, it was found that the
NEPSE index has a negative growth. It indicated that the perception of the
investors’ led the growth of the stock market.
Mr. Santosh Upadhyay (2004) has conducted a study on “Investors Preference and
Financial Instruments." The study has the following specific objectives:
To study the preferences of the investors in the financial instrument.
To assess investors’ awareness regarding the investment decisions in
selecting securities.
To analyze the investment trend in the security market of Nepal.
Mr. Upadhyay has used different research variable in the questionnaire and this has
been tested through the statistical tools and finally he draw the following major
findings:
61
Major portion of the investor were not aware regarding their investment in
Nepalese security market.
Major portion of the respondents stated that dividends/returns were the main
influencing factors for preferences of investors.
The majority of the respondents of the different groups stated that the
Nepalese investors were not getting sufficient and timely information from the
companies.
With respect to the rules and regulation of government, it was found that the
existing rules and regulations were not sufficient to protect the investor's
investment in the security market.
Mr. Sudip Amatya (2005) had conducted a study on “Present Status of Nepalese
Debt Securities Market.” The study had the following objectives:
To study the position of debt securities market in the structure of Nepalese
Securities market.
To analyze the trend and ownership pattern of government securities.
To examine key investors and characteristics of Nepalese corporate debt
securities.
To identify the major problems of Debt securities market growth in Nepal.
In order to obtain its objectives Mr. Amatya use different statistical tools and by the
help of this he found out the different findings which are as follows:
62
While analyzing the ownership pattern of government bonds and T- bills. It is
found that major holder of these securities was Nepal Rastra Bank in previous
years of observation and in latter years, commercial banks are the main
holders of these securities. Participation of financial institution, insurance
corporations and other organizations in purchasing government Debt securities
is comparatively low. On the other hand, participation of individual investors
is increasing but not sufficiently.
The amount of government debt securities is increased every year, which is
good sign for debt securities market. The forecast amount of government debt
securities from 2004 to 2008 shows increasing trend with healthy growth rate.
If government maintain this trend in future, it will be helpful to reduce
external debt and to mobilize internal debt in productive sectors by which
nation will be benefited.
The trend of T-Bills issued during the observation period seems to be
increasing. The forecast amount of T-Bill in coming years also shows
increasing trend. That means money market of government debt securities is
effectively growing, which is good sign for overall debt securities market.
The trend of development bond was increasing in starting period of
observation, decreasing in middle period of observation and again increasing
in recent year of the observation. The forecast amount of development bond
for coming years shows increasing trend, which is sign of a good prospect of
debt securities market.
The trend of national saving bond shows increasing in first 15 years of
observation, but it has been showing decreasing trend in last 2 years of
observation. The main holders of national saving bond are individual
investors, if this decreasing trend continues in the future periods; participation
of individual investors will be decreased.
The trend of special bond is increasing in the previous years of observation but
shows decreasing trend in recent years. The forecasted amount of special bond
shows increasing trend, which is good sign for debt securities market.
Government has issued another debt instrument named public saving card
since 2001/02, which can be sold only to Nepalese citizens. The initiation of
63
public saving card has initiated the new step in the growth of government
bond.
The characteristics of Nepalese corporate debt securities are quite worth as
necessary to be a quality security.
64
CHAPTER-III
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
Research methodology refers to the various sequential steps (along with a rational, of
each step) to be adopted by a researcher in studying a problem with certain object in
view (Cothari, 1994:19). A focus is to be given to research design, sample selection
and size, data collection procedure, data processing, definition of variables, meaning
and definition of statistical tools used. This chapter will highlight the research
methodology used for the study.
A research design is a plan, structure, and strategy to obtain the objectives of the
study. The research is based on the secondary as well as primary data and
information. The descriptive as well as analytical research design has been used. The
variables related with the performance of the company, market information and
relevant subjects are included in the study.
All the companies listed in NEPSE have been considered. Individual investors are the
investor who is engaged in buying and selling of securities. Brokers are the person or
institutions who act as a middle man for trading of securities. The staff members of
SEBO/N and NEPSE have also been considered.
65
Total population size of the investors includes all the investors who are trading
security business in Nepal. Only 45 investors have been selected for this research
under which 34 investors gave their responses. There are altogether 23 licensed
brokers and out of which 18 is selected for the sample but 16 of them responded.
Likewise only 5 officials of SEBO/N and 5 officials of NEPSE are selected as
samples and all of them gave a response.
For the study purpose, it has been used two types of data such as:
Primary source of data
Secondary source of data
Primary sources of data are mainly based on interview and queries and secondary data
are mainly based on Booklets, trading Volume issued by Nepal Stock Exchange
(NEPSE) and Nepal Security Board of Nepal (SEBO/N).
Secondary data have been collected from the following sources:
Trading report published by stock exchange Nepal.
Financial statement and other transaction of listed companies listed by
NEPSE.
Out side published material directly related to investor's attitude on earnings.
Booklets published by other related agencies like SEBO/N, ministry of
finance, and T.U. Library as the relevant materials.
Analysis is the careful study of available facts so that one can understand and draw
conclusion from them on the basis of established principles and sound logic. The
collected data information through primary as well as secondary sources
correspondingly will be tabulated, categorized and analyzed by using appropriate
statistical and financial tools. Tick mark and open- end questions are included in the
questionnaires. Many concerned personalities will be interviewed in the course of
collecting data to get relevant information. The comparative analysis will be
66
undertaken by using percentage, graphs and chart. The empirical results have been
extracted in this study by using annual data of listed companies.
Some statistical tools are used to implicit the comparative results are as follows :
b) Pie- diagram
A pie- diagram is a widely used aid that is generally used for diagrammatic
presentation of the values differing widely in magnitude. In this method all the given
data are converted into 360 degree as the angel of a circle is 360 degree and all
components of the data are presented in terms of angels that total 360 degree for one
set of data.
c) Percentage
Percentage is one of the most useful tools for the comparison of two quantities or
variables. Simply, the word percentage means per hundred. In other words, the
fraction with 100 as its denominator is known as a percentage and the numerator of
this fraction is known as rate of percent.
67
d) Chi Square test
Chi Square test the goodness of fit suppose we have given some frequency
distribution data & let we use Binomial Distribution then chi Square test the fitted
Binomial Distribution is good or not, for it first we calculated the expected
frequencies (E) according to given or observed frequencies (O).In testing of
hypothesis, chi square test has been used. Expected frequencies were calculated by
applying following formula:
Where,
(0 - E)2
χ2 = ∑
E
Where,
O = Observed frequency
E = Expected frequency
In order to achieve the research objectives, following hypothesis have been created
and the various research variables reflected in the questionnaire have been tested
through chi-square statistics at 95 % level of confidence (5 % level of significance).
Null Hypothesis:
There is no significant different between observed and expected [Link] research
study the popular hypothesis is null hypothesis because it measures the failure of the
relationship.
Alternative Hypothesis:
There is significant different between observed and expected mean.
68
CHAPTER-IV
69
* Common Stock = Ordinary shares + Right shares
The table 4.1 shows that the amount of different corporate securities that are issued
from the fiscal year 2004/05 to 2008/09 in Nepalese financial market. The total
amount figures Rs.42777.15 millions. Table shows that Right shares have the largest
share in the total amount i.e. 55.13 %, and then comes Ordinary shares, debenture,
preference shares and mutual fund/unit scheme. These instruments are ranked in terms
of their coverage in their total amount. The ranks show that Common stock is in first
rank, Debenture in the second, Preference shares in the third and Mutual fund/unit
[Link] the fourth.
Figure 4.1
Issue of Corporate Securities
18000
16000
14000
12000
10000
8000
6000
4000
2000
0
2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09
The multiple bar chart presented in 4.1 shows the issues of corporate securities made
in capital market of Nepal since 2004/05 .Columns represent the corporate securities
of different year. It is clear from the figure that common stocks are the most widely
used and the mutual fund is the least one, which is seen in very small columns in the
figure.
70
On this basis, we can conclude those common stocks are the most widely used
corporate security. Similarly, mutual fund is a least used instrument with rank 4 in
Nepalese financial market. It means that capital market of Nepal is heavily dependent
upon the equity instruments mainly common stock. Financing from the other
instruments is still very small as compared to equity instrument.
Issuance of just four types of securities reveals the fact that our capital market is
really very poor on the matter of varieties of corporate securities. Nepalese capital
market is fully dependent upon these traditional types of securities. Financial
securities innovation is lacking in Nepal's capital market. The chart also shows that in
year 2006/07 trend of issuance of preference share has initiated with great amount. It
shows also issue of debenture is also increasing.
Treasury bills, Development bonds, National Saving Bonds, Special Bonds, Public
Saving Bonds are the government securities.
Table 4.2
Issues of Government Securities (Rs. in Million)
F/Y Treasury Development National Public Special Total
Bills Bonds Saving Saving Bonds* Bonds
Bonds Card
2004 48860.70 16059.20 9629.80 931.10 9164.50 84645.30
2005 49429.60 17549.20 9029.80 1178.90 8946.20 86133.70
2006 51383.10 19999.20 6576.80 1428.90 8176.30 87564.30
2007 62970.30 17959.20 9876.80 1678.90 3469.80 95955.00
2008 74445.30 19177.10 1516.90 1391.00 7245.70 103776.00
2009 85033.00 21735.40 1116.90 3014.30 339.40 111239.00
Total 372122.00 112479.30 37747.00 9623.10 37341.9 569313.30
% 65.36 19.76 6.63 1.69 6.56 100.00
Rank 1 2 3 5 4
(Source: SEBO/N Annual report 2008/09)
* includes IMF Promissory Notes
Similarly, if we see the trend of issues of Government securities, in table 4.2, we can
see Treasury bills come in the first rank and Development Bonds, National Saving
Bonds, Special Bonds and public saving cards come in second, third, fourth and fifth
71
rank respectively in terms of percentage coverage in total amount of government
securities in the period of 2004 to 2009. Public saving cards were issued in 2004 to
2009 which is seen quite small and has contributed 1.69% in total amount of
government securities issuance. So it is in fifth rank
Figure 4.2
Chart of Government Issues
90000
80000
70000
60000
50000
40000
30000
20000
10000
0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
The chart presented in figure 4.2 displays the trends of issuance of various
government securities. In the figure, we can see the Treasury bill is in increasing trend
and has covered with highest bar columns and the Development bond is also
increasing from couple of years. Issuance of Special bonds is decreasing up to the
year of 2007 but in the year of 2008 it is increased but in the year 2009 it is again
decreased. National Saving Bonds are also decreasing up to the year of 2006 but in
the year 2007, it is increased & in 2009 it is again decreased. Public saving cards
column is in very high level.
72
From these analysis we can conclude that Treasury bills and Development Bonds are
the most widely used government securities and Public saving cards are the
instrument which is new than others.
Treasury bills are mostly used by institutional investors. This also helps them to
increase their liquidity. That's why this instrument is very much preferred among
institutional investors.
Analysis has been conducted from the data of listed companies in financial market
since the beginning of the security market development in Nepal up to the fiscal year
2007/08.
Table 4.3
Sector-wise coverage ratio of financial market
[Link]. Sectors/Companies Number of companies Coverage Ratio
involved in Financial
Market
1 Banks 50 31.44%
2 Finance 61 38.36%
3 Insurance 17 10.69%
4 Hotel 4 2.52%
5 Manufacturing and 18 11.32%
Processing
6 Trading 4 2.52%
7 Others 5 3.14%
Total 159 100.00%
(Source: SEBO/N Annual report 2008/09)
The table 4.3 shows that 159 different companies are listed in financial market till the
fiscal year 2008/09. Among the listed companies, 61 Finance Companies have been
listed which is largest involvement in the financial market and 4 hotels and 4 trading
are listed in financial market which is lowest involvement in the financial market.
73
Figure 4.3
Chart of Sector-wise involvement in Financial Market
Hotel, 2.52%
Insurance, 10.69%
Finance, 38.36%
Above pie chart displays that institutional wise involvement of finance company is
38.36% of total coverage percentage of Financial Market. Here others company
represents the Hydro power companies, film development company and economic
development company which are listed only 3.14% among the total listed companies.
From the analysis it is found that the finance companies are actively functioning in the
financial market. However, in the market, commercial and development banks are
mostly preferred instead of finance companies by the investors.
74
4.2.1 Financial Instruments and Investors Preference
There are various types of securities in the market. Investors give preference them for
their investment. Majority of Nepalese investors prefer to invest in common stock.
They also prefer to invest in government securities, debenture & preference share.
The first question asked the respondents to prefer among the given securities. The
table 4.2.1 shows the results of the respondents.
Table 4.4
Investor's Preference on Financial Instrument
S.N Securities NEPSE/ Broker Investors Total
. SEBO/N
Nos. % Nos. % Nos. % Nos. %
1 Common 6 60 12 75 18 52.94 36 60.00
Stock
2 Preference 1 10 1 6.25 3 8.82 5 8.33
Share
3 Debenture 1 10 1 6.25 3 8.82 5 8.33
4 Government 2 20 2 12.5 10 29.41 14 23.33
Securities
Total 10 16 34 60
(Source: Field Survey, 2009)
In the above table 4.2, it is clearly given the respondents view upon the different
financial instrument. Majority of the respondents (60%) stated that the Nepalese
investors prefer to invest in common stock, 23.33% of the respondents stated that the
preference of investors on government securities and 8.33% of respondents stated that
the investors prefer to invest in debenture and preference share equally. Compairing
to the responses of each respondent's group, majority of responses 60%, 75%, 52.94%
of staff of NEPSE and SEBON, broker and investors also prefer to common stock
respectively in Nepalese market. Each respondent has preferred the debenture and
preference share in the low volume.
75
Figure 4.4
Investor’s Preference on Financial Instruments
80%
70%
% of F. Instrument preferences
60%
50%
Common Stock
40%
Pref. share
30% Debenture
Govt. Securities
20%
10%
0%
NEPSE/SEBO/N Brokers Investors
Respondent
The multiple bar diagram presented in fig 4.4 clearly describes the preference of
investor regarding the common stock, preference share, and debenture and
government bonds. In the figure we can see that most of the investor prefer the
common stock and after the common stock, the Government bonds are preferred
whereas investors prefer the preference share and the debenture at least.
On the basis of all this things finally, we can say that most of the investor gives the
preference towards the common stock and after that they go for the government bonds
and the least coverage of the investor go for the preference share and the debenture.
To test the hypothesis whether there is significant difference or not between the
opinions of different corresponding groups, chi-square test has been used. The
computed chi- square value is 2.53 and the tabulated value at 5 percent level of
significance for d.f., v = 6 is 12.592 (Appendix-2). The calculated value is less than
the tabulated value. Therefore, it can be stated that there is no significant difference in
76
the opinions of different responding groups. Thus, the responses of different groups
are similar regarding the investor preferences.
Investors choose various sectors for their investment. These sectors are; Banking,
Finance Companies, Insurance Companies, Manufacturing Company, Hotel, Trading
Company.
The second question asked the respondents to prefer among the given
sectors/companies. The table 4.5 shows the results of the respondents.
Table 4.5
Sector wise Investors Preferences
S.N Sectors/ NEPSE/ Broker Investors Total
Companies SEBON
Nos. % Nos. % Nos. % Nos. %
1 Banking 6 60 10 62.5 18 52.94 34 56.67
2 Finance Co. 3 30 3 18.75 8 23.53 14 23.33
3 Insurance Co. 1 10 2 12.5 4 11.76 7 11.67
4 Hotel 0 0 1 2.94 1 1.67
5 Manu Co. 0 1 6.25 2 5.88 3 5.00
6 Trading Co. 0 0 1 2.94 1 1.67
Total 10 100 16 100 34 100 60 100
(Source: Field Survey, 2009)
We can see from the above table 4.5 that the majority of the opinions (56.67%) have
supported banking sector investment, 23.3 % respondents have stated that Nepalese
investors prefer finance companies. Then 11.67 % respondents prefer insurance
companies. 5.00% investors prefer manufacturing company and 1.67 %, 1.67 %
investors prefer Hotel and trading company respectively and majority of respondents
60.0 %, 62.5 % and 52.94 % from staff member of NEPSE and SEBON, Broker and
investors respectively have stated that Nepalese investors prefer to invest in banking
sector. We can see here clearly most of the investors do not like to invest in hotel
sector. Only one investor has preferred hotel sector to make investment.
77
Figure 4.5
Sector-wise Investor’s Preference
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
NEPSE/SEBO/N Broker Investors
The multiple bar diagram presented in fig 4.5 shows the preference of investors
according to the sectors of financial market in Nepal. Among the different sector it is
clearly seen that the most of the investor prefer the banking, after that they have
preferred the finance company, then after the issuance company, manufacturing
company and the trading company.
On analyzing all these aspects we can conclude that most of the investors' preference
is to make investment on the banking sector than any other investment alternatives
whereas investors are not interested to invest in the hotel sector.
To test whether there is significant difference or not between the responses of the
NEPSE and SEBON, Broker and investors, the chi square test has been used. The
calculated value of chi square is 2.63 and the tabulated value at 5 % level of
significance foe d.f., v = 10 is 18.307 (Appendix-2). Since the calculated value is less
than the tabulated value, the opinions of all responding groups are similar and there is
no significant difference between the responses of different groups regarding the
sector wise preferences of investors.
78
4.2.3 Investor's Purpose of Investment
Profit or return from the investment is the main purpose of the investors. Very few
investors invest for the purpose of marketability or liquidity & social status.
Table 4.6
Investor's purpose of Investment
S.N. Purpose NEPSE/ Broker Investors Total
SEBON
Nos. % Nos. % Nos. % Nos. %
1 Profit/Return 6 60 11 68.75 22 64.71 39 65.00
2 Marketability 1 10 1 6.25 1 2.94 3 5.00
3 Social Status 1 10 2 12.5 3 8.82 6 10.00
4 Above all 2 20 2 12.5 8 23.53 12 20.00
Total 10 16 34 60 100
(Source: Field Survey, 2009)
In the above table 4.6, the responses of different groups are presented with aspect to
purpose of investors to invest in financial instruments, 75.00% opinions revealed that
profit or return from the investment is the main purpose of the investors. Only 5.00%
opinions revealed that investors invest for marketability and 10.00% opinions
revealed that they do make investment in the securities for social status. 20.00%
respondents stated that they invest for profit/return, marketability and social status.
60% of NEPSE, 64.71 % of investor responded that the investors invest in financial
instrument for profit or return.
79
Figure 4.6
Investors Purpose of Investment
70%
60%
% of investoment purpose
50%
Profit/Return
40%
Marketability
30% Social Status
Above all
20%
10%
0%
NEPSE/ SEBO/N Brokers Investors
The column chart presented in fig. 4.6 shows the purpose of investment. Among the
different purpose it is clearly seen that most of the investor invest to get the
profit/return. Only less number of the investors invest in financial market for the
liquidity or marketability and for social status. And 20.00% of the investors invest for
the purpose of profit/return, marketability and social status.
On analyzing all these aspect of purpose of investment we can conclude that majority
of investors invest for the purpose of profit/return whereas few investors invest for the
purpose of marketability and social status.
80
4.2.4 Market Mechanism and Investors Preference
The investors purchase the securities from both primary & secondary market.
Nepalese investor prefer the primary market to purchase the securities. The investors
are also interested to purchase securities from the secondary market. Very few
investors want to purchase Mutual Fund.
Table 4.7
Investors Preference on Market
S. Response NEPSE/ Broker Investors Total
N SEBON
Nos % Nos. % Nos. % Nos. %
1 Primary 2 20.00 3 18.75 11 32.35 16 26.67
Market
2 Secondary 3 30.00 4 25.00 5 14.71 12 20.00
Market
3 Both market 4 40.00 8 50.00 15 44.12 27 45.00
4 Mutual Fund 1 10.00 1 6.25 3 8.82 5 8.33
Total 10 16 34 60 100
(Source: Field Survey, 2009)
In the above table 4.7, the responses of different respondent groups are presented. The
respondents were asked that from which market, investors want to purchase the
securities. The majority of the respondents i.e. 45.00% respondents opinion were that
the investors purchase the securities from both primary and secondary market.
26.67% respondents stated that the Nepalese investor prefer the primary market to
purchase the securities. 20.00% respondents replied that the investors are interested to
purchase securities from the secondary market. Few respondents stated that investors
want to purchase Mutual fund. Majority of respondents 40.00%, 50.00% and 44.12%
from staffs of NEPSE and SEBON, Brokers Security investors respectively stated that
the investor want to purchase the securities from both market.
81
Figure 4.7
Investors Preference on Market
60%
50%
% of preference on Market
40%
Primary Market
30% Secondary Market
Both Markets
20% Mutual Funds
10%
0%
NEPSE/SEBO/N Brokers Investors
The chart presented in figure 4.7 answers about the investor's preference on markets
to purchase the security. Among the above mentioned market, it is clearly seen that
most of the investor prefer to purchase the securities from both primary and secondary
market and after that they prefer to purchase from the primary market. Finally few
numbers of investors prefer to purchase the security through Mutual Funds.
On analyzing all these aspects we can conclude that most of the investor prefers to
purchase the security from both the market (Primary and Secondary) whereas less
number of investor wants to purchase through Mutual funds.
82
opinions of the NEPSE and SEBON, Broker and Investors are same and there is no
significant between the responses.
Figure 4.8
Satisfaction from Return
70%
60%
50%
40% Yes
30% No
20% Don't Know
10%
0%
NEPSE/SEBO/N Brokers Investors
83
The column chart presented in fig 4.8 shows whether they are satisfied with the return
on their investment. It is clearly seen that majority of Investors i.e. 59.26% are not
satisfied with the return they are getting from the investment, only 31.48% of
investors are satisfied with the return and 9.26 % of investor have no any idea about
the return.
On analyzing all these aspects we can conclude, with the responses made by the
respondent that most of the investors are not satisfied with the return whereas they
don't know about some investors' satisfaction from their return.
84
In the above table 4.9 different respondents responses regarding the investor's level of
awareness in security market are presented. The majority of the respondents 43.34%
stated that the level of awareness of investors is low about the investment in financial
instruments. 28.33% of the respondents stated that level of awareness of the investors
is moderate about their investment where as 20.00% respondent replied that level of
awareness about financial investment is high and 8.33% of respondents replied that
they level of investor's awareness is very high. 58.82% Investors stated that the level
of investors' awareness is low regarding the investment in financial instrument in the
Nepalese security market.
Figure 4.9
Level of Investor's Awareness in Security Market
60%
50%
0%
NEPSE/ SEBO/N Brokers Investors
The bar chart presented in fig 4.9 shows the level of awareness of investors regarding
the investment in security market. It is clearly seen that as per the respondents
responses, majority of the investors' (43.34%) level of awareness regarding the
investment in the security market is low, only 8.33% of investors are highly aware
about the investment in financial market of Nepal.
On analyzing all these aspects we can conclude that only few percentages of the
investors are highly aware about the investment and other majority has low level of
awareness about the investment in the security market.
85
However, the difference in the level of awareness of corresponding groups is
significant at the 5% level of significance as the calculated chi-square value is 19.59
which is greater than the tabulated value 12.529 (Appendix-2). This indicates that
there is significant difference between the responses of the corresponding groups
regarding the level of awareness of investors in Nepalese security markets.
There are many factors which influence the investors preference for investment.
Table 4.10
Influencing Factors of Investors Preference
S.N. Response NEPSE/ Broker Investors Total
SEBO/N
Nos. % Nos % Nos. % Nos. %
1 Dividend/ 3 30 4 25.00 10 29.41 17 28.33
Returns
2 Capital 4 40 5 31.25 14 41.18 23 38.34
Appreciating
3 Suggestion 2 20 4 25.00 6 17.65 12 20.00
from
relatives/friends
or rumors
4 Company 1 10 3 18.75 4 11.76 8 13.33
Performance
Total 10 100 16 100 34 100 60 100
(Source: Field Survey, 2009)
With respect to the evaluation of the influencing factor of investor's preference, the
majority of the opinions i.e. 38.34% revealed that the major influencing factor is
capital appreciation. 28.33% opinions revealed that the next influencing factor is
dividend where as 29.00% replied suggestion from relatives/friends and 5.55 %
opinions concerned with the company performance to be main influencing factors for
the investors. In the aspect, when the responses of different groups are compared,
majority of the respondents from each category 40%, 31.25 % and 23% from NEPSE
and SEBON, Broker and Investors respectively stated that capital appreciation is the
main influencing factor for the investors in the financial market in Nepal.
86
Figure 4.10
Influencing factors of Investors Preference
45%
40%
35%
30%
25% Dividends/Returns
20% Capital Appreciation
5%
0%
NEPSE/SEBO/N Brokers Investors
The bar chart presented in fig 4.10 shows the influencing factors for the investor's
preference. It is clearly seen that as per the responses of the respondents, majority of
the investors (38.34 %) is influenced for the investing in financial instrument for to
capital appreciation and where as 13.33% of investors is influenced due to company
performance.
On analyzing all these aspects we can conclude that the majority of Nepalese investor
invest in security market is mainly for the purpose of getting capital appreciation
whereas some investor are influenced by return, company performance and
suggestions from relatives/friends also.
87
it can be stated that the opinion of NEPSE and SEBON, Broker and Investors are
same and there is no significant difference between the responses.
There are few companies who give information about investment. They also can’t
give sufficient information to investors, So, The majority of Nepalese investors are
not getting the sufficient and timely information regarding the investment from the
companies.
Table 4.11
Availability of Information to Investors
S.N. Respons NEPSE/ Broker Investors Total
e SEBON
Nos. % Nos. % Nos. % Nos. %
1 Yes 4 40 6 37.5 5 14.71 15 25.00
2 No 6 60 9 56.25 23 67.65 38 63.33
3 Don't 0 1 6.25 6 17.65 7 11.67
Know
Total 10 100 16 100 34 100 60 100
(Source: Field Survey, 2009)
The respondents were asked whether the Nepalese investors getting sufficient and
timely information from companies where they have made investments. The majority
of the respondents i.e. 63.33% stated that the investors are not getting the sufficient
and timely information regarding the investment from the companies. 25.00%
respondents stated that they are getting sufficient and timely information from the
companies. Likewise, 11.67% respondents didn't know about getting sufficient and
timely information from the companies. In these aspects, when the responses among
the different responding groups are compared, majority of the responses from each
group i.e. 60.00%, 56.25% and 67.65% of respondents from staff members of NEPSE
and SEBON, Broker and investors respectively opined that the investors are not
getting sufficient and timely information from companies where they have made
investment.
88
Figure 4.11
Availability of Information to Investors
70%
60%
50%
40% Yes
30% No
Don't Know
20%
10%
0%
NEPSE/SEBO/N Investors
The bar chart presented in fig. 4.11 shows the availability of information to investors
from companies. It is clearly seen from the figure that the majority of the investors
(63.33%) didn't get the timely information from the companies and 25.00% of the
investor get the timely information from the companies whereas we can see that the
11.67% respondents have no idea about the investor regarding the availability of
information from company.
On analyzing all these aspects we can conclude that almost all Nepalese investors are
far from availability of information to which they are investing. So, in order to make
favorable environment, which will try to pull the participations more and more
investor to invest in the security market, the companies should provide timely and
sufficient information to the investors.
To test the hypothesis whether there is significant difference or not between the
opinions of different corresponding groups, chi square test has been used. The
calculated chi square value is 6.20 and the tabulated value at 5 % level of significance
for d.f., v = 4 is 9.488 (Appendix-2). The calculated value is less than the tabulated
89
value. Therefore, it can be concluded that there is no significant difference in the
opinions of different responding groups regarding availability of information.
Table 4.12
Effect of political situation on the decision of the investors
S.N. Response NEPSE/ Broker Investors Total
SEBO/N
Nos. % Nos. % Nos. % Nos. %
1 Very high 3 30 5 31.25 13 38.24 21 35.00
2 High 4 40 8 50 17 50.00 29 48.33
3 Moderate 2 20 2 12.5 2 5.88 6 10.00
4 Low 1 10 1 6.25 2 5.88 4 6.67
Total 10 100 16 100 34 100 60 100
(Source: Field Survey, 2009)
The respondents were asked to what extent the political situation of country affects
the decision of the investors investing in security. Majority of the respondents i.e.
48.33% opined that political situation of the country will highly influence the decision
of the investor for investing in security. 35.00% respondents stated that political
situation of country will very highly influence the decision of the investor. 10.00% of
respondents stated that the political situation of the country will moderately affect the
decision of the investors and 6.67% of the respondents stated that there would be low
effect of political situation on decision of the investor.
90
Figure 4.12
Effect of Political Situation on the Decision of the Investors
50%
45%
40%
35%
30% Very High
25% High
20% Moderate
15% Low
10%
5%
0%
NEPSE/SEBO/N Investors
The bar chart presented in fig 4.12 shows that the effect of the political situation on
the decision of the investors. It can be seen clearly that all most all of the respondents
stated that there is positive relation between the effects of political situation on the
decision of the investor i.e. majority of respondents stated that political situation will
highly effect the decision of the investors. Few respondents stated that there is less
effects of political situation on the decision of the investors.
On analyzing all these aspects we can conclude that political situation of country
determines the investment possibility. So, in order to increase the number of investor
friendly political situation is necessary.
To test whether there is significant difference or not between the responses of the
responding groups regarding the effects of political situation on decision of investors,
the chi-square test has been used. The calculated value of chi square is 2.29 and the
critical value at 5 % level of significance for d.f., v = 6 is 12.592 (Appendix-2). Since
the computed value is less than the critical value, the opinions of all responding
groups are similar and there is no significant difference between the responses of
different groups.
91
4.2.10 Main Attraction of Common Share
The main attraction of Nepalese investors in making investment is common stock due
to capital gain.
Table 4.13
Main Attraction of Common Share
S.N. Response NEPSE/ Broker Investors Total
SEBO/N
Nos. % Nos. % Nos. % Nos. %
1 Dividend 3 30 4 25 9 28.13 16 27.59
2 Capital Gain 5 50 8 50 18 56.25 31 53.45
3 Bonus Share 1 10 3 18.75 3 9.375 7 12.06
4 Representation 1 10 1 6.25 2 6.25 4 6.90
in Board
Total 10 100 16 100 32 100 58 100
(Source: Field Survey, 2009)
The respondents were asked about their main attraction in making investment in
common stock. The majority of the respondents i.e. 53.45 % opined that Capital Gain
is the main factor of attraction of common share. 27.59% respondents stated that the
main attraction factor is Dividend. Likewise, 12.06% respondents replied that bonus
share is the main attraction of common share investment and 6.90% respondents
stated that participation in board is main factor. As per the responses of NEPSE and
SEBON, Broker and Investors, the majority of responses of each group i.e. 50%,
50%, and 56.25% agreed with the statement that the main attraction of the common
share is capital gain.
Figure 4.13
Main Attraction of Common share
60%
50%
40% Dividend
30% Capital Gain
Bonus Share
20%
Representation in Board
10%
0%
NEPSE/SEBO/N Brokers Investors
92
The bar chart presented in fig 4.13 shows the major elements for the attraction of the
common equity share. It is clear from that among various elements capital gain is the
powerful means for the attraction of investor and Dividend is the second attraction
factor for investors whereas participation in board and bonus share are other elements
for the attraction of customer but it is an attraction for quite less coverage of investors.
On analyzing all these aspects we can conclude that most of the investor in the
Nepalese security market is attracted for the purpose of getting dividend whereas less
coverage of investor is attracted for the participation in board.
However, the difference in the opinion about means of the attraction in common share
is not significant. At the 5% level of significance the calculated chi-square value is
0.60 which is less than the tabulated value 12.592. It can be stated that the opinion of
NEPSE and SEBON, Broker and Investors are same and there is no significant
difference between the responses.
93
Nepalese companies are not issuing debentures and preferred stocks. When the
opinions of different groups are compared, the majority responses of different
responding groups i.e. 60 %, 56.25%, and 58.82% from NEPSE and SEBON, Broker
and Investors respectively stated that the main reason is certain and regular return
payment to investors in debenture/debt and preferred stock.
Figure 4.14
Reasons for not Issuing Debenture/Debt and Preferred Stock
60%
50%
40%
No Attraction
30%
Regular Interest
20% Don't know
10%
0%
NEPSE/SEBO/N Brokers Investors
The multiple bar diagram presented in fig 4.14 shows the reasons for not issuing debt
and preferred stocks. It is clear that among various reasons, the reason regarding
certain and regular return should be paid to the investor is the powerful reason due to
which the company did not issue debt and preferred stock. We can also see that the no
attraction is the second reason of not issuing the debt and preferred stock. some
respondents can be seen that who are unaware about the reason for not issuing the
debt and preferred stock.
On analyzing all these aspects we can conclude that the powerful reasons of not
issuing the debt and preferred stock in the Nepalese security market are due to certain
and regular return for the security and of no attraction of investor and issuing
companies on it.
To test whether there is significant difference or not between the responses of the
NEPSE and SEBON, Broker and investors, regarding the reasons for not issuing
debenture/debt and preferred stock, the chi-square test has been used. The calculated
value of chi square is 2.22 and the tabulated value at 5 % level of significance for d.f.,
94
v = 4 is 9.488 (Appendix-2). Since the calculated value is less than the tabulated
value, the opinions of all responding groups are similar and there is no significant
difference between the responses of different groups.
The main attraction of Nepalese investors for investing in the security is Government
Securities because it is the risk free return and it is also more safety than other
securities.
Table 4.15
Main Attraction of Government Securities
S.N. Response NEPSE/ Broker Investors Total
SEBO/N
Nos. % Nos. % Nos. % Nos. %
1 Risk free 7 70 10 62.50 25 73.53 42 70.00
return/ safety
2 High interest 1 10 2 12.50 3 8.82 6 10.00
rate
3 Marketability 2 20 4 25.00 6 17.65 12 20.00
Total 10 100 16 100 34 100 60 100
(Source: Field Survey, 2009)
95
Figure 4.15
Main Attraction of Government Securities.
80%
70%
60%
50%
Risk free return/ safety
40%
High interest rate
30%
Marketability
20%
10%
0%
NEPSE/SEBO/N Brokers Investors
The multiple bar diagram chart presented in fig 4.15 shows the various elements for
attraction of government securities. It is quite clear from the figure that among various
elements for investing in government securities, the strong elements as per the
respondents' responses is Risk free return and safety in which we can find large
coverage of investors. After that the rest of the respondents replied that the main
attraction for investing in government securities is marketability and high interest rate.
On analyzing all these aspects we can conclude that the most important reason for the
attraction of government securities is risk free return and safety. Marketability of the
government securities is also one of important reason for the attraction.
To test difference between the responses of the NEPSE and SEBON, Broker and
investors regarding the main attraction of government securities, the chi-square test
has been used. Since the calculated value of chi square is 1.55 is less than the
tabulated value at 5% level of significance for d.f., v = 4 is 9.488. (Appendix-2), the
opinions of all responding groups are similar and there is no significant difference
between the responses of different groups.
Investors want to invest in that financial instruments which have low risk and give
high return. Some investors want moderate risk . Most of the investors in Nepal want
to invest in low risk financial instruments.
96
Table 4.16
Attitude toward risk
S.N. Response NEPSE/ Broker Investors Total
SEBO/N
Nos. % Nos. % Nos. % Nos. %
1 High risk 1 10 1 6.25 2 5.88 4 6.67
2 Moderate 5 50 6 37.50 12 35.29 23 38.33
Risk
3 Low risk 4 40 9 56.25 20 58.83 33 55.00
Total 10 100 16 100 34 100 60 100
(Source: Field Survey, 2009)
With respect to the attitude toward risk, 55% of respondents opined that investors
want to invest in those financial instruments which have low risk to get higher return.
38.33% respondents stated that investors want moderate risk where as 6.67%
respondent replied that investors want to be high risk taker.
Figure 4.16
Attitude toward risk
60%
50%
40%
High risk
30%
Moderate risk
20%
Low risk
10%
0%
NEPSE/SEBO/N Brokers Investors
On analyzing all these aspects we can conclude that the most of the investors are
interested to invest in those financial instruments which have low risk. It means that
most of the investors in Nepal are risk averter.
To test difference between the responses of the NEPSE and SEBON, Broker and
investors on attitude toward risk, the chi-square test has been used. Since the
calculated value of chi square is 1.15 is less than the tabulated value at 5% level of
significance for d.f., v = 4 is 9.488. (Appendix-2), the opinions of all responding
97
groups are similar and there is no significant difference between the responses of
different groups.
4.2.14 Knowledge of Financial Derivatives and Investors
Most of Nepalese investors don’t have information about financial derivatives so, they
don’t have knowledge about it.
Table 4.17
Knowledge of Financial Derivatives and Investors
S.N. Response NEPSE/ Broker Investors Total
SEBO/N
Nos. % Nos. % Nos. % Nos. %
1 Yes 8 80 15 93.75 6 17.65 29 48.33
2 No 2 20 1 6.25 28 82.35 31 51.67
Total 10 100 16 100 34 100 60 100
With respect to the financial derivatives, 51.67% of respondents opined that they are
don't have any information about financial derivatives where as 48.33% respondent
stated that they have knowledge about the financial derivatives. Majority of SEBO/N,
NEPSE and Brokers stated that they have heard about the financial derivatives but
Majority of investors stated that they have not heard about financial derivatives.
Figure 4.17
Knowledge of Financial Derivatives and Investors
100
80
Knowledge on fin.
derivatives
60
Yes
40 No
20
0
NEPSE/SEBO/N Brokers Investors
On analyzing all these aspects we can conclude that the most of the investors are
unknown about the financial derivatives like future, options and warrants. It means
that knowledge of futures, options and warrants are lacking in Nepalese financial
market.
98
To test difference between the responses of the NEPSE and SEBON, Broker and
Investors on knowledge regarding financial derivatives, the chi-square test has been
used. Since the calculated value of chi square is 30.05 is more than the tabulated value
at 5% level of significance for d.f., v = 2 is 5.991. (Appendix-2), the opinions of all
responding groups are not similar and there is significant difference between the
responses of different groups.
Various groups of investors were asked about the difficulties that the investors are
currently facing in the Nepalese security market. Respondents pointed out the
following difficulties:
99
Few numbers of security analyst or firm involved in forecasting market trends
and future price of the securities, they feel difficulties to take right investment
decisions at right time.
It can be seen that mostly price of share is determined on the basis of
speculation, imagination.
100
Number of stockbrokers in the stock market should be increased. Easy entry
and exit mechanism for stockbrokers in the market should be developed.
Institutional investors should be formed. The role of institutional investor in
the market is known to add up new instrument through collective investment
schemes, play role in stabilization of the securities prices, make rational
analysis of information and pressurize the issuer for the regular flow of
credible information.
This study has attempted to emphasize different components of the investors and
financial instrument so that we can trace out the vital things, which will ultimately
help the investors and to develop the financial instruments market of Nepal. On this
ground, the study has tried to find many findings. The major findings from the
secondary data analysis are as follows:
101
processing ,Insurance, other,Trading and Hotel sectors were respectively listed
in the security market of Nepal.
Apart from these major findings from secondary data analysis, we have also various
other findings on the analysis of primary data.
Most of the investors have preferred the common stock for investment among
various available financial instruments in Nepal. Government securities
appeared as the second most preferred financial instrument after common
stocks. The preferred stocks and debentures were appeared as the least
preferred financial instrument.
Among the various sector most of the investor preferred Banking sector. After
the banking they gave the priority to the finance company. This ultimately
proves that Nepalese investors are interested to invest in financial sector.
Majority of people wanted to invest in banking sector even though the
numbers of finance companies are listed more than banks. It has also shown
that Insurance, hotel, manufacturing & processing and trading are less
preferred sector for financial investment. Preference didn't change with the
change in the responding groups. Staff of NEPSE, SEBO/N Brokers and
Investors preferred commercial bank, finance company and insurance
company to make investment respectively thereafter.
Profit/Return was found to be the most preference to get from their investment
for all types of respondents. Few investors preferred marketability and social
status as a return from their investment. Some investors were interested to get
profit/return, marketability and social status from their investment.
It was found that majority of investor wanted to trade their investment in both
primary and secondary market. Few investors wanted to trade through mutual
fund.
The majority of the respondents stated that the Nepalese investors are not
satisfied with the return from their investment.
It was found from the respondents responses that majority of investor are not
aware regarding their investment in Nepalese security market.
102
It was found out that major portion of the investors is influenced for investing
in security is mainly for capital appreciation. Suggestion from relatives and
friends and rumour as same factor are harmful to the investor. This factor also
seen as one of influencing factor in decision making on investment.
The majority of the respondents of the different groups felt that the Nepalese
investors are not getting sufficient and timely information from the companies.
It was found that investors' decision on financial investment is highly
influenced by political situation, few investors agreed upon the statement that
political situation does not influence the decision of investor.
The reason behind main attraction of common share investment appeared
capital gain. Dividend appeared as second factor of attraction. Some of
investors preferred representation in Board as the attraction of common stock
investment.
With respect to the companies not preferring to issue debt and preferred stock,
the majority of the respondents stated that certain and regular interest payment
to investors was the main reason that the Nepalese companies did not prefer to
issue debt and preference stock frequently.
It was found out from the responses given by respondent that the main
attraction of Nepalese investors towards the government securities is due to
the risk free return and safety.
It was also found out from the responses given by respondent that the
Nepalese investor didn't like high risk. Most of investor are risk avoider.
Officials of NEPSE and SEBO/N had knowledge of derivatives where as most
of investors had not knowledge about the financial derivatives like future,
options and warrants etc. Therefore it can be said that knowledge of futures,
options, warrants are lacking in Nepalese financial marke
103
CHAPTER-V
This chapter summarizes the whole study in the three sections. Section first includes
the summary of the study. The second section presents the conclusion of the study.
The third section of this chapter is recommendation on investor's attitude and
anticipation on earning with respect to financial instrument.
5.1 Summary
This study has been conducted to analyze the investor's preference on financial
instruments. The first objective was to study on investor's attitude towards securities.
Similarly the second and third objective were to study the investors trend of
investment on securities and to study the criteria adopted by the investors while
making decision on securities.
The collected questionnaires were systematically arranged and relevant data were
extracted for the fulfillment of research objectives. The responses from the
respondents were tabulated, figured and analyzed. The secondary data were abstracted
from various annual reports of NEPSE/SEBON, NRB publications and different
financial management related books. The study covered the sample period of five
years beginning from F/Y 2004/05 to F/Y 2008/09.
To make clear from the figure, the tabulated data collected from various respondents
groups is presented in the multiple bar diagram.
104
After the data tabulation and presentation hypothesis testing was conducted. The
results of respondents were also analyzed to ascertain the difference in their
responses. In this regard Chi-Square was employed and tested at 5% level of
confidence to test whether there is significant difference between the opinions of the
different responding groups or not.
5.2 Conclusion
After analyzing the secondary data and responses of the respondents, major
conclusions of the study have been drawn out as follows:
Fiscal year 2006/07 proved to be a remarkable year for share market. With the
restoration of peace and subsequent boost of investor confidence major indicators of
share market grew tremendously. But share market grew little low in the fiscal year
2007/08 coparatively in the fiscal year 2006/[Link] i.e the fiscal year 2006/07 would be
remembered as a boom year for Nepalese Stock Market. Almost all the previous
records of the securities market have been shattered in the year.
Major indicators of secondary market like amount of share traded, number of listed
share, number of transaction, annual turnover, total market capitalization of listed
shares increased in the review period.
The above-mentioned (in previous chapter) major findings of this study are concluded
that investors prefer the common stock in the Nepalese financial market. In the
common stocks also they prefer the common stock of banking sector. Most of the
investors feel confident that investment in the banking sector is good by which
investor can increase their capital and it will also provide a high return in the form of
dividend. That is why; market capitalization of the common stocks of banking sector
is high. Hence, the preference of investors is on common stock of banking sector.
105
and regular interest payment to the investor and no attraction is the main reason of the
Nepalese companies for not preferring to issue debenture and preferred stock.
The Nepalese investors are not appeared that the level of awareness of investors is
really poor. Investor's are influenced mostly due the capital appreciation. Some of
investors follow of suggestions of relatives and friends or rumour. They don’t analyze
the risk and return before any investment in any securities. They invest their money
just by observing the market trend, which is very unscientific in Nepalese context.
They state that they are not getting sufficient and timely information from the
companies where they have invested their money.
5.3 Recommendations
As per the external banks directory most of the companies opted to issue bonus and
right share to increase their capital base. It created buying pressure on market as
investor attracted by the offering of bonus shares and right share. The investors should
be encouraged to make investments in securities market by creating friendly
investment environment. Sufficient policies regarding the financial sector reforms and
security market development should be incorporated create such environment. The
specific recommendations to encourage the Investor and for the development of
security market is summarized below.
The development of security market is depending on political stability of the
nation. Due to the political conditions of the country, investors are scaring
what will happen to their investment. So, government should try to maintain
the political stability to win the investors confident.
The role of brokers in the development of security market is most important.
They should also avoid involving themselves in to security market disorders.
As well as, the concerned authorities should take very strict action to those
institutions and personnel for creation of security market disorders. The
brokers should provide right and authentic information about all the
106
companies to help the investors to choose the security of particular company
that best fit his personal risk and return category but should not try to
influence the investor's decision for his personal benefits.
Sufficient and reliable information should be provided to investors. Then
investors will be attracted to invest in security market. Most of the Nepalese
Investors has low level of knowledge on security market. Investors' awareness
program and campaigns may be the best technique to provide adequate
knowledge about available financial instrument and their transaction in
security.
Efficient trading mechanism and simplified procedures should be developed
so that investors can understand and participate in the security market easily.
Adequate information should be provided to the investors regarding other
financial instruments than common stock. information regarding derivatives
should be provided to the investor so that they can be attracted to invest in
financial instruments.
NEPSE has launched computerize system to flow the information of
transaction to the public. There should be provisions to buy or sell securities,
which will attract the prospective investors residing outside the Kathmandu
valley to make investment through centrally located secondary market of
Nepal.
To attract the institutional investors in the market of financial instruments and
to avoid their passiveness in secondary market, some flexibility in the
directives should be brought. The limitations imposed currently can be
loosened to make them invest more on the financial instruments.
Although NEPSE is performing the market surveillance system to some
extends, it should improve the quality of this activities the high volatility if
market prices of securities regularly and effectively to create the price
formation of the securities.
Regulating authorities should act on the best interest of investor. They should
not be simply watching the malpractices of listed companies.
107
Appendixes
Appendix-1
I would like to request you to kindly fill up the following questionnaire prepared for
collection of your views as precious data input for my research work.
Thank you.
Deepa Maharjan
(Researcher)
Master of Business Studies
Patan Multiple Campus, T.U.
108
Respondent's profile (Personal)
Name :
Office :
Address :
Designation :
Qualification :
Date :
Research Questionnaire
Please place (√ ) mark on the correct box and express your ideas and views where
necessary.
109
f. Trading Company
3. As per your preference, for what purpose do the investors want to invest in
securities?
a. Profit / Return
b. Marketability
c. Social Status
d. Above All
4. Which mechanism do the investor prefer to invest in Security Market?
a. Primary Market
b. Secondary Market
c. Both Market
d. Mutual Fund
5. Are the investors satisfied with the return from their investment decision in the
security market?
a. Yes
b. No
c. Don’t Know
6. What is the level of investor's awareness upon financial instruments in Nepal
a. Yes
b. No
c. Don’t Know
7. In your opinion, which of the following is the main influencing factor for
investors?
a. Dividends / Returns
b. Capital Appreciation
c. Suggestion from relatives, friends/Rumors
d. Company Performance
8. In your opinion, are the Nepalese investors getting sufficient and timely
information from the companies where they have made investment?
a. Yes
b. No
c. Don’t Know
9. To what extent do you think political situation influence the decisions of the
investors?
a. Very High
b. High
c. Moderate
110
d. Low
10. In your opinion, what is the main attraction of common stock?
a. Dividend
b. Capital Gain
c. Bonus Shares
d. Representation in Board
11. In Nepalese capital market, other financial instruments except common stock
have not been used frequently. In your opinion, why do the companies not
prefer to issue debt and preferred stocks?
a. No Attraction
b. Certain and regular Return
c. Don’t Know
12. What is the main attraction of government securities?
a. Risk Free Return
b. High Interest Rate
c. Rumors
13. In your opinion, what level of risk do the Nepalese investor's like to make
investment in financial market?
a. High Risk
b. Moderate Risk
c. Low risk
14. Have you heard about the financial derivatives like futures, options, warrants
etc.?
Yes No
15. Do you think, are there any difficulties to invest in securities in Nepal?
16. What improvement would you like to see to develop the Nepalese securities
market?
111
Thank you for your kind cooperation
112
Appendix-2
Question-wise responses and calculation of Chi-square
Question No.1
NEPSE/
Alternatives Brokers Investors Total
SEBO/N
Common Stock/share 6 12 18 36
Preference share 1 1 3 5
Debenture/Bonds 1 1 3 5
Government Bonds 2 2 10 14
Total 10 16 34 60
Chi-square Test
(Row, Observed Expected (0 - E)2
O-E
Column) Frequency (O) Frequency (E) E
R1C1 6 6.00 0 0
R1C2 12 9.60 2.4 0.6
R1C3 18 20.40 -2.4 0.28
R2C1 1 0.83 0.17 0.034
R2C2 1 1.33 -0.33 0.08
R2C3 3 2.83 0.17 0.01
R3C1 1 0.83 0.17 0.03
R3C2 1 1.33 -0.33 0.08
R3C3 3 2.83 0.17 0.01
R4C1 2 2.33 -0.33 0.04
R4C2 2 3.73 -1.73 0.80
R4C3 10 7.93 2.07 0.54
2.50
2 (0 - E)2
χ =∑ E = 2.50
113
Conclusion: Since calculated χ2 < tabulated χ2, it is not significant and H0 is accepted
which means, the responses of different group is not significantly different.
Question No. 2
NEPSE/
Sectors Brokers Investors Total
SEBO/N
Banking 6 10 18 34
Finance Company 3 3 8 14
Insurance Company 1 2 4 7
Hotel 0 0 1 1
Manufacturing Company 0 1 2 3
Trading Company 0 0 1 1
Total 10 16 34 60
Chi-square test
(Row, Observed Expected (0 - E)2
O-E
Column) Frequency (O) Frequency (E) E
R1C1 6 5.67 0.33 0.02
R1C2 10 9.07 0.93 0.01
R1C3 18 19.27 -1.27 0.08
R2C1 3 2.33 0.67 0.19
R2C2 3 3.73 -0.73 0.14
R2C3 8 7.93 0.07 0.00
R3C1 1 1.17 -0.17 0.02
R3C2 2 1.87 0.13 0.01
R3C3 4 3.97 0.03 0.00
R4C1 0 0.17 0.17 0.17
R4C2 0 0.27 -.027 0.27
R4C3 1 0.57 0.43 0.32
R5C1 0 0.50 -0.50 0.50
R5C2 1 0.80 0.20 0.05
R5C3 2 1.70 0.30 0.05
R6C1 0 0.17 -0.17 0.17
R6C2 0 0.27 -0.27 0.27
R6C3 1 0.57 0.43 0.32
2.67
2 (0 - E)2
Calculated χ = ∑ E = 2.67
114
= 5%
Tabulated value χ2 0.05 (10) = 18.307
Conclusion: Since calculated χ2 < tabulated χ2, it is not significant and H0 is accepted.
Question No.3
Purpose NEPSE Brokers Investors Total
Profit/Return 6 11 22 39
Marketability 1 1 1 3
Social Status 1 2 3 6
Above All 2 2 8 12
Total 10 16 34 60
Chi-square test
(Row, Observed Expected (0 - E)2
O-E
Column) Frequency (O) Frequency (E) E
R1C1 6 6.50 -0.50 0.04
R1C2 11 10.40 0.60 0.03
R1C3 22 22.10 -0.10 0.00
R2C1 1 0.50 0.50 0.50
R2C2 1 0.80 0.20 0.05
R2C3 1 1.70 -0.70 0.29
R3C1 1 1.00 0.00 0.00
R3C2 2 1.60 0.40 0.10
R3C3 3 3.40 -0.40 0.05
R4C1 2 2.00 0.00 0.00
R4C2 2 3.20 -1.20 0.45
R4C3 8 6.80 1.20 0.21
1.72
(0 - E)2
Calculated χ2 = ∑ E = 1.72
Question No. 4
115
Market Mechanism NEPSE Brokers Investors Total
Primary Market 2 3 11 16
Secondary Market 3 4 5 12
Both Market 4 8 15 27
Mutual Fund 1 1 3 5
Total 10 16 34 60
Chi-square test
(Row, Observed Expected (0 - E)2
O-E
Column) Frequency (O) Frequency (E) E
R1C1 2 2.67 -0.67 0.17
R1C2 3 4.27 -1.27 0.38
R1C3 11 9.07 1.93 0.41
R2C1 3 2.00 1.00 0.50
R2C2 4 3.20 0.80 0.20
R2C3 5 6.80 -1.80 0.48
R3C1 4 4.50 -0.50 0.06
R3C2 8 7.20 0.80 0.09
R3C3 15 15.30 -0.30 0.01
R4C1 1 0.83 0.17 0.03
R4C2 1 1.33 -0.33 0.08
R4C3 3 2.83 0.17 0.01
2.41
(0 - E)2
Calculated χ2 = ∑ E = 2.41
116
Question No.5
Satisfaction NEPSE Brokers Investors Total
Yes 4 6 14 24
No 6 10 18 34
Don't Know 0 0 2 2
Total 10 16 34 60
Chi-square test
(Row, Observed Expected (0 - E)2
O-E
Column) Frequency (O) Frequency (E) E
R1C1 4 4.00 0.00 0.00
R1C2 6 6.40 -0.40 0.03
R1C3 14 13.60 0.40 0.01
R2C1 6 5.67 0.33 0.02
R2C2 10 9.07 0.93 0.10
R2C3 18 19.27 -1.27 0.08
R3C1 0 0.33 -0.33 0.33
R3C2 0 0.53 -0.53 0.53
R3C3 2 1.13 0.87 0.66
1.77
(0 - E)2
Calculated χ2 = ∑ E = 1.77
Chi-square test
117
(Row, Observed Expected (0 - E)2
O-E
Column) Frequency (O) Frequency (E) E
R1C1 1 0.83 0.17 0.03
R1C2 2 1.33 0.67 0.33
R1C3 2 2.83 -0.83 0.25
R2C1 3 1.67 1.33 1.07
R2C2 3 2.67 0.33 0.04
R2C3 4 5.67 -1.67 0.49
R3C1 3 2.67 0.33 0.04
R3C2 5 4.27 0.73 0.13
R3C3 8 9.07 -1.07 0.13
R4C1 3 4.83 -1.83 2.50
R4C2 6 7.73 -1.73 4.97
R4C3 20 16.43 3.57 9.61
19.59
(0 - E)2
Calculated χ2 = ∑ E = 19.59
Question No. 7
Influencing Factors NEPSE Brokers Investors Total
Dividends/Returns 3 4 10 17
Capital Appreciation 4 5 14 23
Suggestion from relatives and
friends / rumour 2 4 6 12
Company Performance 1 3 4 8
Total 10 16 34 60
Chi-square test
(Row, Observed Expected (0 - E)2
O-E
Column) Frequency (O) Frequency (E) E
118
R1C1 3 2.83 0.17 0.01
R1C2 4 4.53 -0.53 0.06
R1C3 10 9.63 0.37 0.01
R2C1 4 3.83 0.17 0.01
R2C2 5 6.13 -1.13 0.21
R2C3 14 13.03 0.97 0.07
R3C1 2 2.00 0.00 0.00
R3C2 4 3.20 0.80 0.20
R3C3 6 6.80 -0.80 0.09
R4C1 1 1.33 -0.33 0.67
R4C2 3 2.13 0.87 1.33
R4C3 4 4.53 -0.53 2.59
5.26
(0 - E)2
Calculated χ2 = ∑ E = 5.26
Question No. 8
Sufficiency of Information NEPSE Brokers Investors Total
Yes 4 6 5 15
No 6 9 23 38
Don’t Know 0 1 6 7
Total 10 16 34 60
Chi-square test
(Row, Observed Expected (0 - E)2
O-E
Column) Frequency (O) Frequency (E) E
R1C1 4 2.50 1.50 0.90
R1C2 6 4.00 2.00 1.00
R1C3 5 8.50 -3.50 1.44
R2C1 6 6.33 -0.33 0.02
R2C2 9 10.13 -1.13 0.13
R2C3 23 21.53 1.47 0.10
R3C1 0 1.17 -1.17 1.17
R3C2 1 1.87 -0.87 0.40
119
R3C3 6 3.97 2.03 1.04
6.20
2 (0 - E)2
Calculated χ = ∑ E = 6.20
Question No.9
Influence of Political
situation NEPSE Brokers Investors Total
Very High 3 5 13 21
High 4 8 17 29
Moderate 2 2 2 6
Low 1 1 2 4
Total 10 16 34 60
Chi-square test
(Row, Observed Expected (0 - E)2
O-E
Column) Frequency (O) Frequency (E) E
R1C1 3 3.50 -0.50 0.07
R1C2 5 5.60 -0.60 0.06
R1C3 13 11.90 1.10 0.10
R2C1 4 4.83 -0.83 0.14
R2C2 8 7.73 0.27 0.01
R2C3 17 16.43 0.57 0.02
R3C1 2 1.00 1.00 1.00
R3C2 2 1.60 0.40 0.10
R3C3 2 3.40 -1.40 0.58
R4C1 1 0.67 0.33 0.17
R4C2 1 1.07 -0.07 0.00
R4C3 2 2.27 -0.27 0.03
2.29
2 (0 - E)2
Calculated χ = ∑ E = 2.29
120
Degree of freedom = (r-1) (c-1)
= (4-1) (3-1)
=6
= 5%
Tabulated value χ2 0.05 (6) = 12.592
Conclusion: Since calculated χ2 < tabulated χ2, it is not significant and H0 is accepted.
Question No.10
Attraction of common stock NEPSE Brokers Investors Total
Dividend 3 4 9 16
Capital Gain 5 8 18 31
Bonus Share 1 3 3 7
Representation in Board 1 1 2 4
Total 10 16 32 58
Chi-square test
(Row, Observed Expected (0 - E)2
O-E
Column) Frequency (O) Frequency (E) E
R1C1 3 2.75 0.25 0.02
R1C2 4 4.41 -0.41 0.03
R1C3 9 8.82 0.18 0.00
R2C1 5 5.34 -0.34 0.02
R2C2 8 8.55 -0.55 0.03
R2C3 18 17.10 0.9 0.04
R3C1 1 1.20 -0.2 0.03
R3C2 3 1.93 1.07 0.59
R3C3 3 3.86 -0.86 0.19
R4C1 1 0.68 0.32 0.15
R4C2 1 1.10 -0.1 0.01
R4C3 2 2.20 -0.2 0.01
1.12
(0 - E)2
Calculated χ2 = ∑ E = 1.12
121
Tabulated value χ2 0.05 (6) = 12.592
Conclusion: Since calculated χ2 < tabulated χ2, it is not significant and H0 is accepted.
Question No. 11
Reason for not issuing debt
and preferred stocks NEPSE Brokers Investors Total
No Attraction 3 5 10 18
Certain and regular return 6 9 20 35
Don't Know 1 2 4 7
Total 10 16 34 60
Chi-square test
(Row, Observed Expected
O-E
Column) Frequency (O) Frequency (E)
R1C1 3 3.00 0.00 0.00
R1C2 5 4.80 0.20 0.01
R1C3 10 10.20 -0.20 0.00
R2C1 6 5.83 0.17 0.00
R2C2 9 9.33 -0.33 0.01
R2C3 20 19.83 0.17 0.00
R3C1 1 1.17 -0.17 0.02
R3C2 2 1.87 0.13 0.01
R3C3 4 3.97 0.03 0.00
0.05
(0 - E)2
Calculated χ2 = ∑ E = 0.05
Question No.12
Attraction of
Government Securities NEPSE Brokers Investors Total
Risk Free Return 7 10 25 42
High Interest Rate 1 2 3 6
122
Marketability 2 4 6 12
Total 10 16 34 60
Chi-square test
(Row, Observed Expected (0 - E)2
O-E
Column) Frequency (O) Frequency (E) E
R1C1 7 7.00 0.00 0.00
R1C2 10 11.20 -1.20 0.13
R1C3 25 23.80 1.20 0.06
R2C1 1 1 0.00 0.00
R2C2 2 1.6 0.4 0.10
R2C3 3 3.4 -0.4 0.05
R3C1 2 2 0.00 0.00
R3C2 4 3.2 0.8 0.20
R3C3 6 6.8 -0.8 0.09
0.63
(0 - E)2
Calculated χ2 = ∑ E = 0.63
Question No. 13
Attitude toward risk NEPSE Brokers Investors Total
High Risk 1 1 2 4
Low Risk 5 6 12 23
Moderate risk 4 9 20 33
10 16 34 60
Chi-square test
(Row, Observed Expected (0 - E)2
O-E
Column) Frequency (O) Frequency (E) E
123
R1C1 1 0.67 0.33 0.17
R1C2 1 1.07 -0.07 0.00
R1C3 2 2.27 -0.27 0.03
R2C1 5 3.83 1.17 0.36
R2C2 6 6.13 -0.13 0.00
R2C3 12 13.03 -1.03 0.08
R3C1 4 5.50 -1.50 0.41
R3C2 9 8.80 0.20 0.00
R3C3 20 18.70 1.30 0.09
1.15
(0 - E)2
Calculated χ2 = ∑ E = 1.15
Question No. 14
Knowledge of
financial derivatives NEPSE Brokers Investors Total
Yes 8 15 6 29
No 2 1 28 31
Total 10 16 34 60
Chi-square test
(Row, Observed Expected (0 - E)2
O-E
Column) Frequency (O) Frequency (E) E
R1C1 8 4.83 3.17 2.07
R1C2 15 7.73 7.27 6.83
R1C3 6 16.43 -10.43 6.62
R2C1 2 5.17 -3.17 1.94
R2C2 1 8.27 -7.27 6.39
R2C3 28 17.57 10.43 6.20
30.05
124
(0 - E)2
Calculated χ2 = ∑ E = 30.05
125
Appendix-3
126
Staffs of Security Board of Nepal (SEBO/N)
Presently, there are 30 staffs in SEBON including chairman, two directors, five
deputy directors, six officers, six assistants, six support staffs and messenger, and
there are four staffs on contract basis.
127
3. Mr. Prem Kajee Shrestha Supervisor, Library & Documentation
Section
4. Mr. Binod Maharjan Suppor Staff
(Source: [Link])
128
Appendix-5
129
Appendix-6
List of the respondent for the questionnaires
130
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