CEO Tenure and Firm Performance in NZ
CEO Tenure and Firm Performance in NZ
[Link]
Abstract
Purpose – This study aims to investigate the association between chief executive officer (CEO) tenure and firm
performance. Extended CEO tenure offers the potential for organizational stability, sustained operational
coherence and heightened insights into business intricacies. However, longer tenure concurrently fosters
complacency and impedes innovation by engendering resistance to change and a deficiency in novel perspectives.
The authors’ inquiry seeks to discern the prevailing influence between these contrasting perspectives.
Design/methodology/approach – This study uses unbalanced panel data for a unique hand-collected
dataset from listed firms in New Zealand (2000–2020) – a country that adopts the principles-based corporate
governance regime. The authors perform ordinary least squares, two-stage least squares and propensity score
matching tests to examine the relationship between CEO tenure and firm performance.
Findings – The authors document a significant positive impact of CEO tenure on firm performance, implying
the benefits of long tenure. However, this study further reveals a significant inverted U-shaped relationship
between CEO tenure and firm performance, suggesting that such a positive impact can hold up to a certain
threshold; after that, long CEO tenure can hinder firm performance. The finding is robust to alternative measures
and endogeneity tests and offers important implications for corporate governance policies and practices.
Practical implications – The findings highlight the importance of balancing the benefits of long CEO
tenure. Practically, firms should prioritize regular evaluation of CEO performance and tenure, emphasize
succession planning and foster a culture of innovation to sustain organizational success in the long term.
Originality/value – This research offers valuable insights by examining the intricate relationship
between CEO tenure and firm performance within the distinct setting of New Zealand. By uncovering both
the benefits and drawbacks of long CEO tenure, this study contributes to a nuanced understanding of
corporate governance dynamics.
Keywords CEO tenure, Firm performance, New Zealand
Paper type Research paper
© Panwell Chikunda, Md. Borhan Uddin Bhuiyan, Muhammad Nurul Houqe and Linh Thi My
Nguyen. Published by Emerald Publishing Limited. This article is published under the Creative
Commons Attribution (CC BY 4.0) licence. Anyone may reproduce, distribute, translate and create
derivative works of this article (for both commercial and non-commercial purposes), subject to full
attribution to the original publication and authors. The full terms of this licence may be seen at http://
[Link]/licences/by/4.0/legalcode Pacific Accounting Review
The authors sincerely thank Guest Editor Cuong Cao Nguyen and the two anonymous reviewers for Emerald Publishing Limited
0114-0582
their insightful and constructive feedback on an earlier version of this manuscript. DOI 10.1108/PAR-09-2024-0235
PAR 1. Introduction
We examine the association between chief executive officer (CEO) tenure and firm
performance, a topic of considerable interest among scholars and industry practitioners
worldwide. Among top managers in a firm, the CEO, the key decision-maker with the “least
restrictive oversight”, tends to have more discretion to exhibit personal preferences in the
firm’s behaviours, potentially changing firm outcomes (Hambrick and Gregory, 1991). This
research line has long been established in the literature as informed by two prominent
theories: the agency theory (Jensen and Meckling, 1976) and the upper echelons theory
(Hambrick and Mason, 1984). CEO tenure, defined as “the time a person spends in the CEO
position” (Darouichi et al., 2021, p. 661), is considered a central characteristic that can
predict both the behaviours and givens of CEOs (Hambrick and Mason, 1984). How does
CEO tenure affect firm performance? Should CEOs stay long in the office? Addressing these
questions enhances our comprehension of CEO tenure’s nature and ramifications on firm
performance and offers valuable insights into corporate governance policies and practices
(Brochet et al., 2021; Darouichi et al., 2021).
Theoretically, long-tenured CEOs tend to understand the firm better, learn more relevant
knowledge and skills and develop long-term relationships with shareholders, reducing
agency conflicts and adding more value to the firm (Eisenhardt, 1989; Hambrick and
Gregory, 1991). However, staying too long in the office can make CEOs more powerful and
resist shareholder requests, creating more conflicts of interest and hindering firm
performance (Cao et al., 2021; Hambrick and Gregory, 1991; Miller, 1991). The empirical
evidence is inconclusive, given the two competing views (Cao et al., 2021; Darouichi et al.,
2021). Studies have documented a mixed linear relationship between CEO tenure and firm
performance (Miller, 1991; Salancik and Pfeffer, 1980). Others show evidence of a
curvilinear impact (Brochet et al., 2021).
Moreover, most past research focuses on the US market (Brochet et al., 2021), and very
few studies investigate smaller countries with unique institutional settings, such as New
Zealand (Prevost et al., 2002). In their recent study, Burns et al. (2023) find that cultural,
legal, regulatory and governance differences across countries are significantly related to
CEO contracts with the firm. Aguilera and Jackson (2003) also argue that due to distinct
institutional environments, corporate governance practices become more similar within a
country but different across countries (Aguilera and Jackson, 2003). Consequently, it is
insufficient to fully comprehend the dynamics of CEO tenure and its effect on firm
performance by depending only on US-based research. Investigating the New Zealand
setting may broaden our perspective of corporate governance dynamics and acquire a more
nuanced understanding of how CEO tenure functions within various institutional contexts.
We selected New Zealand as our research setting to explore our inquiry, distinguishing
our approach from prevalent empirical research that predominantly focuses on the
association between CEO tenure and firm performance within the context of US firms. Our
research motivation is grounded in contextualizing the New Zealand business environment
and differentiating our study from prior research findings in several key aspects. New
Zealand diverges from the USA in fundamental ways. First, the corporate governance regime
in New Zealand is principles-based, as opposed to the rule-based regime in the USA (Wu
et al., 2022). In countries with principles-based corporate governance, instead of governance
rules, firms use commonly respected principles and norms (Sama and Shoaf, 2005). Indeed,
in New Zealand, corporate governance guidelines are not compulsory (Sharma et al., 2021),
thus, CEOs may be under less pressure and oversight than their peers in the USA or other
rule-based countries. Second, New Zealand’s cultural values are also different from those in
the USA. For example, compared to the US culture, the New Zealand culture is characterized
by lower individualism [1]. Burns et al. (2023) document that low individualism is Pacific
associated with lower CEO turnover, which may contribute to longer CEO tenure or Accounting
influence the CEO tenure–firm performance relationship. Third, from a regulatory Review
perspective, we also observe significant differences between the two countries, particularly
in the legal standards towards protecting shareholders, which can influence CEO contracts
and the link between CEO and firm performance (Burns et al., 2023). Notably, New Zealand
has a higher (revised) anti-directors rights index (ADRI) index than the USA (Spamann,
2010), suggesting more shareholder protections in the country. Fourth, the CEO labour
market in New Zealand is relatively smaller than that of the USA, as highlighted by Reddy
et al. (2015). In addition, Ward (2014) provides evidence suggesting that CEO turnover in
New Zealand firms is significantly shorter than in their US counterparts. Consequently,
caution should be exercised when generalising US-based research findings in New Zealand.
Finally, US firm characteristics are also significantly different from those in New Zealand,
which are shown to influence corporate governance structure (Monem, 2013). For example,
firms in the US market are usually much larger than those in New Zealand (La Porta et al.,
1998). In sum, such differences suggest that extant findings about CEO tenure and its
relationship with firm performance in the USA or other countries may not be generalizable to
New Zealand.
In this paper, we use a rich hand-collected data set from the New Zealand market over
20 years (2000–2020) to examine the relationship between CEO tenure and firm
performance. We find supporting evidence for a significantly positive relationship between
CEO tenure and firm performance measured by Tobin’s Q, including additional proxies such
as ROA and basic earning power (BEP). To address potential endogeneity problems, for
example, CEO tenure and firm performance may be correlated with some omitted variables
(omitted variable bias) or the sample selection biases which can arise from our manual data
collection, we conduct several additional tests, including lagged variables, firm fixed effects
and change analysis, the propensity score matching (PSM) and Heckman selection analyses
(Hill et al., 2020). Our findings remain valid. Furthermore, informed by the theoretical work
of Hambrick and colleagues (Hambrick and Gregory, 1991) and recent empirical evidence
(Brochet et al., 2021; Huang and Hilary, 2018), we also test if there is a curvilinear
relationship between CEO tenure and firm performance. CEOs can learn and enhance their
skills and knowledge over time, positively contributing to the firm performance up to a
certain threshold. After that, staying too long in the office can make the CEOs more powerful
and less motivated to learn or engage, becoming detrimental to the firm performance
(Hambrick and Gregory, 1991). Indeed, our study reveals an inverted U-shaped relationship
between CEO tenure and various firm performance measures.
Our study contributes to the literature in several ways. Using a unique hand-collected data
set from a country that follows a principles-based corporate governance regime, we offer
novel empirical evidence on the relationship between CEO tenure and firm performance.
This is important given that most relevant research focuses on the US market, which follows
a rules-based corporate governance approach. Our study thus contributes to the debate about
the two different governance approaches adopted by many countries worldwide (Nakpodia
et al., 2018; Sama and Shoaf, 2005). Although we document a consistent result with prior
studies in the US market (Brochet et al., 2021), we further show that CEO tenure
significantly influences both accounting-based and market-based performance, not just firm
value, as evidenced by Brochet et al. (2021). We also extend their study to investigate how
the CEO tenure–firm performance relationship varies across different levels of product
market competition, audit quality, firm age and life cycle. The positive relationship between
CEO tenure and firm performance suggests CEOs can learn more knowledge and skills over
PAR time, making value-enhancing strategic decisions. Our results further reveal a curvilinear
relationship (inverted U-shaped curve) between CEO tenure and firm performance, implying
that CEO tenure can improve firm performance up to a certain point and then become
detrimental. Hence, our findings can shed light on CEO research and corporate finance
practices in countries with institutional backgrounds and similar corporate governance
practices in New Zealand.
Our findings suggest that CEO tenure positively impacts firm performance, but this effect
narrows over time. Specifically, our results indicate that extended tenure can benefits such as
accumulated knowledge, strategic consistency and firm-specific expertise. However,
prolonged tenure may also introduce challenges, including the risk of entrenchment and
reduced adaptability. Given New Zealand’s principles-based corporate governance system,
we recommend that boards of directors and policymakers implement periodic performance
evaluation and strategic alignment reviews to ensure that long-tenured CEOs continue to
drive value. In addition, firms could establish structured succession planning and leadership
development initiatives to balance stability and innovation. While the ideal tenure length
may vary across firms and industries, our findings offer valuable insights for refining CEO
tenure policies in public-listed firms.
The remainder of this paper is organized as follows. We review relevant literature and
propose relevant hypotheses in Section 2. Section 3 discusses the research design and model
specification. We present and discuss the main results in Section 4. Finally, Section 5
concludes our study with limitations and areas for future research.
H2. A curvilinear (inverted U-shaped) relationship exists between CEO tenure and firm
performance.
Firm-year observation with non-missing CEO tenure data from 2000 to 2020 1,687
where TOBINSQ is the proxy for firm performance measures, it is the sum of the market
value of equity plus the book value of total debt scaled by total assets. Our primary variable
of interest in H1 is CEO tenure measured in the coefficient ∅1CEO_TENUREt. We use two
measures for CEO tenure, CEO_TENURE and Ln(CEO_TENUE). CEO_TENURE is
measured as the number of years the CEO has been serving as the firm CEO. Ln
(CEO_TENURE) is measured as the natural logarithm of CEO tenure years. A positive
coefficient on CEO_TENURE signifies that higher CEO tenure is associated with an increase
in firm performance, while a negative coefficient indicates the opposite, suggesting that
longer CEO tenure leads to a decrease in firm performance. In H2, our primary variable of
interest is ∂1 CEO_TENUREt2 . Predicting a non-linear relationship between CEO_TENUE
and firm performance, we include the square term of CEO_TENURE, measured as
∂1 CEO_TENUREt2 in the regression model, equation (2).
Consistent with the existing corporate governance literature, we include several control
variables. CEO_AGE is measured as the firm CEO age in years. CEO_GENDER is a dummy
variable assigned a value of 1 if the CEO is female, 0 otherwise. CEO_FOUNDER is a
dummy variable equal to 1 if the CEO is a founder CEO, 0 otherwise. Also, CEO_DUAL is a
dummy variable equal to 1 if the CEO is also the Chairman of the board and 0 otherwise.
SIZE is the proxy for firm size measure as the natural logarithm of firm total assets. Leverage
(LEV) is estimated as the ratio of firm debt scaled by total assets. Loss (LOSS) is an indicator
variable that equals 1 if the firm reported loss and 0 otherwise to measure the profitability. We
also control firm and year fixed effect. All variable definitions/measurements are available in
Appendix.
4. Empirical results
4.1 Descriptive statistics
Table 2 Panel A reports the sample characteristics. Over the 2000–2020 period, the mean
(standard deviation) Tobin’s Q value is 1.84 (2.09) and the mean (standard deviation) CEO
tenure value is 5.80 (5.62). Also, the median of CEO tenure is four years, suggesting that half
of the CEOs in the sample period serve four years or less, meaning shorter tenures of CEOs
are more common in New Zealand. Therefore, a long-tenure in this context might be
considered above 4 years of CEO tenure. Compared with Brochet et al. (2021) US CEO
sample, CEOs in New Zealand have several different characteristics. First, they tend to have
a shorter tenure on average (5.8 years) compared to Brochet et al. (2021) sample firms
(7.3 years). CEOs in our sample have an average age of 50.83, relatively lower than those in
Table 2. Summary statistics Pacific
Accounting
Variable(s) Mean Median SD P25 P75
Review
Panel A: Descriptive statistics
TOBINSQ 1.8436 1.1740 2.0993 0.9123 1.8919
CEO_TENURE 5.8004 4.0000 5.6217 1.6561 8.0192
Ln(CEO_TENURE) 1.1852 1.3893 1.2552 0.5045 2.0818
CEO_AGE 50.8303 51.0000 7.5475 46.0000 56.0000
CEO_GENDER 0.0492 0.0000 0.2163 0.0000 0.0000
CEO_FOUNDER 0.1115 0.0000 0.3149 0.0000 0.0000
CEO_DUAL 0.1300 0.0000 0.3364 0.0000 0.0000
SIZE 19.0117 13.2162 2.2524 17.6591 20.5866
LEV 0.2309 0.2121 0.1988 0.0425 0.3433
LOSS 0.1113 0.1000 0.1859 0.0000 1.000
Panel B: Correlation matrix
Variables(s) (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9)
[1] TOBINSQ 1
[2] CEO_TENURE 0.08*** 1
[3] CEO_AGE 0.05** 0.28*** 1
[4] CEO_GENDER −0.06** 0.08*** −0.04* 1
[5] CEO_FOUNDER 0.08*** 0.34*** 0.08*** 0.22*** 1
[6] CEO_DUAL −0.03 0.06*** 0.10*** 0.03 0.15*** 1
[7] SIZE −0.36*** −0.03 0.04* −0.03 −0.17*** −0.00 1
[8] LEV −0.18*** −0.02 −0.03 −0.10*** −0.01 0.04 0.21*** 1
[9] LOSS −0.03 −0.04* 0.01 −0.03 −0.02 −0.01 −0.11*** 0.17*** 1
Note(s): Panel (A) All variable definitions are in Appendix; Panel (B) All variable definitions are in
Appendix. ***, ** and * represent statistical significance at the 1, 5 and 10% levels, respectively (two-
tailed tests)
Source(s): Authors’ calculation
Brochet et al. (2021) sample firms (55.56). We also observe that the New Zealand sample
firms have a slightly higher ratio of female CEOs (mean value of 0.05 vs 0.03 in Brochet
et al.’s sample) and a significantly lower ratio of CEO duality (mean value of 0.13 vs 0.55 in
Brochet et al.’s sample) compared to those in the USA. However, there is a comparable
percentage of CEO founders in both studies.
DEP = TOBINSQ
Model 1 Model 2 Model 3
Variable(s) Coefficient (t-value) Coefficient (t-value) Coefficient (t-value)
Note(s): Table 3 reports the regression results testing the relationship between CEO tenure and firm
performance. All variable definitions are in Appendix. ***, ** and * represent statistical significance at the
1, 5 and 10% levels, respectively (two-tailed tests)
Source(s): Authors’ calculation
firm value through their accumulated knowledge and skills in their early tenure. However, up Pacific
to a certain point when long tenure can lead to more power and entrenchment that overweigh Accounting
the aforementioned benefits, long CEO tenure becomes detrimental to firm value. Our Review
findings indicate that the square term of CEO_TENURE has significantly decremental
explanatory power for the variation of firm performance. Noteworthy to mention that the
coefficient for CEO_TENURE (∂2CEO_TENUREt) is positive and statistically significant at
a 1% level.
Model 3 examines the alternative measures for CEO tenure, Ln(CEO_TENURE). Our
findings consistently show that the coefficient of Ln(CEO_TENURE) is positive
[0.1211***, t = 3.31] and statistically significant at a 1% level. Regarding the control
variables, the negative coefficient on female CEOs (CEO_GENDER) suggests that firms led
by female CEOs tend to exhibit lower firm performance. This finding may reflect underlying
structural or industry-specific factors rather than inherent differences in leadership
effectiveness. In addition, we observe that larger firms (SIZE) and firms with higher leverage
(LEV) are associated with lower firm performance, possibly due to increased complexity,
bureaucratic inefficiencies, or financial constraints arising from higher debt burdens. Finally,
the adjusted R2 varies between 19.12 and 20.11, reflecting our regression model’s goodness
of fit.
DEP = ROA
Model 1 Model 2 Model 3
Variable(s) Coefficient (t-value) Coefficient (t-value) Coefficient (t-value)
Note(s): Table 4 reports the regression results testing the relationship between CEO tenure and firm
performance using the alternative proxy for firm performance ROA. All variable definitions are in
Appendix. ***, ** and * represent statistical significance at the 1, 5 and 10% levels, respectively (two-tailed
tests)
Source(s): Authors’ calculation
PAR Particularly, the coefficient for CEO_TENURE (0.0216***, t = 4.92) is positive and
statistically significant at a 1% level (Table 4, Model 1). The coefficient (−0.0038***,
t = −4.22) for CEO_TENUREt2 is also negative and statistically significant at a 1% level
(Table 4, Model 2). Furthermore, when we use a logarithmic value of CEO_TENURE, we
still observe a similar result of a significantly positive relationship between CEO_TENURE
and ROA (0.0039***, t = 2.86). The relationships between control variables and firm
performance are also consistent with those in our baseline models.
Table 5 shows the results for the basic earnings power (BEP) computed as the ratio of
earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to total assets reported in a given financial year. Our
results still hold. The coefficient (0.0014***, t = 3.49) for CEO_TENURE is positive and
statistically significant at a 1% level (Table 5, Model 1). The coefficient (−0.0020***,
t = −3.31) for CEO_TENUREt2 is also negative and statistically significant at a 1% level
(Table 5, Model 2). Model 3 also shows a consistent result of a significantly positive
relationship between Ln(CEO_TENURE) and BEP (0.0032***, t = 3.11).
Note(s): Table 5 reports the regression results of testing the relationship between CEO tenure and firm
performance using the alternative proxy for firm performance BEP. All variable definitions are in Appendix.
***, ** and * represent statistical significance at the 1, 5 and 10% levels, respectively (two-tailed tests)
Source(s): Authors’ calculation
shareholders, that is, longer-tenured CEOs can perceive that the benefits they receive from
the firm are limited by their tenures, so they tend to allocate resources to serve their interests
(Barker and Mueller, 2002; Cassell et al., 2013; Darouichi et al., 2021). Research has shown
that audit quality helps alleviate agency problems and increase firm value (Francis, 2004;
Khan et al., 2016). For example, audit quality is found to be associated with improved
earning quality (Francis, 2004). Similarly, there has been evidence showing that firms with
top auditors have lower cost of equity capital than their counterparts (Chen et al., 2011;
Khurana and Raman, 2004). Following that, firms with high audit quality tend to have lower
agency problems and a better information environment, thus strengthening the positive
impact of CEO tenure on firm value. To investigate if the CEO tenure-firm value relationship
is affected by audit quality, we divide our sample into two subsamples: (1) firms that are
audited by Big4 firms (high audit quality) and (2) firms that are not and conduct our analysis.
Results (Table 6, Panel B) show consistent findings with those in our baseline models in our
Big4 subsample, suggesting that audit quality reinforces the positive impact of CEO tenure
on firm value (TOBINSQ). On the other hand, we find no significant relationships between
CEO tenure and firm value in the non-Big4 subsample.
4.5.3 The role of firm age. Older firms may have accumulated more resources, including
financial capital, intellectual property and human capital. These resources can give older
firms a competitive advantage and increase firm value (Bank and Insam, 2021; Chay et al.,
2015). Conversely, younger firms may face resource access challenges, impacting their
growth prospects and firm value. Therefore, the association between CEO tenure and firm
value is likely moderated by firm age, as older and younger firms exhibit distinct dynamics in
their relationship with CEO tenure. A long-tenured CEO can provide stability, experience,
and industry knowledge in younger firms, enhancing firm value by driving innovation,
PAR
Table 6. Cross-sectional determinants of CEO tenure and firm performance
DEP = TOBINSQ
High competition Low competition
Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 1 Model 2 Model 3
Coefficient Coefficient Coefficient Coefficient Coefficient Coefficient
Variable(s) (t-value) (t-value) (t-value) (t-value) (t-value) (t-value)
DEP = TOBINSQ
High competition Low competition
Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 1 Model 2 Model 3
Coefficient Coefficient Coefficient Coefficient Coefficient Coefficient
Variable(s) (t-value) (t-value) (t-value) (t-value) (t-value) (t-value)
Table 6. Continued
DEP = TOBINSQ
High competition Low competition
Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 1 Model 2 Model 3
Coefficient Coefficient Coefficient Coefficient Coefficient Coefficient
Variable(s) (t-value) (t-value) (t-value) (t-value) (t-value) (t-value)
Note(s): Panel A reports the regression results testing the relationship between CEO tenure and firm performance in the context of firm product market
competition. All variable definitions are in Appendix. ***, ** and * represent statistical significance at the 1, 5 and 10% levels, respectively (two-tailed tests);
Panel B reports the regression results of testing the relationship between CEO tenure and firm performance in the context of audit quality. All variable definitions
are in Appendix. ***, ** and * represent statistical significance at the 1, 5 and 10% levels, respectively (two-tailed tests); Panel C reports the regression results of
testing the relationship between CEO tenure and firm performance in the context of firm age. All variable definitions are in Appendix. ***, ** and * represent
statistical significance at the 1, 5 and 10% levels, respectively (two-tailed tests); Panel D reports the regression results of testing the relationship between CEO
tenure and firm performance in the context of the firm life cycle. All variable definitions are in Appendix. ***, ** and * represent statistical significance at the 1%,
5% and 10% levels, respectively (two-tailed tests)
Source(s): Authors’ calculation
strategic planning, and effective decision-making. Therefore, we categorize the sample into Pacific
two groups based on the firm age to examine our conjecture: new firm (lower than mean firm Accounting
age) and old firm (greater than mean firm age). Mean firm age of our sample is 17.43 years. Review
Our findings are reported in Table 6 Panel C.
Our study reveals a significant positive association between CEO tenure
(CEO_TENURE) and firm value (TOBINSQ) within the cohort of new firms, demonstrating
statistical significance at the 1% level. However, no statistically significant association was
observed within the group of older firms. Intriguingly, the relationship between CEO tenure
(CEO_TENURE2) and firm value exhibited a negative association for both new and old firm
cohorts, indicating a reduction in firm value for both categories when CEO tenure
(CEO_TENURE2) increases, thereby suggesting a non-linear relationship. Our findings
imply that as CEO tenure increases but beyond a certain point, the firm value starts to
decrease, indicating a non-linear relationship between CEO tenure and firm value. These
findings align with our preliminary results, thereby reinforcing the robustness of our
findings.
4.5.4 The role of life cycle. Every firm goes through different life cycles, which are
shown to have significant impacts on financial policies, corporate governance and financial
performance (Dickinson, 2011; Habib and Hasan, 2019; Houqe et al., 2023). For example,
Loderer et al. (2017) find that mature firms tend to invest less and hence experience a
decrease in firm value. However, these firms are also believed to possess more assets in place
and face less uncertainty in their operations than their immature counterparts, so they are
likely to perform better (Habib and Hasan, 2019). Firm life cycle also affects various
corporate governance issues such as board structure (Habib et al., 2018) and CEO
compensation (Kanagaretnam et al., 2009). Such evidence suggests that the impact of CEO
tenure on firm performance can be moderated by the firm life cycle. To test the moderation
role of the firm life cycle, we follow DeAngelo et al.’s (2006) approach to classify firms into
mature firms and firms that do not belong to the mature firm group (growth firm) and to re-
perform the analysis with the two subsamples. We report our findings in Table 6, Panel
D. Results reveal consistent findings for growth firms. Particularly, for growth firms, CEO
tenure enhances firm value. However, the positive impact holds up to a certain threshold and
then decreases over time (inverted U-shaped curve). Interestingly, this is not the case for
mature firms. We find no significant relationships in the mature subsample, suggesting that
CEO may not exhibit significant influence on mature firms given their unique characteristics
in this life cycle.
Note(s): Table 7 reports the regression results testing the relationship between CEO tenure and firm
performance using a change (and lag effect) analysis and firm fixed effect regression. All variable definitions
are in Appendix. ***, ** and * represent statistical significance at the 1,5 and 10% levels, respectively (two-
tailed tests)
Source(s): Authors’ calculation
change analysis to mitigate potential biases from time-invariant unobserved effects. The
intuition is that if CEO tenure influences firm performance, then a change in CEO tenure
should also significantly affect changes in firm performance. We regress annual changes in
firm performance on changes in CEO tenure and control variables and find a consistent
result. Particularly, the coefficient for changes in CEO_TENURE is positive (0.0118**, t =
2.41) and significant at a 5% level (Table 7, Model 3).
Following prior studies (Hasan et al., 2020; Smith, 2016), we conduct the PSM method to
control for observable differences in CEOs characteristics associated with firm performance.
We define the treatment (control) group as CEO tenure above the median and control firms
for others. We then stratify our data to match the treatment firms with control firms based on
the nearest matching point method. To test the quality of our PSM, we conduct t-tests to
compare the mean differences among the variables between the treatment and control groups
(Table 8, Panel A). Only the difference in firm performance (TOBINSQ) is statistically
significant (0.3547**, t = 2.19), while all other differences in observable CEO and firm
characteristics are insignificant, suggesting the balances in our covariates between the
groups. Finally, we rerun the baseline model based on the PSM estimates. Table 8 (Panel B)
consistently shows a significantly positive relationship between CEO tenure and firm
performance (0.1601**, t = 2.24).
Finally, we conduct Heckman two-stage selection analysis to mitigate sample selection
biases due to our manual data collection (Alsaadi, 2021; Heckman, 1979; Hill et al., 2020).
Following prior studies (Bui et al., 2021), we regress CEO tenure on all the control variables
in the first stage. We regress firm performance (TOBINSQ) in the second stage on the inverse
Mills ratio obtained from the first stage and all control variables as in our baseline model.
Table 9 shows Heckman two-stage selection approach results. We document a significantly
Table 8. CEO tenure and firm performance – propensity score matching (PSM) analysis Pacific
Accounting
Variable(s) Treatment firms Control firms Difference t-stat
Review
Panel A: Quality of propensity score matching (PSM)
Dependent variable
TOBINSQ 1.9881 1.6334 0.3547 2.19**
Control variable(s)
CEO_AGE 2.7315 2.7232 −0.0083 −0.31
CEO_GENDER 0.1045 0.1143 −0.0098 −0.39
CEO_FOUNDER 0.2647 0.2516 0.0131 0.37
CEO_DUAL 0.1470 0.1797 −0.0327 −1.09
SIZE 19.1230 19.2030 −0.0800 −0.51
LEV 0.2133 0.2290 −0.0157 −0.92
LOSS 0.1012 0.1112 −0.0100 −0.17
Panel B: CEO tenure and firm performance using PSM regressions
Variable(s) Model 1
Coefficient (t-value)
CEO_TENURE 0.1601** (2.24)
CEO_AGE −0.6911 (−0.45)
CEO_GENDER −1.1912*** (−3.89)
CEO_FOUNDER 0.2512 (1.19)
CEO_DUAL −0.4892** (−2.23)
SIZE −0.2611*** (−4.87)
LEV −1.9910*** (−4.27)
LOSS −0.0082 (−1.12)
Constant 8.5328* (1.84)
YEAR_FE Yes
INDUSTRY_FE Yes
Adj R2 0.1598
N 532
Note(s): Table 8 reports the regression results testing the relationship between CEO tenure and firm
performance following the propensity score matching approach. All variable definitions are in Appendix.
***, ** and * represent statistical significance at the 1, 5 and 10% levels, respectively (two-tailed tests)
Source(s): Authors’ calculation
positive relationship between CEO tenure and firm performance (0.0231***, t = 2.92),
supporting our main result.
5. Conclusion
This study investigates the impact of CEO tenure on firm performance and delves deeper into
the potential presence of a curvilinear relationship between CEO tenure and firm
performance. While conventional wisdom supports that longer CEO tenure enhances firm
performance through heightened experience and organizational familiarity, another body of
research presents contrasting findings, suggesting that extended CEO tenure could diminish
firm value. Given the conflicting evidence, this study aims to investigate this relationship in
the context of New Zealand. The New Zealand business context stands out as unique when
compared to other countries like the US. According to Ward (2014), the average CEO tenure
in New Zealand is notably shorter than that in the USA. Consequently, findings derived from
studies conducted in the US may not be directly applicable or generalizable to other
countries, including New Zealand. We employ a rich hand-collected data set of listed firms in
PAR Table 9. CEO tenure and firm performance – Heckman selection analysis
Note(s): Table 9 reports the regression results testing the relationship between CEO tenure and firm
performance following the Heckman selection analysis. All variable definitions are in Appendix. ***, **
and * represent statistical significance at the 1, 5 and 10% levels, respectively (two-tailed tests)
Source(s): Authors’ calculation
New Zealand over 20 years (2000–2020) to investigate the relationship between CEO tenure
and firm performance.
We find that long-tenured CEOs link with firm performance measured by various market-
based and accounting-based proxies. We have also conducted relevant tests to mitigate
potential endogeneity concerns, including lagged variables, controlling for firm-fixed effects,
change analysis, PSM and Heckman two-stage selection. Our finding remains valid across
these tests. Importantly, we document that although a long-tenured CEO tends to improve
firm performance, which can be attributed to their increasing commitment, accumulating
skills and knowledge about the firm over time (Brochet et al., 2021), having a too long-
tenured CEO can be harmful to the firm. Indeed, we find an inverted U-shaped curve between
CEO tenure and firm performance, consistent with the theoretical work of Hambrick and
colleagues (Hambrick and Gregory, 1991) and several studies mainly in the USA (Brochet
et al., 2021; Huang and Hilary, 2018). This could be because staying too long in the firm may
provide such CEOs with more power and entrenchment that can create more conflicts of
interest which overweighs the benefits of the long tenure (Cao et al., 2021; Hambrick and
Gregory, 1991; Hermalin and Weisbach, 1998; Miller, 1991).
Our study can offer important practical implications regarding corporate governance
policies and practices. First, we provide empirical evidence of the positive link between CEO
tenure and firm performance, indicating the benefits of long tenure. As CEOs tend to become
more committed to the firm and accumulate relevant knowledge and skills which advance
their strategic decision-making over time, firms/boards of directors should have appropriate
strategies to improve their CEOs tenure. Second, we also find that long-tenured CEOs no
longer add value to firms up to a particular threshold. Instead, such long-tenured CEOs
prioritize their self-interest and exercise their entrenchment. Thus, firms should have
appropriate corporate governance to closely monitor such CEOs to mitigate potential
problems such as entrenchment or conflicts of interest. This is particularly important for New
Zealand or similar countries where the corporate governance regime is more principles- Pacific
based, and thus, there are no compulsory corporate governance guidelines (Sharma et al., Accounting
2021; Wu et al., 2022). As a result, CEOs may be under less pressure and oversight than their Review
peers in the USA or other rule-based countries.
It is also important to acknowledge certain limitations of our study, which can be
investigated further in future research. First, as the focus of our paper is on the relationship
between CEO tenure and firm performance and due to the limitation of our hand-collected
database, we do not examine the potential channels through which the impact can happen.
Future research can further explore such mechanisms as improved knowledge and skills, or
propensity to take risks as channels underlying the positive impact or overconfidence as
channels underlying the negative impact of CEO power (Brochet et al., 2021; Kaplan et al.,
2022; Simsek, 2007). Understanding the mechanisms can provide deeper insights into the
relationship. However, as informed from prior studies, these factors are usually measured by
collecting primary data from surveys or interviews, which are beyond the scope of this study.
Consequently, we acknowledge this as a limitation of our study. Second, although we have
controlled for various CEO characteristics such as age, gender, founder and duality as
following prior studies, there can be other characteristics that can affect the CEO tenure-firm
performance relationship, such as their relevant skill set (generalist versus specialist CEOs)
(Custódio et al., 2013; Li and Patel, 2019). Due to data limitations, we cannot control such
factors in our models, and therefore, we encourage future studies to take these factors into
account better to understand the relationship between CEO tenure and firm performance.
Our findings should be interpreted with caution when applied to different geographic
regions and regulatory regimes. For instance, the presence of business groups or family firms
could potentially influence the relationship between CEO tenure and firm performance. Kim
and Kiymaz (2023) highlight that in India, nearly 48.8% of CEOs are founders within
business groups, and they report a positive relationship between founder CEOs and firm
performance, particularly in such contexts. This suggests that CEO tenure may have different
implications in business groups, especially when the CEO is a founder, compared to non-
founder CEOs. These differences in the role of the CEO, as well as variations in governance
frameworks, are likely to influence how CEO tenure impacts firm performance. Our study
focuses on the New Zealand context, which has distinct governance practices, but future
research could expand on this by exploring how the tenure-performance relationship varies
between founder and non-founder CEOs, especially across different governance
environments and business contexts. Understanding these dynamics could provide a more
nuanced view of how CEO tenure affects firm performance in diverse settings.
Note
1. [Link]/country-comparison-tool?countries=new+zealand%2Cunited+states
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Corresponding author
Md. Borhan Uddin Bhuiyan can be contacted at: [Link]@[Link]
PAR
Table A1. Variable definitions
Appendix
Dependent variable
Firm TOBINSQ The sum of the market value of equity plus the book value of total debt scaled by total Thomson Reuters Eikon (and
performance assets calculated)
Independent variable(s):
CEO tenure CEO_TENURE Number of years the CEO has been serving as the firm’s CEO Annual reports (hand
collected)
Ln Annual reports (and calculated)
(CEO_TENURE)
Control variables
CEO age CEO_AGE Firm CEO’s age measured in years Annual reports (hand
collected)
CEO gender CEO_GENDER Indicator variable that equals 1 if the CEO’s gender is female and 0 otherwise Annual reports (hand
collected)
CEO founder CEO_FOUNDERIndicator variable that equals 1 if the CEO is the founder of the company and 0 otherwise Annual reports (hand
collected)
CEO duality CEO_DUAL Indicator variable that equals 1 if the CEO is also the Chairman of the board and 0 Annual reports (hand
otherwise collected)
Firm size SIZE Natural logarithm of total assets Thomson Reuters Eikon (and
calculated)
Leverage LEV Total debt divided by total assets Thomson Reuters Eikon (and
calculated)
Profitability LOSS Indicator variable that equals 1 if the firm reported loss and 0 otherwise Thomson Reuters Eikon (and
calculated)
Year fixed YEAR_FE A vector of dummy variables indicating year Thomson Reuters Eikon
effects
Industry fixed INDUSTRY_FE A vector of dummy variables indicating industry Thomson Reuters Eikon
effects
(continued)
Table A1. Continued