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Cambridge AS Level Math Past Paper 2022

This document is a past paper for Cambridge International AS & A Level Mathematics, specifically Paper 5 on Probability & Statistics 1 for the October/November 2022 exam. It includes various mathematical problems related to probability distributions, statistical analysis, and data representation, with instructions for candidates on how to answer the questions. The total mark for the paper is 50, and it consists of multiple questions requiring calculations and graphical representations.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)

13 views178 pages

Cambridge AS Level Math Past Paper 2022

Uploaded by

oxford putalisadak

We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.

Available Formats

Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

MATHEMATICS

Past Paper (P5) 2022-2024

With march 2024

Rudra Prasad Pandey

Cambridge International AS & A Level
CANDIDATE
NAME

CENTRE CANDIDATE
NUMBER NUMBER
*5715777126*

MATHEMATICS 9709/51
Paper 5 Probability & Statistics 1 October/November 2022

1 hour 15 minutes

You must answer on the question paper.

You will need: List of formulae (MF19)

INSTRUCTIONS
³ Answer all questions.
³ Use a black or dark blue pen. You may use an HB pencil for any diagrams or graphs.
³ Write your name, centre number and candidate number in the boxes at the top of the page.
³ Write your answer to each question in the space provided.
³ Do not use an erasable pen or correction fluid.
³ Do not write on any bar codes.
³ If additional space is needed, you should use the lined page at the end of this booklet; the question
number or numbers must be clearly shown.
³ You should use a calculator where appropriate.
³ You must show all necessary working clearly; no marks will be given for unsupported answers from a
calculator.
³ Give non-exact numerical answers correct to 3 significant figures, or 1 decimal place for angles in
degrees, unless a different level of accuracy is specified in the question.

INFORMATION
³ The total mark for this paper is 50.
³ The number of marks for each question or part question is shown in brackets [ ].

This document has 12 pages. Any blank pages are indicated.

JC22 11_9709_51/RP
© UCLES 2022 [Turn over
3

1 The probability distribution table for a random variable X is shown below.

x −2 −1 0.5 1 2
P X = x 0.12 p q 0.16 0.3

Given that E X = 0.28, find the value of p and the value of q. [4]
q, p = 0.12, 0.3
................................................................................................................................................................

................................................................................................................................................................

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2 The residents of Persham were surveyed about the reliability of their internet service. 12% rated the
service as ‘poor’, 36% rated it as ‘satisfactory’ and 52% rated it as ‘good’.

A random sample of 8 residents of Persham is chosen.

(a) Find the probability that more than 2 and fewer than 8 of them rate their internet service as poor
or satisfactory. [3]
Ans: 0.825
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

A random sample of 125 residents of Persham is now chosen.

(b) Use an approximation to find the probability that more than 72 of these residents rate their internet
service as good. [5]
0.0896
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2022 9709/51/O/N/22

3 The Lions and the Tigers are two basketball clubs. The heights, in cm, of the 11 players in each of
their first team squads are given in the table.

Lions 178 186 181 187 179 190 189 190 180 169 196
Tigers 194 179 187 190 183 201 184 180 195 191 197

(a) Draw a back-to-back stem-and-leaf diagram to represent this information, with the Lions on the
left. [4]

(b) Find the median and the interquartile range of the heights of the Lions first team squad. [3]
Median = 186 cm IQR = 190 – 179 = 11
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

It is given that for the Tigers, the lower quartile is 183 cm, the median is 190 cm and the upper quartile
is 195 cm.

(c) Make two comparisons between the heights of the players in the Lions first team squad and the
heights of the players in the Tigers first team squad. [2]

........................................................................................................................................................
Tigers are (generally) taller
........................................................................................................................................................
Heights of Tigers are slightly less consistent than heights of Lions
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

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4 In a large population, the systolic blood pressure (SBP) of adults is normally distributed with
mean 125.4 and standard deviation 18.6.

(a) Find the probability that the SBP of a randomly chosen adult is less than 132. [2]
0.639
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

The SBP of 12-year-old children in the same population is normally distributed with mean 117. Of
these children 88% have SBP more than 108.

(b) Find the standard deviation of this distribution. [3]

S.D =7.66
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2022 9709/51/O/N/22

Three adults are chosen at random from this population.

(c) Find the probability that each of these three adults has SBP within 1.5 standard deviations of the
mean. [4]
0.8664^3 = 0.650 36
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

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5 A game is played with an ordinary fair 6-sided die. A player throws the die once. If the result is
2, 3, 4 or 5, that result is the player’s score and the player does not throw the die again. If the result
is 1 or 6, the player throws the die a second time and the player’s score is the sum of the two numbers
from the two throws.

(a) Draw a fully labelled tree diagram to represent this information. [2]

Events A and B are defined as follows.

A: the player’s score is 5, 6, 7, 8 or 9
B: the player has two throws

(b) Show that P A = 13 . [3]

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2022 9709/51/O/N/22

(c) Determine whether or not events A and B are independent. [2]

so not independent
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

(d) Find P B | A′ . [3]

, 0.25
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

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6 A Social Club has 15 members, of whom 8 are men and 7 are women. The committee of the club
consists of 5 of its members.

(a) Find the number of different ways in which the committee can be formed from the 15 members
if it must include more men than women. [4]
1722
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2022 9709/51/O/N/22

The 15 members are having their photograph taken. They stand in three rows, with 3 people in the
front row, 5 people in the middle row and 7 people in the back row.

(b) In how many different ways can the 15 members of the club be divided into a group of 3, a group
of 5 and a group of 7? [3]
360360
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

In one photograph Abel, Betty, Cally, Doug, Eve, Freya and Gino are the 7 members in the back row.

(c) In how many different ways can these 7 members be arranged so that Abel and Betty are next to
each other and Freya and Gino are not next to each other? [3]
960
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2022 9709/51/O/N/22

Cambridge International AS & A Level
CANDIDATE
NAME

CENTRE CANDIDATE
NUMBER NUMBER
*8507639623*

MATHEMATICS 9709/52
Paper 5 Probability & Statistics 1 October/November 2022

1 hour 15 minutes

You must answer on the question paper.

You will need: List of formulae (MF19)

INFORMATION
³ The total mark for this paper is 50.
³ The number of marks for each question or part question is shown in brackets [ ].

This document has 16 pages. Any blank pages are indicated.

JC22 11_9709_52/RP
© UCLES 2022 [Turn over
3

1 On any day, Kino travels to school by bus, by car or on foot with probabilities 0.2, 0.1 and 0.7
respectively. The probability that he is late when he travels by bus is x. The probability that he is late
when he travels by car is 2x and the probability that he is late when he travels on foot is 0.25.

The probability that, on a randomly chosen day, Kino is late is 0.235.

(a) Find the value of x. [3]

x = 0.15
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

(b) Find the probability that, on a randomly chosen day, Kino travels to school by car given that he
is not late. [2]
14/153
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

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2 The lengths of the rods produced by a company are normally distributed with mean 55.6 mm and
standard deviation 1.2 mm.

(a) In a random sample of 400 of these rods, how many would you expect to have length less than
54.8 mm? [4]
100 or 101
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

(b) Find the probability that a randomly chosen rod produced by this company has a length that is
within half a standard deviation of the mean. [3]
0.383
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2022 9709/52/O/N/22

3 Three fair 6-sided dice, each with faces marked 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, are thrown at the same time repeatedly.
The score on each throw is the sum of the numbers on the uppermost faces.

(a) Find the probability that a score of 17 or more is first obtained on the 6th throw. [3]
0.0169
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

(b) Find the probability that a score of 17 or more is obtained in fewer than 8 throws. [2]
0.123
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

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4 The times taken, in minutes, to complete a word processing task by 250 employees at a particular
company are summarised in the table.

Time taken (t minutes) 0 ≤ t < 20 20 ≤ t < 40 40 ≤ t < 50 50 ≤ t < 60 60 ≤ t < 100

Frequency 32 46 96 52 24

(a) Draw a histogram to represent this information. [4]

© UCLES 2022 9709/52/O/N/22

From the data, the estimate of the mean time taken by these 250 employees is 43.2 minutes.

(b) Calculate an estimate for the standard deviation of these times. [3]
Sd = 18.3
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2022 9709/52/O/N/22 [Turn over

5 Eric has three coins. One of the coins is fair. The other two coins are each biased so that the probability
of obtaining a head on any throw is 41 , independently of all other throws. Eric throws all three coins
at the same time.

Events A and B are defined as follows.

A: all three coins show the same result
B: at least one of the biased coins shows a head

7.
(a) Show that P B = 16 [2]

........................................................................................................................................................

(b) Find P A | B. [2]

7/16
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2022 9709/52/O/N/22

The random variable X is the number of heads obtained when Eric throws the three coins.

(c) Draw up the probability distribution table for X . [3]

, 0.0714
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

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6 At a company’s call centre, 90% of callers are connected immediately to a representative.

A random sample of 12 callers is chosen.

(a) Find the probability that fewer than 10 of these callers are connected immediately. [3]
0.111
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2022 9709/52/O/N/22

A random sample of 80 callers is chosen.

(b) Use an approximation to find the probability that more than 69 of these callers are connected
immediately. [5]
0.824
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

(c) Justify the use of your approximation in part (b). [1]

np nq = = 72, 8 Both greater than 5

........................................................................................................................................................

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7 (a) Find the number of different arrangements of the 9 letters in the word ALLIGATOR in which the
two As are together and the two Ls are together. [2]
5040
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

(b) The 9 letters in the word ALLIGATOR are arranged in a random order.

Find the probability that the two Ls are together and there are exactly 6 letters between the
two As. [5]
1200
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2022 9709/52/O/N/22

........................................................................................................................................................

(c) Find the number of different selections of 5 letters from the 9 letters in the word ALLIGATOR
which contain at least one A and at most one L. [3]

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2022 9709/52/O/N/22

Cambridge International AS & A Level
CANDIDATE
NAME

CENTRE CANDIDATE
NUMBER NUMBER
*0608139866*

MATHEMATICS 9709/53
Paper 5 Probability & Statistics 1 October/November 2022

1 hour 15 minutes

You must answer on the question paper.

You will need: List of formulae (MF19)

INFORMATION
³ The total mark for this paper is 50.
³ The number of marks for each question or part question is shown in brackets [ ].

This document has 16 pages. Any blank pages are indicated.

JC22 11_9709_53/RP
© UCLES 2022 [Turn over
2

1 50 values of the variable x are summarised by

Σ x − 20 = 35 and Σ x2 = 25 036.

Find the variance of these 50 values. [3]
72.23
................................................................................................................................................................

................................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2022 9709/53/O/N/22

2 In a large college, 32% of the students have blue eyes. A random sample of 80 students is chosen.

Use an approximation to find the probability that fewer than 20 of these students have blue eyes. [5]
0.0718
................................................................................................................................................................

................................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2022 9709/53/O/N/22 [Turn over

3 The times, t minutes, taken to complete a walking challenge by 250 members of a club are summarised
in the table.

Time taken (t minutes) t ≤ 20 t ≤ 30 t ≤ 35 t ≤ 40 t ≤ 50 t ≤ 60

Cumulative frequency 32 66 112 178 228 250

(a) Draw a cumulative frequency graph to illustrate the data. [2]

(b) Use your graph to estimate the 60th percentile of the data. [1]
t =38 minutes
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2022 9709/53/O/N/22

It is given that an estimate for the mean time taken to complete the challenge by these 250 members
is 34.4 minutes.

(c) Calculate an estimate for the standard deviation of the times taken to complete the challenge by
these 250 members. [4]
[Sd =] 12.3
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2022 9709/53/O/N/22 [Turn over

4 Three fair 4-sided spinners each have sides labelled 1, 2, 3, 4. The spinners are spun at the same time
and the number on the side on which each spinner lands is recorded. The random variable X denotes
the highest number recorded.

7.
(a) Show that P X = 2 = 64 [3]

........................................................................................................................................................

(b) Complete the probability distribution table for X . [2]

x 1 2 3 4
7 19
P X = x
64 64

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2022 9709/53/O/N/22

On another occasion, one of the fair 4-sided spinners is spun repeatedly until a 3 is obtained. The
random variable Y is the number of spins required to obtain a 3.

(c) Find P Y = 6. [1]

0.0593
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

(d) Find P Y > 4. [2]

,0.316
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2022 9709/53/O/N/22 [Turn over

5 Company A produces bags of sugar. An inspector finds that on average 10% of the bags are
underweight.

10 of the bags are chosen at random.

(a) Find the probability that fewer than 3 of these bags are underweight. [3]
0.930
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

The weights of the bags of sugar produced by company B are normally distributed with mean 1.04 kg
and standard deviation 0.06 kg.

(b) Find the probability that a randomly chosen bag produced by company B weighs more than
1.11 kg. [3]
0.122
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2022 9709/53/O/N/22

........................................................................................................................................................

81% of the bags of sugar produced by company B weigh less than w kg.

(c) Find the value of w. [3]

w = 1.09
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

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6 (a) Find the number of different arrangements of the 9 letters in the word ACTIVATED. [2]
90720
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

(b) Find the number of different arrangements of the 9 letters in the word ACTIVATED in which
there are at least 5 letters between the two As. [3]
15120
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2022 9709/53/O/N/22

Five letters are selected at random from the 9 letters in the word ACTIVATED.

(c) Find the probability that the selection does not contain more Ts than As. [5]
43/63 or .683
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2022 9709/53/O/N/22 [Turn over

7 Sam and Tom are playing a game which involves a bag containing 5 white discs and 3 red discs. They
take turns to remove one disc from the bag at random. Discs that are removed are not replaced into
the bag. The game ends as soon as one player has removed two red discs from the bag. That player
wins the game.

Sam removes the first disc.

(a) Find the probability that Tom removes a red disc on his first turn. [2]
0.375
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2022 9709/53/O/N/22

(b) Find the probability that Tom wins the game on his second turn. [4]
0.107
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

(c) Find the probability that Sam removes a red disc on his first turn given that Tom wins the game
on his second turn. [2]
1/6, 0.167
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2022 9709/53/O/N/22

Cambridge International AS & A Level
CANDIDATE
NAME

CENTRE CANDIDATE
NUMBER NUMBER
*6035393307*

MATHEMATICS 9709/51
Paper 5 Probability & Statistics 1 May/June 2023

1 hour 15 minutes

You must answer on the question paper.

You will need: List of formulae (MF19)

INFORMATION
³ The total mark for this paper is 50.
³ The number of marks for each question or part question is shown in brackets [ ].

This document has 16 pages. Any blank pages are indicated.

JC23 06_9709_51/2R
© UCLES 2023 [Turn over
2

1 A summary of 50 values of x gives

Σ x − q = 700, Σ x − q2 = 14 235,

where q is a constant.

(a) Find the standard deviation of these values of x. [2]

SD 9.42
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

(b) Given that Σx = 2865, find the value of q. [2]

q = 43.3
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/51/M/J/23

2 (a) Find the number of ways in which a committee of 6 people can be chosen from 6 men and
8 women if it must include 3 men and 3 women. [2]
1120
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

A different committee of 6 people is to be chosen from 6 men and 8 women. Three of the 6 men are
brothers.

(b) Find the number of ways in which this committee can be chosen if there are no restrictions on
the numbers of men and women, but it must include no more than two of the brothers. [3]
= 2838
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/51/M/J/23 [Turn over

3 (a) Find the number of different arrangements of the 8 letters in the word COCOONED. [1]
3360
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

(b) Find the number of different arrangements of the 8 letters in the word COCOONED in which the
first letter is O and the last letter is N. [2]
180
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/51/M/J/23

(c) Find the probability that a randomly chosen arrangement of the 8 letters in the word COCOONED
has all three Os together given that the two Cs are next to each other. [3]
1/7, 0.143
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/51/M/J/23 [Turn over

4 A mathematical puzzle is given to a large number of students. The times taken to complete the puzzle
are normally distributed with mean 14.6 minutes and standard deviation 5.2 minutes.

(a) In a random sample of 250 of the students, how many would you expect to have taken more than
20 minutes to complete the puzzle? [4]

37, 38
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/51/M/J/23

All the students are given a second puzzle to complete. Their times, in minutes, are normally
distributed with mean - and standard deviation 3 . It is found that 20% of the students have times less
than 14.5 minutes and 67% of the students have times greater than 18.5 minutes.

(b) Find the value of - and the value of 3 . [5]

22.9, 9.95
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/51/M/J/23 [Turn over

5 The populations of 150 villages in the UK, to the nearest hundred, are summarised in the table.

Population 100 − 800 900 − 1200 1300 − 2000 2100 − 3200 3300 − 4800
Number of villages 8 12 50 48 32

(a) Draw a histogram to represent this information. [4]

© UCLES 2023 9709/51/M/J/23

(b) Write down the class interval which contains the median for this information. [1]
2100 – 3200
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

(c) Find the greatest possible value of the interquartile range for the populations of the 150 villages.
[2]
1999
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/51/M/J/23 [Turn over

6 Eli has four fair 4-sided dice with sides labelled 1, 2, 3, 4. He throws all four dice at the same time.
The random variable X denotes the number of 2s obtained.
3.
(a) Show that P X = 3 = 64 [2]

........................................................................................................................................................

(b) Complete the following probability distribution table for X . [2]

x 0 1 2 3 4
P X = x 81 3 1
256 64 256

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/51/M/J/23

(c) Find E X . [2]

=1
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

Eli throws the four dice at the same time on 96 occasions.

(d) Use an approximation to find the probability that he obtains at least two 2s on fewer than 20 of
these occasions. [5]
0.0958
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/51/M/J/23 [Turn over

7 A children’s wildlife magazine is published every Monday. For the next 12 weeks it will include a
model animal as a free gift. There are five different models: tiger, leopard, rhinoceros, elephant and
buffalo, each with the same probability of being included in the magazine.

Sahim buys one copy of the magazine every Monday.

(a) Find the probability that the first time that the free gift is an elephant is before the 6th Monday.
[2]
= 0.672
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

(b) Find the probability that Sahim will get more than two leopards in the 12 magazines. [3]
0.442
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/51/M/J/23

........................................................................................................................................................

(c) Find the probability that after 5 weeks Sahim has exactly one of each animal. [3]
= 0.0384
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/51/M/J/23

Cambridge International AS & A Level
CANDIDATE
NAME

CENTRE CANDIDATE
NUMBER NUMBER
*4124937800*

MATHEMATICS 9709/52
Paper 5 Probability & Statistics 1 May/June 2023

1 hour 15 minutes

You must answer on the question paper.

You will need: List of formulae (MF19)

INFORMATION
³ The total mark for this paper is 50.
³ The number of marks for each question or part question is shown in brackets [ ].

This document has 16 pages. Any blank pages are indicated.

JC23 06_9709_52/3R
© UCLES 2023 [Turn over
3

1 The random variable X takes the values −2, 2 and 3. It is given that

P X = x = k x2 − 1,
where k is a constant.

(a) Draw up the probability distribution table for X , giving the probabilities as numerical fractions.
[3]

........................................................................................................................................................

(b) Find E X and Var X . [3]

E(x) = 1.71 Var(x) = 3.92
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/52/M/J/23 [Turn over

2 A sports event is taking place for 4 days, beginning on Sunday. The probability that it will rain on
Sunday is 0.4. On any subsequent day, the probability that it will rain is 0.7 if it rained on the previous
day and 0.2 if it did not rain on the previous day.

(a) Find the probability that it does not rain on any of the 4 days of the event. [1]
0.3072
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

(b) Find the probability that the first day on which it rains during the event is Tuesday. [2]
0.096
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/52/M/J/23

(c) Find the probability that it rains on exactly one of the 4 days of the event. [3]
0.2112
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/52/M/J/23 [Turn over

3 The following back-to-back stem-and-leaf diagram represents the monthly salaries, in dollars, of
27 employees at each of two companies, A and B.

Company A Company B
5 4 1 1 0 25 4 4 5 6 6 7
9 9 8 7 2 1 0 26 0 1 3 5 5 7 9 9
8 6 4 2 1 0 27 1 3 4 6 6 8 8
6 5 4 2 0 28 0 1 2 2 2
9 8 5 29
1 30 9
. .
Key: 1 27 6 means $2710 for company A and $2760 for company B

(a) Find the median and the interquartile range of the monthly salaries of employees in company A.
[3]
Q2 = 2710 & IQR = 230
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/52/M/J/23

The lower quartile, median and upper quartile for company B are $2600, $2690 and $2780 respectively.

(b) Draw two box-and-whisker plots in a single diagram to represent the information for the salaries
of employees at companies A and B. [3]

(c) Comment on whether the mean would be a more appropriate measure than the median for
comparing the given information for the two companies. [1]

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/52/M/J/23 [Turn over

4 A fair 5-sided spinner has sides labelled 1, 2, 3, 4, 5. The spinner is spun repeatedly until a 2 is
obtained on the side on which the spinner lands. The random variable X denotes the number of spins
required.

(a) Find P X = 4. [1]

0.1024
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

(b) Find P X < 6. [2]

= 0.672
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

Two fair 5-sided spinners, each with sides labelled 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, are spun at the same time. If the
numbers obtained are equal, the score is 0. Otherwise, the score is the higher number minus the lower
number.

(c) Find the probability that the score is greater than 0 given that the score is not equal to 2. [3]
, 0.737
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/52/M/J/23

........................................................................................................................................................

The two spinners are spun at the same time repeatedly .

(d) For 9 randomly chosen spins of the two spinners, find the probability that the score is greater
than 2 on at least 3 occasions. [3]
0.371
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/52/M/J/23 [Turn over

5 The lengths of Western bluebirds are normally distributed with mean 16.5 cm and standard
deviation 0.6 cm.

A random sample of 150 of these birds is selected.

(a) How many of these 150 birds would you expect to have length between 15.4 cm and 16.8 cm?
[4]
= 98 or 99
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

The lengths of Eastern bluebirds are normally distributed with mean 18.4 cm and standard deviation
3 cm. It is known that 72% of Eastern bluebirds have length greater than 17.1 cm.

(b) Find the value of 3. [3]

SD = 2.23
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/52/M/J/23

........................................................................................................................................................

A random sample of 120 Eastern bluebirds is chosen.

(c) Use an approximation to find the probability that fewer than 80 of these 120 bluebirds have length
greater than 17.1 cm. [5]
0.0804
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/52/M/J/23 [Turn over

6 In a group of 25 people there are 6 swimmers, 8 cyclists and 11 runners. Each person competes in only
one of these sports. A team of 7 people is selected from these 25 people to take part in a competition.

(a) Find the number of different ways in which the team of 7 can be selected if it consists of exactly
1 swimmer, at least 4 cyclists and at most 2 runners. [4]
] 26964
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

For another competition, a team of 9 people consists of 2 swimmers, 3 cyclists and 4 runners. The
team members stand in a line for a photograph.

(b) How many different arrangements are there of the 9 people if the swimmers stand together, the
cyclists stand together and the runners stand together? [2]
=1728
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/52/M/J/23

........................................................................................................................................................

(c) How many different arrangements are there of the 9 people if none of the cyclists stand next to
each other? [4]
151 200
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/52/M/J/23

Cambridge International AS & A Level
CANDIDATE
NAME

CENTRE CANDIDATE
NUMBER NUMBER
*0013731051*

MATHEMATICS 9709/53
Paper 5 Probability & Statistics 1 May/June 2023

1 hour 15 minutes

You must answer on the question paper.

You will need: List of formulae (MF19)

INFORMATION
³ The total mark for this paper is 50.
³ The number of marks for each question or part question is shown in brackets [ ].

This document has 12 pages.

JC23 06_9709_53/2R
© UCLES 2023 [Turn over
2

1 Two fair coins are thrown at the same time repeatedly until a pair of heads is obtained. The number
of throws taken is denoted by the random variable X .

(a) State the value of E X . [1]

[E(X) =] 4
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

(b) Find the probability that exactly 5 throws are required to obtain a pair of heads. [1]
0.0791
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

(c) Find the probability that fewer than 7 throws are required to obtain a pair of heads. [2]
, 0.822
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/53/M/J/23

2 Anil is a candidate in an election. He received 40% of the votes. A random sample of 120 voters is
chosen.

Use an approximation to find the probability that, of the 120 voters, between 36 and 54 inclusive voted
for Anil. [5]
= 0.877
................................................................................................................................................................

................................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/53/M/J/23 [Turn over

3 The random variable X takes the values 1, 2, 3, 4. It is given that P X = x = kx x + a, where k and a
are constants.

(a) Given that P X = 4 = 3P X = 2, find the value of a and the value of k. [4]
k = 1/50
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/53/M/J/23

(b) Draw up the probability distribution table for X , giving the probabilities as numerical fractions.
[1]

........................................................................................................................................................

(c) Given that E X = 3.2, find Var X . [2]

21/25
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/53/M/J/23 [Turn over

4 The times taken, in minutes, to complete a cycle race by 19 cyclists from each of two clubs, the
Cheetahs and the Panthers, are represented in the following back-to-back stem-and-leaf diagram.

Cheetahs Panthers
9 8 7 4
8 7 3 2 0 8 6 8
9 8 7 9 1 7 8 9 9
6 5 3 3 1 10 2 3 4 4 5 6
9 8 2 11 1 2 8
4 12 0 6
. .
Key: 7 9 1 means 97 minutes for Cheetahs and 91 minutes for Panthers

(a) Find the median and the interquartile range of the times of the Cheetahs. [3]
Median = 99 [IQR =] 106 – 83 = 23
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

The median and interquartile range for the Panthers are 103 minutes and 14 minutes respectively.

(b) Make two comparisons between the times taken by the Cheetahs and the times taken by the
Panthers. [2]

........................................................................................................................................................
The times for the Cheetahs are faster than the times for the
Panthers
........................................................................................................................................................
Panthers B1 Correct statement comparing central tendency in context.
The times for the Cheetahs are more spread than the times for the Panthers
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

Another cyclist, Kenny, from the Cheetahs also took part in the race. The mean time taken by the
20 cyclists from the Cheetahs was 99 minutes.

(c) Find the time taken by Kenny to complete the race. [3]
= 118
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/53/M/J/23

5 Jasmine throws two ordinary fair 6-sided dice at the same time and notes the numbers on the uppermost
faces. The events A and B are defined as follows.
A: The sum of the two numbers is less than 6.
B: The difference between the two numbers is at most 2.

(a) Determine whether or not the events A and B are independent. [4]
not independent
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

(b) Find P B | A′ . [3]

8/13
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/53/M/J/23 [Turn over

6 The mass of grapes sold per day by a large shop can be modelled by a normal distribution with mean
28 kg. On 10% of days less than 16 kg of grapes are sold.

(a) Find the standard deviation of the mass of grapes sold per day. [3]
SD = 9.36
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

The mass of grapes sold on any day is independent of the mass sold on any other day.

(b) 12 days are chosen at random.

Find the probability that less than 16 kg of grapes are sold on more than 2 of these 12 days. [3]
0.111
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/53/M/J/23

........................................................................................................................................................

(c) In a random sample of 365 days, on how many days would you expect the mass of grapes sold
to be within 1.3 standard deviations of the mean? [4]
= 294 or 295
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/53/M/J/23 [Turn over

7 (a) Find the number of different arrangements of the 10 letters in the word CASABLANCA in which
the two Cs are not together. [3]
= 60480
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

(b) Find the number of different arrangements of the 10 letters in the word CASABLANCA which
have an A at the beginning, an A at the end and exactly 3 letters between the 2 Cs. [3]
1440
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/53/M/J/23

Five letters are selected from the 10 letters in the word CASABLANCA.

(c) Find the number of different selections in which the five letters include at least two As and at
most one C. [3]
25
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/53/M/J/23

Cambridge International AS & A Level
CANDIDATE
NAME

CENTRE CANDIDATE
NUMBER NUMBER
*0775527237*

MATHEMATICS 9709/51
Paper 5 Probability & Statistics 1 October/November 2023

1 hour 15 minutes

You must answer on the question paper.

You will need: List of formulae (MF19)

INFORMATION
³ The total mark for this paper is 50.
³ The number of marks for each question or part question is shown in brackets [ ].

This document has 16 pages. Any blank pages are indicated.

JC23 11_9709_51/5R
© UCLES 2023 [Turn over
3

120

100

80
Cumulative frequency

0
0 10 20 30 40 50
Time (seconds)

The times taken by 120 children to complete a particular puzzle are represented in the cumulative
frequency graph.

(a) Use the graph to estimate the interquartile range of the data. [2]
7.3
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

35% of the children took longer than T seconds to complete the puzzle.

(b) Use the graph to estimate the value of T . [2]

28.5
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/51/O/N/23 [Turn over

2 Hazeem repeatedly throws two ordinary fair 6-sided dice at the same time. On each occasion, the
score is the sum of the two numbers that she obtains.

(a) Find the probability that it takes exactly 5 throws of the two dice for Hazeem to obtain a score of
8 or more. [2]
, 0.0482
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

(b) Find the probability that it takes no more than 4 throws of the two dice for Hazeem to obtain a
score of 8 or more. [2]
0.884
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/51/O/N/23

(c) For 8 randomly chosen throws of the two dice, find the probability that Hazeem obtains a score
of 8 or more on fewer than 3 occasions. [3]
= 0.282
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/51/O/N/23 [Turn over

3 A farmer sells eggs. The weights, in grams, of the eggs can be modelled by a normal distribution
with mean 80.5 and standard deviation 6.6. Eggs are classified as small, medium or large according
to their weight. A small egg weighs less than 76 grams and 40% of the eggs are classified as medium.

(a) Find the percentage of eggs that are classified as small. [3]
24.8%
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

(b) Find the least possible weight of an egg classified as large. [3]
x = 83 .0
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/51/O/N/23

150 of the eggs for sale last week were weighed.

(c) Use an approximation to find the probability that more than 68 of these eggs were classified as
medium. [5]
0.0783
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/51/O/N/23 [Turn over

4 The times, to the nearest minute, of 150 athletes taking part in a charity run are recorded. The results
are summarised in the table.

Time in minutes 101 − 120 121 − 130 131 − 135 136 − 145 146 − 160
Frequency 18 48 34 32 18

(a) Draw a histogram to represent this information. [4]

© UCLES 2023 9709/51/O/N/23

(b) Calculate estimates for the mean and standard deviation of the times taken by the athletes. [5]
mean = 131.9 SD = 11.7
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/51/O/N/23 [Turn over

5 A red spinner has four sides labelled 1, 2, 3, 4. When the spinner is spun, the score is the number
on the side on which it lands. The random variable X denotes this score. The probability distribution
table for X is given below.

x 1 2 3 4
P X = x 0.28 p 2p 3p

(a) Show that p = 0.12. [1]

........................................................................................................................................................

A fair blue spinner and a fair green spinner each have four sides labelled 1, 2, 3, 4. All three spinners
(red, blue and green) are spun at the same time.

(b) Find the probability that the sum of the three scores is 4 or less. [3]
0.06
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/51/O/N/23

(c) Find the probability that the product of the three scores is 4 or less given that X is odd. [5]
= 0.298
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/51/O/N/23 [Turn over

Table X Table Y

In a restaurant, the tables are rectangular. Each table seats four people: two along each of the longer
sides of the table (see diagram). Eight friends have booked two tables, X and Y . Rajid, Sue and Tan
are three of these friends.

(a) The eight friends will be divided into two groups of 4, one group for table X and one group for
table Y .

Find the number of ways in which this can be done if Rajid and Sue must sit at the same table as
each other and Tan must sit at the other table. [3]
20
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

When the friends arrive at the restaurant, Rajid and Sue now decide to sit at table X on the same side
as each other. Tan decides that he does not mind at which table he sits.

(b) Find the number of different seating arrangements for the 8 friends. [3]
2880
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/51/O/N/23

........................................................................................................................................................

As they leave the restaurant, the 8 friends stand in a line for a photograph.

(c) Find the number of different arrangements if Rajid and Sue stand next to each other, but neither
is at an end of the line. [4]
7200
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/51/O/N/23

Cambridge International AS & A Level
CANDIDATE
NAME

CENTRE CANDIDATE
NUMBER NUMBER
*8016065171*

MATHEMATICS 9709/52
Paper 5 Probability & Statistics 1 October/November 2023

1 hour 15 minutes

You must answer on the question paper.

You will need: List of formulae (MF19)

INFORMATION
³ The total mark for this paper is 50.
³ The number of marks for each question or part question is shown in brackets [ ].

This document has 12 pages.

JC23 11_9709_52/RP
© UCLES 2023 [Turn over
2

1 A competitor in a throwing event has three attempts to throw a ball as far as possible. The random
variable X denotes the number of throws that exceed 30 metres. The probability distribution table for
X is shown below.

x 0 1 2 3
P X = x 0.4 p r 0.15

(a) Given that E X = 1.1, find the value of p and the value of r. [3]
p, r = = 0.25, 0.2
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

(b) Find the numerical value of Var X . [2]

= 1.19
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/52/O/N/23

2 George has a fair 5-sided spinner with sides labelled 1, 2, 3, 4, 5. He spins the spinner and notes the
number on the side on which the spinner lands.

(a) Find the probability that it takes fewer than 7 spins for George to obtain a 5. [2]
= 0.738
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

George spins the spinner 10 times.

(b) Find the probability that he obtains a 5 more than 4 times but fewer than 8 times. [3]
= 0.0327
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/52/O/N/23 [Turn over

3 A factory produces a certain type of electrical component. It is known that 15% of the components
produced are faulty. A random sample of 200 components is chosen.

Use an approximation to find the probability that more than 40 of these components are faulty. [5]
= 0.0188
................................................................................................................................................................

................................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/52/O/N/23

4 The heights, in cm, of the 11 players in each of two teams, the Aces and the Jets, are shown in the
following table.

Aces 180 174 169 182 181 166 173 182 168 171 164
Jets 175 174 188 168 166 174 181 181 170 188 190

(a) Draw a back-to-back stem-and-leaf diagram to represent this information with the Aces on the
left-hand side of the diagram. [4]

(b) Find the median and the interquartile range of the heights of the players in the Aces. [3]
Median = 173 [cm] IQR = 13 [cm]
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/52/O/N/23 [Turn over

5 (a) The heights of the members of a club are normally distributed with mean 166 cm and standard
deviation 10 cm.
(i) Find the probability that a randomly chosen member of the club has height less than 170 cm.
[2]
0.655
................................................................................................................................................

................................................................................................................................................

(ii) Given that 40% of the members have heights greater than h cm, find the value of h correct
to 2 decimal places. [3]
h =168.53
................................................................................................................................................

................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/52/O/N/23

(b) The random variable X is normally distributed with mean - and standard deviation 3.

Given that 3 = 23 -, find the probability that a randomly chosen value of X is positive. [3]

0.933
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/52/O/N/23 [Turn over

6 Freddie has two bags of marbles.

Bag X contains 7 red marbles and 3 blue marbles.

Bag Y contains 4 red marbles and 1 blue marble.

Freddie chooses one of the bags at random. A marble is removed at random from that bag and not
replaced. A new red marble is now added to each bag. A second marble is then removed at random
from the same bag that the first marble had been removed from.

(a) Draw a tree diagram to represent this information, showing the probability on each of the
branches. [3]

© UCLES 2023 9709/52/O/N/23

(b) Find the probability that both of the marbles removed from the bag are the same colour. [4]
0.595
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

(c) Find the probability that bag Y is chosen given that the marbles removed are not both the same
colour. [2]
, 0.444
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/52/O/N/23 [Turn over

7 (a) Find the number of different arrangements of the 9 letters in the word ANDROMEDA in which
no consonant is next to another consonant. (The letters D, M, N and R are consonants and the
letters A, E and O are not consonants.) [3]

720
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

(b) Find the number of different arrangements of the 9 letters in the word ANDROMEDA in which
there is an A at each end and the Ds are not together. [3]
= 1800
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/52/O/N/23

Four letters are selected at random from the 9 letters in the word ANDROMEDA.

(c) Find the probability that this selection contains at least one D and exactly one A. [4]
25/63
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/52/O/N/23

Cambridge International AS & A Level
CANDIDATE
NAME

CENTRE CANDIDATE
NUMBER NUMBER
*5775736163*

MATHEMATICS 9709/53
Paper 5 Probability & Statistics 1 October/November 2023

1 hour 15 minutes

You must answer on the question paper.

You will need: List of formulae (MF19)

INFORMATION
³ The total mark for this paper is 50.
³ The number of marks for each question or part question is shown in brackets [ ].

This document has 12 pages.

JC23 11_9709_53/RP
© UCLES 2023 [Turn over
2

1 Becky sometimes works in an office and sometimes works at home. The random variable X denotes
the number of days that she works at home in any given week. It is given that
P X = x = kx x + 1,
where k is a constant and x = 1, 2, 3 or 4 only.

(a) Draw up the probability distribution table for X , giving the probabilities as numerical fractions.
[3]

........................................................................................................................................................

(b) Find E X and Var X . [3]

E(X) = 13/4 & Var(X) = 63/80
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/53/O/N/23

2 The weights of large bags of pasta produced by a company are normally distributed with mean 1.5 kg
and standard deviation 0.05 kg.

(a) Find the probability that a randomly chosen large bag of pasta weighs between 1.42 kg and
1.52 kg. [3]
= 0.601
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

The weights of small bags of pasta produced by the company are normally distributed with mean
0.75 kg and standard deviation 3 kg. It is found that 68% of these small bags have weight less than
0.9 kg.

(b) Find the value of 3. [3]

25/78, 0.321
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/53/O/N/23 [Turn over

3 Tim has two bags of marbles, A and B.

Bag A contains 8 white, 4 red and 3 yellow marbles.

Bag B contains 6 white, 7 red and 2 yellow marbles.

Tim also has an ordinary fair 6-sided dice. He rolls the dice. If he obtains a 1 or 2, he chooses two
marbles at random from bag A, without replacement. If he obtains a 3, 4, 5 or 6, he chooses two
marbles at random from bag B, without replacement.

(a) Find the probability that both marbles are white. [3]
0.184
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/53/O/N/23

(b) Find the probability that the two marbles come from bag B given that one is white and one is red.
[4]
0.724
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/53/O/N/23 [Turn over

4 The weights, x kg, of 120 students in a sports college are recorded. The results are summarised in the
following table.

Weight (x kg) x ≤ 40 x ≤ 60 x ≤ 65 x ≤ 70 x ≤ 85 x ≤ 100

Cumulative frequency 0 14 38 60 106 120

(a) Draw a cumulative frequency graph to represent this information. [2]

(b) It is found that 35% of the students weigh more than W kg.

Use your graph to estimate the value of W . [2]

76
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/53/O/N/23

(c) Calculate estimates for the mean and standard deviation of the weights of the 120 students. [6]
Standard deviation =11.8 mean = = 71.2
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/53/O/N/23 [Turn over

5 The probability that a driver passes an advanced driving test is 0.3 on any given attempt.

(a) Dipak keeps taking the test until he passes. The random variable X denotes the number of
attempts required for Dipak to pass the test.
(i) Find P 2 ≤ X ≤ 6. [2]
= 0.582
................................................................................................................................................

................................................................................................................................................

(ii) Find E X . [1]

10/3
................................................................................................................................................

................................................................................................................................................

Five friends will each take their advanced driving test tomorrow.

(b) Find the probability that at least three of them will pass tomorrow. [3]
= 0.163
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/53/O/N/23

75 people will take their advanced driving test next week.

(c) Use an approximation to find the probability that more than 20 of them will pass next week. [5]
= 0.693
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/53/O/N/23 [Turn over

6 Jai and his wife Kaz are having a party. Jai has invited five friends and each friend will bring his wife.

(a) At the beginning of the party, the 12 people will stand in a line for a photograph.
(i) How many different arrangements are there of the 12 people if Jai stands next to Kaz and
each friend stands next to his own wife? [3]
= 46080
................................................................................................................................................

................................................................................................................................................

(ii) How many different arrangements are there of the 12 people if Jai and Kaz occupy the two
middle positions in the line, with Jai’s five friends on one side and the five wives of the
friends on the other side? [2]
= 57600
................................................................................................................................................

................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/53/O/N/23

(b) For a competition during the party, the 12 people are divided at random into a group of 5, a group
of 4 and a group of 3.

Find the probability that Jai and Kaz are in the same group as each other. [5]
0.288
........................................................................................................................................................

........................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2023 9709/53/O/N/23

Cambridge International AS & A Level
* 8 7 4 3 3 1 9 0 1 6 *

MATHEMATICS 9709/52
Paper 5 Probability & Statistics 1 February/March 2024

1 hour 15 minutes

You must answer on the question paper.

You will need: List of formulae (MF19)

INSTRUCTIONS
● Answer all questions.
● Use a black or dark blue pen. You may use an HB pencil for any diagrams or graphs.
● Write your name, centre number and candidate number in the boxes at the top of the page.
● Write your answer to each question in the space provided.
● Do not use an erasable pen or correction fluid.
● Do not write on any bar codes.
● If additional space is needed, you should use the lined page at the end of this booklet; the question
number or numbers must be clearly shown.
● You should use a calculator where appropriate.
● You must show all necessary working clearly; no marks will be given for unsupported answers from a
calculator.
● Give non-exact numerical answers correct to 3 significant figures, or 1 decimal place for angles in
degrees, unless a different level of accuracy is specified in the question.

INFORMATION
● The total mark for this paper is 50.
● The number of marks for each question or part question is shown in brackets [ ].

This document has 16 pages. Any blank pages are indicated.

DC (DE/SW) 329848/3
© UCLES 2024 [Turn over
3

1 A bag contains 9 blue marbles and 3 red marbles. One marble is chosen at random from the bag. If
this marble is blue, it is replaced back into the bag. If this marble is red, it is not returned to the bag. A
second marble is now chosen at random from the bag.

(a) Find the probability that both the marbles chosen are red. [1]

............................................................................................................................................................

(b) Find the probability that the first marble chosen is blue given that the second marble chosen is red.
[3]

............................................................................................................................................................

............................................................................................................................................................
© UCLES 2024 9709/52/F/M/24 [Turn over
4

2 Sam is a member of a soccer club. She is practising scoring goals. The probability that Sam will score a
goal on any attempt is 0.7, independently of all other attempts.

(a) Sam makes 10 attempts at scoring goals.

Find the probability that Sam will score goals on fewer than 8 of these attempts. [3]

............................................................................................................................................................

(b) Find the probability that Sam’s first successful attempt will be before her 5th attempt. [2]

............................................................................................................................................................

............................................................................................................................................................
© UCLES 2024 9709/52/F/M/24
5

(c) Wei is a member of the same soccer club. He is also practising scoring goals. The probability that
Wei will score a goal on any attempt is 0.6, independently of all other attempts.

Wei is going to keep making attempts until he scores 3 goals.

Find the probability that he scores his third goal on his 7th attempt. [3]

............................................................................................................................................................

............................................................................................................................................................
© UCLES 2024 9709/52/F/M/24 [Turn over
6

3 The times taken, in minutes, by 150 students to complete a puzzle are summarised in the table.

Time taken
0 G t 1 20 20 G t 1 30 30 G t 1 35 35 G t 1 40 40 G t 1 50 50 G t 1 70
(t minutes)
Frequency 8 23 35 52 20 12

(a) Draw a histogram to represent this information. [4]

© UCLES 2024 9709/52/F/M/24

(b) Calculate an estimate for the mean time for these students to complete the puzzle. [3]

............................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2024 9709/52/F/M/24 [Turn over

4 A company sells small and large bags of rice. The masses of the small bags of rice are normally
distributed with mean 1.20 kg and standard deviation 0.16 kg.

(a) In a random sample of 500 of these small bags of rice, how many would you expect to have a mass
greater than 1.26 kg? [4]

............................................................................................................................................................

The masses of the large bags of rice are normally distributed with mean 2.50 kg and standard deviation
v kg. 20% of these large bags of rice have a mass less than 2.40 kg.

(b) Find the value of v . [3]

............................................................................................................................................................

............................................................................................................................................................
© UCLES 2024 9709/52/F/M/24
9

............................................................................................................................................................

A random sample of 80 large bags of rice is chosen.

(c) Use a suitable approximation to find the probability that fewer than 22 of these large bags of rice
have a mass less than 2.40 kg. [5]

............................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2024 9709/52/F/M/24 [Turn over

5 Anil is taking part in a tournament. In each game in this tournament, players are awarded 2 points for
a win, 1 point for a draw and 0 points for a loss. For each of Anil’s games, the probabilities that he will
win, draw or lose are 0.5, 0.3 and 0.2 respectively. The results of the games are all independent of each
other.

The random variable X is the total number of points that Anil scores in his first 3 games in the
tournament.
(a) Show that P (X = 2) = 0.114 . [2]

............................................................................................................................................................

(b) Complete the probability distribution table for X. [3]

x 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
P (X = x) 0.114 0.207 0.285 0.125

............................................................................................................................................................

............................................................................................................................................................
© UCLES 2024 9709/52/F/M/24
11

............................................................................................................................................................

(c) Find the value of Var (X ) . [3]

............................................................................................................................................................

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6 A new village social club has 10 members of whom 6 are men and 4 are women. The club committee
will consist of 5 members.

(a) In how many ways can the committee of 5 members be chosen if it must include at least 2 men and
at least 1 woman? [4]

............................................................................................................................................................

The 10 members of the club stand in a line for a photograph.

(b) How many different arrangements are there of the 10 members if all the men stand together and all
the women stand together? [2]

............................................................................................................................................................

............................................................................................................................................................
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For a second photograph, the members stand in two rows, with 6 on the back row and 4 on the front
row. Olly and his sister Petra are two of the members of the club.

(c) How many different arrangements are there of the 10 members in which Olly and Petra stand next
to each other on the front row? [4]

............................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2024 9709/52/F/M/24

Cambridge International AS & A Level
* 7 1 2 6 0 7 4 3 8 8 *

MATHEMATICS 9709/51
Paper 5 Probability & Statistics 1 May/June 2024

1 hour 15 minutes

You must answer on the question paper.

You will need: List of formulae (MF19)

INFORMATION
● The total mark for this paper is 50.
● The number of marks for each question or part question is shown in brackets [ ].

This document has 16 pages. Any blank pages are indicated.

DC (DE/SG) 330030/4
© UCLES 2024 [Turn over
2

1 A summary of 20 values of x gives

/ (x - 30) = 439 , / (x - 30) 2 = 12 405.

A summary of another 25 values of x gives

/ (x - 30) = 470 , / (x - 30) 2 = 11346 .

(a) Find the mean of all 45 values of x. [2]

............................................................................................................................................................

(b) Find the standard deviation of all 45 values of x. [2]

............................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2024 9709/51/M/J/24

2 The lengths of the tails of adult raccoons of a certain species are normally distributed with mean 28 cm
and standard deviation 3.3 cm.

(a) Find the probability that a randomly chosen adult raccoon of this species has a tail length between
23 cm and 35 cm. [4]

............................................................................................................................................................

The masses of adult raccoons of this species are normally distributed with mean 8.5 kg and standard
deviation v kg. 75% of adult raccoons of this species have mass greater than 7.6 kg.

(b) Find the value of v . [3]

............................................................................................................................................................

............................................................................................................................................................
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4

3 The heights, in cm, of 200 adults in Barimba are summarised in the following table.

Height (h cm) 130 G h 1 150 150 G h 1 160 160 G h 1 170 170 G h 1 175 175 G h 1 195
Frequency 16 32 76 64 12

(a) Draw a histogram to represent this information. [4]

© UCLES 2024 9709/51/M/J/24

(b) The interquartile range is R cm. Show that R is not greater than 15. [2]

............................................................................................................................................................

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4 A game for two players is played using a fair 4-sided dice with sides numbered 1, 2, 3 and 4. One turn
consists of throwing the dice repeatedly up to a maximum of three times. When a 4 is obtained, no
further throws are made during that turn. A player who obtains a 4 in their turn scores 1 point.
37
(a) Show that the probability that a player obtains a 4 in one turn is 64 . [2]

............................................................................................................................................................

Xeno and Yao play this game.

(b) Find the probability that neither Xeno nor Yao score any points in their first two turns. [1]

............................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2024 9709/51/M/J/24

(c) Xeno and Yao each have three turns.

Find the probability that Xeno scores 2 more points than Yao. [3]

............................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2024 9709/51/M/J/24 [Turn over

5 In a certain area in the Arctic the probability that it snows on any given day is 0.7, independent of all
other days.

(a) Find the probability that in a week (7 days) it snows on at least five days. [3]

............................................................................................................................................................

A week in which it snows on at least five days out of seven is called a ‘white’ week.

(b) Find the probability that in three randomly chosen weeks at least one is a white week. [2]

............................................................................................................................................................

............................................................................................................................................................
© UCLES 2024 9709/51/M/J/24
9

In a different area in the Arctic, the probability that a week is a white week is 0.8 .

(c) Use a suitable approximation to find the probability that in 60 randomly chosen weeks fewer than
47 are white weeks. [5]

............................................................................................................................................................

............................................................................................................................................................
© UCLES 2024 9709/51/M/J/24 [Turn over
10

6 Harry has three coins:

• One coin is biased so that the probability of obtaining a head when it is thrown is 13 .
• The second coin is biased so that the probability of obtaining a head when it is thrown is 14 .
• The third coin is biased so that the probability of obtaining a head when it is thrown is 15 .

Harry throws the three coins. The random variable X is the number of heads that he obtains.

(a) Draw up the probability distribution table for X. [4]

............................................................................................................................................................

............................................................................................................................................................
© UCLES 2024 9709/51/M/J/24
11

Harry has two other coins, each of which is biased so that the probability of obtaining a head when it is
thrown is p. He throws all five coins at the same time. The random variable Y is the number of heads
that he obtains.

(b) Given that P (Y = 0) = 6P (Y = 5) , find the value of p. [3]

............................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2024 9709/51/M/J/24 [Turn over

7 The eight digits 1, 2, 2, 3, 4, 4, 4, 5 are arranged in a line.

(a) How many different arrangements are there of these 8 digits? [1]

............................................................................................................................................................

(b) Find the number of different arrangements of the 8 digits in which there is a 2 at the beginning, a 2
at the end and the three 4s are not all together. [4]

............................................................................................................................................................

............................................................................................................................................................
© UCLES 2024 9709/51/M/J/24
13

Three digits are selected at random from the eight digits 1, 2, 2, 3, 4, 4, 4, 5.

............................................................................................................................................................

© UCLES 2024 9709/51/M/J/24

* 0019654999401 *

, ,

Cambridge International AS & A Level

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* 4 0 7 4 9 4 8 1 9 1 *

MATHEMATICS 9709/53
Paper 5 Probability & Statistics 1 May/June 2024

1 hour 15 minutes

You must answer on the question paper.

You will need: List of formulae (MF19)

INFORMATION
● The total mark for this paper is 50.
● The number of marks for each question or part question is shown in brackets [ ].

This document has 16 pages. Any blank pages are indicated.

DC (PQ/CB) 330114/4
© UCLES 2024 [Turn over
* 0019654999402 *

DO NOT WRITE IN THIS MARGIN

2
, ,

1 The numbers on the faces of a fair six-sided dice are 1, 2, 2, 3, 3, 3. The random variable X is the total
score when the dice is rolled twice.

(a) Draw up the probability distribution table for X. [3]

............................................................................................................................................................

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(b) Find the value of Var(X ). [3]

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(c) Find the probability that X is even given that X 2 3. [2]

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4
, ,

2 In a certain country, the heights of the adult population are normally distributed with mean 1.64 m and
standard deviation 0.25 m.

(a) Find the probability that an adult chosen at random from this country will have height greater than
1.93 m. [3]

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5
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In another country, the heights of the adult population are also normally distributed. 33% of the adult
population have height less than 1.56 m. 25% of the adult population have height greater than 1.86 m.

(b) Find the mean and the standard deviation of this distribution. [5]