Financial Tools for Project Evaluation
Financial Tools for Project Evaluation
Introduction
The evaluation of projects aims to assess using various tools.
financial if the projected cash flow allows the investor to obtain profitability
desired, in addition to recovering the investment.
In this topic, I will develop the most common tools for project evaluation:
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By: Adriana Espinosa Villeda
( − )
= +
Where:
the immediate previous period before the investment is recovered
b = initial investment
c = sum of previous cash flows
d= Net Cash Flow (NCF)1of the year in which the investment is satisfied
1Remember that
= = −
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By: Adriana Espinosa Villeda
Example 1
Approach
The transformer company Corvex, S.A. made an initial investment of 2,000,000 and is estimated to be
following cash flows for the first 6 years. What is the payback period?
How do you interpret the result if the shareholders desire a recovery of 3 years?
• Año 1: 700,000
• Year 2: 600,000
• Año 3: 550,000
• Año 4: 400,000
• Year 5: 300,000
• Year 6: 250,000
Data
a c
d
Procedure
( − ) ( , , − , , )
= + = + = .
,
For exact calculations, we take the decimal of the result 3.38.
For calculating months: 0.38*12 months = 4.5 months
For calculations of days= 0.5*30 days=15 days
Resultado:PRI=3 Años, 4 meses, 15 dí[Link] lo tanto, se rechaza el proyecto,
since the shareholders wanted a recovery of 3 years.
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By: Adriana Espinosa Villeda
According to Nassir (2011), the net present value is the most well-known and most
accepted by the project evaluators. It measures the resulting surplus after
obtain the desired or required profitability and after recovering the entire investment.
To do this, calculate the present value of all future cash flows projected from the
first operating period, and subtracts the total investment expressed at moment 0.
VPN Rule
An investment should be accepted if the net present value is positive and rejected if
it's negative.
If the result is equal to 0, it indicates that the project reports exactly the rate that is
I wanted to obtain after recovering the invested capital.
If the result is negative, show the amount needed to match the rate that is
I wanted to obtain after recovering the investment. If the NPV is negative, the project
it can have a high return, but it will be lower than required. In some cases, such as
it will be explained later, the negative NPV can even indicate that, in addition to
profit is not obtained, part or all of the investment is not recovered.
VPN Formula
=− + ∑
( + )
=
Where:
period life number
initial investment of the project
net cash flow of period t period or year
recovery rate
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By: Adriana Espinosa Villeda
Data
= 4000 dollars
10,000 dollars 5000 dollars
2000 dollars =5
2000 dollars = 0.10 = 10%
4000 dollars
Procedure
Given the cash flows and the discount rate, it is possible to calculate the total value of
product by discounting cash flows retroactively to the present:
=− + ∑
( + )
=
=− , +[ ]+[ ][ ][ ][ ]
( +. ) ( +. ) ( +. ) ( +. ) ( +. )
=− , +[ . + . + . + . +] .
=− , +[ , .] = , .
Note: Observe how the initial investment (S0) is placed with a negative sign, due to
that is subtracted from the updated cash flows.
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By: Adriana Espinosa Villeda
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By: Adriana Espinosa Villeda
The IRR is closely related to the NPV, as the IRR aims to find a single
rate of return that summarizes the merits of a project. Furthermore, it is desirable that it be
an 'internal' rate in the sense that it only depends on the cash flows of a
private investment, not the rates offered elsewhere.
Rule of IRR
Given the complexity of the calculation and the objectives of the course, we will carry out the calculations.
through Excel spreadsheet.
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By: Adriana Espinosa Villeda
Data
=3
= 435.44 dollars =?
100 dollars
200 dollars
300 dollars
Procedure
Alternative 1: trial and error in Excel using the NPV (net present value) formula
That is, -initial investment plus the sum of the present values.
Alternative 2:
With the function IRR=(valores, [estimación]): The link provided does not contain translatable text.
function-tir-64925eaa-9988-495b-b290-3ad0c163c1bc
In most cases, you do not need to provide the estimate argument for the
calculation of IRR. If you omit the estimate argument, it is assumed to be 0.1 (10%).
For example:
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By: Adriana Espinosa Villeda
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Also known as the benefit/cost ratio, it measures the present value of the
benefits per unit of investment.
VPN Rule
VPN Formula
=
ó
Where: Present value of cash flows
=∑
( + )
=
Important note: "Do not confuse the present value (PV) with the present value
net (VPN), the latter takes into account the discount of the investment
Where:
period or year
net cash flow of period t
recovery rate
project lifetime period number
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By: Adriana Espinosa Villeda
Example 4
Approach
A project costs 3,000 dollars and has the following cash flows: for year 1 of 2000 dollars and for
Year 2 of 4000 dollars (a recovery rate of 35% is considered).
What is the profitability index? And what would be recommended in this case.
Data
=Inversión inicial= 3,000 dólares
2,000 dollars
4,000 dollars
0.35
Procedure
, ,
∑ [ + ]
=
( + ) ( + . ) ( + . )
= = =
ó
[ , . + , ]. , .
= = = .
, ,
Result and interpretation
According to the IR rule, if it is greater than one it is accepted. The result 1.22 indicates
that for every dollar invested, a result of 1.22 dollars in value or 0.22 is obtained
dollars in VPN. Thus, the profitability index measures 'the noise of the coins', that is,
the value created by each monetary unit invested
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By: Adriana Espinosa Villeda
In project evaluation, the NPV and IRR parameters are valuation tools.
for decision-making, however, both parameters do not always match.
The first difference is the way to study the profitability of a project. The NPV does it.
in absolute net terms, that is, in monetary units, it indicates the value of
project today; while the IRR gives us a relative measure, in percentage.
The IRR can be very attractive but may not generate a flow that allows, among other things,
facing the payment of a debt.
In an investment flow (initial outlay and positive cash flows in the future), several can occur
situations in the relationship between NPV and IRR:
Bibliography
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