Probability Analysis in Manufacturing Processes
Translated by
ScribdTranslationsProbability Analysis in Manufacturing Processes
Translated by
ScribdTranslationsCATHOLIC UNIVERSITY OF SAINT TORIBIO DE MOGROVEJO
SCHOOL OF CIVIL ENGINEERING.
PROBABILITY PRACTICE.
1.- Three machines from a certain assembly plant, B1,B2yB3, they mount 30%, 45%, and 25% of
the products, respectively. It is known from experience that 2%, 3%, and 2% of the
products assembled by each machine, respectively, have defects. Now
Well, suppose that a finished product is selected at random. What is the
probability of being defective?
2.- A manufacturing company uses three analytical blueprints for design and development of
a specific product. For cost reasons, all three are used at times
different. In fact, plans 1, 2, and 3 are used for 30%, 20%, and 50% of the
products, respectively. The defect rate differs in the three procedures of the
next way (D|P1) = 0.01,P(D|P2) = 0.03, P(D|P3) = 0.02, where P(D|Pj) is
the probability that a product is defective, given the plan.
If a product is observed at random and found to be defective, which of the plans
Is it more likely to have been used and, therefore, to be responsible?
It is estimated that 15% of the workers in a company have more than 10 years of experience.
experience, and 20% professional title, 7% have more than 10 years of experience and
they have a professional degree.
a) What is the probability that a worker has more than 10 years of experience or is
professional?
b) If the worker has more than 10 years of experience, what is the probability that he is
entitled?
4.- In a company, 2% of its workers are over 55 years old and 1% is older than
55 years old and is affiliated with an AFP. If a worker is over 55 years old, what is the
probability of being affiliated with an AFP?
200 engineers from the college of engineers of Peru are classified according to
his gender and opinion on the management of the school at the national level. The results
they were
Genre Opinion Total
Positive Negative
Male 100 20 120
Female 10 70 80
Total 110 90 200
If an engineer is randomly selected from the study sample, what is the probability of
What?
Is there a man or is his opinion positive?
b) Your opinion is positive, since it turned out to be a male.
c) The engineer's opinion on the school's management is independent
del
gender?
6. Three companies produce 40%, 25%, and 35% of the products respectively. The
the defective production percentages of these companies are 2%, 4%, and 6%.
choose a piece at random from those produced, it is known to be defective.
a) What is the probability that the part is defective?
b) What is the probability that it was produced by machine A?
7.- Suppose it is known that in a set of 10 products, 8 are in good condition and 2
defective ones. If 2 products are randomly chosen without replacement.
a) What is the probability that the two selected products are
defective.
b) What is the probability that at least one of the two products is
defective.
If 2 products are chosen at random with replacement.
c) What is the probability that both products are defective.
8.- Suppose there are two urns: U1y U2The U1it has 8 red balls and 2 green ones, in the
U2there are 4 red and 6 green. If a urn is chosen at random and then the selection is made
random ball. If the selected ball was green, what is the probability that the
ball has been obtained from the U1. What is the probability of getting a red ball.
9.- Two divisions of different products from a large company are marine products.
and office equipment. It is estimated that the probability of marine products
they have a profit margin of at least 10% in that fiscal year is 0.30, the
probability that the office equipment division has a profit margin of
At least 10% is of 0.20 and the probability of both divisions having a
The profit margin of at least 10% is 0.06.
a) Determine the probability that the office equipment division has a margin
of at least 10% usefulness, given that the marine products division
it meets that utility criterion.
b) Apply an appropriate test to determine if the goal of profitability has been achieved
the two divisions are statistically independent.
10.- For the manufacturing of a product, 3 machines were used, A, B, and C, with which
20%, 30%, and 50% of products were manufactured respectively. The percentages
of defective products that such machines produce are, respectively, 1%, 2
% y 3 %. Determine the probability that a defective piece has been
produced by machine B.
11.- Three machines, A, B, and C, produce 45%, 30%, and 25%, respectively, of the total.
of the pieces produced in a factory. The percentages of defective production
The percentages of these machines are 3%, 4%, and 5%. A piece is chosen at random from the
produced is known to be defective.
What is the probability that the part is defective?
What is the probability that it was produced by machine A?