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Conditional Probability Calculations Guide

This document is a tutorial on probability, containing exercises related to conditional probabilities, card drawing probabilities, and the quality grading of manufactured components. It includes calculations for various scenarios involving events A, B, and C, as well as specific probabilities related to cards and components. The tutorial aims to enhance understanding of probability concepts through practical examples.

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5 views2 pages

Conditional Probability Calculations Guide

This document is a tutorial on probability, containing exercises related to conditional probabilities, card drawing probabilities, and the quality grading of manufactured components. It includes calculations for various scenarios involving events A, B, and C, as well as specific probabilities related to cards and components. The tutorial aims to enhance understanding of probability concepts through practical examples.

Uploaded by

10725019
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

Introduction to Probability

Tutorial 3

1. Consider the sample space and events given by the gure

Calculate the conditional probabilities:


(a) P (A|B) (b) P (C|A) (c) P (B|A ∩ B)
(d) P (B|A ∪ B) (e) P (A|A∪B ∪C) (f) P (A∩B|A∪B)

2. A card is drawn at random from a pack of cards. Calculate

(a) P (A♡|card from red suit)


(b) P (heart|card from red suit)
(c) P (card from black suit)
(d) P (heart|card from black suit)
(e) P (king|card from red suit)
(f) P (king|red picture card)

3. A ball is chosen at random from a bag containing 150 balls that are either red or blue and
either dull or shiny. There are 36 red shiny balls and 54 blue balls. What is the probability
of the chosen ball being shiny conditional on it being red?
What is the probability of the chosen ball being dull conditional on it being red?

1
4. A manufactured component has its quality graded on its performance, appearance and cost.
Each of these 3 characteristics is graded as either pass or fail. There is a probability of
0.4 that a component passes on both appearance and cost. There is a probability of 0.31
that a component passes on all 3 characteristics. There is a probability of 0.64 that a
component passes on performance. There is a probability of 0.19 that a component fails on
all 3 characteristics. There is a probability of 0.06 that a component passes on appearance
but fails on both performance and cost.

(a) What is the probability that a component passes on cost but fails on both performance
and appearance?
(b) If a component passes on both appearance and cost, what is the probability that it
passes on all 3 characteristics?

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